2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma
The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the five U.S. Representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Primary elections were held on June 26 and runoff elections were held two months later on August 28.[1] The state congressional delegation changed from 5-0 majority for Republicans to a 4-1 Republican majority. This is the first time since the 2012 election that Democrats held a seat in the state.
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All 5 Oklahoma seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results: Republican hold Democratic gain | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Results Summary
| Elections in Oklahoma |
|---|
 |
 Government |
Statewide
District
Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma by district:[2]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 150,129 | 59.30% | 103,042 | 40.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 253,171 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 2 | 140,451 | 65.02% | 65,021 | 30.10% | 10,530 | 4.87% | 216,002 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 3 | 172,913 | 73.87% | 61,152 | 26.13% | 0 | 0.00% | 234,065 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 4 | 149,227 | 63.06% | 78,088 | 33.00% | 9,323 | 3.94% | 236,638 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 5 | 117,811 | 49.30% | 121,149 | 50.70% | 0 | 0.00% | 238,960 | 100.00% | Democratic Gain |
| Total | 730,531 | 61.97% | 428,452 | 36.35% | 19,853 | 1.68% | 1,178,836 | 100.00% | |
District 1
Precinct-level results of the 2018 election in Oklahoma's 1st congressional district
The 1st district is located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and includes Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent was Republican Jim Bridenstine, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected unopposed in the general election and with 81% of the vote in the Republican primary.
During his initial election in 2012, Bridenstine self-imposed a three term limit. Bridenstine has confirmed he will honor his term-limit pledge.[3][4]
Bridenstine has become Administrator of NASA in the Donald Trump administration.[5]
Declared
- Andy Coleman, veteran
- Nathan Dahm, State Senator
- Tim Harris, Tulsa district attorney
- Kevin Hern, businessman
- Danny Stockstill
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tim Harris | 28,392 | 27.5 | |
| Republican | Kevin Hern | 23,425 | 22.7 | |
| Republican | Andy Coleman | 22,584 | 21.9 | |
| Republican | Nathan Dahm | 20,843 | 20.2 | |
| Republican | Danny Stockstill | 8,086 | 7.8 | |
| Total votes | 103,330 | 100.0 | ||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tim Harris |
Kevin Hern |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | July 24–29, 2018 | 811 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Hern | 40,373 | 54.9 | |
| Republican | Tim Harris | 33,138 | 45.1 | |
| Total votes | 73,511 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic primary
- Declared
- Amanda Douglas, business analyst, energy consultant and member of the Cherokee Nation[6]
- Tim Gilpin, attorney, and former Oklahoma State Board of Education member[7]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 24,532 | 34.5 | |
| Democratic | Amanda Douglas | 23,045 | 32.4 | |
| Democratic | Gwendolyn Fields | 13,947 | 19.6 | |
| Democratic | Mark Keeter | 6,013 | 8.5 | |
| Democratic | David Hullum | 3,573 | 5.0 | |
| Total votes | 71,110 | 100.0 | ||
Runoff results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 16,985 | 59.4 | |
| Democratic | Amanda Douglas | 11,620 | 40.6 | |
| Total votes | 28,605 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[8] | Solid R | November 6, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[9] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[10] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[12] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kevin Hern (R) |
Tim Gilpin (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | September 15–25, 2018 | 306 | ± 5.6% | 54% | 32% | 14% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Kevin Hern | 150,129 | 59.3 | |
| Democratic | Tim Gilpin | 103,042 | 40.7 | |
| Total votes | 253,171 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
The 2nd district is located in the regions of Green Country and Kiamichi Country and includes the city of Muskogee and numerous sparsely populated counties. The incumbent is Republican Markwayne Mullin, who has represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2016.
