2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi

2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi
	November 6, 2018
	November 6, 2018
Turnout	49.66%
	County Results; Wicker: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% ; Baria: 40-50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80%
U.S. senator before election; Roger Wicker; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Roger Wicker; Republican

The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was reelected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.

The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary fails to produce a majority winner.[1] The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.

Republican primary

Declared

Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Richard Boyanton, businessman[3]

Withdrawn

Chris McDaniel, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014[4][5][6][7][8] (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)[9][10]

Endorsements

Roger Wicker

U.S. Presidents

Governors

Phil Bryant, Mississippi[13]

Statewide Officials

Greg Snowden, Speaker pro tempore of the Mississippi House of Representatives[14]

U.S. Senators

Rick Santorum, former U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania[15]

Mississippi State Officials

Dane Maxwell, Mayor of Pascagoula[16]

Chris McDaniel (withdrawn)

Political operatives

Tommy Barnett, treasurer of Remember Mississippi super PAC[17]
Laura Van Overschelde, Chair of the Mississippi Tea Party[18]
Grant Sowell, Chair of the Tupelo Tea Party[19]

Results

Results by county

Map legend

Wicker—≥90%
Wicker—80–90%
Wicker—70–80%
Wicker—60–70%

Republican primary results[20]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	130,118	82.79%
	Republican	Richard Boyanton	27,052	17.21%
Total votes			157,170	100%

Democratic primary

Declared

David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader[21]
Jensen Bohren[22]
Jerone Garland[23]
Victor G. Maurice Jr.[23]
Omeria Scott, state representative[24]
Howard Sherman, businessman[25]

Declined

Jeramey Anderson, state representative (running for MS-4)[26][27]
Brandon Presley, chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission[28][29]

Endorsements

Jensen Bohren

Organizations

Jackpine Radicals[30]
Vote STEM[31]
Sustainable Politician Project[32]
Mississippi DSA[33]

David Baria

Organizations

End Citizens United[34]
Mississippi AFL-CIO[35]
Mississippi Association of Educators [36]
Sierra Club[37]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	David Baria	Jensen Bohren	Omeria Scott	Howard Sherman	Undecided
Triumph Campaigns	April 10–11, 2018	446	7%	4%	9%	2%	79%

Results

Initial primary results by county

Map legend

Sherman—50–60%
Sherman—40–50%
Sherman—30–40%
Baria—30–40%
Baria—40–50%
Baria—50–60%
Baria—60–70%
Baria—80–90%
Scott—30–40%
Scott—40–50%
Scott—50–60%
Scott—70–80%
Scott—80–90%
Garland—50–60%

Democratic primary results[38]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Howard Sherman	27,957	31.79%
	Democratic	David Baria	27,244	30.98%
	Democratic	Omeria Scott	21,278	24.20%
	Democratic	Victor G. Maurice Jr.	4,361	4.96%
	Democratic	Jerone Garland	4,266	4.85%
	Democratic	Jensen Bohren	2,825	3.21%
Total votes			87,931	100%

Runoff results

Primary runoff results by county

Map legend

Baria—≥90%
Baria—80–90%
Baria—70–80%
Baria—60–70%
Baria—50–60%
Sherman—50–60%
Sherman—60–70%
Sherman—70–80%
Sherman—80–90%

Democratic primary runoff results[39]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	David Baria	44,156	58.64%
	Democratic	Howard Sherman	31,149	41.36%
Total votes			75,305	100%

Independents and third party candidates

Declared

Danny Bedwell, candidate for MS-01 in 2012 and 2014[23]

Declared

Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate[23]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[40]	Safe R	September 29, 2017
Inside Elections[41]	Safe R	September 29, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[42]	Safe R	September 27, 2017
Fox News[43]	Likely R	July 9, 2018
CNN[44]	Safe R	July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[45]	Safe R	June 2018

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018
Candidate	Total receipts	Total disbursements	Cash on hand
Roger Wicker (R)	$5,349,028	$3,831,418	$3,138,044
David Baria (D)	$532,629	$528,325	$72,922
Source: Federal Election Commission[46]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Roger Wicker (R)	David Baria (D)	Danny Bedwell (L)	Other	Undecided
Change Research	November 2–4, 2018	1,003	–	48%	40%	5%	3%[47]	–
Marist College	October 13–18, 2018	511 LV	± 6.1%	57%	31%	2%	2%[48]	9%
		511 LV	± 6.1%	60%	32%	–	2%	7%
		856 RV	± 4.7%	54%	30%	3%	2%[48]	10%
		856 RV	± 4.7%	57%	32%	–	2%	9%
SurveyMonkey	September 9–24, 2018	985	± 4.3%	43%	29%	–	–	27%
Triumph Campaigns	July 30–31, 2018	2,100	± 3.5%	53%	32%	1%	2%[49]	12%
Triumph Campaigns	April 10–11, 2018	1,000	± 3.0%	48%	31%	–	–	21%

