2018 United States Senate election in California
The 2018 United States Senate election in California took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent California, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
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Turnout | 56.42% | |||||||||||||||
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County results Feinstein: 50–60% 60–70% de León: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections in California |
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Under California's non-partisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. In the California system, the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate receives a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. Washington and Louisiana have similar "jungle primary" style processes for U.S. Senate elections, as does Mississippi for U.S. Senate special elections.
The candidate filing deadline was March 8, 2018 and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018.[1]
Four-term Democratic incumbent Dianne Feinstein won reelection in 2012 with 63% of the vote, taking the record for the most popular votes in any U.S. Senate election in history with 7.86 million votes.[2] Feinstein is the ranking member of the Senate Judiciary Committee. She turned 85 years old in 2018, leading some to speculate that she would retire in January 2019,[3][4] as her long-time colleague Barbara Boxer did in January 2017. However, Feinstein stood for reelection for her fifth consecutive term, winning 44.2% of the vote in the top-two primary; she faced Democratic challenger Kevin De León in the general election, who won 12.1% of the primary vote.[5] For the second time since direct elections to the Senate began after the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913, no Republican appeared on the general election ballot for U.S. Senate in California. The highest Republican finisher in the primary won only 8.3 percent of the vote, and the 10 Republicans only won 31.2 percent of the vote among them.
In the general election, Feinstein defeated De León by an eight-point margin, 54% to 46%.
Candidates
Declared
- Kevin de León, President pro tempore of the California State Senate[6][7][8]
- Adrienne Nicole Edwards, Vice Chairwoman on the HDT Community Development Foundation board[9]
- Dianne Feinstein, incumbent U.S. Senator[10]
- Pat Harris, attorney[11][12]
- Alison Hartson, national director of Wolf PAC[13][14]
- David Hildebrand, legislative analyst[15][16]
- Herbert G. Peters, retired aerospace engineer and candidate for U.S Senate in California in 2016[9]
- Douglas Howard Pierce[9]
- Gerald Plummer[9]
- Donnie O. Turner, Air Force veteran[9]
Withdrawn
- Topher Brennan[17]
- John Melendez, television writer and radio personality[18]
- Steve Stokes, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[19]
Declined
- Ana Kasparian, co-host of The Young Turks[20]
- Joe Sanberg, entrepreneur and investor[21]
- Tom Steyer, hedge fund manager[22][23]
- Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks[24]
Declared
- Arun K. Bhumitra, businessman[9]
- James P. Bradley, businessman[25]
- Jack Crew, bus driver[25]
- Erin Cruz, published author[26]
- Rocky De La Fuente, entrepreneur and perennial candidate[27]
- Jerry Joseph Laws, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[25]
- Patrick Little, neo-Nazi and Holocaust denier[28]
- Kevin Mottus, candidate for the U.S Senate in 2016[9]
- Mario Nabliba, scientist[9]
- Tom Palzer, activist, retired city planner and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[25]
- Paul Allen Taylor, businessman[29]
Withdrawn
- Donald R. Adams, businessman[30]
- Gary Coson[31]
- John Estrada[32]
- Timothy Charles Kalemkarian, perennial candidate[33]
- Ernie Konnyu, former U.S. Representative[34]
- Caren Lancona, businesswoman[35]
- Jazmina Saavedra, businesswoman and activist[36]
- Stephen James Schrader, veteran[37]
Declined
- Kevin Faulconer, Mayor of San Diego[38][39]
- Caitlyn Jenner, 1976 Olympic gold medalist and television personality[40]
- Arnold Schwarzenegger, actor and former Governor of California[41]
- Ashley Swearengin, former Mayor of Fresno[42]
Declared
- Derrick Michael Reid, retired attorney and engineer and candidate for president in 2016[43]
Declared
- Michael V. Ziesing (write-in)[44]
Declared
- John Thompson Parker[25]
Declared
- Colleen Shea Fernald, perennial candidate[25]
- Tim Gildersleeve, businessman and researcher[45]
- Rash Bihari Ghosh[25]
- Michael Fahmy Girgis[25]
- Don J. Grundmann, California Constitution Party chairman and perennial candidate[46] (Constitution Party)[lower-alpha 1]
- Jason M. Hanania[25]
- David Moore (Socialist Equality Party)[lower-alpha 1][47]
- Lee W. Olson[48]
- Ursula M. Schilling (write-in)[44]
- Ling Ling Shi, evangelist[49]
Withdrawn
- Jerry Leon Carroll[50]
- Michael Eisen, biologist[51]
- Charles Junior Hodge[52]
- Richard Thomas Mead[53]
