2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election

2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election
	November 6, 2018
	November 6, 2018
	County results ; Ige: 60–70% 70–80%
Governor before election; David Ige; Democratic	Elected Governor ; David Ige; Democratic

The 2018 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Hawaii and Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii.

After prevailing in an intensely competitive primary election on August 11, 2018, incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige ran successfully for re-election to a second term in office, considerably improving on his margin of victory from 2014, in which he only won a plurality. Ige's vote share of 62.67% is the highest of any gubernatorial candidate in Hawaiian history surpassing the previous record of 62.53% set by Linda Lingle in 2006.

Republicans Andria Tupola and Marissa Kerns headed one of two 2018 major-party gubernatorial tickets that included two women. The other such ticket had Idaho's 2018 Democratic nominees for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, Paulette Jordan and Kristin Collum.[1] This was Hawaii's first gubernatorial election since 1994 without Linda Lingle or Duke Aiona as the Republican nominee.

Democratic primary

Declared

Ernest Caravalho, Democratic Party of Hawaii, chair, House District 29[2]
Colleen Hanabusa, U.S. Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[3][4][5]
David Ige, incumbent governor[3][6]
Wendell Kaehuaea, security guard and perennial candidate[7]
Van Tanabe

Withdrew

Clayton Hee, former state senator and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[8][9]

Debates

Dates	Location	Ige	Hanabusa	Link
July 6, 2018	Honolulu, Hawaii	Participant	Participant	Full debate - YouTube

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige	Colleen Hanabusa	Clayton Hee	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	43%	34%	–	18%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	44%	40%	–	16%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	June 21 – July 6, 2018	518	± 4.4%	31%	57%	–	11%
QMark Research (D-Hanabusa)	April 21 – May 7, 2018	888	± 3.4%	23%	52%	6%	19%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	31%	37%	11%	16%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	27%	47%	11%	15%

Results

Results by county:

Ige—50–60%

Ige—40–50%

Hanabusa—40–50%

No data

Democratic primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	124,572	51.4
	Democratic	Colleen Hanabusa	107,631	44.4
	Democratic	Ernest Caravalho	5,662	2.3
	Democratic	Wendell Ka'ehu'ae'a	2,298	0.9
	Democratic	Richard Kim	1,576	0.6
	Democratic	Van Tanabe	775	0.3
Total votes			242,514	100.0

Declared

Bernard Carvalho, Mayor of Kauai County[11]
Will Espero, State Senate Vice President and candidate for HI-01 in 2014[12]
Josh Green, state senator[4][13][12]
Kim Coco Iwamoto, former state Board of Education member[14]
Jill Tokuda, State Senator[3]

Withdrew

Alan Arakawa, Mayor of Maui County[15] (running for Maui County Council)[16]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Bernard Carvalho	Will Espero	Josh Green	Kim Coco Iwamoto	Jill Tokuda	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	871	± 3.3%	13%	5%	31%	10%	17%	26%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	494	± 4.5%	14%	6%	34%	10%	14%	22%
Merriman River Group	May 3–5, 2018	707	± 3.7%	19%	8%	16%	14%	11%	32%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	498	± 4.5%	14%	9%	19%	5%	12%	41%

Results

Results by county:

Green—50–60%

Green—30–40%

Tokuda—30–40%

Carvalho—40–50%

No data

Democratic primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Josh Green	74,845	31.4
	Democratic	Jill Tokuda	68,124	28.6
	Democratic	Bernard P. Carvalho	45,825	19.2
	Democratic	Kim Coco Iwamoto	34,243	14.3
	Democratic	Will Espero	15,463	6.5
Total votes			238,500	100.0

Republican primary

Declared

John Carroll, former state representative, and former state senator [7][17]
Ray L'Heureux, president and chairman of the Education Institute of Hawaii, former assistant superintendent, and retired U.S. Marine colonel[18]
Andria Tupola, Minority Leader of the Hawaii House of Representatives[19][17]

Withdrew

Bob McDermott, state representative and nominee for HI-02 in 2002[20][21]

Endorsements

Andria Tupola

Newspapers

Maui Time[22]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Carroll	Raymond L'Heureux	Andria Tupola	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	22%	4%	39%	22%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	143	± 8.4%	28%	8%	41%	23%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	134	± 8.6%	40%	–	28%	32%

Results

Results by county:

Tupola—50–60%

Tupola—40–50%

No data

Republican primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	17,297	55.5
	Republican	John Carroll	10,974	35.2
	Republican	Ray L'Heureux	2,885	9.3
Total votes			31,156	100.0

Declared

Marissa Kerns
Steve Lipscomb
Jeremy Low

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Marissa Kerns	Jeremy Low	Undecided
Merriman River Group	July 19–21, 2018	219	± 6.6%	26%	20%	54%

Results

Results by county:

