2023 Melilla Assembly election

The 2023 Melilla Assembly election will be held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Melilla. All 25 seats in the Assembly will be up for election.

2023 Melilla Assembly election

28 May 2023

All 25 seats in the Assembly of Melilla
13 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Juan José Imbroda Mustafa Aberchán Gloria Rojas
Party PP CpM PSOE
Leader since 20 July 2000 2 October 1995 24 November 2014
Last election 10 seats, 37.8% 8 seats, 30.6% 4 seats, 14.4%

 
Leader Jesús Delgado Aboy Eduardo de Castro
Party Vox Cs
Leader since 15 July 2018 23 February 2015
Last election 2 seats, 7.8% 1 seat, 5.6%

Incumbent Mayor-President

Eduardo de Castro
Cs


Electoral system

The Assembly of Melilla is the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Melilla.[1]

Voting for the Assembly is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Melilla and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allows Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.[2] The 25 members of the Assembly of Melilla are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution.[1][2]

The Mayor-President is indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause requires that mayoral candidates earn the vote of an absolute majority of members, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly shall be automatically appointed to the post. In case of a tie, a toss-up would determine the appointee.[1]

The electoral law provides that parties, federations, coalitions and groupings of electors are allowed to present lists of candidates. However, groupings of electors are required to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in Melilla. Concurrently, parties and federations intending to enter in coalition to take part jointly at an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election being called.[2]

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 13 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Melilla.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
SyM Consulting[p 1] 9–12 Dec 2020 628 55.4 34.1
9
38.9
10/11
9.7
2/3
11.7
3
1.9
0
4.8
SyM Consulting[p 2][p 3] 26–27 Sep 2020 695 56.4 37.0
10
35.7
9/10
12.8
3
9.9
2/3
1.2
0
1.3
SyM Consulting[p 4][p 5] 18 Jul 2020 561 56.8 39.0
10
35.9
9/10
14.7
4
6.8
1/2
0.9
0
3.1
SyM Consulting[p 6][p 7] 21–23 Jun 2020 622 62.7 39.1
10/11
32.7
8/9
14.9
4
9.5
2
1.8
0
6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 8][p 9] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 43.9
12
28.9
8
14.4
4
6.9
1
3.2
0
15.0
SyM Consulting[p 10][p 11] 5–7 May 2020 739 62.7 46.5
12/13
29.7
8
12.7
3
6.3
1/2
2.4
0
16.8
SyM Consulting[p 12][p 13] 17–18 Feb 2020 687 60.4 40.1
10/11
37.3
10
11.8
3
5.1
1/2
2.8
0
2.8
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 52.4 29.5
8
29.0
8
16.4
4
18.4
5
3.0
0
2.6
0
0.5
2019 Assembly election 26 May 2019 N/A 63.4 37.8
10
30.6
8
14.4
4
7.8
2
5.6
1
1.2
0
7.2

References

Opinion poll sources
  1. "Estimación Barómetro Diciembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 26 December 2020.
  2. "Estimación Barómetro Septiembre 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
  3. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 03/10/2020: CPM 35,7% (9/10), PSOE 12,8% (3), Cs 1,2%, PP 37,0% (10), VOX 9,9% (2/3)". Electograph (in Spanish). 3 October 2020.
  4. "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020_2. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
  5. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/07/2020: CPM 35,9% (9/10), PSOE 14,7% (4), Cs 0,9%, PP 39,0% (10), VOX 6,8% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 July 2020.
  6. "Estimación Barómetro Julio 2020. Melilla". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
  7. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 30/06/2020: CPM 32,7% (8/9), PSOE 14,9% (4), Cs 1,8%, PP 39,1% (10/11), VOX 9,5% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 30 June 2020.
  8. "EP (17My): Melilla – Eduardo de Castro perdería la alcaldía… y el escaño". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  9. "MacroPanel Autonómico (17My): 8 gobiernos para PSOE+, 8 para PP+ y 3 para otros+". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 May 2020.
  10. "Estimación Barómetro Mayo 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
  11. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 13/05/2020: CPM 29,7% (8), PSOE 12,7% (3), Cs 2,4%, PP 46,5% (12/13), VOX 6,3% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 13 May 2020.
  12. "Estimación Barómetro Febrero 2020. Melilla. Autonómicas 2023". SyM Consulting (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
  13. "MELILLA. Encuesta SyM Consulting 21/02/2020: CPM 37,3% (10), PSOE 11,8% (3), Cs 2,8%, PP 40,1% (10/11), VOX 5,1% (1/2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 February 2020.
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 2/1995, de 13 de marzo, de Estatuto de Autonomía de Melilla". Law No. 2 of 13 March 1995. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 February 2020.
  2. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
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