- Clifton Roberts (Humane Party)[54][55]
Notes
- No ballot access: Constitution Party and Socialist Equality Party. Don J. Grundmann (C) and David Moore (SEP) appear on ballot as "No party preference".[25]
Primary election
Endorsements
- Former U.S. President
- Former U.S. Vice President
- U.S. Senators
- Barbara Boxer, former U.S. Senator (D-CA)[58]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator (D-CA)[59][60][61][58]
- U.S. Representatives
- Pete Aguilar, U.S. Representative (D-CA-31)
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative (D-CA-37)
- Ami Bera, U.S. Representative (D-CA-7)
- Julia Brownley, U.S. Representative (D-CA-26)
- Judy Chu, U.S. Representative (D-CA-27)
- Salud Carbajal, U.S. Representative (D-CA-24)
- Jim Costa, U.S. Representative (D-CA-16)
- Susan Davis, U.S. Representative (D-CA-53)
- Mark DeSaulnier, U.S. Representative (D-CA-11)
- John Garamendi, U.S. Representative (D-CA-3)
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative (D-CA-33)[62]
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. Representative (D-CA-47)
- Doris Matsui, U.S. Representative (D-CA-6)
- Grace Napolitano, U.S. Representative (D-CA-32)
- Jimmy Panetta, U.S. Representative (D-CA-20)
- Nancy Pelosi, House Minority Leader and U.S. Representative (D-CA-12)[63]
- Scott Peters, U.S. Representative (D-CA-52)
- Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative (D-CA-36)
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative (D-CA-28)[61]
- Brad Sherman, U. S. Representative (D-CA-30)[64]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative (D-CA-14)
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative (D-CA-15)[64]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative (D-CA-41)
- Mike Thompson, U.S. Representative (D-CA-5)
- Norma Torres, U.S. Representative (D-CA-35)
- Juan Vargas, U.S. Representative (D-CA-51)
- Maxine Waters, U.S. Representative (D-CA-43)
- State-level officials
- Jerry Brown, Governor of California[65]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California[61][58]
- Alex Padilla, California Secretary of State[61]
- Cristina Garcia, California State Assemblymember (D-58)[66]
- Susan Talamantes Eggman, California State Assemblymember (D-13)[66]
- Jacqui Irwin, California State Assemblymember (D-44)[66]
- Anthony Rendon, California State Assemblyman and speaker of the Assembly (D-63)[67]
- Blanca E. Rubio, California State Assemblymember (D-48)[66]
- Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, California State Assemblymember (D-4)[66]
- Anna Caballero, California State Assemblymember (D-30)[66]
- Local-level officials
- Kathryn Barger, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors (Republican)[68]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[69][61]
- Darrell Steinberg, Mayor of Sacramento[70]
- Hilda Solis, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Mark Ridley-Thomas, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Sheila Kuehl, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Janice Hahn, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Vicki Reynolds, former Mayor of Beverly Hills
- Organizations
- EMILY's List[71]
- Equality California[72]
- Human Rights Campaign[73]
- Project 100[74]
- Palmer Report[75]
- Newspapers
- San Francisco Chronicle[76]
- Los Angeles Times[77][78]
- Bay Area Reporter[78]
- East Bay Times[78]
- Los Angeles Downtown News[78]
- Los Angeles Sentinel[78]
- Marin Independent Journal[78]
- Modesto Bee[78]
- Monterey Herald[78]
- Sacramento Bee[78]
- San Diego Union-Tribune[78]
- San Jose Mercury News[78]
- Santa Barbara Independent[78]
- Santa Cruz Sentinel[78]
- Individuals
- Tom Steyer, billionaire, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist, liberal activist, and fundraiser[79]
- U.S. Representatives
- Lou Correa, U.S. Representative (D-CA-46)[80]
- Jimmy Gomez, U.S. Representative (D-CA-34)[81]
- Raul Grijalva, U.S. Representative (D-AZ-3)[80]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative (D-CA-17)[62][82]
- State-level officials
- Lorena Gonzalez-Fletcher, California State Assemblymember (D-80)[83]
- Kevin McCarty, California State Assemblymember (D-7)[83]
- Eloise Reyes, California State Assemblymember (D-47)[80]
- Kansen Chu, California State Assemblymember (D-25)[80]
- Eduardo Garcia, California State Assemblymember (D-56)[80]
- Ash Kalra, California State Assemblymember (D-27)[80]
- Jose Medina, California State Assemblymember (D-61)[80]
- Miguel Santiago, California State Assemblymember (D-53)[80]
- Reggie Jones-Sawyer, California State Assemblymember (D-59)[80]
- Jim Frazier, California State Assemblymember (D-11)[80]
- Cindy Montanez, former California State Assemblymember[80]
- Toni Atkins, President pro tempore of the California State Senate (D-39)[80]
- Bill Monning, California State Senator, Majority Leader (D-17)[80]
- Ed Hernandez, California State Senator, candidate for Lieutenant Governor of California[80]
