Hornchurch and Upminster (UK Parliament constituency)

Hornchurch and Upminster is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2017 by Julia Lopez of the Conservative Party.[n 2]

Hornchurch and Upminster
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Boundary of Hornchurch and Upminster in Greater London
CountyGreater London
Electorate79,568 (December 2010)[1]
Current constituency
Created2010
Member of ParliamentJulia Lopez (Conservative)
Number of membersOne
Created fromHornchurch, Upminster, Romford

Constituency profile and history

The easternmost seat in Greater London, this seat was created by merging two of the three old constituencies comprising the London borough of Havering, specifically Hornchurch and Upminster. These two seats were lost by the Conservatives in Labour's landslide 1997 victory, but Upminster was one of the few Conservative gains in 2001 and Hornchurch was lost by Labour in 2005; this area is now very safe territory for the Conservatives since it gained their strongest areas from Hornchurch in the boundary changes. The 2015 result made the seat the 146th safest of the Conservative Party's 331 seats by percentage of majority.[2] Also in the 2015 election, UKIP beat two of the 'big three' parties, Labour and the Liberal Democrats, and came second with 25% of the vote - one of their best results in the country that year.

The constituency includes affluent areas such as Hornchurch town centre, Cranham and Upminster. Limited pockets of deprivation exist in the north of the constituency and most output areas have high levels of retired constituents by Greater London standards, and the borough as a whole is similar to the London Borough of Bromley in that it has high levels of home ownership, on statistics compiled in the 2011 UK Census. The seat, like the London borough, is the only one in London that extends beyond the M25 motorway.[3]

Boundaries

The seat was the proposal of the Boundary Commission's Fifth Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies in 2008-9 and was after consultation accepted by Parliament. Hornchurch and Upminster is essentially an expansion of the old Upminster seat to include a chunk of the old Hornchurch seat – specifically Hornchurch itself. Most of the western wards of Hornchurch went to the new Dagenham and Rainham seat.

The constituency of Hornchurch and Upminster is made up of eight electoral wards from the London Borough of Havering:

  • Cranham, Emerson Park, Gooshays, Hacton, Harold Wood, Heaton, St Andrew’s, Upminster.

Members of Parliament
ElectionMember[4] Party
2010 Dame Angela Watkinson Conservative
2017 Julia Lopez Conservative

Election results

Elections in the 2010s
Election results of Hornchurch and Upminster.
General election 2019: Hornchurch and Upminster[5]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julia Lopez 35,495 65.8 +5.5
Labour Tele Lawal 12,187 22.6 -6.0
Liberal Democrats Thomas Clarke 3,862 7.2 +4.7
Green Peter Caton 1,920 3.6 +1.6
BNP David Furness 510 0.9 +0.4
Majority 23,308 43.2 +11.6
Turnout 53,974 66.8 -2.5
Registered electors 80,765
Conservative hold Swing +5.8
General election 2017: Hornchurch and Upminster[6][7] [8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Julia Dockerill 33,750 60.2 +11.2
Labour Rocky Gill 16,027 28.6 +8.5
UKIP Lawrence Webb 3,502 6.2 -19.1
Liberal Democrats Jonathan Mitchell 1,371 2.4 -0.3
Green Peter Caton 1,077 1.9 -0.7
BNP David Furness 380 0.7 +0.4
Majority 17,723 31.6 +7.9
Turnout 56,107 69.4 -0.2
Registered electors 80,802
Conservative hold Swing +1.36
General election 2015: Hornchurch & Upminster[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Angela Watkinson 27,051 49.0 -2.5
UKIP Lawrence Webb 13,977 25.3 +20.0
Labour Paul McGeary 11,103 20.1 -0.7
Liberal Democrats Jonathan Mitchell 1,501 2.7 -11.2
Green Melanie Collins 1,411 2.6 +1.5
BNP Paul Borg 193 0.3 -6.1
Majority 13,074 23.7 -11.25
Turnout 55,236 69.6 +1.6
Registered electors 79,331
Conservative hold Swing -8.7
General election 2010: Hornchurch & Upminster[11]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Angela Watkinson* 27,469 51.4 N/A
Labour Kath McGuirk 11,098 20.8 N/A
Liberal Democrats Karen Chilvers 7,426 13.9 N/A
BNP William Whelpley 3,421 6.4 N/A
UKIP Lawrence Webb 2,848 5.3 N/A
Green Melanie Collins 542 1.0 N/A
Independent David Durant 305 0.6 N/A
Christian Johnson Olukotun 281 0.5 N/A
Majority 16,371 30.6 N/A
Turnout 53,390 68.0 N/A
Registered electors 78,547
Conservative win (new seat)
* Served as MP for Upminster in the 2005–2010 Parliament
The seat was contested for the first time in 2010, so percentage changes are based on notional results of the 2005 election.

Notes and references
Notes
  1. A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
References
  1. "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
  2. List of Conservative MPs elected in 2015 by % majority UK Political.info. Retrieved 2017-01-29
  3. "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the original on January 29, 2016.
  4. Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "H" (part 4)
  5. https://www.havering.gov.uk/download/downloads/id/3466/hornchurch_and_upminster_notice_of_poll_statement_of_persons_nominated_and_situations_of_polling_stations.pdf
  6. "Hornchurch & Upminster parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  7. http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-7979/CBP-7979.pdf
  8. "Hornchurch and Upminster - UK Parliament Constituency - Election Polling". www.electionpolling.co.uk.
  9. "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  10. Havering, The London Borough Of. "Elections and voting - The London Borough Of Havering". www.havering.gov.uk.
  11. "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.

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