2021 Western Australian state election

The 2021 Western Australian state election is scheduled for Saturday 13 March 2021 to elect members to the Parliament of Western Australia, where all 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly and all 36 seats in the Legislative Council will be up for election.

2021 Western Australian state election
13 March 2021
All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly
and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council
30 Assembly seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
LIB
NAT
Leader Mark McGowan Zak Kirkup Mia Davies
Party Labor Liberal National
Leader since 23 January 2012 (2012-01-23) 24 November 2020 21 March 2017 (2017-03-21)
Leader's seat Rockingham Dawesville Central Wheatbelt
Last election 41 seats 13 seats 5 seats
Current seats 40 seats 13 seats 6 seats
Seats needed 17 24
TPP @ 2017 55.5% 44.5%
Incumbent Premier

Mark McGowan
Labor

Electoral system

Candidates are elected to the Legislative Assembly through full-preferential voting, and to the Legislative Council through proportional representation.[1]

Registered parties

The parties contesting the election are:[2]

Background
See also: Results of the Western Australian state election, 2017 (Legislative Assembly) and Results of the Western Australian state election, 2017 (Legislative Council)

The 2017 state election saw Labor win one of the most comprehensive victories on record at the state or territory level in Australia. Labor won 41 of the 59 seats in the Legislative Assembly—a 23-seat majority—both WA Labor's strongest result ever, and the largest government seat tally and largest government majority in Western Australian parliamentary history. Additionally, Labor exceeded all published opinion polling, winning 55.5 percent of the two-party-preferred vote from a state record landslide 12.8 percent two-party swing.[3][4][5]

Labor also became the largest party in the Legislative Council with 14 of the 36 seats. The Labor government requires at least five additional votes from non-government members to pass legislation.[5][6]

Key dates

Election dates are set in statute with four-year fixed terms, to be held on the second Saturday of March every four years.[7]

Key dates for the election are:[8]

Date Event
29 January 2021 Dissolution of the Legislative Assembly[9]
3 February 2021 Writs issued
11 February 2021 Close of party nominations (12 pm) and close of electoral rolls (6 pm)
12 February 2021 Close of nominations (12 pm) and draw of ballot paper positions
15 February 2021 Deadline for group voting ticket lodgement
22 February 2021 Early voting begins
13 March 2021 Polling day, between the hours of 8 am and 6 pm
18 March 2021 Last day for receipt of postal votes by 9 am

Retiring MPs
Further information: Candidates of the 2021 Western Australian state election

Labor

Liberal

Nationals

Greens

Campaign/candidate controversies

In January 2021, Liberal Party candidate Amanda Sue-Markham defended her husband's controversial views on homosexuality and conversion therapy.[25] Additionally, Liberal Party candidate Andrea Tokaji was forced to withdraw, due to having made discredited claims [26] about a link between 5G towers and COVID-19.[27]

Electoral pendulum

This is a pre-election pendulum, taking into account the 2019 boundary redistribution. Estimated margins are calculated by Antony Green for the Western Australian Parliamentary Library.[28]

GOVERNMENT SEATS
Marginal
Joondalup Emily Hamilton ALP 0.03
Kingsley Jessica Stojkovski ALP 1.2
Murray-Wellington Robyn Clarke ALP 1.7
Jandakot Yaz Mubarakai ALP 1.8
Pilbara Kevin Michel ALP 2.2
Kalamunda Matthew Hughes ALP 2.3
Bicton Lisa O'Malley ALP 3.6
Mount Lawley Simon Millman ALP 4.0
Burns Beach Mark Folkard ALP 5.4
Albany Peter Watson ALP 5.9
Fairly safe
Southern River Terry Healy ALP 7.9
Balcatta David Michael ALP 8.0
Wanneroo Sabine Winton ALP 8.6
Forrestfield Stephen Price ALP 9.4
Landsdale Margaret Quirk ALP 9.6
Safe
Bunbury Don Punch ALP 10.5
Belmont Cassie Rowe ALP 11.4
Swan Hills Jessica Shaw ALP 12.1
Morley Amber-Jade Sanderson ALP 12.3
Perth John Carey ALP 12.6
Midland Michelle Roberts ALP 12.8
Kimberley Josie Farrer ALP 13.1
Cockburn Fran Logan ALP 14.3
Collie Preston Mick Murray ALP 14.7
Thornlie Chris Tallentire ALP 15.8
Baldivis Reece Whitby ALP 16.6
Victoria Park Ben Wyatt ALP 16.8
Cannington Bill Johnston ALP 17.6
Willagee Peter Tinley ALP 17.7
Maylands Lisa Baker ALP 17.9
Mandurah David Templeman ALP 18.0
West Swan Rita Saffioti ALP 18.4
Butler John Quigley ALP 20.5
Kwinana Roger Cook ALP 20.7
Bassendean Dave Kelly ALP 21.6
Fremantle Simone McGurk ALP 23.0
Mirrabooka Janine Freeman ALP 23.3
Rockingham Mark McGowan ALP 23.5
Warnbro Paul Papalia ALP 23.7
Armadale Tony Buti ALP 25.2
NON-GOVERNMENT SEATS
Marginal
Hillarys Peter Katsambanis LIB 0.4
Dawesville Zak Kirkup LIB 0.8
Darling Range Alyssa Hayden LIB (b/e) 3.5
Riverton Mike Nahan LIB 4.2
Scarborough Liza Harvey LIB 5.7
Fairly safe
Kalgoorlie Kyran O'Donnell LIB 6.2
South Perth John McGrath LIB 7.2
Bateman Dean Nalder LIB 7.8
Nedlands Bill Marmion LIB 8.0
Safe
Carine Tony Krsticevic LIB 10.2
Churchlands Sean L'Estrange LIB 11.7
Cottesloe David Honey LIB 14.1
Vasse Libby Mettam LIB 14.6
CROSS BENCH SEATS
Geraldton Ian Blayney (NAT) LIB v ALP 1.3
North West Central Vince Catania NAT v ALP 10.1
Warren-Blackwood Terry Redman NAT v ALP 12.8
Central Wheatbelt Mia Davies NAT v ALP 22.2
Moore Shane Love NAT v LIB 19.5
Roe Peter Rundle NAT v LIB 25.9