Kerns—30–40%

Lipscomb—30–40%

No data

Republican primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Marissa Dipasupil Kerns	9,758	35.4
	Republican	Steve Lipscomb	9,543	34.7
	Republican	Jeremy Low	8,232	29.9
Total votes			27,533	100.0

Green primary

Declared

Jim Brewer

Results

Results by county:

Brewer—100%

No data

Green primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Jim Brewer	454	100.0
Total votes			454	100.0

Declared

Renee Ing

Results

Results by county:

Ing—100%

No data

Green primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Renee Ing	444	100.0
Total votes			444	100.0

Nonpartisan primary

Declared

Selina Blackwell
Link El
Terrence Teruya

Results

Results by county:

Teruya—50–60%

Blackwell—40–50%

Blackwell—50–60%

No data

Nonpartisan primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	543	47.7
	Nonpartisan	Selina Blackwell	497	43.7
	Nonpartisan	Link El	98	8.6
Total votes			1,138	100.0

Declared

Ernest Magaoay
Paul Robotti

Results

Results by county:

Robotti—50–60%

Magaoay—50–60%

No Data

Nonpartisan primary results[10]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Nonpartisan	Paul Robotti	536	50.6
	Nonpartisan	Ernest Magaoay	523	49.4
Total votes			1,059	100.0

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[23]	Safe D	October 16, 2018
The Washington Post[24]	Safe D	October 16, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[25]	Safe D	October 22, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[26]	Safe D	October 12, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]	Safe D	October 19, 2018
Real Clear Politics[28]	Safe D	October 21, 2018
Daily Kos[29]	Safe D	October 22, 2018
Fox News[30][lower-alpha 1]	Likely D	October 19, 2018
Politico[31]	Safe D	October 19, 2018
Governing[32]	Safe D	October 22, 2018

Notes

The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Debates

Dates	Location	Ige	Tupola	Link
October 29, 2018	Honolulu, Hawaii	Participant	Participant	Full debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Ige (D)	Andria Tupola (R)	Undecided
Merriman River Group	October 8–12, 2018	961	± 4.3%	52%	31%	11%
Mason-Dixon	July 6–11, 2018	800	± 3.5%	57%	34%	9%
Mason-Dixon	March 13–18, 2018	800	± 3.5%	51%	24%	25%

Results

Hawaii gubernatorial election, 2018 [33]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Democratic	David Ige (incumbent)	244,934	62.67%	+13.22%
	Republican	Andria Tupola	131,719	33.70%	-3.38%
	Green	Jim Brewer	10,123	2.59%	N/A
	Nonpartisan	Terrence Teruya	4,067	1.04%	N/A
Total votes			390,843	100.00%	N/A
	Democratic hold

References

Trahant, Mark (August 19, 2018). "Idaho is no longer safe for Republicans; Paulette Jordan trails by 8 points". Indian Country Today. Retrieved December 2, 2019 – via News Maven.
"Ernest Caravalho". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
Singer, Jeff (June 6, 2017). "Why several Hawaii Democrats are mulling primary bids against Gov. David Ige". Daily Kos. Retrieved June 6, 2017.
Hooser, Gary (August 9, 2017). "Brace yourselves, primaries are coming". The Garden Island. Archived from the original on August 15, 2017. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
"U.S. Rep. Hanabusa announces plans to run for governor". Hawaii News Now. September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
Callis, Tom (January 3, 2016). "Green saving up for run at higher office". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Archived from the original on November 16, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.
Cook Lauer, Nancy (January 6, 2018). "Familiar candidate aims for governor". West Hawaii Today. Archived from the original on January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.
Blair, Chad (February 27, 2018). "Former Sen. Clayton Hee Is Running For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 28, 2018.
Blair, Chad (June 4, 2018). "Clayton Hee Withdraws From Hawaii Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved June 8, 2018.
"Primary Election 2018 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved August 12, 2018.
"Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho Jr. to run for lieutenant governor". KHON 2. October 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
"Sens. Green, Espero announce runs for lieutenant governor in 2018". Hawaii News Now. September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.
Cook Lauer, Nancy (June 13, 2017). "3 show interest in Green's seat as senator eyes lieutenant gov bid". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Archived from the original on August 23, 2017. Retrieved August 22, 2017.
"Kim Coco Iwamoto announces bid for Lieutenant Governor". Island News KITV 4. November 5, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
"Maui Mayor Arakawa says he plans to run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. May 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.
Pignataro, Anthony (April 3, 2018). "Maui Mayor Alan Arakawa to hold $1,000/person fundraiser at swanky Waikiki restaurant". MauiTime. Retrieved April 15, 2018.
Daverta, Jobeth (Jan 21, 2018). "Hawaii minority leader Rep. Andria Tupola enters gubernatorial race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved Jan 26, 2018.
Dible, Max (April 14, 2018). "Republican candidates for state office stump in Kona". West Hawaii Today.
"The Hawaii Republican Party has a new chair". Retrieved 2018-04-05.
Nagaoka, Ashley (May 12, 2017). "McDermott touts leadership, officialy [sic] enters 2018 race for governor". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved May 13, 2017.
Dayton, Kevin (August 29, 2017). "Rep. McDermott withdraws from governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved August 30, 2017.
Beers, Axel (August 2, 2018). "MauiTime endorses Andria Tupola for governor (Republican) in 2018 Primary Election". Maui Time.
"2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
"The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
"2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
"Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
"Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.
"2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. August 9, 2018.
"Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
"2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
"Politico Race Ratings". Politico.
"2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.
"General Election 2018 Final Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii. November 6, 2018. Retrieved December 20, 2018.