- Ricardo Lara, California State Senator (D-33), candidate for California Insurance Commissioner[80]
- Hannah-Beth Jackson, California State Senator (D-19)[84]
- Cathleen Galgiani, California State Senator (D-5)[80]
- Holly Mitchell, California State Senator (D-30)[80]
- Henry Stern, California State Senator (D-27)[80]
- Ben Hueso, California State Senator (D-40)[80]
- Jim Beall, California State Senator (D-15)[80]
- Anthony Portantino, California State Senator (D-25)[80]
- Josh Newman, California State Senator (D-29)[80]
- Richard Pan, California State Senator (D-6)[80]
- Steve Bradford, California State Senator (D-35)[80]
- Mike McGuire, California State Senator (D-2)[80]
- Dean Florez, former California State Senator[83]
- Local-level officials
- Robert Garcia, Mayor of Long Beach[80]
- Mary Salas, Mayor of Chula Vista[80]
- Mike Bonin, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Curren Price, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Jose Huizar, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Joe Buscaino, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Monica Garcia, Los Angeles Unified School District Board President[80]
- Jane Kim, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Hillary Ronen, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Aaron Peskin, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Sandra Lee Fewer, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Norman Yee, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Organizations
- California Democratic Party[86]
- Armenian National Committee of America[87]
- Cal Berkeley Democrats[88]
- Climate Hawks Vote[89]
- Democracy for America[90][91]
- California Labor Federaton (AFL-CIO)[92]
- California Nurses Association[93]
- Service Employees International Union[93]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42 [94]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Union[95]
- Organizations
- Tri-Valley Democratic Club
- F.U.N Progressives
- Individuals
- Jeff Pantukhoff, Founder of The Whaleman Foundation
- Individuals
- Cenk Uygur, host of The Young Turks
- Derek Cressman, political reform advocate, author and former California Secretary of State candidate
- Kyle Kulinski, host of ‘’Secular Talk’’
- Nomi Prins, journalist[96]
- Abby Martin, host of The Empire Files[97]
- Organizations
- Justice Democrats[98]
- Demand Universal Healthcare
- Our Revolution San Joaquin County
- Our Revolution Lake County
- Our Revolution West Marin
- ProgressivesUnite
- California for Bernie 2020
- The Young Turks[99]
- Local-level officials
- Gayle McLaughlin, former Mayor of Richmond, Candidate for Lieutenant Governor[100]
- Jovanka Beckles, former Richmond City Council member, Candidate for State Assembly - District 15[101]
- Noah Phillips, Deputy District Attorney for Sacramento County, candidate for Sacramento County District Attorney[101]
- Porsche Middleton, Citrus Heights Planning Commissioner, candidate for Citrus Heights City Council[101]
- Vinnie Bacon, Vice Mayor of Fremont, Fremont City Council member[101]
- Professionals
- Stephen Jaffe, Employment Attorney, candidate for U.S. Congress[101]
- Michael Bracamontes, Civil Rights Attorney, former candidate for California Governor[101]
- Stephen Seager, Mental Health Expert, Author, Documentary Filmmaker[101]
- Kevin Murray, Professor of Politics, Humboldt State University[101]
- Organizations
- Candidates with a Contract[102]
- Wellstone Progressive Democrats of Sacramento - Our Revolution[101]
- Courageous Resistance of Humboldt - Our Revolution[101]
- Our Revolution West Marin[101]
- Yolo County Progressives - Our Revolution[101]
- Feel the Bern Democratic Club of Los Angeles[101]
- Labor Campaign for Single Payer[101]
- Not Me Us - We are the Revolution[101]
- Bernie Sanders Megagroup 2020[101]
- Ventura County Activists for Bernie Sanders 2020 #OurRevolution[101]
- Stanislaus County for Bernie 2020[101]
- The People's News[101]
- Individuals
- Individuals
- Marco Gutierrez, co-founder of Latinos for Trump[104]
- Juan M. Hidalgo Jr. Republican candidate for California's 51st congressional district and retired USMC Sergeant Major[105]
- Stelian Onufrei, small business owner and former Republican candidate for California's 48th congressional district[105]
- Robert "Buzz" Patterson, retired USAF Lieutenant Colonel and author of Dereliction of Duty: The Eyewitness Account of How Bill Clinton Compromised America's National Security (2003)[106]
- Shastina Sandman, California entrepreneur and Republican candidate for California's 48th congressional district[107]
- Organizations
- American Independent Party[108]
- California Republican Assembly[109]
- Santa Barbara County GOP[105]
- Del Norte County GOP[105]
- North County Conservatives[105]
- Southern California Silent Majority MAGA (OC)[105]
- Politicians
- David Duke, white nationalist and former Louisiana State Representative[110]
- Organizations
- Libertarian Party of California[111]
