2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana
The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Montana was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. Representative from Montana's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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 County results Gianforte: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Williams: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Montana |
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Republican primary
Declared
- Greg Gianforte, incumbent U.S. Representative[1]
Primary results
2018 Republican Party primary results by county:
Gianforte—100%
Gianforte—>90%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Gianforte (incumbent) | 135,225 | 100 | |
| Total votes | 135,225 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Declared
- John Heenan, attorney[2]
- Grant Kier, former executive director of the Five Valleys Land Trust[3]
- Jared Pettinato, attorney[4]
- Kathleen Williams, former state representative[5]
Withdrew
- Lynda Moss, former state senator (but remained on the ballot)[6][7]
Primary results
Democratic Party primary results by county:
Williams—50–60%
Williams—40–50%
Williams—<40%
Heenan—<40%
Heenan—40–50%
Heenan—50–60%
Kier—<40%
Kier—40–50%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathleen Williams | 37,158 | 33.5 | |
| Democratic | John Heenan | 35,163 | 31.7 | |
| Democratic | Grant Kier | 26,835 | 24.2 | |
| Democratic | Lynda Moss (withdrawn) | 5,592 | 5.0 | |
| Democratic | John Meyer | 3,695 | 3.3 | |
| Democratic | Jared Pettinato | 2,440 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 110,883 | 100 | ||
Libertarian primary
Declared
- Elinor Swanson, attorney[9]
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, September 29, 2018
- Complete video of debate, October 6, 2018
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections/Rothenberg Political Report[11] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Lean R | November 5, 2018 |
Endorsements
Greg Gianforte (R)
- Federal politicians
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States
- Organizations
- Montana Shooting Sports Association[13]
- National Rifle Association[14]
Kathleen Williams (D)
- Federal politicians
- Jon Tester, U.S. Senator (D-MT)[15]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Government Employees District 11[19]
- Montana AFL-CIO[20]
- Montana Sportsmen Alliance[21]
- Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters[22]
- Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Greg Gianforte (R) |
Kathleen Williams (D) |
Elinor Swanson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) | November 2–4, 2018 | 879 | – | 52% | 44% | 2% | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24–26, 2018 | 782 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 48% | – | – | 3% |
| University of Montana | October 10–18, 2018 | 533 | ± 4.3% | 45% | 46% | 2% | – | 7% |
| Montana State University Billings | October 8–13, 2018 | 471 | ± 4.5% | 44% | 41% | 3% | – | 12% |
| Montana State University Bozeman | September 15 – October 6, 2018 | 2,079 | ± 2.2% | 48% | 40% | 2% | 1% | 9% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 19–22, 2018 | 710 | ± 3.7% | 51% | 42% | – | – | 8% |
| AARP/Benenson Strategy Group (D) | September 6–16, 2018 | 950 | ± 3.1% | 46% | 45% | – | 1% | 7% |
| University of Montana | August 13–31, 2018 | 466 | ± 4.5% | 38% | 51% | 3% | – | 8% |
| Gravis Marketing | June 11–13, 2018 | 469 | ± 4.5% | 43% | 49% | – | – | 8% |
Results
Gianforte defeated Kathleen Williams on November 6, 2018.[31]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Gianforte (incumbent) | 256,661 | 50.88% | +0.93% | |
| Democratic | Kathleen Williams | 233,284 | 46.25% | +1.88% | |
| Libertarian | Elinor Swanson | 14,476 | 2.87% | -2.81% | |
| Total votes | 504,421 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican hold | |||||
References
- Michels, Holly K. (June 5, 2017). "Greg Gianforte files for re-election, extension for court appearance expected". Missoulian. Retrieved June 7, 2017.
- Michels, Holly K. (August 7, 2017). "Democratic Billings lawyer, business owner says he's running for Greg Gianforte's seat". Independent Record. Retrieved August 7, 2017.
- Michels, Holly K. (September 12, 2017). "Democrat jumps into primary for U.S. House race". Independent Record. Retrieved September 13, 2017.
- Drake, Phil (October 30, 2017). "Pettinato enters race for lone congressional seat". Great Falls Tribune. Retrieved October 30, 2017.
- Michels, Holly K. (October 26, 2017). "Former Bozeman legislator joins Democratic primary for Montana's U.S. House seat". Independent Record. Retrieved October 26, 2017.
- "Moss Drops Out of Race for Montana's US House Seat - Flathead Beacon". Flathead Beacon. April 19, 2018. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
- Gazette, Billings. "Billings Democrat drops out of Montana House race, but will still be on the ballot". missoulian.com. Retrieved April 20, 2018.
- "Montana Primary Election Results". The New York Times.
- Ambarlan, Jonathon (February 27, 2018). "Billings lawyer enters Montana U.S. House race as Libertarian candidate". KTVH. Archived from the original on July 7, 2018. Retrieved July 6, 2018.
- "2018 House Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. July 10, 2018.
- "House Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 House". www.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved December 26, 2017.
- Christian, Peter (August 30, 2018). "MONTANA GUN GROUP GRADES AND ENDORSES POLITICAL CANDIDATES". NewsTalkKGVO.com.
- Drake, Phil (September 12, 2018). "NRA endorses Gianforte and Rosendale, targets Tester". Great Falls Tribune.
- Michels, Holly (July 13, 2018). "Tester, Williams head to Great Falls to rally Montana Democrats for fall elections". Helena Independent Record.
- "Gazette Opinion: Restore Civility, Elect Williams to U.S. House". Billings Gazette. October 16, 2018.
- "Williams the moderate Montana needs". The Bozeman Daily Chronicle. October 12, 2018.
- "Williams is by far the better candidate for US House". Missoulian. October 21, 2018.
- Swanke, Gerald (August 6, 2018). "AFGE | AFGE Endorses Montana's Kathleen Williams for Congress". www.afge.org. American Federation of Government Employees.
- Harris, Tammy. "2018 Endorsements | Montana AFL-CIO". Montana AFL-CIO.
- Perry, Joe (July 12, 2018). "Montana Sportsmen Alliance PAC: Montana Sportsmen Alliance Endorses Kathleen Williams". montanasportsmenalliance.blogspot.com/. Montana Sportsmen Alliance.
- "@williamsformt will stand up for firefighters and we stand behind her". www.facebook.com. Montana State Council of Professional Fire Fighters. July 18, 2018.
- Stephanie Schriock (June 28, 2018). "Emily's List Endorses Kathleen Williams for Montana's At-Large Congressional District". Emily's List.
- Muller, Tiffany (August 13, 2018). "Four Reform Candidates Earn End Citizens United Endorsement - End Citizens United". End Citizens United.
- Giffords, Gabrielle (July 25, 2018). "Giffords Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress in Montana - Giffords". Giffords.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan; Potts, Rick (September 14, 2018). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kathleen Williams for Congress - League of Conservation Voters". League of Conservation Voters.
- Tyler, Dave (June 20, 2018). "Montana Conservation Voters Endorses Kathleen Williams for U.S. House of Representatives". mtvoters.org.
- Richtman, Max (August 1, 2018). "Letter of Endorsement for Kathleen Williams - NCPSSM". www.ncpssm.org. NCPSSM-PAC.
- "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. National Organization for Women PAC. August 23, 2017.
- "List of Endorsements: 2018 Election". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
- "House Races Midterms 2018 America's Election HQ". FOX News]. November 6, 2018. Retrieved November 11, 2018.
- Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites
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