Opinion polling
Legislative Assembly (lower house) polling
Date Firm Primary vote TPP vote
ALP LIB NAT GRN ONP OTH ALP LIB
12 August 2018 YouGov-Galaxy[29] 40% 32% 6% 11% 5% 6% 54% 46%
Oct-Dec 2017 Essential[30] 41% 29% 4% 13% 7% 6% 57% 43%
Jul-Sep 2017 Essential[30] 39% 32% 4% 12% 8% 6% 54% 46%
Apr-Jun 2017 Essential[30] 44% 33% 4% 9% 5% 6% 55% 45%
11/Mar/2017 election 42.2% 31.2% 5.4% 8.9% 4.9% 7.4% 55.5% 44.5%

See also

References
  1. "Voting Systems in WA | Western Australian Electoral Commission". www.elections.wa.gov.au. Retrieved 2021-01-02.
  2. "Registered Political Parties in WA | Western Australian Electoral Commission". www.elections.wa.gov.au. Retrieved 2021-01-02.
  3. Labor 55.5% 2PP vote and +12.8% 2PP swing sourced from Antony Green's temporary estimate within provided ABC link published 30 March 2017, which states "The two-party preferred count is based on estimates for Baldivis, Moore and Roe. Actual two-party preferred counts for these seats will be available at a later date." – Final 2017 WA Election Results plus a New Electoral Pendulum: Antony Green ABC 30 March 2017
  4. Antony Green (16 March 2017). "The Role of One-Vote One-Value Electoral Reforms in Labor's Record WA Victory". ABC News (Australia). Retrieved 16 March 2017.
  5. "WA Election 2017". ABC News. 11 March 2017. Retrieved 12 March 2017.
  6. "WA Labor misses out on upper house working majority by one seat". ABC News. 26 March 2017.
  7. "'So when is the next election?'". aph.gov.au. 2016-09-01. Retrieved 2017-09-28.
  8. "Key dates". Western Australian Electoral Commission. Retrieved 3 February 2021.
  9. "Proclamation dissolving Legislative Assembly 2021" (PDF). Western Australian Government Gazette. Retrieved 3 February 2021.
  10. "'I believe it is time for renewal': Labor MP Janine Freeman to retire at next election". www.watoday.com.au. 2020-11-25.
  11. News, Mirage (2020-08-18). "Premier pays tribute to member for Kimberley Josie Farrer | Mirage News". www.miragenews.com. Retrieved 2020-08-18.
  12. "Veteran WA Labor Minister to quit politics, hopes young candidate will step in". www.abc.net.au. 2020-08-31. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  13. Munday, Thomas (9 February 2020). "Collie-Preston MLA Mick Murray to retire at 2021 State Election". Bunbury Mail.
  14. Traill, Michael (10 February 2020). "End of an era - Veteran Albany MP Peter Watson announces his retirement". Albany Advertiser.
  15. Bell, Frances (16 November 2020). "WA Treasurer Ben Wyatt announces he will quit politics at March state election". ABC News.
  16. "Veteran South West MLC Adele Farina 'deprived' of preselection in next state election". Busselton Mail. 26 June 2020.
  17. Swift, Bree (21 July 2020). "Candidates announced for 2021 election". Farm Weekly.
  18. De Kruijff, Peter (30 October 2019). "Liberal Member for South Perth John McGrath to retire". The West Australian.
  19. "Mike Nahan to retire from politics in 2021". Perth Now. 3 December 2019.
  20. "Dean Nalder quits politics". The West Australian. 1 December 2020. Retrieved 1 December 2020.
  21. "BOYDELL TO RETIRE AT NEXT ELECTION". Facebook. 21 February 2020.
  22. "Liberal ticket sees Chown down the list". Farm Weekly. 6 March 2020. Retrieved 26 November 2020.
  23. "COLIN HOLT MLC TO RETIRE AT 2021 STATE ELECTION".
  24. Hondros, Nathan (27 February 2020). "Freo mayor in tilt for state politics as Greens look to inject 'X-factor'". WA Today.
  25. "Liberal candidate under fire over husband's beliefs says 'faith should not be subject of interrogation'".
  26. "What is the truth about 5G?".
  27. "WA Libs face heat over 5G conspiracy claim".
  28. Green, Antony. "2019 Redistribution Western Australia: Analysis of New Electoral Boundaries" (PDF). Parliament of Western Australia. Retrieved 2 January 2021.
  29. "Opinion poll: WA Labor still hold strong lead over Liberal-National". 12 August 2018.
  30. "State voting intention WA". 9 January 2018. Archived from the original on 4 April 2018.
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.