Mullin had pledged to serve only three terms when he was first elected in 2012. During the 2016 campaign, Mullin stated he was reassessing his pledge, and refused to rule out running again in 2018.[14]
Declared
- Markwayne Mullin, incumbent
- Brian Jackson
- Jarrin Jackson[15]
- John McCarthy
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 32,624 | 54.1 | |
| Republican | Jarrin Jackson | 15,191 | 25.2 | |
| Republican | Brian Jackson | 6,899 | 11.5 | |
| Republican | John McCarthy | 5,536 | 9.2 | |
| Total votes | 60,250 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Jarrin Jackson
- U.S. Senators
- Tom Coburn, Former U.S. Senator (R-OK)[16]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason Nichols | 32,549 | 37.9 | |
| Democratic | Clay Padgett | 20,796 | 24.2 | |
| Democratic | Elijah McIntosh | 16,343 | 19.0 | |
| Democratic | Virginia Jenner | 16,204 | 18.9 | |
| Total votes | 85,892 | 100.0 | ||
Runoff results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jason Nichols | 19,548 | 56.8 | |
| Democratic | Clay Padgett | 14,845 | 43.2 | |
| Total votes | 34,393 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[17] | Solid R | November 6, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[18] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[19] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[21] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Markwayne Mullin (R) |
Jason Nichols (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | September 15–25, 2018 | 306 | ± 5.6% | 46% | 32% | 10%[22] | 12% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Markwayne Mullin (incumbent) | 140,451 | 65.0 | |
| Democratic | Jason Nichols | 65,021 | 30.1 | |
| Independent | John Foreman | 6,390 | 3.0 | |
| Libertarian | Richard Castaldo | 4,140 | 1.9 | |
| Total votes | 216,002 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
The 3rd district is located in Western Oklahoma. The largest district in Oklahoma and one of the largest in the country, it includes the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City and the city of Stillwater as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent is Republican Frank Lucas, who has represented the district since 2003 and previously represented the 6th district from 1994 to 2003. He was re-elected with 78% of the vote in 2016.
Republican primary
- Frank Lucas, incumbent
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 38,733 | 64.8 | |
| Democratic | Murray Thibodeaux | 20,998 | 35.2 | |
| Total votes | 59,731 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[23] | Solid R | November 6, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[24] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[25] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[27] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Frank Lucas (R) |
Frankie Robbins (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | September 15–25, 2018 | 267 | ± 6.0% | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Frank Lucas (incumbent) | 172,913 | 73.9 | |
| Democratic | Frankie Robbins | 61,152 | 26.1 | |
| Total votes | 234,065 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
The 4th district is located in South Central Oklahoma and includes the suburbs of Oklahoma City, such as the counties of Canadian, Comanche and Cleveland and numerous other sparsely populated counties. The incumbent is Republican Tom Cole, who has represented the district since 2003. He was re-elected with 70% of the vote in 2016.
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 55,891 | 64.7 | |
| Republican | James Taylor | 30,441 | 35.3 | |
| Total votes | 86,332 | 100.0 | ||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Brannon | 25,736 | 34.4 | |
| Democratic | Fred Gipson | 22,744 | 30.4 | |
| Democratic | Mallory Varner | 13,938 | 18.6 | |
| Democratic | Roxann Klutts | 12,482 | 16.7 | |
| Total votes | 74,900 | 100.0 | ||
Runoff results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Mary Brannon | 15,245 | 57.5 | |
| Democratic | Fred Gipson | 11,264 | 42.5 | |
| Total votes | 26,509 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[28] | Solid R | November 6, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[29] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[30] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[31] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Tom Cole (R) |
Mary Brannon (D) |
Rudy Peters (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | September 15–25, 2018 | 291 | ± 5.74% | 58% | 25% | 6% | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tom Cole (incumbent) | 149,227 | 63.1 | |
| Democratic | Mary Brannon | 78,088 | 33.0 | |
| Independent | Ruby Peters | 9,323 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 236,638 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 5
Precinct-level results of the 2018 election in Oklahoma's 5th congressional district
The 5th district is located in Central Oklahoma and centered around the state capital, Oklahoma City, and the surrounding areas such as Edmond and Shawnee. The incumbent was Republican Steve Russell, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2016. He was defeated by Democratic challenger Kendra Horn in the 2018 election.