- Financial Survival Network[112]
- Organizations
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of May 16, 2018 | |||
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Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Dianne Feinstein (D) | $9,953,612 | $5,342,658 | $7,035,307 |
Kevin de León (D) | $1,135,538 | $441,847 | $693,689 |
Pat Harris (D) | $703,982 | $650,225 | $51,017 |
Alison Hartson (D) | $298,296 | $189,652 | $108,643 |
Arun K. Bhumitra (R) | $53,668 | $40,835 | $12,832 |
David Hildebrand (D) | $27,111 | $25,816 | $1,294 |
Erin Cruz (R) | $26,442 | $23,190 | $3,251 |
Douglas Howard Pierce (D) | $9,000 | $62,392 | $11,200 |
Paul Allen Taylor (R) | $9,128 | $8,803 | $324 |
Tom Palzer (R) | $0 | $45 | $45 |
David Moore (SEP) | $3,480 | $3,480 | $0 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[114] |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
James P. Bradley (R) |
Erin Cruz (R) |
Pat Harris (D) |
Rocky De La Fuente (R) |
Kevin de León (D) |
Dianne Feinstein (D) |
Alison Hartson (D) |
Patrick Little (R) |
Other / Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UC Berkeley | May 22−28, 2018 | 2,106 | ± 3.5% | 7% | – | – | – | 11% | 36% | – | – | 46%[115] |
Emerson College | May 21–24, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.2% | – | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 38% | 4% | – | 38%[116] |
YouGov | May 12–24, 2018 | 1,113 | ± 4.0% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 11% | 36% | 1% | 1% | 37%[117] |
SurveyUSA | May 21, 2018 | 678 | ± 6.1% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 11% | 36% | 1% | 0% | 35%[118] |
Public Policy Institute of California | May 11–20, 2018 | 901 | ± 4.1% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 41% | – | – | 41%[119] |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | April 18 – May 18, 2018 | 517 | ± 4.0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 7% | 31% | 1% | 2% | 51%[120] |
Gravis Marketing | May 4–5, 2018 | 525 | ± 4.3% | 19% | 13% | – | – | 8% | 32% | 6% | – | 21%[121] |
SurveyUSA | April 19–23, 2018 | 520 | ± 5.5% | – | – | – | 8% | 8% | 38% | 4% | 18% | 23%[122] |
UC Berkeley | April 16–22, 2018 | 1,738 | ± 3.5% | 10% | – | – | – | 11% | 28% | – | – | 49%[123] |
Public Policy Institute of California | March 4–13, 2018 | 1,706 | ± 3.4% | – | – | – | – | 16% | 42% | – | – | 41%[124] |
Public Policy Institute of California | January 21–30, 2018 | 1,705 | ± 3.2% | – | – | – | – | 17% | 46% | – | – | 36%[125] |
UC Berkeley | December 7–16, 2017 | 672 | ± 3.8% | – | – | – | – | 27% | 41% | – | – | 32%[126] |
Public Policy Institute of California | November 10–19, 2017 | 1,070 | ± 4.3% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 45% | – | – | 34%[127] |
Sextant Strategies & Research | September 2017 | 1,197 | ± 3.4% | – | – | – | – | 15% | 38% | – | – | 46%[128] |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) | 2,947,035 | 44.12% | |
Democratic | Kevin de León | 805,446 | 12.07% | |
Republican | James P. Bradley | 556,252 | 8.34% | |
Republican | Arun K. Bhumitra | 350,815 | 5.26% | |
Republican | Paul A. Taylor | 323,533 | 4.85% | |
Republican | Erin Cruz | 267,494 | 4.01% | |
Republican | Tom Palzer | 205,183 | 3.08% | |
Democratic | Alison Hartson | 147,061 | 2.21% | |
Republican | Rocky De La Fuente | 135,278 | 2.03% | |
Democratic | Pat Harris | 126,947 | 1.90% | |
Republican | John "Jack" Crew | 93,806 | 1.41% | |
Republican | Patrick Little | 89,867 | 1.35% | |
Republican | Kevin Mottus | 87,646 | 1.31% | |
Republican | Jerry Joseph Laws | 67,140 | 1.01% | |
Libertarian | Derrick Michael Reid | 59,999 | 0.90% | |
Democratic | Adrienne Nicole Edwards | 56,172 | 0.84% | |
Democratic | Douglas Howard Pierce | 42,671 | 0.64% | |
Republican | Mario Nabliba | 39,209 | 0.59% | |
Democratic | David Hildebrand | 30,305 | 0.45% | |
Democratic | Donnie O. Turner | 30,101 | 0.45% | |
Democratic | Herbert G. Peters | 27,468 | 0.41% | |
No party preference | David Moore | 24,614 | 0.37% | |
No party preference | Ling Ling Shi | 23,506 | 0.35% | |
Peace and Freedom | John Thompson Parker | 22,825 | 0.34% | |
No party preference | Lee Olson | 20,393 | 0.31% | |
Democratic | Gerald Plummer | 18,234 | 0.27% | |
No party preference | Jason M. Hanania | 18,171 | 0.27% | |
No party preference | Don J. Grundmann | 15,125 | 0.23% | |
No party preference | Colleen Shea Fernald | 13,536 | 0.20% | |
No party preference | Rash Bihari Ghosh | 12,557 | 0.19% | |
No party preference | Tim Gildersleeve | 8,482 | 0.13% | |
No party preference | Michael Fahmy Girgis | 2,986 | 0.05% | |
Green | Michael V. Ziesing (write-in) | 842 | 0.01% | |
No party preference | Ursula M. Schilling (write-in) | 17 | 0.00% | |
Democratic | Seelam Prabhakar Reddy (write-in) | 4 | 0.00% | |
Total votes | 6,670,720 | 100.00% |
Democratic candidates won a combined total of 4,231,444, Republican candidates 2,216,223 votes, and other candidates 223,053 votes.
