2018 United States Senate election in Maryland

The 2018 United States Senate election in Maryland took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Maryland. It was held concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Ben Cardin was re-elected to a third term by a landslide margin of around 35 points.

2018 United States Senate election in Maryland
November 6, 2018
Turnout58.17%
 
Nominee Ben Cardin Tony Campbell
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,491,614 697,017
Percentage 64.9% 30.3%
County Results

Cardin:      40-50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

Campbell:      50–60%      70–80%
U.S. senator before election

Ben Cardin
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Ben Cardin
Democratic

Elections in Maryland
Federal government
Presidential elections
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
State government
State Elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Comptroller elections
General Assembly elections
County government
County executive elections
County offices
Ballot measures
2012
Annapolis
Mayoral elections
Baltimore
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Other elections
Frederick
Mayoral elections
Government

The primary election for the Senate race was held on June 26, 2018.[1]

The incumbent, Ben Cardin, won the Democratic Party primary. In the general election, Cardin was reelected to a third term.[2] Tony Campbell, a professor of political science at Towson University and former Army Chaplain, won the Republican Party primary. If elected, Campbell would have become Maryland's first African-American U.S. Senator.[3][4] Businessman Neal Simon ran as an independent and Arvin Vohra was the Libertarian Party nominee in the general election. There were also several official write-in candidates.

Democratic primary

Declared

Declined

Endorsements
Ben Cardin
Organizations
Chelsea Manning
Individuals

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ben
Cardin		 Chelsea
Manning		 Other Undecided
Goucher College February 12–18, 2018 409 ± 4.8% 61% 17% 3% 19%

Results
Results by county:
Democratic primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 447,441 79.24%
Democratic Chelsea Manning 34,611 6.13%
Democratic Jerome Segal 20,027 3.55%
Democratic Debbie Wilson 18,953 3.36%
Democratic Marcia H. Morgan 16,047 2.84%
Democratic Lih Young 9,874 1.75%
Democratic Richard Vaughn 9,480 1.68%
Democratic Erik Jetmir 8,259 1.46%
Total votes 564,692 100.00%

Republican primary

Declared
  • Tony Campbell,[5] of Baltimore County,[9] political science faculty member at Towson University[23]
  • Chris Chaffee,[5] candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016[24]
  • Evan M. Cronhardt,[5] of Anne Arundel County
  • Nnabu Eze,[5] of Baltimore County,[9] Green nominee for MD-03 in 2016[25]
  • John Graziani, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and candidate for MD-04 in 2014[5]
  • Christina J. Grigorian, attorney[5]
  • Albert Howard[5]
  • Bill Krehnbrink, perennial candidate[5]
  • Gerald I. Smith, Jr., conspiracy theorist,[5] of Cecil County[9]
  • Blaine Taylor, perennial candidate,[5] of Baltimore County[9]
  • Brian Charles Vaeth, perennial candidate[5]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
Tony Campbell
State legislators[28]
Individuals
Sam Faddis (withdrew)
State Senators
Individuals

Results
Results by county:
Republican primary results[22]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tony Campbell 51,426 29.22%
Republican Chris Chaffee 42,328 24.05%
Republican Christina J. Grigorian 30,786 17.49%
Republican John Graziani 15,435 8.77%
Republican Blaine Taylor 8,848 5.03%
Republican Gerald I. Smith, Jr. 7,564 4.30%
Republican Brian Vaeth 5,411 3.08%
Republican Evan M. Cronhardt 4,445 2.53%
Republican Bill Krehnbrink 3,606 2.05%
Republican Nnabu Eze 3,442 1.96%
Republican Albert Howard 2,720 1.55%
Total votes 175,981 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Declared

Independents

Declared
  • Michael B Puskar, property manager
  • Edward Shlikas, home care compliance manager[34]
  • Neal Simon, businessman[35][36]

General election

Candidates

Endorsements
Ben Cardin (D)
Organizations
Tony Campbell (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State Senators[28]
State Delegates
Individuals
Organizations
Neal Simon (I)
Organizations
Individuals

Debates

On October 7, 2018 Cardin, independent candidate Neal Simon, and Republican candidate Tony Campbell participated in the sole televised debate of the campaign.[46][47][48]

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[49] Safe D September 28, 2018
Inside Elections[50] Safe D November 14, 2017
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Safe D November 15, 2017
Fox News[52] Likely D July 9, 2018
CNN[53] Safe D July 12, 2018
RealClearPolitics[54] Safe D June 2018

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Ben
Cardin (D)		 Tony
Campbell (R)		 Neal
Simon (I)		 Other Undecided
Gonzales Research (I-Simon) October 1–6, 2018 806 ± 3.5% 49% 22% 18% – 11%
Goucher College September 11–16, 2018 472 ± 4.5% 56% 17% 8% 1%[55] 14%

Results
2018 United States Senate election in Maryland[56]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Ben Cardin (incumbent) 1,491,614 64.86% +8.88%
Republican Tony Campbell 697,017 30.31% +3.98%
Independent Neal Simon 85,964 3.74% N/A
Libertarian Arvin Vohra 22,943 1.00% -0.22%
Write-in 2,351 0.10% N/A
Total votes 2,299,889 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

References
  1. "United States Senate election in Maryland, 2018". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on May 2, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  2. "Maryland Primary Election Results". The New York Times. June 28, 2018. Retrieved October 18, 2018.
  3. Dresser, Michael (October 7, 2018). "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  4. Hall, Tom; Sivak, Rob (October 15, 2018). "Tony Campbell: Republican for US Senate". WYPR. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  5. "2018 Candidate Listing". 2018 Gubernatorial Election. Maryland Board of Elections. June 15, 2018. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  6. "Candidates (criteria: 2018+Senate+Maryland)". Campaign finance data. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  7. Jouvenal, Justin; Portnoy, Jenna (January 13, 2018). "Chelsea Manning files to run for U.S. Senate in Maryland". The Washington Post. Katherine Shaver contributed. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  8. "Chelsea Manning officially files for US Senate race". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. January 18, 2018. Retrieved June 17, 2018.
  9. Divilio, Daniel (February 22, 2018). "Candidate filing last call Feb. 27 (Pt. 2: Filing)". Kent County News. Chestertown, Maryland. p. A15. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  10. "Somebody's already using the 'E' word". Community. The Enterprise. St. Mary's County, Maryland. June 28, 2017. p. A8. Retrieved June 27, 2018 – via Newspapers.com (Publisher Extra).
  11. Delaney, John (July 28, 2017). "John Delaney: Why I'm Running for President".
  12. Siegel, Rachel; Wiggins, Ovetta (2017-10-05). "Former Maryland congresswoman Donna Edwards to run for county executive". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2017-12-14.
  13. Shurberg, Jonathan (June 7, 2016). "2018: Whither Ben Cardin?". Maryland Scramble.
  14. "AFSCME Maryland Council 3 2018 Primary Guide".
  15. "Afro 2018 endorsement guide".
  16. "LCV Action Fund Endorses Ben Cardin for Reelection". League of Conservation Voters. May 30, 2018.
  17. "NRDC Action Fund announces first wave of 2018 Senate endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. January 5, 2018.
  18. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements".
  19. ContraPointsLive (24 March 2018). "Discussion with Chelsea Manning" – via YouTube.
  20. The Jimmy Dore Show (15 January 2018). "Chelsea Manning Announces Senate Run - Democrats Smear Her" – via YouTube.
  21. "Linda Sarsour endorses Chelsea Manning for U.S. Senate". The Washington Times. 16 January 2018.
  22. "2018 Maryland primary election results". Retrieved 12 June 2019.
  23. "Faculty" (PDF). Faculty Resources. Towson University. October 31, 2016. Political Science. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  24. "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Board of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  25. "2016 Candidate Listing". Maryland State Boad of Elections. April 26, 2016. Retrieved June 15, 2018.
  26. Murphy, Jack (May 31, 2017). "Former CIA Officer Sam Faddis running for Senate in Maryland". SOFREP. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  27. Fritze, John (July 14, 2017). "Ben Cardin raises nearly $1M for 2018 reelection". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved July 17, 2017.
  28. "Twenty One State Senators and Delegates". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 28, 2018. Retrieved June 28, 2018.
  29. "Ellen Sauerbrey Endorsement". Campbell 4 Maryland. May 16, 2018. Archived from the original on May 30, 2018. Retrieved May 29, 2018.
  30. "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  31. "Former RNC Chairman and Maryland Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele Endorses Tony Campbell". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 21, 2018. Retrieved June 21, 2018.
  32. "I Stand With Sam". Sam Faddis For US Senate. Archived from the original on 2017-09-25. Retrieved 2017-09-25.
  33. Pyeatt, Jill (July 4, 2017). "Arvin Vohra, Vice Chairman of Libertarian Party, Announces Run for U S Senate". Independent Political Report. Retrieved January 13, 2018.
  34. "Shlikas will fix it!". Shlikas for Senate. Retrieved December 20, 2017.
  35. "Sen. Ben Cardin may get independent challenger backed by Centrist Project".
  36. Fritze, John (February 6, 2018). "An independent candidate for Senate in Maryland says 'it's about change,' as the incumbent files for re-election". The Baltimore Sun. Retrieved February 11, 2018.
  37. NCPSSM. "Candidates We Endorse and Support".
  38. "Federal Endorsements by the NOW PAC | National Organization for Women Political Action Committees". nowpac.org. August 23, 2017.
  39. Campbell4Maryland. "Tony Campbell has obtained the enthusiastic support of Dr. Ben Carson!". www.facebook.com.
  40. "NRA-PVF". Campbell 4 Maryland. June 13, 2018. Archived from the original on June 29, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  41. "Campbell4Maryland". www.facebook.com.
  42. "Campbell Releases New Endorsements". Red Maryland. September 27, 2018.
  43. "FRC Action PAC Announces Endorsement of Dr. Tony Campbell for U.S. Senate". FRC Action. September 18, 2018.
  44. Dovere, Edward-Isaac (February 27, 2018). "Statewide independents roll out national slate".
  45. Barker, Jeff. "Independent U.S. Senate candidate for Maryland Neal Simon says Gov. Larry Hogan voted for him". Baltimore Sun. Baltimore Sun. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  46. "Cardin defends record in first Maryland debate for U.S. Senate". The Washington Post. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
  47. Dresser, Michael. "U.S. Senate challengers fault Cardin in debate for not solving problems". baltimoresun.com. Retrieved 2018-10-08.
  48. "Maryland Senate Debate, Oct 7 2018 - Video - C-SPAN.org". www.c-span.org.
  49. "2018 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  50. "2018 Senate Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  51. "2018 Crystal Ball Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 11, 2017.
  52. "2018 Senate Power Rankings". Retrieved July 10, 2018.
  53. "Key Races: Senate". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  54. "Battle for the Senate 2018". Retrieved July 15, 2018.
  55. Arvin Vohra (L) with 1%
  56. "2018 Election Results". elections.maryland.gov.
Official campaign websites
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