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Russell (incumbent) | 65,982 | 83.6 | |
| Republican | Gregory Dunson | 7,638 | 9.7 | |
| Republican | DeJuan Edwards | 5,284 | 6.7 | |
| Total votes | 78,904 | 100.0 | ||
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kendra Horn | 34,857 | 43.8 | |
| Democratic | Tom Guild | 14,242 | 17.9 | |
| Democratic | Elysabeth Britt | 10,739 | 13.5 | |
| Democratic | Eddie Porter | 8,447 | 10.6 | |
| Democratic | Leona Kelley-Leonard | 6,693 | 8.4 | |
| Democratic | Tyson Todd Meade | 4,527 | 5.7 | |
| Total votes | 79,505 | 100.0 | ||
Runoff results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kendra Horn | 22,052 | 75.8 | |
| Democratic | Tom Guild | 7,039 | 24.2 | |
| Total votes | 29,091 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| 538[33] | Likely R | November 6, 2018 |
| Daily Kos[34] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| RCP[35] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
| Inside Elections[37] | Safe R | November 5, 2018 |
| The Cook Political Report[13] | Likely R | November 5, 2018 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Steve Russell (R) |
Kendra Horn (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | October 29, 2018 | 440 | ± 4.66% | 49% | 37% | 14% |
| VCreek/AMG (R-Russell) | October 14–15, 2018 | 974 | ± 3.14% | 51% | 35% | 14% |
| VCreek/AMG (R-Russell) | September 24–25, 2018 | 1,407 | ± 2.61% | 50% | 37% | 13% |
| SoonerPoll | September 15–25, 2018 | 303 | ± 5.63% | 47% | 37% | 16% |
| VCreek/AMG (R-Russell) | September 4–6, 2018 | 1,182 | ± 2.85% | 49% | 35% | 16% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kendra Horn | 121,149 | 50.7 | |
| Republican | Steve Russell (incumbent) | 117,811 | 49.3 | |
| Total votes | 238,960 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
References
- "Oklahoma Elections — 2018". Oklahoma State Election Board. The State of Oklahoma. Retrieved 20 August 2018.
- Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 6, 2018". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved April 27, 2019.
- Krehbiel, Randy (November 10, 2015). "Congressman Jim Bridenstine says third term would be his last". Tulsa World. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- Casteel, Chris (October 17, 2016). "After ho-hum year for state political contests, 2018 will be 'transformational'". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 4, 2016.
- Davenport, Christian (November 11, 2016). "GOP congressman being considered for NASA administrator in Trump administration". The Washington Post. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- "Amanda Douglas is the latest candidate for Native Vote18 in Oklahoma - IndianCountryToday.com". Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- "TIM". Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
- Casteel, Chris (March 30, 2016). "Oklahoma Congressman Mullin may reassess term limits pledge". The Oklahoman. Retrieved November 22, 2016.
- "JACKSON, JARRIN DALE - Candidate overview - FEC.gov". FEC.gov. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- "Coburn will work to oust Mullin after congressman breaks term limit pledge". 8 July 2017. Retrieved 12 September 2018.
- Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- John Foreman (I) with 6%, Richard Castaldo (L) with 4%
- Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
- "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
- "Official Results - General Election — November 6, 2018" (PDF). Oklahoma Secretary of State. November 6, 2018. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
External links
- Candidates at Vote Smart
- Candidates at Ballotpedia
- Campaign finance at FEC
- Campaign finance at Center for Responsive Politics
- Official campaign websites for first district candidates
- Official campaign websites for second district candidates
- Official campaign websites for third district candidates
- Official campaign websites for fourth district candidates
- Official campaign websites for fifth district candidates
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