2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Arkansas |
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District 1
The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent is Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Declared
- Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | August 17, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 237,596 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 237,596 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent is Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Declared
- French Hill, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Declared
- Joyce Elliott, state senator[11]
Endorsements
Joyce Elliott
- Former U.S. executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[12]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[13]
- Federal politicians
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-present); 2020 vice presidential nominee[14]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[15]
- Organizations
- Broader Representation Advocacy Team (BRAT-PAC)[16]
- The Collective PAC[17]
- Congressional Black Caucus[18]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[19]
- EMILY's List[20]
- Equality PAC[21]
- Higher Heights For America PAC[22]
- Human Rights Campaign[23]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[24]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[25]
- National Association of Social Workers[26]
- National Women's Political Caucus[27]
- The Network for Public Education Action[28]
- Peace Action[29]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[30]
- Sierra Club[31]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Lean R | October 15, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Lean R | September 9, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[33] | Tossup | October 29, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Lean R | October 13, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Lean R | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
French Hill (R) |
Joyce Elliott (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | 4%[lower-alpha 2] | 1% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | October 16–21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | – | – |
| Hendrix College | October 11–13, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | – | 9% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | September 27–29, 2020 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – |
| Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 2] | September 10–16, 2020 | 605 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | September 9–13, 2020 | 511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | – | 50% | 46% | – | – |
| Hendrix College/TalkBusiness | September 4–9, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 46% | – | 7% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | June 18–24, 2020 | 511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | – | 50% | 43% | – | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | French Hill (incumbent) | 184,093 | 55.4 | |
| Democratic | Joyce Elliott | 148,410 | 44.6 | |
| Total votes | 332,503 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent is Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Declared
- Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Declared
- Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner[34]
Declared
- Michael Kalagias (Libertarian), candidate for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and candidate for Arkansas House of Representatives in 2014 and 2016[2]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | August 17, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 214,960 | 64.3 | |
| Democratic | Celeste Williams | 106,325 | 31.8 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Kalagias | 12,977 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 334,262 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Declared
- Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. Representative[2]
Declared
- William Hanson, former law professor[35]
Declared
- Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), former mayor of Tull and former Grant County coroner[2]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[4] | Safe R | August 21, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe R | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[6] | Safe R | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[7] | Safe R | August 17, 2020 |
| RCP[8] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[9] | Safe R | July 26, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 191,617 | 69.7 | |
| Democratic | William Hanson | 75,750 | 27.5 | |
| Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 7,668 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 275,035 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
- Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.
References
- Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
- "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". August 3, 2020.
- Elliott, Joyce [@xjelliott] (September 16, 2020). "This election, let's choose unity over division.Thank you @JoeBiden for the endorsement" (Tweet). Retrieved September 20, 2020 – via Twitter.
- "Kamala Harris Endorsements". May 9, 2020.
- "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Elizabeth Warren | Warren Democrats.
- "2020 Candidates". BRAT-PAC.
- "Candidates".
- "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
- "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
- "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- "Joyce Ann Elliott - Higher Heights For America PAC".
- Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
- "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
- "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
- "Arkansas State Senator Joyce Elliott for U.S. House District 2". NPE Action.
- "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action.
- McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "There are only so many ways to say that the GOP's ship is sinking, but we'll say it once more". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
- "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Arkansas", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Arkansas: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Arkansas". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Arkansas at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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