2021 Catalan regional election

The 2021 Catalan regional election will be held on Sunday, 14 February 2021, to elect the 13th Parliament of the autonomous community of Catalonia.[2][3] All 135 seats in the Parliament will be up for election.

2021 Catalan regional election
14 February 2021
All 135 seats in the Parliament of Catalonia
68 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered5,623,962 1.3%[1]
 
Leader Carlos Carrizosa Pere Aragonès Laura Borràs
Party Cs ERC JxCat
Leader since 19 August 2020 20 November 2020 29 November 2020
Leader's seat Barcelona Barcelona Barcelona
Last election 36 seats, 25.4% 32 seats, 21.4% 20 seats (JuntsxCat)[lower-alpha 1]
 
Leader Salvador Illa Àngels Chacón Jéssica Albiach
Party PSC–PSOE PDeCAT ECP–PEC
Leader since 30 December 2020 2 November 2020 18 September 2018
Leader's seat Barcelona Barcelona Barcelona
Last election 17 seats, 13.9% 14 seats (JuntsxCat)[lower-alpha 1] 8 seats, 7.5%
 
Leader Dolors Sabater Alejandro Fernández
Party CUP–G PP
Leader since 12 December 2020 10 November 2018
Leader's seat Barcelona Barcelona
Last election 4 seats, 4.5% 4 seats, 4.2%
Constituency results map for the Parliament of Catalonia
Incumbent President

Pere Aragonès (acting)
ERC

After the 2017 election, pro-Catalan independence parties secured a parliamentary majority, electing Quim Torra as new Catalan president after attempts to have Carles Puigdemont and Jordi Turull elected to the office were foiled by Spanish courts. However, in December 2019 Torra was disqualified by the High Court of Justice of Catalonia (TSJC) from holding any elected office and/or from exercising government powers for disobeying the Central Electoral Commission (JEC)'s rulings in the April 2019 Spanish general election campaign.[4][5] Torra remained as president as he appealed the ruling, but was stripped from his status as legislator in the Catalan parliament.[6][7] A snap election loomed over the horizon for several months as Torra announced his will to call one after the court rulings,[8] but the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in Spain stalled these plans.[9] On 28 September 2020, the TSJC's ruling was upheld by the Supreme Court of Spain, finally disqualifying Torra from office and paving the way for a regional election to be called for early 2021.[10]

Puigdemont announced his intention to lead the lists of his new Together for Catalonia (JxCat) party into the election, with former regional Culture minister Laura Borràs being selected as presidential candidate.[11][12] Concurrently, in a move widely seen as Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez's personal bet for his party to obtain a strong performance in the election,[13][14] the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC) selected Health minister Salvador Illa, who had been at the helm of the Spanish government's response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, as its leading candidate.[15]

Overview

Electoral system

The Parliament of Catalonia is the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Catalonia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Catalan Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[16]

As a result of no regional electoral law having been approved since the re-establishment of Catalan autonomy, the electoral procedure comes regulated under Transitory Provision Fourth of the 1979 Statute, supplemented by the provisions within the Organic Law of General Electoral Regime.[lower-alpha 2] Voting for the Parliament is on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprises all nationals over eighteen, registered in Catalonia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Additionally, Catalans abroad are required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote, a system known as "begged" or expat vote (Spanish: Voto rogado).[17] The 135 members of the Parliament of Catalonia are elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of three percent of valid votes—which includes blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold are not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats are allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Barcelona, Girona, Lleida and Tarragona, with each being allocated a fixed number of seats: 85 for Barcelona, 17 for Girona, 15 for Lleida and 18 for Tarragona.[16][18]

The use of the D'Hondt method may result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[19]

Election date

The term of the Parliament of Catalonia expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The regional president was required to call an election fifteen days prior to the date of expiry of parliament, with election day taking place within from forty to sixty days after the call. The previous election was held on 21 December 2017, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 21 December 2021. The election was required to be called no later than 6 December 2021, with it taking place up to the sixtieth day from the call, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Friday, 4 February 2022.[16]

The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Parliament of Catalonia and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since a previous one under this procedure. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Parliament was to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[16]

On 29 January 2020, President Quim Torra announced that he would be calling a snap election at some point throughout 2020 once the parliamentary procedures for the budget's approval were finalized,[8] after a government crisis erupted between Together for Catalonia (JuntsxCat) and Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC) over Torra's being stripped of his status as legislator,[7][20] resulting from a court ruling condemning Torra for disobeying the Central Electoral Commission by not withdrawing partisan symbols from the Palau de la Generalitat's facade and not guaranteeing the institution's neutrality during the April 2019 Spanish general election campaign.[4][5]

While the budget's parliamentary transaction timetable was due to be over by 18 March, meaning that an election could be held as soon as Monday, 11 May, if called immediately—or 17 May if the long-term tradition of holding elections on a Sunday is kept[21][22]—members from both JuntsxCat and ERC hinted that the election could be delayed until after the summer, to be held in September–October 2020.[23][24] The risk existed that, in the meantime, the Supreme Court issued a firm ruling on Torra's disqualification that removed him from the president's office and thus deprived him of the prerogative of parliament dissolution.[22][25] The announcement of a possible snap 2020 election in Catalonia had the immediate side effect of triggering an early election in the Basque Country for 5 April, as Lehendakari Iñigo Urkullu sought to distance himself from the convoluted Catalan political landscape by avoiding any interference with the Basque election, which was initially not scheduled until autumn 2020.[26] This in turn precipitated the end of the legislature in Galicia, with regional president Alberto Núñez Feijóo announcing a snap election to be held simultaneously with the Basque one.[27]

In July 2020, it was revealed that former Catalan president and Torra's predecessor Carles Puigdemont initially sought to have the election being held on 4 October 2020, in order for his upcoming political party to benefit from the pro-independence nostalgia of the Diada and the third anniversary of the 2017 Catalan independence referendum, which would require the Parliament to be dissolved on 12 August.[28][29] However, severe COVID-19 outbreaks in the Lleida/Segrià and Barcelona metropolitan areas in mid-July forced these plans to be delayed.[30][31] Torra's disqualification[32] in late September led to the Catalan parliament agreeing to not appoint a replacement candidate for the regional premiership; with a parliamentary act being published on 21 October confirming such situation and starting the two month-legally established timetable until the automatic dissolution of the chamber; the election was scheduled to be held on 14 February 2021.[33] Eventually on 21 December, acting president Pere Aragonès signed the decree dissolving the Parliament of Catalonia, confirming 14 February as the election date.[34]