Results

United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018[50]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Roger Wicker (incumbent)	547,619	58.49%	+1.33%
	Democratic	David Baria	369,567	39.47%	-1.08%
	Libertarian	Danny Bedwell	12,981	1.39%	N/A
	Reform	Shawn O'Hara	6,048	0.65%	-0.41%
Total votes			936,215	100%	N/A
	Republican hold

References

"United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.
"Former President Bush to attend private event in Jackson". Starkville Daily News. June 1, 2017. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2017.
"Candidacy form" (PDF). docquery.fec.gov.
Pender, Geoff (November 16, 2015). "Some post-Trump political prognostics". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
"Precursor to 2018? Coordinated effort by McDaniel, Sojourner, Walters to malign Sen. @RogerWicker". Yall Politics. November 14, 2015. Retrieved December 6, 2016.
Harrison, Bobby (July 9, 2017). "Will Tupelo's Wicker face McDaniel challenge in 2018 Senate race?". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
"GOP showdown: McDaniel expected to challenge Wicker for Senate".
Swanson, Ian (28 February 2018). "McDaniel makes GOP Senate challenge official in Miss".
"McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat - Chris McDaniel for US Senate". 14 March 2018. Archived from the original on 15 March 2018. Retrieved 14 March 2018.
"Senator Chris McDaniel". www.facebook.com.
"Ex-President George W. Bush Raises Money for Sen. Wicker". U.S. News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved March 4, 2018.
"President Donald Trump is backing Sen. Roger Wicker against a Steve Bannon-led challenge by Chris McDaniel". The Sun Herald. October 20, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
Phil Bryant. "I agree with @realDonaldTrump. Sen. Roger Wicker has been instrumental in cutting taxes, eliminating burdensome regulations, creating jobs and strengthening our border. Mississippi needs Sen. Wicker in Washington, and I hope you will join me in voting for him on June 5". Twitter.
Greg Snowden. "Every citizen is entitled to their own opinion, of course, but for myself, I stand with President Donald Trump in supporting the re-election of Senator Roger Wicker". Twitter.
"Santorum Endorses Wicker".
Ulmer, Sarah (December 15, 2017). "Pascagoula Mayor Dane Maxwell: We're going to fight to keep Senator Wicker". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 15, 2017.
"#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.
"#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel’s efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.
"#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It’s time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi’s conservative constituency.
"2018 Mississippi Republican primary election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.
Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 28, 2018). "Democrat David Baria enters Senate race in Mississippi". POLITICO.
"BOHREN, JENSEN MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.
"Qualifying list" (PDF). www.sos.ms.gov.
"Omeria Scott running for US Senate". WTOK.com. March 1, 2018.
Hall, Sam R.; Pender, Geoff (February 28, 2018). "2 Democrats — state lawmaker, Sela Ward's husband — enter #MSSEN race". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2018.
"Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved 2017-12-29.
"Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race". sunherald. Retrieved 2017-12-29.
Harrison, Bobby (October 19, 2017). "Presley could be hope for Democrats under right circumstances". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved October 19, 2017.
Dovere, Edward-Isaac (January 18, 2018). "Top Democratic recruit passes on Mississippi Senate run". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2018.
"2018 election progressive candidates". JackpineRadicals.com. Jackpine Radicals. November 23, 2017. Archived from the original on December 14, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.
"2018 Mississippi Candidates Vetted". VoteSTEM.org. Vote STEM. February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 14, 2018.
"Sustainable Politician Project". sustainablepoliticianproject.com. Sustainable Politician Project. May 7, 2018. Retrieved May 15, 2018.
"Vote For Jensen". Twitter.com. MSDSA. June 3, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.
Muller, Tiffany (September 6, 2018). "End Citizens United Endorses Five Reformers for Congress". End Citizens United.
"Baria endorsed by Mississippi AFL-CIO". bariaformississippi.com. March 27, 2018. Retrieved May 13, 2018.
"Baria gets endorsement from MAE". WTOK. October 9, 2018.
"Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
"2018 Mississippi Democratic primary election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.
"2018 Mississippi Democratic primary runoff election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.
"2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
"2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
"2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
"2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
"Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
"Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
"Campaign finance data". Retrieved July 27, 2018.
Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 3%
Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 1%, other with 1%
Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 2%
http://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2018-General-Election.aspx

External links

Candidates at Vote Smart
Candidates at Ballotpedia
Campaign finance at FEC
Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics

Official campaign websites

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[1] "United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2018 - Ballotpedia". Retrieved March 3, 2017.

[2] "Former President Bush to attend private event in Jackson". Starkville Daily News. June 1, 2017. Archived from the original on June 12, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2017.

[3] "Candidacy form" (PDF). docquery.fec.gov.

[4] Pender, Geoff (November 16, 2015). "Some post-Trump political prognostics". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved December 6, 2016.

[5] "Precursor to 2018? Coordinated effort by McDaniel, Sojourner, Walters to malign Sen. @RogerWicker". Yall Politics. November 14, 2015. Retrieved December 6, 2016.

[6] Harrison, Bobby (July 9, 2017). "Will Tupelo's Wicker face McDaniel challenge in 2018 Senate race?". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved July 17, 2017.

[7] "GOP showdown: McDaniel expected to challenge Wicker for Senate".

[8] Swanson, Ian (28 February 2018). "McDaniel makes GOP Senate challenge official in Miss".

[9] "McDaniel to Run for Open Mississippi Senate Seat - Chris McDaniel for US Senate". 14 March 2018. Archived from the original on 15 March 2018. Retrieved 14 March 2018.

[10] "Senator Chris McDaniel". www.facebook.com.

[11] "Ex-President George W. Bush Raises Money for Sen. Wicker". U.S. News. June 1, 2017. Retrieved March 4, 2018.

[12] "President Donald Trump is backing Sen. Roger Wicker against a Steve Bannon-led challenge by Chris McDaniel". The Sun Herald. October 20, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.

[13] Phil Bryant. "I agree with @realDonaldTrump. Sen. Roger Wicker has been instrumental in cutting taxes, eliminating burdensome regulations, creating jobs and strengthening our border. Mississippi needs Sen. Wicker in Washington, and I hope you will join me in voting for him on June 5". Twitter.

[14] Greg Snowden. "Every citizen is entitled to their own opinion, of course, but for myself, I stand with President Donald Trump in supporting the re-election of Senator Roger Wicker". Twitter.

[15] "Santorum Endorses Wicker".

[16] Ulmer, Sarah (December 15, 2017). "Pascagoula Mayor Dane Maxwell: We're going to fight to keep Senator Wicker". Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 15, 2017.

[17] "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. If Senator Chris McDaniel chooses to run for U.S. Senate, he will have our support and the support of these state and local leaders, along with many of their grassroots organizations... We are ready to hit the ground running to elect Chris McDaniel.

[18] "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. In 2014, the common folks of Mississippi made the very definite statement that we are not being heard and those in power have no intention of hearing us... One person, Chris McDaniel, had the courage to say enough is enough. We almost got it done and common people all over the country recognized what we nearly accomplished. We support Chris McDaniel’s efforts to reestablish governance by the consent of the governed.

[19] "#RememberMississippi PAC releases 'grassroots' letter to Chris McDaniel regarding #mssen". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. December 19, 2017. Retrieved January 4, 2018. Year after year, our Senators and Congressmen rank so low on most conservative scorecards. It’s time we elect a Senator who truly represents Mississippi’s conservative constituency.

[20] "2018 Mississippi Republican primary election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.

[21] Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 28, 2018). "Democrat David Baria enters Senate race in Mississippi". POLITICO.

[22] "BOHREN, JENSEN MR - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov.

[MSvote-23] "Qualifying list" (PDF). www.sos.ms.gov.

[24] "Omeria Scott running for US Senate". WTOK.com. March 1, 2018.

[25] Hall, Sam R.; Pender, Geoff (February 28, 2018). "2 Democrats — state lawmaker, Sela Ward's husband — enter #MSSEN race". The Clarion-Ledger. Retrieved February 28, 2018.

[:0-26] "Here are a few Democrats who could make a U.S. Senate run in Mississippi". The Clarion Ledger. Retrieved 2017-12-29.

[27] "Millennial Democrat enters 4th Congressional District race". sunherald. Retrieved 2017-12-29.

[28] Harrison, Bobby (October 19, 2017). "Presley could be hope for Democrats under right circumstances". Northeast Mississippi Daily Journal. Retrieved October 19, 2017.

[Presley_Out-29] Dovere, Edward-Isaac (January 18, 2018). "Top Democratic recruit passes on Mississippi Senate run". Politico. Retrieved January 18, 2018.

[30] "2018 election progressive candidates". JackpineRadicals.com. Jackpine Radicals. November 23, 2017. Archived from the original on December 14, 2017. Retrieved December 13, 2017.

[31] "2018 Mississippi Candidates Vetted". VoteSTEM.org. Vote STEM. February 5, 2018. Retrieved February 14, 2018.

[32] "Sustainable Politician Project". sustainablepoliticianproject.com. Sustainable Politician Project. May 7, 2018. Retrieved May 15, 2018.

[33] "Vote For Jensen". Twitter.com. MSDSA. June 3, 2018. Retrieved June 5, 2018.

[34] Muller, Tiffany (September 6, 2018). "End Citizens United Endorses Five Reformers for Congress". End Citizens United.

[35] "Baria endorsed by Mississippi AFL-CIO". bariaformississippi.com. March 27, 2018. Retrieved May 13, 2018.

[36] "Baria gets endorsement from MAE". WTOK. October 9, 2018.

[37] "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".

[38] "2018 Mississippi Democratic primary election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.

[39] "2018 Mississippi Democratic primary runoff election results" (PDF). Retrieved 12 June 2019.

[40] "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.

[41] "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.

[42] "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.

[43] "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.

[44] "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.

[45] "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.

[46] "Campaign finance data". Retrieved July 27, 2018.

[47] Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 3%

[ReferenceA-48] Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 1%, other with 1%

[49] Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 2%

[50] ttp://www.sos.ms.gov/Elections-Voting/Pages/2018-General-Election.aspx

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