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2018
Endorsements
- Former Executive Branch officials
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[56]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States[57]
- U.S. Senators
- Barbara Boxer, former U.S. Senator (D-CA)[58]
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator (D-CA)[59][60][61][58]
- U.S. Representatives
- Pete Aguilar, U.S. Representative (D-CA-31)
- Karen Bass, U.S. Representative (D-CA-37)
- Ami Bera, U.S. Representative (D-CA-7)
- Julia Brownley, U.S. Representative (D-CA-26)
- Judy Chu, U.S. Representative (D-CA-27)
- Salud Carbajal, U.S. Representative (D-CA-24)
- Jim Costa, U.S. Representative (D-CA-16)
- Susan Davis, U.S. Representative (D-CA-53)
- Mark DeSaulnier, U.S. Representative (D-CA-11)
- John Garamendi, U.S. Representative (D-CA-3)
- Ted Lieu, U.S. Representative (D-CA-33)[62]
- Alan Lowenthal, U.S. Representative (D-CA-47)
- Doris Matsui, U.S. Representative (D-CA-6)
- Grace Napolitano, U.S. Representative (D-CA-32)
- Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative and former gubernatorial candidate in 2018 (R-CA)[132]
- Jimmy Panetta, U.S. Representative (D-CA-20)
- Nancy Pelosi, House Minority Leader and U.S. Representative (D-CA-12)[63]
- Scott Peters, U.S. Representative (D-CA-52)
- Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative (D-CA-36)
- Adam Schiff, U.S. Representative (D-CA-28)[61]
- Brad Sherman, U. S. Representative (D-CA-30)[64]
- Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative (D-CA-14)
- Eric Swalwell, U.S. Representative (D-CA-15)[64]
- Mark Takano, U.S. Representative (D-CA-41)
- Mike Thompson, U.S. Representative (D-CA-5)
- Norma Torres, U.S. Representative (D-CA-35)
- Juan Vargas, U.S. Representative (D-CA-51)
- Maxine Waters, U.S. Representative (D-CA-43)
- State-level officials
- Jerry Brown, Governor of California[65]
- Gavin Newsom, Lieutenant Governor of California[61][58]
- Alex Padilla, California Secretary of State[61]
- Cristina Garcia, California State Assemblymember (D-58)[66]
- Susan Talamantes Eggman, California State Assemblymember (D-13)[66]
- Jacqui Irwin, California State Assemblymember (D-44)[66]
- Anthony Rendon, California State Assemblyman and speaker of the Assembly (D-63)[67]
- Blanca E. Rubio, California State Assemblymember (D-48)[66]
- Cecilia Aguiar-Curry, California State Assemblymember (D-4)[66]
- Anna Caballero, California State Assemblymember (D-30)[66]
- Local-level officials
- Kathryn Barger, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors (Republican)[68]
- Eric Garcetti, Mayor of Los Angeles[69][61]
- Darrell Steinberg, Mayor of Sacramento[70]
- Hilda Solis, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Mark Ridley-Thomas, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Sheila Kuehl, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Janice Hahn, member of the Los Angeles County Board of Supervisors[68]
- Vicki Reynolds, former Mayor of Beverly Hills
- Organizations
- Brady Campaign to Prevent Gun Violence[78]
- California Citrus Mutual[78]
- EMILY's List[71]
- Equality California[72]
- Feminist Majority [78]
- Human Rights Campaign[73]
- J Street[133]
- Los Angeles Women's Political Committee[78]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[78]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[78]
- National Organization for Women[134]
- National Women's Political Caucus[78]
- Nisei Farmers League[78]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[78]
- Project 100[74]
- Palmer Report[75]
- Southwest Regional Council of Carpenters[78]
- Western Growers Association[78]
- West Hollywood Political Action Committee[78]
- Newspapers
- San Francisco Chronicle[76]
- Los Angeles Times[77][78]
- Bay Area Reporter[78]
- East Bay Times[78]
- Los Angeles Downtown News[78]
- Los Angeles Sentinel[78]
- Marin Independent Journal[78]
- Modesto Bee[78]
- Monterey Herald[78]
- Sacramento Bee[78]
- San Diego Union-Tribune[78]
- San Jose Mercury News[78]
- Santa Barbara Independent[78]
- Santa Cruz Sentinel[78]
- Individuals
- Tom Steyer, billionaire, hedge fund manager, philanthropist, environmentalist, liberal activist, and fundraiser[79]
- U.S. Representatives
- Lou Correa, U.S. Representative (D-CA-46)[80]
- Jimmy Gomez, U.S. Representative (D-CA-34)[81]
- Raul Grijalva, U.S. Representative (D-AZ-3)[80]
- Ro Khanna, U.S. Representative (D-CA-17)[62][82]
- State-level officials
- Lorena Gonzalez-Fletcher, California State Assemblymember (D-80)[83]
- Kevin McCarty, California State Assemblymember (D-7)[83]
- Eloise Reyes, California State Assemblymember (D-47)[80]
- Kansen Chu, California State Assemblymember (D-25)[80]
