2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas
The 2016 United States Senate election in Arkansas was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arkansas, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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 County results Boozman: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Eldridge: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Arkansas |
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Incumbent Republican Senator John Boozman won re-election to a second term in office, becoming the first Republican senator reelected in the history of the state. Former U.S. Attorney Conner Eldridge was the only Democrat to declare his candidacy. The primaries were held March 1.[1] This is also the first election that the state has simultaneously voted for a Republican Senate candidate and a Republican presidential candidate.
Republican primary
Declared
- John Boozman, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Curtis Coleman, businessman, candidate for governor in 2014 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman |
Curtis Coleman |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | February 4, 2016 | 457 | ± 4.6% | 68% | 23% | 9% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 298,039 | 76.45% | |
| Republican | Curtis Coleman | 91,795 | 23.55% | |
| Total votes | 389,834 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Conner Eldridge was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.
Candidates
Eldridge campaigning
Declared
- Conner Eldridge, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas[4]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 214,228 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 214,228 | 100.00% | ||
Third parties
The Libertarian Party of Arkansas held a special nominating convention on October 24, 2015, to select nominees for elections in 2016. Frank Gilbert was selected as the nominee for the U.S. Senate race.[5]
Nominated
- Frank Gilbert, DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014[5]
General election
Candidates
- John Boozman (R), incumbent senator
- Conner Eldridge (D), former United States Attorney for the Western District of Arkansas
- Frank Gilbert (L), DeKalb Township Constable, former mayor of Tull, nominee for the state senate in 2012 and nominee for governor in 2014
Debates
| Dates | Location | Boozman | Eldridge | Gilbert | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 12, 2016 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[6] | Safe R | September 9, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | Safe R | September 19, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[8] | Safe R | September 2, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | September 16, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[10] | Safe R | September 15, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
John Boozman (R) |
Conner Eldridge (D) |
Frank Gilbert (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey | November 1–7, 2016 | 930 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 41% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 31 – November 6, 2016 | 798 | ± 4.6% | 55% | 42% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 28 – November 3, 2016 | 696 | ± 4.6% | 56% | 43% | — | — | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 27 – November 2, 2016 | 593 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 43% | — | — | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 26 – November 1, 2016 | 475 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 46% | — | — | 2% |
| SurveyMonkey | October 25–31, 2016 | 484 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 44% | — | — | 2% |
| University of Arkansas | October 18–25, 2016 | 800 | ± 3.5% | 61% | 38% | — | 1% | — |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | October 21, 2016 | 463 | ± 4.6% | 52% | 34% | 4% | 2% | 8% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | September 15–17, 2016 | 831 | ± 3.4% | 55% | 29% | 5% | 3% | 8% |
| Emerson College | September 9–13, 2016 | 600 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 30% | — | 11% | 15% |
| Talk Business/Hendrix College | June 21, 2016 | 751 | ± 3.6% | 51% | 29% | 6% | — | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | John Boozman (incumbent) | 661,984 | 59.77% | +1.87% | |
| Democratic | Conner Eldridge | 400,602 | 36.17% | -0.78% | |
| Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 43,866 | 3.96% | +0.72% | |
| Write-in | 1,070 | 0.10% | N/A | ||
| Total votes | 1,107,522 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
References
- http://swtimes.com/news/politics/conner-eldridge-challenge-boozman-us-senate-seat
- DeMillo, Andrew (June 9, 2014). "Boozman, back at work post-surgery, to run in '16". Associated Press. Retrieved June 9, 2014.
- "Preferential Primary and Nonpartisan General Election official Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved March 22, 2016.
- Yokley, Eli (September 9, 2015). "Former U.S. Attorney Will Challenge Boozman in Arkansas". Roll Call. Archived from the original on November 9, 2015. Retrieved September 9, 2015.
- Brawner, Steve (October 25, 2015). "Arkansas Libertarians Nominate 23, Including Full Congressional Slate". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved October 27, 2015.
- "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
- "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
- "2016 Senate Ratings (September 2, 2016)". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2016.
- "Election Outlook: 2016 Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
- "Battle for the Senate 2016". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 15, 2016.
- "2016 General Election and Nonpartisan Runoff Election Unofficial County Results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 15, 2016.
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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