Next Galician regional election

The next Galician regional election will be held no later than Friday, 16 August 2024, to elect the 12th Parliament of the Autonomous Community of Galicia. All 75 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

Next Galician regional election
No later than 16 August 2024
All 75 seats in the Parliament of Galicia
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Alberto Núñez Feijóo Ana Pontón Gonzalo Caballero
Party PP BNG PSdeG–PSOE
Leader since 15 January 2006 28 February 2016 8 October 2017
Leader's seat Pontevedra A Coruña Pontevedra
Last election 42 seats, 48.0% 19 seats, 23.8% 14 seats, 19.4%
Current seats 42 19 14
Seats needed In majority 19 24
Incumbent President

Alberto Núñez Feijóo
PP

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Galicia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Galicia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Galician Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Galicia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Galicians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 75 members of the Parliament of Galicia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of A Coruña, Lugo, Ourense and Pontevedra, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 10 seats and the remaining 35 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[1][3]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Galicia expires four years after the date of its previous election, unless it is dissolved earlier. The election decree shall be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Journal of Galicia (DOG), with election day taking place between the fifty-fourth and the sixtieth day from publication. The previous election was held on 12 July 2020, which means that the legislature's term will expire on 12 July 2024. The election decree must be published in the DOG no later than 18 June 2024, with the election taking place up to the sixtieth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Saturday, 16 August 2024.[1][3]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament and call a snap election, provided that it does not occur before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament is to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[5]

Parliamentary status

The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the Parliament at the present time.

Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
People's Parliamentary Group of Galicia PP 42 42
Galician Nationalist Bloc's Parliamentary Group BNG 19 19
Socialists of Galicia's Parliamentary Group PSdeG–PSOE 14 14

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][6]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov.
Votes (%) Seats
PP Alberto Núñez Feijóo Conservatism
Christian democracy		 47.96% 42 Y
BNG Ana Pontón Galician nationalism
Left-wing nationalism
Socialism		 23.79% 19 N
PSdeG–
PSOE		 Gonzalo Caballero Social democracy 17.87% 14 N
GeC–AM TBD Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism		 3.94% 0 N
Vox TBD Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism		 2.05% 0 N
Cs Beatriz Pino Liberalism 0.75% 0 N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 38 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1] 31 Dec 2020 ? ? 47.0
39		 26.7
22		 18.3
14		 2.5
0		 2.7
0		 0.7
0		 20.3
Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia[p 2][p 3] 1–7 Oct 2020 1,223 ? 46.9
40		 27.0
22		 17.1
13		 – – – 19.9
2020 regional election 12 Jul 2020 N/A 49.0 48.0
42		 23.8
19		 19.4
14		 3.9
0		 2.0
0		 0.8
0		 24.2

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "EP Autonómico (31D): Feijoo inicia el año Xacobeo cediendo terreno ante el BNG, que sigue al alza". Electomanía (in Spanish). 31 December 2020.
  2. "La ola del BNG sigue creciendo y coge fuerza frente a un PSdeG en declive". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 11 October 2020.
  3. "GALICIA. Encuesta Sondaxe 11/10/2020: BNG 27,0% (22), PSdeG-PSOE 17,1% (13), PP 46,9% (40)". Electograph (in Spanish). 11 October 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 1/1981, de 6 de abril, de Estatuto de Autonomía para Galicia". Organic Law No. 1 of 6 April 1981. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley 8/1985, de 13 de agosto, de elecciones al Parlamento de Galicia". Law No. 2 of 13 August 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. "Ley 1/1983, de 22 de febrero, de normas reguladoras de la Xunta y su Presidencia". Law No. 1 of 22 February 1983. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 8 August 2017.
  6. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
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