As a result of the worsening situation in Catalonia and in all of Spain because of mounting cases and deaths in the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the election date was postponed to 30 May 2021.[35][36] However, after a legal challenge due to perceived irregularities in the decree, on 19 January the High Court of Justice of Catalonia decided to suspend the effects of the decision, with the election provisionally set to be held on the original 14 February date.[37][38] This decision was confirmed on 21 January. Although the decision can be appealed until 8 February, it is unlikely that the election would be suspended, with campaigning and electoral logistics already underway.[39]

Parliamentary status
Further information: 12th Parliament of Catalonia

The Parliament of Catalonia was officially dissolved on 21 December 2020, after the publication of the dissolution decree in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia.[40] The table below shows the status of the different parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[41]

Current parliamentary composition[42]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Citizens's Parliamentary Group Cs 36 36
Together for Catalonia's Parliamentary Group JxCat 29[lower-alpha 3] 34
PDeCAT 5
Republican Parliamentary Group ERC 30 32
DC 2
Socialists' and United to Advance
Parliamentary Group		 PSC 15 17
Els Units 2
Catalonia in Common–We Can's
Parliamentary Group		 CatComú 4 8
Podem 4
Mixed Group CUP 4 8
PP 4

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allows for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election are required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors need to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they seek election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[43]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which will likely contest the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
Cs Carlos Carrizosa Liberalism 25.35% 36 N [44]
JxCat Laura Borràs Catalan independence
Populism		 21.66%[lower-alpha 4] 34 Y [11]
[45]
[46]
[47]
PDeCAT Àngels Chacón Catalan independence
Liberalism		 N [48]
[49]
[50]
ERC Pere Aragonès Catalan independence
Social democracy		 21.38% 32 Y [51]
[52]
PSC–PSOE Salvador Illa Social democracy 13.86% 17 N [53]
[54]
ECP–PEC Jéssica Albiach Left-wing populism
Direct democracy
Eco-socialism		 7.46% 8 N [55]
[56]
[57]
CUP–G Dolors Sabater Catalan independence
Anti-capitalism
Socialism		 4.46% 4 N [58]
[59]
PP Alejandro Fernández Conservatism
Christian democracy		 4.24% 4 N [60]
Vox Ignacio Garriga Right-wing populism
Ultranationalism
National conservatism		 Did not contest N [61]

With the growing likelihood of a snap election from early 2020 onwards, speculation arose that both Citizens (Cs) and the People's Party (PP) would try to form a Navarra Suma-inspired electoral alliance of "constitutionalist" political forces.[62][63] Far-right party Vox discarded itself from joining any such coalition and announced that it would run on its own instead.[64] On 31 January 2020, Cs spokesperson in the Congress of Deputies Inés Arrimadas hinted at the possibility of such agreement being exported to Galicia and the Basque Country as well under the "Better United" umbrella (Spanish: Mejor Unidos), excluding Vox from such arrangement.[65][66] However, the heavy defeat of the PP+Cs formula in the 12 July Basque election sparked doubts within the regional PP's branch over the electoral viability of such an alliance in Catalonia.[67][68] Finally, with the snap election being confirmed for 14 February 2021, it was announced that no such alliance would be formed,[69] after the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC) had declined a similar offer from Cs to join into such a platform.[70][71]

In July 2020, following the failure of negotiations between the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDeCAT) and former Catalan president Carles Puigdemont for the reorganization of the post-convergent space under the Together for Catalonia (JuntsxCat) umbrella because of the former's refusal to dissolve itself as a party, Puigdemont announced the founding of a new personalist party ahead of the upcoming regional election,[72] wrestling control over the JuntsxCat's brand away from the PDeCAT for his own use,[73][74] and breaking all ties with his former party.[75][76] The new party, a new Together for Catalonia (JxCat) which would advocate for the goal of achieving unilateral independence, was to be formed by the merger of the National Call for the Republic (CNxR), Action for the Republic (AxR) and splinter elements from the PDeCAT.[77] JxCat's formation process was started on 18 July with the public presentation of its imagery.[78][79] By mid-to-late July, Puigdemont's allies had been publicly calling for disgruntled members within a deeply-fractured PDeCAT to join their new JxCat party upon its founding congress,[31][80][81] leading Independence Rally (RI.cat) to forfeit its collaboration agreement with the former, which it had maintained since 2013.[82] From 29 August onwards and starting with the party's five senators,[83] members from the PDeCAT aligned to Puigdemont started defecting en masse from the former, in response to it announcing a formal sue on Puigdemont for taking over the JxCat's brand,[84][85][86] with Puigdemont himself forfeiting his PDeCAT membership on 31 August.[87] That same day, 9 out of the 14 remaining PDeCAT MPs in the Parliament of Catalonia left the party to join JxCat.[88][89]

The crisis within the post-convergent political space had also seen the founding of a new party, the Nationalist Party of Catalonia (PNC), from splinter elements of the PDeCAT opposing the idea of unilateral independence and disenchanted with Puigdemont's growing influence, with former coordinator-general Marta Pascal at its helm.[90][91] On 15 July 2020, it was announced that several parties resulting from the Convergence and Union (CiU) break up, namely Free (Lliures), Convergents (CNV) and Democratic League (LD), had agreed to form an electoral alliance ahead of the upcoming regional election,[92][93] with the PNC and Ramon Espadaler's United to Advance (Els Units), until then allied to the PSC, considering joining the new coalition as well.[94][95] On 23 July, Lliures, CNV and LD announced the creation of a joint commission to begin the drafting of a future electoral programme and invited Units, the PNC and the "moderate" sectors still in the PDeCAT, who favoured an alliance outside of Puigdemont's sphere of influence,[96] to join into "a broad centre alternative that included Catalanists and sovereignists."[97] By November 2020, Units, Lliures and LD were said to be favouring an electoral agreement with the PSC instead,[98][99] advocating for the establishment of a "broad Catalanist front".[100][101] However, eventually, a global agreement was not reached and PSC and Units renewed their electoral alliance without Lliures and LD.[53][102]

