2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election
The 2018 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Arkansas, concurrently with elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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 County results
Hutchinson: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Henderson: 40-50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Arkansas |
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Incumbent Republican Governor Asa Hutchinson won reelection to a second term in the biggest margin for a Republican gubernatorial candidate in Arkansas history, carrying all but eight counties.
Republican primary
Declared
- Asa Hutchinson, incumbent Governor[1][2]
- Jan Morgan, gun range owner[3][4]
Declined
- Tim Griffin, Lieutenant Governor and former U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[5][6]
- Leslie Rutledge, Attorney General (running for re-election)[1]
- John Thurston, Land Commissioner (running for Secretary of State)[1]
Endorsements
Asa Hutchinson
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Asa Hutchinson |
Jan Morgan |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | April 17–19, 2018 | 676 | ± 3.8% | 58% | 31% | 12% |
Results
Results by county:
Hutchinson
- 80–90%
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
Morgan
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 145,251 | 69.7 | |
| Republican | Jan Morgan | 63,009 | 30.3 | |
| Total votes | 208,260 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
Declared
- Jared Henderson, former Arkansas executive director of Teach For America[10]
- Leticia Sanders, hairdresser[11]
Declined
- Keith Ingram, Minority Leader of the Arkansas Senate[1]
- Jay Martin, former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives[12][13]
Results
Results by county:
Henderson
- 70–80%
- 60–70%
- 50–60%
Sanders
- 50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jared Henderson | 68,340 | 63.4 | |
| Democratic | Leticia Sanders | 39,382 | 36.6 | |
| Total votes | 107,722 | 100.0 | ||
Independents
Declined
- Bobby Bones, radio host[14][15]
Third parties
Declared
- Mark West (Libertarian), pastor and nominee for AR-01 in 2016[16][17]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Safe R | October 26, 2018 |
| The Washington Post[19] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| FiveThirtyEight[20] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[21] | Safe R | November 1, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RealClearPolitics[23] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Fox News[25][lower-alpha 1] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Politico[26] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Governing[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
- Notes
- The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races
Debates
| Dates | Location | Hutchinson | Henderson | West | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 12, 2018 | Little Rock, Arkansas | Didn't participate | Participant | Participant | Full debate - YouTube |
| October 12, 2018 | Conway, Arkansas | Participant | Participant | Participant | Full debate - C-SPAN |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Asa Hutchinson (R) |
Jared Henderson (D) |
Mark West (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Arkansas | October 1–28, 2018 | 618 | ± 3.9% | 59% | 35% | – | 6% | – |
| Hendrix College | October 18–19, 2018 | 528 | ± 4.3% | 60% | 24% | 5% | – | 11% |
| Hendrix College | September 5–7, 2018 | 1,701 | ± 2.4% | 60% | 25% | 6% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon | March 21–24, 2018 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 63% | 24% | – | – | 13% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Asa Hutchinson (incumbent) | 582,406 | 65.33% | +9.89% | |
| Democratic | Jared Henderson | 283,218 | 31.77% | -9.72% | |
| Libertarian | Mark West | 25,885 | 2.90% | +0.98% | |
| Total votes | 891,509 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
References
- Wickline, Michael R. (January 3, 2017). "Arkansas governor to hold fundraiser for term 2; re-election bid not yet formally announced". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
- Wickline, Michael R. (May 17, 2017). "Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson to pursue second term". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
- Lanning, Curt (October 3, 2017). "Gov. Hutchinson May Have a GOP Challenger". KNWA-TV. Retrieved October 5, 2017.
- "Republican Jan Morgan Announces Run for Arkansas Governor". U.S. News and World Report. January 1, 2018. Retrieved January 3, 2018.
- Ramsey, David (April 18, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin "opposes Obamacare" (duh), dodges questions on "Arkansas Works"". Arkansas Times. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
- DeMillo, Andrew (July 11, 2016). "Lt. Gov. Griffin says he's seeking re-election". Log Cabin Democrat. Retrieved July 13, 2016.
- Donald J. Trump. ".@AsaHutchinson, the great Governor of Arkansas, is in a primary tomorrow. He has done an incredible job with a focus on lower taxes, border security, and crime prevention. Asa loves our military and our veterans. I fully endorse Asa for Governor!". Twitter.
- "NRA Endorses Governor Asa Hutchinson In Re-Election Bid". 5newsonline.com. September 20, 2018.
- "EDITORIAL: For Asa Hutchinson". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. October 23, 2018.
- Brock, Roby (December 12, 2017). "Jared Henderson to run as Democratic candidate for Governor". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
- "Meet Jan Morgan, GOP Candidate For Arkansas Governor". KFSM. March 27, 2018. Retrieved April 8, 2018.
- Brock, Roby (November 28, 2017). "Former State Rep. Jay Martin eyeing run for governor on Democratic ticket". Talk Business & Politics. Retrieved November 29, 2017.
- "Martin says time is not right to run for Arkansas governor's office". Talk Business & Politics. December 1, 2017. Retrieved December 12, 2017.
- "Radio host Bobby Bones considering run for Ark. governor". THV11 Digital, KTHV. January 3, 2017. Retrieved January 3, 2017.
- Taha, Nada (March 14, 2017). "Bobby Makes Official Statement On Political Plans". The Bobby Bones Show. Archived from the original on March 20, 2017. Retrieved May 18, 2017.
- Wickline, Michael R. (June 28, 2017). "Libertarian to run for governor's post". Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
- Lampe, Ellen (June 27, 2017). "Libertarian Party Candidate Announces Run for AR Governor". ArkansasMatters.com. Retrieved June 28, 2017.
- "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
- "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
- "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
- "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
- "Race Ratings, Politico predicts". Politico.
- "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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