Next Asturian regional election

The next Asturian regional election will be held no later than Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 12th General Junta of the Principality of Asturias. All 45 seats in the General Junta will be up for election.

Next Asturian regional election

On or before 28 May 2023

All 45 seats in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader Adrián Barbón Teresa Mallada Susana Fernández
Party PSOE PP Cs
Leader since 17 September 2017 11 January 2019 1 September 2020
Leader's seat Central Central Central
Last election 20 seats, 35.3% 10 seats, 17.5% 5 seats, 14.0%
Current seats 20 10 5
Seats needed 3 13 18

 
Leader Lorena Gil Ángela Vallina Carmen Moriyón
Party Podemos Asturies IUIAS FAC
Leader since 27 November 2018 10 March 2019 29 September 2018
Leader's seat Central Central Central
Last election 4 seats, 11.0% 2 seats, 6.6% 2 seats, 6.5%
Current seats 4 2 2
Seats needed 19 21 21

 
Leader Ignacio Blanco
Party Vox
Leader since 13 April 2015
Leader's seat Central
Last election 2 seats, 6.4%
Current seats 2
Seats needed 21

Incumbent President

Adrián Barbón
PSOE


Overview

Electoral system

The General Junta of the Principality of Asturias is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Asturias, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Asturian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1]

Voting for the General Junta is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Asturias and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Asturians abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[2] The 45 members of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, which are established as follows:

Each constituency is allocated an initial minimum of two seats, with the remaining 39 being distributed in proportion to their populations.[3]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[4]

Election date

The term of the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias expires four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the General Junta ae fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, setting the election date for the General Junta on Sunday, 28 May 2023.[1][3][5]

The president has the prerogative to dissolve the General Junta and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence is in process, no nationwide election is due and some time requirements were met: namely, that dissolution does not occur either during the first legislative session or within the legislature's last year ahead of its scheduled expiry, nor before one year has elapsed since a previous dissolution under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the General Junta shall be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called. Any snap election held as a result of these circumstances will not alter the period to the next ordinary election, with elected deputies merely serving out what remains of their four-year terms.[1]

Parliamentary status

The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the General Junta at the present time.[6]

Current parliamentary composition
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Socialist Parliamentary Group PSOE 20 20
People's Parliamentary Group PP 10 10
Citizens Parliamentary Group Cs 5 5
We Can Asturias Parliamentary Group Podemos 4 4
Asturias Forum Parliamentary Group FAC 2 2
United Left Parliamentary Group IU/IX 2 2
Vox Parliamentary Group Vox 2 2

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[3][5]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances
Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE Adrián Barbón Social democracy 35.26% 20 Y
PP Teresa Mallada Conservatism
Christian democracy
17.52% 10 N
Cs Susana Fernández Liberalism 13.97% 5 N [7]
[8]
Podemos
Asturies
Lorena Gil Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Democratic socialism
11.04% 4 N
IUIAS Ángela Vallina Socialism
Communism
6.62% 2 N
FAC Carmen Moriyón Regionalism
Conservatism
6.52% 2 N
Vox Ignacio Blanco Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism
6.43% 2 N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 23 seats are required for an absolute majority in the General Junta of the Principality of Asturias.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead
SyM Consulting[p 1] 27–31 Dec 2020 1,276 60.6 35.8
18
16.9
8
9.1
4
13.9
6/7
6.9
3
6.4
2
8.2
3/4
18.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 2][p 3] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 43.3
23
19.6
10
7.2
2
5.8
2
7.2
3
5.0
1
10.0
4
23.7
SyM Consulting[p 4][p 5] 4–6 May 2020 1,194 62.2 43.9
23/24
19.8
10
6.4
2
6.3
2/3
6.6
2
4.2
1
11.1
4
24.1
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 58.1 33.3 23.2 6.7 [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 1] [lower-alpha 2] 15.9 16.0 10.1
2019 regional election 26 May 2019 N/A 55.1 35.3
20
17.5
10
14.0
5
11.0
4
6.6
2
6.5
2
6.4
2
17.8

Notes

  1. Within Unidas Podemos.
  2. Within PP.

References

Opinion poll sources
Other
  1. "Ley Orgánica 7/1981, de 30 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía del Principado de Asturias". Organic Law No. 7 of 30 December 1981. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 March 2017.
  2. Reig Pellicer, Naiara (16 December 2015). "Spanish elections: Begging for the right to vote". cafebabel.co.uk. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  3. "Ley 14/1986, de 26 de diciembre, sobre régimen de elecciones a la Junta General del Principado de Asturias". Law No. 14 of 26 December 1986. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 March 2017.
  4. Gallagher, Michael (30 July 2012). "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Retrieved 22 July 2017.
  5. "Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General". Organic Law No. 5 of 19 June 1985. Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Spanish). Retrieved 30 January 2020.
  6. "Organización y funciones. Grupos parlamentarios". General Junta of the Principality of Asturias (in Spanish). Retrieved 14 October 2020.
  7. "La periodista Laura Pérez Macho será la portavoz de Ciudadanos en la Junta General" (in Spanish). Oviedo: Europa Press. 26 June 2019. Retrieved 14 October 2020.
  8. "Ciudadanos confirma a Susana Fernández como nueva portavoz en la Junta General, en sustitución de Laura Pérez Macho" (in Spanish). Oviedo: Europa Press. 1 September 2020. Retrieved 14 October 2020.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.