Former Prime Minister of France Manuel Valls, who had run in the 2019 Barcelona municipal election within Cs's lists and had broken up with Albert Rivera's party shortly afterwards, was also said to be considering launching his own bid for the regional election,[103] but Arrimadas's appointment as Cs leader hinted at the possibility of both parties mending their ties and exploring a joint platform.[104] By October 2020, Valls was reportedly uninterested in Catalan politics and was said to be planning a return to French politics, to be officialized after the 14 February regional election.[105]

In a surprise move on 30 December 2020, PSC leader Miquel Iceta announced that he would be stepping down as his party's leading candidate in the election, instead proposing incumbent Health minister Salvador Illa, who had borne the brunt of the Spanish government's management of the COVID-19 pandemic, for the post.[15] The move was interpreted as an high-risk gamble from the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), and from Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez in particular, to push for PSC's outright win in the regional election and put an end to the bloc politics that had settled down in Catalonia for the previous decade.[106] The same day, former Cs candidate and party spokesperson in the Spanish Senate, Lorena Roldán, announced that she was defecting from the party to join the PP lists.[107]

Timetable

The key dates are listed below (all times are CET):[43][108]

  • 21 December: The election decree is issued with the countersign of the President.[40]
  • 22 December: Formal dissolution of the Parliament of Catalonia and beginning of a suspension period of events for the inauguration of public works, services or projects.
  • 25 December: Initial constitution of provincial and zone electoral commissions.
  • 1 January: Deadline for parties and federations intending to enter into a coalition to inform the relevant electoral commission.
  • 11 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates to the relevant electoral commission.
  • 13 January: Submitted lists of candidates are provisionally published in the Official Journal of the Government of Catalonia (DOGC).
  • 15 January: The election is postponed to 30 May as a result of the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in Spain.[35]
  • 16 January: Deadline for citizens entered in the Register of Absent Electors Residing Abroad (CERA) and for citizens temporarily absent from Spain to apply for voting.
  • 17 January: Deadline for parties, federations, coalitions, and groupings of electors to rectify irregularities in their lists.
  • 18 January: Official proclamation of valid submitted lists of candidates.
  • 19 January: Proclaimed lists are published in the DOGC.
  • 29 January: Official start of electoral campaigning.[40]
  • 4 February: Deadline to apply for postal voting.
  • 9 February: Official start of legal ban on electoral opinion polling publication, dissemination or reproduction and deadline for CERA citizens to vote by mail.
  • 10 February: Deadline for postal and temporarily absent voters to issue their votes.
  • 12 February: Last day of official electoral campaigning and deadline for CERA citizens to vote in a ballot box in the relevant consular office or division.[40]
  • 13 February: Official 24-hour ban on political campaigning prior to the general election (reflection day).
  • 14 February: Polling day (polling stations open at 9 am and close at 8 pm or once voters present in a queue at/outside the polling station at 8 pm have cast their vote). Provisional counting of votes starts immediately.
  • 17 February: General counting of votes, including the counting of CERA votes.
  • 20 February: Deadline for the general counting of votes to be carried out by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 1 March: Deadline for elected members to be proclaimed by the relevant electoral commission.
  • 10 April: Final deadline for definitive results to be published in the DOGC.

Campaign

Party slogans
Party or alliance Slogan (Catalan) Slogan (Spanish) English translation Ref.
Cs « Perquè guanyem tots » « Para que ganemos todos » "So that we all win" [109]
ERC « Al costat de la gent » « Al lado de la gente » "On the side of the people" [110]
JxCat « Junts per fer. Junts per ser » « Juntos para hacer. Juntos para ser » "Together for doing. Together for being." [111]
PSC–PSOE « Fem-ho » « Hagámoslo » "Let's do it" [112][113]
PDeCAT « Si t'ho penses, PDeCAT » « Si te lo piensas, PDeCAT » "If you think about it, PDeCAT" [114]
ECP–PEC « El canvi que Catalunya mereix » « El cambio que Cataluña merece » "The change that Catalonia deserves" [115][116]
CUP–G « Per guanyar » « Para ganar » "To win" [117]
PP « Una Catalunya millor » « Una Cataluña mejor » "A better Catalonia" [118]
Vox « Recuperem Catalunya » « Recuperemos Cataluña » "Let's get Catalonia back" [119][120]

Election debates
2021 Catalan regional election debates
Date Organisers Moderator(s)     P  Present[lower-alpha 5]    S  Surrogate[lower-alpha 6]    NI  Not invited   A  Absent invitee 
Cs ERC JxCat PSC PDeCAT ECP CUP PP Vox Audience Ref.
29 January La Vanguardia Enric Sierra P
Carrizosa		 P
Aragonès		 P
Borràs		 P
Illa		 P
Chacón		 P
Albiach		 P
Sabater		 P
Fernández		 P
Garriga		 — [121]
31 January RTVE Xabier Fortes P
Carrizosa		 P
Aragonès		 P
Borràs		 P
Illa		 P
Chacón		 P
Albiach		 S
Riera		 P
Fernández		 P
Garriga		 10.7%
(242,000)[lower-alpha 7]		 [122]
[123]
5 February Cadena SER Josep Cuní P
Carrizosa		 P
Aragonès		 P
Borràs		 P
Illa		 P
Chacón		 P
Albiach		 P
Sabater		 A
Fernández		 NI — [124]
9 February TV3 Vicent Sanchis P
Carrizosa		 P
Aragonès		 P
Borràs		 P
Illa		 P
Chacón		 P
Albiach		 P
Sabater		 P
Fernández		 P
Garriga		 — [125]
11 February La Sexta Ana Pastor P
Carrizosa		 P
Aragonès		 P
Borràs		 P
Illa		 P
Chacón		 P
Albiach		 P
Sabater		 P
Fernández		 P
Garriga		 — [126]

Opinion polls
Local regression trend line of poll results from 21 December 2017 to the present day, with each line corresponding to a political party.

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font. 68 seats are required for an absolute majority in the Parliament of Catalonia.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout
Lead
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 1] 8 Feb 2021 400 ? 8.8
12		 – 20.2
31		 21.9
31		 6.7
7		 5.2
7		 4.9
5		 6.9
8		 – 20.7
34		 1.4
0		 1.2
Feedback/El Nacional[p 2] 1–8 Feb 2021 1,000 ? 8.7
12		 – 20.1
32		 21.3
31/32		 7.1
9		 7.6
10/11		 3.5
3		 5.7
6		 – 19.7
31/32		 1.4
0		 1.2
Demoscopia y Servicios[p 3] 5–7 Feb 2021 1,000 56 8.2
11		 – 20.7
31		 22.1
31		 7.1
9		 5.7
8		 5.4
6		 5.8
7		 – 21.4
32		 – 0.7
Sigma Dos/El Mundo[p 4] 6 Feb 2021 ? ? 9.2
11/12		 – 20.8
31/34		 22.9
30/33		 7.0
7/9		 5.7
7/8		 5.6
5/7		 5.4
5/7		 – 21.4
32/34		 – 1.5
GESOP/El Periódico[p 5] 4–6 Feb 2021 751 56–58 7.6
9/10		 – 20.8
32/34		 23.0
32/34		 7.7
8/9		 6.3
8/9		 3.8
3/4		 6.9
8/9		 – 18.8
29/31		 1.8
0		 2.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 6] 3–6 Feb 2021 1,000 58.2 10.9
14		 – 20.3
31		 21.5
31		 7.2
8		 5.5
7		 6.3
7		 5.8
6		 – 19.9
31		 1.4
0		 1.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 7] 5 Feb 2021 400 ? 9.7
13		 – 20.9
33		 21.7
31		 6.6
7		 5.0
5		 5.8
7		 5.4
6		 – 20.0
33		 1.3
0		 0.8
Feedback/El Nacional[p 8] 1–5 Feb 2021 800 61.2 7.4
9/10		 – 19.4
29/32		 23.1
33/34		 7.3
8/10		 7.7
9/11		 3.9
3/4		 6.1
6/9		 – 20.0
31/34		 ?
0		 3.1
Opinòmetre/Ara[p 9] 1–4 Feb 2021 830 ? 8.3
11/12		 – 21.8
31/32		 20.7
29/32		 6.9
8/9		 6.6
8/9		 5.0
6/7		 5.2
6/7		 – 19.7
29/30		 2.5
0/3		 1.1
CIS[127][128] 1–3 Feb 2021 1,838 ? 7.9 – 19.9 23.7 8.9 6.8 5.8 6.9 – 14.6 1.5 3.8
DYM/Henneo[p 10][129] 29 Jan–2 Feb 2021 1,259 ? 10.6
11/13		 – 19.2
29/31		 22.7
29/32		 7.2
7/8		 6.0
7/9		 3.5
3/4		 5.8
6/8		 – 22.1
35/38		 – 0.6
Sigma Dos/Antena 3[p 11][p 12] 31 Jan 2021 ? ? 10.3
12/14		 – 21.2
31/33		 22.5
29/32		 7.3
7/8		 5.3
5/7		 5.6
6/7		 5.1
6/7		 – 20.7
30/32		 – 1.3
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 13] 18–31 Jan 2021 2,800 ? 11.0
13/15		 – 19.4
28/30		 20.3
28/30		 7.3
8/10		 5.6
7/9		 5.5
6/7		 6.0
6/7		 – 20.4
31/33		 – 0.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 14] 25–30 Jan 2021 1,000 68.7 10.8
13		 – 21.2
32		 19.6
29		 6.9
8		 5.8
7		 6.7
8		 5.6
6		 – 19.6
32		 – 1.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 15] 29 Jan 2021 400 ? 10.5
14		 – 21.5
34		 21.6
30		 6.7
7		 4.8
5		 6.0
7		 5.2
5		 – 19.6
33		 1.2
0		 0.1
GESOP/El Periódico[p 16] 25–28 Jan 2021 1,445 60–63 9.0
11/12		 – 19.8
31/32		 24.0
34/35		 6.3
6/7		 5.3
6/7		 6.3
8/9		 5.2
5/6		 – 19.1
30/31		 1.1
0		 4.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 17] 22 Jan 2021 400 ? 10.4
14		 – 22.0
34		 21.4
30		 6.7
7		 4.7
5		 6.1
7		 5.3
6		 – 19.8
32		 1.4
0		 0.6
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 18] 18–22 Jan 2021 2,690 ? 11.2
15/17		 – 19.3
29/31		 21.5
30/31		 7.2
7/8		 4.9
5/6		 5.8
6/7		 5.8
6/7		 – 19.7
31/33		 – 1.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 19] 18–22 Jan 2021 1,000 70.1 11.1
14		 – 20.5
33		 18.7
25		 7.3
8		 6.1
8		 6.7
8		 6.0
7		 – 19.2
32		 1.6
0		 1.3
Opinòmetre/CEO[p 20] 13–21 Jan 2021 1,100 62 9.6
12/13		 – 22.0
34/35		 19.6
26/29		 6.5
6/8		 6.2
8		 7.0
9		 4.8
5/6		 – 20.7
32/34		 2.3
0		 1.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 21] 15 Jan 2021 400 ? 10.4
14		 – 21.9
34		 21.0
29		 6.6
7		 4.5
5		 6.1
7		 5.4
6		 – 20.4
33		 1.4
0		 0.9
CIS (Redlines)[lower-alpha 8][130] 2–15 Jan 2021 4,106 ? 11.4 – 19.4 20.8 6.7 6.0 6.6 5.5 – 18.5 – 1.4
CIS[131][132] ? 9.6
13/15		 – 20.6
31/33		 23.9
30/35		 9.7
9/12		 6.0
8/11		 5.8
7		 6.6
6/10		 – 12.5
20/27		 0.7
0		 3.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 22] 8 Jan 2021 400 ? 10.0
13		 – 21.5
33		 20.0
28		 7.3
9		 5.0
5		 6.0
7		 5.5
6		 – 21.3
34		 1.3
0		 0.2
GAD3/La Vanguardia[p 23] 4–8 Jan 2021 800 64 9.7
13		 – 24.1
37/39		 20.5
29/30		 6.0
6/7		 4.3
4/5		 6.2
8		 4.1
4		 – 18.5
31		 2.9
0/1		 3.6
GESOP/El Periódico[p 24] 4–7 Jan 2021 801 ? 9.8
12/13		 – 20.9
32/33		 24.1
34/35		 5.9
6/7		 5.4
7/8		 5.9
6/7		 5.0
5/6		 – 19.0
29/30		 1.0
0		 3.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 25] 2–5 Jan 2021 900 ? 12.0
16/17		 – 20.1
31/32		 19.3
27/28		 7.0
7/8		 5.2
6/7		 6.1
7		 6.3
7		 – 19.9
30/31		 – 0.2
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 26] 23–29 Dec 2020 1,200 ? 13.2
19/20		 – 21.7
33/34		 16.7
22/23		 7.7
8/9		 4.9
5/6		 6.3
6/7		 6.1
6/7		 – 20.3
32/33		 1.6
0/1		 1.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 27] 20 Dec 2020 400 ? 10.4
14		 – 22.8
35		 18.2
25		 7.4
9		 5.2
7		 6.4
8		 4.9
5		 – 19.7
32		 1.8
0		 3.1
GESOP/CEO[p 28] 25 Nov–7 Dec 2020 1,500 68 11.6
14/16		 – 23.0
35		 18.5
25		 6.9
7/9		 6.4
8/9		 6.0
7/9		 4.6
4/6		 – 19.6
30/32		 1.9
0/1		 3.4
GESOP/El Periódico[p 29] 30 Nov–1 Dec 2020 801 ? 10.6
13/14		 – 22.0
35/36		 18.9
27/28		 7.5
8/9		 5.0
6/7		 5.9
7/8		 4.5
4/5		 – 19.4
30/31		 2.4
0		 2.6
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 30] 30 Nov 2020 815 ? 9.8
13		 – 23.2
36		 18.2
25		 7.7
9		 5.2
5		 6.8
8		 5.3
6		 – 20.2
33		 1.7
0		 3.0
GESOP/CEO[p 31] 13 Oct–7 Nov 2020 2,000 65 10.0
13/14		 – 24.4
36/37		 16.8
22/23		 7.2
7/9		 5.3
6/8		 7.0
8/9		 6.4
7/8		 – 18.7
28/30		 2.4
0/1		 5.7
GESOP[p 32][p 33] 19–23 Oct 2020 1,463 ? 12.5
16/17		 18.3
28/29		 22.9
35/36		 17.5
24/25		 7.3
9/10		 5.8
8		 6.2
7/8		 5.1
5		 – – – 4.6
KeyData/Público[p 34] 17 Oct 2020 ? 71.9 12.3
15		 19.7
31		 24.1
37		 17.0
25		 7.6
9		 4.8
7		 6.4
7		 4.2
4		 – – – 4.4
GESOP/CEO[p 35] 29 Sep–9 Oct 2020 1,500 65 12.0
16/17		 19.4
31/32		 23.4
35/36		 18.0
24/25		 7.6
8/9		 4.9
6/7		 6.0
7/8		 4.5
4/6		 – – – 4.0
NC Report/La Razón[p 36][p 37] 28 Sep–2 Oct 2020 1,000 72.7 11.9
16		 20.0
31		 23.2
35		 17.8
25		 7.8
9		 4.5
6		 7.6
10		 5.0
3		 – – – 3.2
GAD3/La Vanguardia[p 38] 1–4 Sep 2020 805 69 10.2
13		 19.9
31		 27.2
42		 19.1
26		 6.7
7		 3.9
4		 6.4
8		 4.2
4		 – – – 7.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 39] 31 Aug 2020 8,000 ? 10.1
14		 21.4
34		 22.4
35		 17.9
24		 8.1
10		 5.5
5		 7.1
8		 4.6
5		 – – – 1.0
GESOP/CEO[p 40] 25 Jun–21 Jul 2020 2,000 70 14.4
19		 20.9
32/33		 22.1
33/34		 17.0
24		 8.2
9/10		 4.9
6/7		 5.5
6/7		 4.0
3/4		 – – – 1.2
GESOP/El Periódico[p 41] 6–13 Jul 2020 1,479 ? 11.9
15/16		 19.3
29/30		 22.5
34/35		 17.9
25/26		 7.9
9/10		 5.4
7/8		 6.1
7/8		 5.4
5/6		 – – – 3.2
Feedback/El Nacional[p 42] 29 Jun–2 Jul 2020 800 ? 9.5
12/13		 17.8
28		 27.4
41/42		 19.7
26/28		 6.6
7		 6.2
8		 5.7
6		 5.1
5		 – – – 7.7
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 43][p 44] 1 Apr–15 May 2020 ? ? 9.6
13		 21.2
32		 21.1
32		 19.5
26		 8.7
10		 6.5
8		 8.7
11		 3.5
3		 – – – 0.1
GESOP/El Periódico[p 45] 29 Apr–8 May 2020 1,455 ? 12.9
17/18		 16.8
25/26		 25.2
40/41		 18.0
25/26		 7.7
8/9		 6.1
8		 6.3
7/8		 3.8
4		 – – – 7.2
GESOP/CEO[p 46] 10 Feb–9 Mar 2020 2,000 70 12.8
16/18		 18.6
28/30		 23.0
33/35		 17.4
23/24		 10.9
13/14		 7.1
8/9		 5.5
7/8		 3.0
0/2		 – – – 4.4
GAD3/ABC[p 47][p 48] 21–26 Feb 2020 800 ? 8.9
12		 15.4
24		 28.1
43		 20.8
27		 8.1
10		 4.9
6		 7.2
9		 4.4
4		 – – – 7.3
KeyData/Público[p 49] 6 Feb 2020 ? 80.9 12.0
17		 19.1
30		 23.7
35		 18.0
24		 9.1
11		 7.0
9		 4.6
5		 4.0
4		 – – – 4.6
GAD3/La Vanguardia[p 50][p 51] 3–6 Feb 2020 800 70.7 [lower-alpha 9] 20.0
31		 25.2
38		 21.1
27		 8.9
10		 5.2
7		 [lower-alpha 9] 3.7
3		 14.5
19		 – – 4.1
70.7 8.5
12		 19.8
31		 24.9
37		 20.3
27		 8.8
10		 5.1
6		 6.7
8		 4.4
4		 – – – 4.6
ERC[p 52] 2 Feb 2020 ? ? – ?
25		 ?
37		 ?
28		 – ?
10		 – – – – – ?
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 53][p 54] 2 Feb 2020 ? ? [lower-alpha 9] 18.6
29		 23.0
35		 19.4
25		 10.0
12		 6.2
8		 [lower-alpha 9] 4.8
5		 17.0
21/23		 – – 3.6
? 10.9
14		 18.6
29		 23.0
35		 19.4
25		 10.0
12		 6.2
8		 6.1
7		 4.8
5		 – – – 3.6
NC Report/La Razón[p 55] 27–31 Jan 2020 1,000 73.8 10.3
14		 19.5
31		 21.0
32		 17.4
24		 8.3
10		 5.9
8		 8.9
12		 6.3
4		 – – – 1.5
GESOP/El Periódico[p 56] 27–31 Jan 2020 1,435 ? 12.8
16/17		 19.0
29/30		 22.0
33/34		 16.9
22/23		 9.4
11/12		 6.6
8/9		 4.8
5/6		 5.5
6/7		 – – – 3.0
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 57][p 58] 27–29 Jan 2020 1,500 ? [lower-alpha 9] 20.0
30		 20.7
31		 20.1
26		 8.8
10		 7.8
10		 [lower-alpha 9] 5.0
5		 16.7
23		 – – 0.6
? 7.4
9		 20.0
31		 20.7
31		 19.4
27		 8.8
10		 7.8
10		 8.4
11		 6.2
6		 – – – 0.7
CatComú[p 59] Dec 2019 1,002 ? 12.1 15.6 25.3 20.9 10.8 5.3 4.3 5.0 – – – 4.4
GESOP/CEO[p 60] 14 Nov–5 Dec 2019 1,500 70 12.0
14/16		 19.0
29/31		 25.4
38/39		 18.0
24/25		 10.2
11/13		 7.3
9/10		 4.3
4/5		 2.0
0/2		 – – – 6.4
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 61] 27–30 Nov 2019 2,000 ? 7.2
9		 15.8
24		 22.0
34		 18.4
25		 8.1
10		 10.0
13		 7.9
10		 7.5
10		 – – – 3.6
NC Report/La Razón[p 62] 18–22 Nov 2019 1,000 74.4 11.6
17		 19.2
31		 21.2
32		 16.8
24		 7.7
9		 5.6
7		 8.8
12		 6.4
3		 – – – 2.0
November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 N/A 69.4 5.6
6		 13.7
22		 22.6
35		 20.5
29		 14.2
18		 6.4
7		 7.4
10		 6.3
8		 – – – 1.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 63] 16–19 Oct 2019 2,000 ? 15.1
21		 12.3
19		 24.5
38		 17.6
24		 8.2
10		 10.5
13		 6.0
7		 3.3
3		 – – – 6.9
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 64] 14–15 Oct 2019 1,000 ? 13.1
18		 15.1
24		 24.3
37		 20.2
26		 8.0
10		 7.9
11		 5.0
5		 4.0
4		 – – – 4.1
NC Report/La Razón[p 65][p 66] 1–5 Oct 2019 1,000 71.1 19.0
27		 15.1
23		 24.0
39		 19.9
28		 5.9
7		 5.4
5		 5.5
6		 1.9
0		 – – – 4.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 67] 11 Sep 2019 ? ? 15.2
21		 15.8
24		 25.3
40		 20.1
29		 7.6
8		 5.4
5		 6.3
8		 1.8
0		 – – – 5.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 68][p 69] 3–7 Sep 2019 1,000 71.3 21.1
29		 14.0
21		 25.6
41		 19.1
27		 6.2
7		 4.9
5		 4.8
5		 2.2
0		 – – – 4.5
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 70] 20 Aug 2019 ? ? 14.5
20		 15.5
24		 26.4
40		 20.3
29		 7.1
8		 6.0
7		 6.0
7		 2.0
0		 – – – 6.1
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 71] 17 Jul 2019 ? ? 14.1
19		 15.3
24		 26.7
41		 20.1
29		 7.1
8		 6.1
7		 6.2
7		 2.1
0		 – – – 6.6
GESOP/CEO[p 72] 25 Jun–17 Jul 2019 1,500 70 17.0
23/24		 16.6
25/27		 26.5
38/40		 18.7
25		 9.5
11/12		 5.2
6/7		 3.5
3		 – – – – 7.8
GESOP/El Periódico[p 73] 1–5 Jul 2019 1,422 ? 16.5
22/23		 16.5
24/25		 26.5
40/41		 20.0
28/29		 7.0
8/9		 5.5
7/8		 4.0
3/4		 – – – – 6.5
2019 EP election 26 May 2019 N/A 60.9 8.6
12		 28.6
44		 21.2
33		 22.1
31		 8.4
9		 – 5.2
6		 2.0
0		 – – – 6.5
April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 N/A 74.6 11.6
13		 12.1
22		 24.6
39		 23.2
32		 14.9
20		 2.7*
0		 4.8
5		 3.6
4		 – – – 1.4
Opinòmetre/CEO[p 74] 4–25 Mar 2019 1,500 70 21.6
28/29		 14.9
22/24		 28.1
40/43		 16.5
21/23		 7.0
8/9		 6.5
8		 4.0
3/4		 – – – – 3.7
GESOP/El Periódico[p 75] 10 Feb 2019 1,468 ? 21.5
30/31		 15.0
23/24		 25.5
39/40		 15.5
21/22		 7.5
9/10		 6.5
8/9		 4.0
2		 2.5
0		 – – – 4.0
NC Report/La Razón[p 76][p 77] 24 Dec 2018 ? 74.5 25.0
37		 14.9
23		 24.1
38		 15.0
19		 7.7
8		 5.0
5		 4.4
5		 2.0
0		 – – – 0.9
Opinòmetre/Ara[p 78] 3–12 Dec 2018 800 ? 23.4
33/35		 16.2
25/26		 25.7
38/40		 13.9
17/18		 7.1
7/8		 8.3
10/11		 2.5
0		 1.1
0		 – – – 2.3
Opinòmetre/CEO[p 79] 22 Oct–12 Nov 2018 1,500 68 21.4
29/30		 14.8
23/24		 25.1
36/38		 14.5
17/18		 10.4
12/13		 8.5
10/11		 3.3
2/3		 – – – – 3.7
GESOP/El Periódico[p 80] 22–25 Oct 2018 739 ? 22.5
30/31		 14.5
22/23		 25.3
37/39		 17.3
23/24		 7.5
8/9		 7.4
9/10		 3.5
3		 – – – – 2.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 81][p 82] 24–28 Sep 2018 1,000 ? 23.7
35		 16.2
25		 23.9
37		 15.8
20		 6.5
8		 3.9
4		 5.3
6		 – – – – 0.2
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 83] 16–18 Sep 2018 ? ? 21.9
30		 14.9
22		 27.7
42		 16.1
22		 7.0
8		 7.0
9		 3.2
2		 – – – – 5.8
SocioMétrica/El Español[p 84] 22–30 Aug 2018 500 ? 22.3
31/33		 18.4
25/27		 25.1
35/37		 14.9
20/22		 7.3
8/9		 5.5
6/7		 5.1
5/6		 – – – – 2.8
Opinòmetre/CEO[p 85] 23 Jun–14 Jul 2018 1,500 70 21.4
29/30		 17.9
27/29		 24.0
35/37		 15.5
19/21		 7.8
8/10		 7.0
8/10		 3.8
3/4		 – – – – 2.6
GESOP/El Periódico[p 86] 2–11 Jul 2018 1,445 ? 21.5
29/30		 16.5
26/27		 23.5
35/36		 15.5
21/22		 8.5
9/10		 6.5
8/9		 4.5
4/5		 – – – – 2.0
GAD3/La Vanguardia[p 87] 14–21 Jun 2018 800 75 24.0
34		 20.1
30		 24.3
35		 14.6
19		 7.0
8		 4.5
5		 4.1
4		 – – – – 0.3
ElectoPanel/Electomanía[p 88] 3–7 Jun 2018 ? ? 21.3
29		 20.4
29		 20.7
29		 16.3
23		 7.6
10		 7.6
10		 4.9
5		 – – – – 0.8
Opinòmetre/CEO[p 89] 7–27 Apr 2018 1,500 68 24.5
33/34		 19.8
30/32		 20.5
29/32		 11.0
13/15		 9.5
11		 9.0
11		 4.1
3/4		 – – – – 4.0
NC Report/La Razón[p 90][p 91] 17–20 Apr 2018 1,000 76.9 26.0
38		 18.7
31		 21.8
32		 15.2
18		 5.4
7		 3.8
4		 4.5
5		 – – – – 4.2
NC Report/La Razón[p 92][p 93] 22–28 Mar 2018 1,000 76.8 25.7
38		 19.4
32		 21.0
31		 14.9
18		 6.0
7		 4.2
4		 4.8
5		 – – – – 4.7
Apolda/CEO[p 94] 10–30 Jan 2018 1,200 68 24.7
33/35		 19.5
29/31		 22.9
33/35		 12.5
15/16		 7.4
8		 6.0
7/8		 4.6
3/4		 – – – – 1.8
NC Report/La Razón[p 95][p 96] 15–19 Jan 2018 1,000 75.2 24.9
37		 22.4
34		 20.6
31		 14.3
17		 6.9
7		 3.5
4		 5.9
5		 – – – – 2.5
2017 regional election 21 Dec 2017 N/A 79.1 25.4
36		 21.7
34		 21.4
32		 13.9
17		 7.5
8		 4.5
4		 4.2
4		 – – – – 3.7
(*) Results for Republican Front.

Results

Overall
← Summary of the 14 February 2021 Parliament of Catalonia election results
Parties and coalitions Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs)
Republican Left of Catalonia (ERC)
Together for Catalonia (JxCat)1 n/a
Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC–PSOE)
Catalan European Democratic Party (PDeCAT)1 n/a
In Common We Can–We Can In Common (ECP–PEC)2
Popular Unity Candidacy–A New Cycle to Win (CUP–G)
People's Party (PP)
Zero Cuts–Green Group–Municipalists (Recortes Cero–GV–M)
Vox (Vox) New
Blank Seats (EB) New
Communist Party of the Workers of Catalonia (PCTC) New
Left in Positive (IZQP) New
United for Democracy+Retirees (Unidos SI–DEF–PDSJE–Somos España) New
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) New
Primaries for the Independence of Catalonia Movement (MPIC) New
Nationalist Party of Catalonia (PNC) New
National Front of Catalonia (FNC) New
European Union of Pensioners (UEP) New
Alliance for Commerce and Housing (Alianza CV) New
Catalan Civil Support (SCAT) New
We Are the Ebre Lands (Som Terres de l'Ebre) New
Red Current Movement (MCR) New
Blank ballots
Total 135±0
Valid votes
Invalid votes
Votes cast / turnout
Abstentions
Registered voters 5,623,962
Sources[133]
Popular vote
Cs
 
 0.00%
ERC
 
 0.00%
JxCat
 
 0.00%
PSC–PSOE
 
 0.00%
PDeCAT
 
 0.00%
ECP–PEC
 
 0.00%
CUP–G
 
 0.00%
PP
 
 0.00%
Vox
 
 0.00%
Others
 
 0.00%
Blank ballots
 
 0.00%
Seats
Cs
 
 0.00%
ERC
 
 0.00%
JxCat
 
 0.00%
PSC–PSOE
 
 0.00%
PDeCAT
 
 0.00%
ECP–PEC
 
 0.00%
CUP–G
 
 0.00%
PP
 
 0.00%
Vox
 
 0.00%

Distribution by constituency
Constituency Cs ERC JxCat PSC PDeCAT ECP–PEC CUP–G PP Vox
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Barcelona
Girona
Lleida
Tarragona
Total
Sources

Notes
  1. Within the Together for Catalonia (JuntsxCat) alliance in the 2017 election. Totals for the new Together for Catalonia (JxCat) refer to the 20 independent candidates elected within JuntsxCat's lists, who ended up joining Puigdemont-aligned parties such as National Call for the Republic or Action for the Republic and, eventually, JxCat itself. On the other hand, and following a dispute between the two parties over the JuntsxCat's brand, the Catalan European Democratic Party (PDeCAT) preserved the late's electoral rights and financing over the claim presented by JxCat.
  2. Transitory Provision Second of the 2006 Statute maintained the validity of the electoral regulations within the 1979 Statute, of application for as long as a specific law regulating the procedures for elections to the Parliament of Catalonia was not approved.
  3. Including 3 AxR and 1 EV–AV deputies.
  4. Results for Together for Catalonia in the 2017 election.
  5. Denotes a main invitee attending the event.
  6. Denotes a main invitee not attending the event, sending a surrogate in their place.
  7. The debate was broadcast nationwide through 24 Horas, obtaining an audience of 0.9% (152,000)
  8. Alternative projection based on raw CIS data.
  9. Within PP+Cs.

References
Opinion poll sources
  1. "CatPanel (8F): Junts, primero en escaños. Subidón de Vox, el PP cae a la octava plaza". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 February 2021.
  2. "ERC atrapa al PSC y Junts en la última encuesta legal del 14-F". El Nacional (in Spanish). 8 February 2021.
  3. "El PSC ganaría las elecciones catalanas y Vox llegaría a obtener hasta 7 diputados, dando el sorpaso al PP". El Mundo Financiero (in Spanish). 8 February 2021.
  4. "Salvador Illa ganaría el 14-F y Oriol Junqueras elegiría quién gobierna Cataluña". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 February 2021.
  5. "Encuesta elecciones catalanas 2021: El desplome de la participación acerca a ERC al PSC y castiga a Cs y PP". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 7 February 2021.
  6. "Triple empate con riesgo de bloqueo". La Razón (in Spanish). 8 February 2021.
  7. "CatPanel (5F): Junts alcanza el 20% y las distancias entre los tres primeros se reducen al mínimo". Electomanía (in Spanish). 5 February 2021.
  8. "El independentismo se impondría el 14-F ante el insuficiente avance de Illa". El Nacional (in Spanish). 6 February 2021.
  9. "Mínim avantatge d'ERC sobre PSC i JxCat a set dies del 14-F". Ara (in Catalan). 6 February 2021.
  10. "Encuesta DYM. Dos posibles escenarios tras el 14-F: tripartito de izquierdas... o frente independentista". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 5 February 2021.
  11. "Encuesta: El PSC ganaría las elecciones catalanas en intención de voto y podría formar un tripartito de izquierdas con ERC y los comunes". Antena 3 (in Spanish). 31 January 2021.
  12. "CATALUÑA. Encuesta SigmaDos 31/01/2021: CUP-G 5,3% (5/7), JxCAT 20,7% (30/32), ERC 21,2% (31/33), ECP-PEC 7,3% (7/8), PSC 22,5% (29/32), Cs 10,3% (12/14), PP 5,6% (6/7), VOX 5,1% (6/7)". Electograph (in Spanish). 31 January 2021.
  13. "Junts toma una leve ventaja en el triple empate con PSC y ERC a menos de dos semanas de la batalla". El Español (in Spanish). 1 February 2021.
  14. "Illa coge impulso y se acerca a la cabeza". La Razón (in Spanish). 1 February 2021.
  15. "CatPanel (29E): Baja ERC, sube Junts y la campaña arranca ajustadísima". Electomanía (in Spanish). 29 January 2021.
  16. "Encuesta elecciones catalanas 2021: El auge de los indecisos mantiene en vilo la pugna por la victoria el 14-F". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 31 January 2021.
  17. "CatPanel (22e): Sube el PSC, baja Junts". Electomanía (in Spanish). 22 January 2021.
  18. "El PSC de Salvador Illa sería la lista más votada y empataría con Junts a escaños: ERC, muy cerca". El Español (in Spanish). 25 January 2021.
  19. "El no «efecto Illa» y la caída de Cs abocan a otro gobierno soberanista en Cataluña". La Razón (in Spanish). 25 January 2021.
  20. "Enquesta electoral al Parlament de Catalunya. 2021" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 29 January 2021.
  21. "CatPanel (15E): ERC y el PSC suben y Junts baja, pero siguen muy apretados los escaños". Electomanía (in Spanish). 15 January 2021.
  22. "CatPanel (8E): sorpasso de Junts a ERC en escaños, subidón del PSC". Electomanía (in Spanish). 8 January 2021.
  23. "ERC sigue en cabeza pero PSC y Junts se acercan y pugnan por la segunda plaza". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 January 2021.
  24. "Encuesta elecciones en Catalunya 2021: El PSC ganaría el 14-F tras la irrupción de Illa". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 8 January 2021.
  25. "Salvador Illa acerca a los socialistas al triple empate en Cataluña a la semana de ser elegido candidato". El Español (in Spanish). 6 January 2021.
  26. "El último sondeo explica la apuesta por Salvador Illa: los 'indepes' ampliarían hoy su ventaja en Cataluña". El Español (in Spanish). 31 December 2020.
  27. "CatPanel (20D): la CUP arrebata un escaño a Junts. El independentismo roza el 51%". Electomanía (in Spanish). 20 December 2020.
  28. "Enquesta sobre context polític a Catalunya. 2020" (PDF). CEO (in Catalan). 18 December 2020.
  29. "Encuesta elecciones en Catalunya 2021: ERC se mantiene en cabeza y el PSC acecha a JxCat". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 6 December 2020.
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