- Eduardo Garcia, California State Assemblymember (D-56)[80]
- Ash Kalra, California State Assemblymember (D-27)[80]
- Jose Medina, California State Assemblymember (D-61)[80]
- Miguel Santiago, California State Assemblymember (D-53)[80]
- Reggie Jones-Sawyer, California State Assemblymember (D-59)[80]
- Jim Frazier, California State Assemblymember (D-11)[80]
- Cindy Montanez, former California State Assemblymember[80]
- Toni Atkins, President pro tempore of the California State Senate (D-39)[80]
- Bill Monning, California State Senator, Majority Leader (D-17)[80]
- Ed Hernandez, California State Senator, candidate for Lieutenant Governor of California[80]
- Ricardo Lara, California State Senator (D-33), candidate for California Insurance Commissioner[80]
- Hannah-Beth Jackson, California State Senator (D-19)[84]
- Cathleen Galgiani, California State Senator (D-5)[80]
- Holly Mitchell, California State Senator (D-30)[80]
- Henry Stern, California State Senator (D-27)[80]
- Ben Hueso, California State Senator (D-40)[80]
- Jim Beall, California State Senator (D-15)[80]
- Anthony Portantino, California State Senator (D-25)[80]
- Josh Newman, former California State Senator[80]
- Richard Pan, California State Senator (D-6)[80]
- Steve Bradford, California State Senator (D-35)[80]
- Mike McGuire, California State Senator (D-2)[80]
- Dean Florez, former California State Senator[83]
- Local-level officials
- Robert Garcia, Mayor of Long Beach[80]
- Mary Salas, Mayor of Chula Vista[80]
- Mike Bonin, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Curren Price, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Jose Huizar, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Joe Buscaino, member of the Los Angeles City Council[80]
- Monica Garcia, Los Angeles Unified School District Board President[80]
- Jane Kim, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Hillary Ronen, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Aaron Peskin, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Sandra Lee Fewer, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Norman Yee, member of the San Francisco Board of Supervisors[85]
- Organizations
- California Democratic Party[86][135]
- Armenian National Committee of America[87]
- Cal Berkeley Democrats[88]
- Climate Hawks Vote[89]
- Democracy for America[90][91]
- California Labor Federaton (AFL-CIO)[92]
- California Nurses Association[93]
- Service Employees International Union[93]
- International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42[94]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Union[95]
Fundraising
Campaign finance reports as of October 19, 2018 | |||
---|---|---|---|
Candidate | Total receipts | Total disbursements | Cash on hand |
Dianne Feinstein (D) | $21,100,086.64 | $17,896,407.61 | $4,069,222.18 |
Kevin de León (D) | $1,572,160.70 | $1,263,113.97 | $309,045.58 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[114] |
Predictions
Because of California's top-two runoff system, the seat was guaranteed to be won/held by a Democrat since the initial primary produced two Democratic candidates.
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[136] | Solid D (Feinstein) | September 28, 2018 |
Inside Elections[137] | Solid D (Feinstein) | November 14, 2017 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[138] | Safe D (Feinstein) | November 15, 2017 |
Daily Kos[139] | Safe D (Feinstein) | April 9, 2018 |
Fox News[140] | Likely D (Feinstein)[lower-alpha 1] | July 9, 2018 |
CNN[141] | Solid D (Feinstein) | July 12, 2018 |
RealClearPolitics[142] | Safe D (Feinstein) | June 27, 2018 |
FiveThirtyEight[143] | Solid D (Feinstein) | October 20, 2018 |
- Highest rating given
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Dianne Feinstein (D) |
Kevin de León (D) |
None | Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research | November 2–4, 2018 | 1,108 | – | 42% | 32% | – | – | – |
Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 47% | 28% | – | – | 25% |
SurveyUSA | November 1–2, 2018 | 806 | ± 4.7% | 50% | 36% | – | – | 14% |
Probolsky Research | October 25–30, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | 41% | 35% | – | – | 24% |
UC Berkeley | October 19–25, 2018 | 1,339 | ± 4.0% | 45% | 36% | – | – | 19% |
YouGov | October 10–24, 2018 | 2,178 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 29% | 19% | – | 16% |
Public Policy Institute of California | October 12–21, 2018 | 989 | ± 4.2% | 43% | 27% | 23% | – | 8% |
Emerson College | October 17–19, 2018 | 671 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 23% | – | – | 37% |