External links

Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites

Official lieutenant gubernatorial campaign websites

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[31] The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

[1] Trahant, Mark (August 19, 2018). "Idaho is no longer safe for Republicans; Paulette Jordan trails by 8 points". Indian Country Today. Retrieved December 2, 2019 – via News Maven.

[2] "Ernest Caravalho". Ballotpedia. Retrieved July 6, 2018.

[dailykos-3] Singer, Jeff (June 6, 2017). "Why several Hawaii Democrats are mulling primary bids against Gov. David Ige". Daily Kos. Retrieved June 6, 2017.

[Brace-4] Hooser, Gary (August 9, 2017). "Brace yourselves, primaries are coming". The Garden Island. Archived from the original on August 15, 2017. Retrieved August 22, 2017.

[hanabusa-5] "U.S. Rep. Hanabusa announces plans to run for governor". Hawaii News Now. September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.

[tribuneherald-6] Callis, Tom (January 3, 2016). "Green saving up for run at higher office". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Archived from the original on November 16, 2016. Retrieved November 15, 2016.

[familiar-7] Cook Lauer, Nancy (January 6, 2018). "Familiar candidate aims for governor". West Hawaii Today. Archived from the original on January 6, 2018. Retrieved January 7, 2018.

[8] Blair, Chad (February 27, 2018). "Former Sen. Clayton Hee Is Running For Governor". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved February 28, 2018.

[9] Blair, Chad (June 4, 2018). "Clayton Hee Withdraws From Hawaii Governor's Race". Honolulu Civil Beat. Retrieved June 8, 2018.

[primaryresults-10] "Primary Election 2018 -State of Hawaii – Statewide" (PDF). Hawaii Office of Elections. Retrieved August 12, 2018.

[11] "Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho Jr. to run for lieutenant governor". KHON 2. October 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[greenespero-12] "Sens. Green, Espero announce runs for lieutenant governor in 2018". Hawaii News Now. September 1, 2017. Retrieved September 1, 2017.

[3Show-13] Cook Lauer, Nancy (June 13, 2017). "3 show interest in Green's seat as senator eyes lieutenant gov bid". Hawaii Tribune-Herald. Archived from the original on August 23, 2017. Retrieved August 22, 2017.

[14] "Kim Coco Iwamoto announces bid for Lieutenant Governor". Island News KITV 4. November 5, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[15] "Maui Mayor Arakawa says he plans to run for lieutenant governor". Hawaii News Now. May 26, 2017. Retrieved November 5, 2017.

[16] Pignataro, Anthony (April 3, 2018). "Maui Mayor Alan Arakawa to hold $1,000/person fundraiser at swanky Waikiki restaurant". MauiTime. Retrieved April 15, 2018.

[Daverta-17] Daverta, Jobeth (Jan 21, 2018). "Hawaii minority leader Rep. Andria Tupola enters gubernatorial race". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved Jan 26, 2018.

[18] Dible, Max (April 14, 2018). "Republican candidates for state office stump in Kona". West Hawaii Today.

[19] "The Hawaii Republican Party has a new chair". Retrieved 2018-04-05.

[20] Nagaoka, Ashley (May 12, 2017). "McDermott touts leadership, officialy [sic] enters 2018 race for governor". Hawaii News Now. Retrieved May 13, 2017.

[mcdermottwithdraws-21] Dayton, Kevin (August 29, 2017). "Rep. McDermott withdraws from governor's race". Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Retrieved August 30, 2017.

[22] Beers, Axel (August 2, 2018). "MauiTime endorses Andria Tupola for governor (Republican) in 2018 Primary Election". Maui Time.

[23] "2018 Governor Race ratings | The Cook Political Report". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[24] "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.

[25] "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.

[26] "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[27] "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved 2017-11-15.

[28] "2018 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. August 9, 2018.

[29] "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.

[30] "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.

[32] "Politico Race Ratings". Politico.

[33] "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". www.governing.com. Retrieved 2018-07-18.

[34] "General Election 2018 Final Summary Report" (PDF). State of Hawaii. November 6, 2018. Retrieved December 20, 2018.

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