SurveyUSA | October 12–14, 2018 | 762 | ± 4.9% | 40% | 26% | – | – | 35% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | September 17 – October 14, 2018 | 794 LV | ± 4.0% | 44% | 31% | – | – | 25% |
980 RV | ± 4.0% | 41% | 30% | – | – | 29% | ||
1st Tuesday Campaigns | October 1–3, 2018 | 1,038 | ± 3.0% | 43% | 30% | – | – | 27% |
Vox Populi Polling | September 16–18, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 55% | 45% | – | – | – |
Public Policy Institute of California | September 9–18, 2018 | 964 | ± 4.8% | 40% | 29% | 23% | – | 8% |
Ipsos | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,021 | ± 4.0% | 44% | 24% | – | 17% | 15% |
Probolsky Research (R) | August 29 – September 2, 2018 | 900 | ± 5.8% | 37% | 29% | – | – | 34% |
Public Policy Institute of California | July 8–17, 2018 | 1,020 | ± 4.3% | 46% | 24% | 20% | – | 9% |
SurveyUSA | June 26–27, 2018 | 559 | ± 5.9% | 46% | 24% | – | – | 31% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | June 6–17, 2018 | 767 | ± 4.0% | 36% | 18% | – | – | 46% |
Probolsky Research (R) | April 16–18, 2018 | 900 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 27% | – | – | 35% |
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times | October 27 – November 6, 2017 | 1,296 | ± 4.0% | 58% | 31% | 31% | 10% | – |
Sextant Strategies & Research | September 2017 | 1,554 | – | 36% | 17% | 28% | – | 19% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Dianne Feinstein (incumbent) | 6,019,422 | 54.16% | -8.36% | |
Democratic | Kevin de León | 5,093,942 | 45.84% | N/A | |
Total votes | 11,113,364 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
The race had an undervote of around 1.3 million votes compared to the gubernatorial election, likely by Republican voters choosing neither candidate. De León won many of the same counties and congressional districts won by Republican gubernatorial nominee John Cox, as many voters may have expressed opposition to the incumbent senator. No county voted for both Feinstein and Cox. Congressional districts 39, 45, and 48 were the only congressional districts that voted for both Feinstein and Cox.[144][145]
Results by county
Results by county. Blue represents counties won by Feinstein. Yellow represents counties won by de León.[146]
County | Feinstein # | Feinstein % | de León # | de León % | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alameda | 318,377 | 58.4 | 226,950 | 41.6 | 545,327 |
Alpine | 267 | 48.8 | 280 | 51.2 | 547 |
Amador | 5,835 | 41.4 | 8,244 | 58.6 | 14,079 |
Butte | 32,418 | 42.9 | 43,108 | 57.1 | 75,526 |
Calaveras | 7,031 | 40.4 | 10,357 | 59.6 | 17,388 |
Colusa | 1,643 | 35.1 | 3,039 | 64.9 | 4,682 |
Contra Costa | 222,349 | 58.3 | 158,748 | 41.7 | 381,097 |
Del Norte | 2,590 | 37.8 | 4,254 | 62.2 | 6,844 |
El Dorado | 33,772 | 46.5 | 38,791 | 53.5 | 72,563 |
Fresno | 103,491 | 47.7 | 113,557 | 52.3 | 217,048 |
Glenn | 2,341 | 34.8 | 4,388 | 65.2 | 6,729 |
Humboldt | 21,336 | 44.8 | 26,319 | 55.2 | 47,655 |
Imperial | 13,121 | 43.3 | 17,150 | 56.7 | 30,271 |
Inyo | 2,344 | 39.9 | 3,532 | 60.1 | 5,876 |
Kern | 66,628 | 40.0 | 99,981 | 60.0 | 166,609 |
Kings | 9,599 | 37.9 | 15,748 | 62.1 | 25,347 |
Lake | 8,142 | 44.1 | 10,317 | 55.9 | 18,459 |
Lassen | 2,030 | 29.8 | 4,788 | 70.2 | 6,818 |
Los Angeles | 1,565,167 | 57.7 | 1,146,044 | 42.3 | 2,711,211 |
Madera | 13,284 | 41.1 | 19,032 | 58.9 | 32,316 |
Marin | 80,319 | 65.3 | 42,638 | 34.7 | 122,957 |
Mariposa | 2,749 | 41.1 | 3,939 | 58.9 | 6,688 |
Mendocino | 15,113 | 49.3 | 15,529 | 50.7 | 30,642 |
Merced | 23,659 | 45.8 | 27,985 | 54.2 | 51,644 |
Modoc | 751 | 28.7 | 1,867 | 71.3 | 2,618 |
Mono | 2,001 | 47.7 | 2,197 | 52.3 | 4,198 |
Monterey | 56,320 | 52.7 | 50,562 | 47.3 | 106,882 |
Napa | 27,904 | 54.5 | 23,290 | 45.5 | 51,194 |
Nevada | 22,198 | 48.1 | 23,911 | 51.9 | 46,109 |
Orange | 501,678 | 54.4 | 420,814 | 45.6 | 922,492 |
Placer | 66,578 | 46.5 | 76,733 | 53.5 | 143,311 |
Plumas | 2,815 | 38.9 | 4,428 | 61.1 | 7,243 |
Riverside | 269,567 | 49.2 | 278,409 | 50.8 | 547,976 |
Sacramento | 241,571 | 53.0 | 213,949 | 47.0 | 455,520 |
San Benito | 8,607 | 47.9 | 9,371 | 52.1 | 17,978 |
San Bernardino | 233,103 | 50.0 | 233,360 | 50.0 | 466,463 |
San Diego | 526,628 | 52.9 | 468,564 | 47.1 | 995,192 |
San Francisco | 226,167 | 64.2 | 125,954 | 35.8 | 352,121 |
San Joaquin | 79,088 | 46.1 | 92,351 | 53.9 | 171,439 |
San Luis Obispo | 53,242 | 49.6 | 54,027 | 50.4 | 107,269 |
San Mateo | 168,679 | 63.0 | 99,136 | 37.0 | 267,815 |
Santa Barbara | 75,274 | 55.1 | 61,217 | 44.9 | 136,491 |
Santa Clara | 339,866 | 59.8 | 228,642 | 40.2 | 568,508 |
Santa Cruz | 64,178 | 57.5 | 47,416 | 42.5 | 111,594 |
Shasta | 19,397 | 34.9 | 36,227 | 65.1 | 55,624 |
Sierra | 506 | 38.5 | 808 | 61.5 | 1,314 |
Siskiyou | 5,772 | 39.3 | 8,930 | 60.7 | 14,702 |
Solano | 70,174 | 52.9 | 62,506 | 47.1 | 132,680 |
Sonoma | 108,472 | 56.0 | 85,220 | 44.0 | 193,692 |
Stanislaus | 58,375 | 42.9 | 77,724 | 57.1 | 136,099 |
Sutter | 10,501 | 42.6 | 14,166 | 57.4 | 24,667 |
Tehama | 5,435 | 32.6 | 11,253 | 67.4 | 16,688 |
Trinity | 1,746 | 38.1 | 2,838 | 61.9 | 4,584 |
Tulare | 33,005 | 39.9 | 49,765 | 60.1 | 82,770 |
Tuolumne | 7,783 | 40.8 | 11,271 | 59.2 | 19,054 |
Ventura | 137,141 | 51.3 | 130,101 | 48.7 | 267,242 |
Yolo | 35,071 | 51.9 | 32,551 | 48.1 | 67,622 |
Yuba | 6,224 | 39.2 | 9,666 | 60.8 | 15,890 |
Totals | 6,019,422 | 54.2 | 5,093,942 | 45.8 | 11,113,364 |
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- Paul Taylor (R) 4%, Other Republicans 9%, Other Democrats 6%, All other candidates 2%, Undecided 25%
- Other 6%, Undecided 32%
- Paul Taylor (R) with 2%; Adrienne Nicole Edwards (D), David Hildebrand (D), Herbert Peters (D), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Arun Bhumitra (R), Jack Crew (R), Kevin Mottus (R), Mario Nabliba (R), Tom Palzer (R), Derrick Michael Reid (L), Ling Ling Shi (NPP), none of the above with 1%; all other candidates 0%; Undecided with 23%
- Arun Bhumitra (R) 4%; Jack Crew (R) 3%; Adrienne Nicole Edwards (D), Don J. Grundmann (C), Kevin Mottus (R), Tom Palzer (R), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Derrick Michael Reid (L), and Paul Taylor (R) with 1%; Colleen Shea Fernald (NPP), Rash Ghosh (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Michael Fahmy Girgis (NPP), Jason Hanania (NPP), David Hildebrand (D), Jerry Laws (R), David Moore (SEP), Mario Nabliba (R), Lee W. Olson (NPP), John Thompson Parker (PFP), Herbert Peters (D), Gerald Plummer (D), Ling Ling Shi (NPP), Donnie Turner (D) with 0%; Undecided with 21%
- Other with 5%, Undecided with 36%
- Herbert Peters (D), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Donnie Turner (D), Derrick Michael Reid (L), John Thompson Parker (PFP), Arun Bhumitra (R), Jerry Laws (R), Mario Nabliba (R), Paul Taylor (R), and David Moore (SEP) with 1%; Adrienne Nicole Edwards (D), David Hildebrand (D), Gerald Plummer (D), Jack Crew (R), Kevin Mottus (R), Tom Palzer (R), Colleen Shea Fernald (NPP), Rash Ghosh (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Michael Fahmy Girgis (NPP), Don J. Grundmann (C), Jason Hanania (NPP), Lee W. Olson (NPP), and Ling Ling Shi (NPP) with 0%; Other 0%; Not voting 0%; Undecided with 41%
- John Melendez* (D) 3%, David Hildebrand (D) 2%, Undecided 16%. *Withdrawn
- John Melendez* (D) 4%, Other 2%, Undecided 17%. *Withdrawn.
- Other Republicans 8%, Other non-Republicans 6%, Undecided 35%
- Other with 2, Undecided with 39%
- Other with 3%, Undecided with 33%
- Other/Undecided with 32%
- Other with 1%, Undecided with 33%
- Not voting with 29%, Undecided with 17%
- Alison Hartson (D) with 3%David Hildebrand (D) 2%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Pat Harris (D), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G, write-in) with 1%; Clifton Roberts (H) 0%; Other with 1%; Undecided with 29%
- Alison Hartson (D) with 3%; Pat Harris (D), David Hildebrand (D), Clifton Roberts (H), Steve Stokes (D), and Michael Ziesing (G, write-in) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jerry Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve (NPP), Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), and Douglas Howard Pierce with 0%; Undecided with 30%
- Stephen Schrader (R) 4%; Pat Harris (D), Alison Hartson (D), John Melendez (D), and Michael Ziesing (G, write-in) with 2%; David Hildebrand (D) and Steve Stokes (D) with 1%; Donald Adams (R), Jery Leon Carroll (NPP), Michael Eisen (NPP), Tim Gildersleeve, Charles Junior Hodge (NPP), Richard Mead (NPP), Douglas Howard Pierce (D), and Clifton Roberts (H) with 0%; Undecided with 30%
- Hart, Angela (February 26, 2018). "Republican drops out of race for California governor". Sacbee.com. Retrieved April 4, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Endorsees". JStreetPAC.
- "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
- "California Democratic Party abandons incumbent Feinstein, endorses opponent". Retrieved September 4, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
- "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
- "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
- Silver, Nate. "California - 2018 Senate Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 20, 2018.
- "Governor - Statewide Results PDF" (PDF). California Secretary of State. Retrieved January 7, 2019.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites