2018 Texas gubernatorial election

The 2018 Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Governor of Texas, concurrently with the election of Texas's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other congressional, state and local elections throughout the United States and Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott successfully won re-election to a second term in office[1] defeating Democratic nominee Lupe Valdez, the former sheriff of Dallas County, and Libertarian nominee Mark Tippetts, a former member of the Lago Vista city council.

See also: 2018 Texas elections

2018 Texas gubernatorial election
November 6, 2018
Turnout53.01% 28.00pp
 
Nominee Greg Abbott Lupe Valdez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 4,656,196 3,546,615
Percentage 55.8% 42.5%
County results
Abbott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Valdez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Greg Abbott
Republican

 Elected Governor

Greg Abbott
Republican

Elections in Texas
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Mayoral elections
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Mayoral elections
Government

The Republican and Democratic party primaries were held on March 6, 2018, making them the first primaries of the 2018 electoral season.[2] Abbott won the March 6 primary with 90% of the vote to receive the Republican nomination, while Democratic candidates Lupe Valdez and Andrew White advanced to a May 22 runoff.[3] Valdez defeated White in the runoff with 53.1% of the vote and faced Abbott in the general election as the Democratic nominee.[4]

Valdez's nomination made her the first openly gay person nominated for governor by a major party in the state.[5]

Tippetts was nominated at the Libertarian Party of Texas' state convention in Houston April 13–15, 2018. He defeated three challengers, as well as the None Of The Above option, on the first ballot and received more than 70% approval from Libertarian party delegates.

Despite considerably closer contests in other Texas state elections, Abbott handily won a second term with the highest margin of victory of any state official on the ballot, although Valdez also won the largest vote share for a Democratic gubernatorial candidate since Ann Richards in 1994.[6] Tippetts' showing exceeded the previous record for most votes for a Libertarian nominee for Texas governor; that record had been set in 1990.

The election also took place alongside a closer, higher-profile Senate race between Beto O'Rourke and Ted Cruz, which may have played a factor in making the Democratic gubernatorial candidate considerably more competitive than in 2014. Abbott won a majority among whites (72% to 26%), while Valdez won majorities among African Americans (80% to 16%) and Latinos (63% to 35%).[7]

Republican primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements
Greg Abbott
Presidents of the United States
Vice Presidents of the United States
U.S. Senators
Statewide officeholders
Organizations
Newspapers
Larry Kilgore
Religious leaders

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott		 Barbara
Krueger		 Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 – ± 4.7% 84% 2% 1%[21] 13%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 612 ± 5.3% 95% 5% 0%[22] –

Results
Primary results by county
Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 1,392,310 90.38% -1.11%
Republican Barbara Krueger 127,549 8.28%
Republican Larry Kilgore 20,504 1.33% -0.09%
Total votes 1,540,363 100% +202,488
Turnout 10.10%[24] -0.26%[24]

Democratic primary

Nominated

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
Jeffrey Payne
Newspapers
Lupe Valdez
U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level Officials
U.S. Representatives
Texas State Senators
Texas State Representatives
Local officeholders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Andrew White
Texas State Representatives
Local officeholders
  • Cedric Davis, former Mayor of Balch Springs and candidate for the 2018 gubernatorial Democratic nomination[94]
Individuals
  • Michael Cooper, pastor and candidate for the 2018 Lieutenant Governor Democratic nomination[94]
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Adrian
Ocegueda		 Jeffrey
Payne		 Lupe
Valdez		 Tom
Wakely		 Andrew
White		 Grady
Yarbrough		 Other Undecided
Dixie Strategies February 22–23, 2018 – ± 5.7% 6% 1% 12% 2% 17% 1% 6%[106] 54%
University of Texas February 1–12, 2018 453 ± 7.4% 5% 5% 43% 7% 24% 7% 8%[107] –

Results
Initial primary results by county
Democratic primary results[108]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Lupe Valdez 436,666 42.89%
Democratic Andrew White 278,708 27.37%
Democratic Cedric Davis Sr. 83,938 8.24%
Democratic Grady Yarbrough 54,660 5.36%
Democratic Jeffrey Payne 48,407 4.75%
Democratic Adrian Ocegueda 44,825 4.4%
Democratic Tom Wakely 34,889 3.42%
Democratic James Clark 21,945 2.15%
Democratic Joe Mumbach 13,921 1.36%
Total votes 1,017,959 100% +463,945
Turnout 6.67%[24] +2.6%[24]

Runoff
Runoff results by county

Lupe Valdez and Andrew White proceeded to a run-off on May 22 since neither received 50% of the vote in the first round of the primary.[3] Lupe Valdez won the runoff narrowly.[109]

Results
Democratic primary runoff results[108]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Lupe Valdez 227,577 53.1
Democratic Andrew White 201,356 46.9
Total votes 432,180 100

Libertarian nomination

Nominated
  • Mark Tippetts, former Lago Vista City Councilman[110]

Defeated at Convention
  • Kathie Glass, attorney and previous nominee[111]
  • Patrick Smith[110]
  • Kory Watkins, activist[112]

General election

Debates

Endorsements
Greg Abbott (R)
Former U.S. Executive Branch officials
Federal officials
U.S. Senators
Statewide officeholders
Texas State Senators
Texas State Representatives
Local officeholders
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Lupe Valdez (D)
U.S. Cabinet and Cabinet-level Officials
U.S. Representatives
Texas State Senators
Texas State Representatives
Local officeholders
Individuals
Organizations
Mark Tippetts (L)
Governors
Individuals

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[149] Safe R October 26, 2018
The Washington Post[150] Safe R November 5, 2018
FiveThirtyEight[151] Safe R November 5, 2018
Rothenberg Political Report[152] Safe R November 1, 2018
Sabato's Crystal Ball[153] Safe R November 5, 2018
RealClearPolitics[154] Safe R November 5, 2018
Daily Kos[155] Safe R November 5, 2018
Fox News[156][lower-alpha 1] Likely R November 5, 2018
Politico[157] Safe R November 5, 2018
Governing[158] Safe R November 5, 2018
Notes
  1. The Fox News Midterm Power Rankings uniquely does not contain a category for Safe/Solid races

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Lupe
Valdez (D)		 Mark
Tippetts (L)		 Other Undecided
Emerson College October 28–30, 2018 781 ± 3.7% 51% 43% 2% – 4%
Quinnipiac University October 22–28, 2018 1,078 ± 3.5% 54% 40% – 1% 6%
University of Texas Tyler October 15–28, 2018 1,033 ± 3.0% 53% 32% – 5% 10%
Dixie Strategies October 25–26, 2018 588 ± 4.0% 59% 33% – – 7%
University of Texas/YouGov October 15–21, 2018 927 ± 3.2% 56% 37% 3% 4% –
Ipsos October 12–18, 2018 1,298 ± 3.2% 53% 38% – 3% 6%
CNN/SSRS October 9–13, 2018 716 LV ± 4.5% 57% 39% – 0% 3%
862 RV ± 4.1% 56% 38% – 0% 4%
NYT Upshot/Siena College October 8–11, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 57% 35% – – 8%
Quinnipiac University October 3–9, 2018 730 ± 4.4% 58% 38% – 0% 4%
Emerson College October 1–5, 2018 500 ± 4.5% 53% 33% – 3% 11%
Epstein Group September 15–24, 2018 1,200 ± 2.9% 58% 29% 3% – 10%
Vox Populi Polling September 16–18, 2018 508 ± 4.4% 55% 45% – – –
Quinnipiac University September 11–17, 2018 807 ± 4.1% 58% 39% – 0% 3%
Ipsos September 6–14, 2018 992 ± 4.0% 50% 41% – 2% 6%
Crosswind Media & Public Relations September 6–9, 2018 800 ± 4.0% 52% 39% – – –
Dixie Strategies September 6–7, 2018 519 ± 4.3% 53% 34% 1% – 12%
Emerson College August 22–25, 2018 550 ± 4.4% 48% 28% – 3% 20%
Marist College August 12–16, 2018 759 ± 3.8% 56% 37% – <1% 6%
Quinnipiac University July 26–31, 2018 1,118 ± 3.5% 51% 38% – 1% 9%
Texas Lyceum July 9–26, 2018 441 LV ± 4.7% 47% 31% 1% – 22%
806 RV ± 3.5% 44% 25% 3% – 28%
Gravis Marketing July 3–7, 2018 602 ± 4.0% 51% 41% – – 8%
University of Texas/YouGov June 8–17, 2018 1,200 ± 2.8% 44% 32% 4% 4% 16%
Quinnipiac University May 23–29, 2018 961 ± 3.8% 53% 34% – 1% 9%
JMC Analytics (R-Red Metrics Group) May 19–21, 2018 575 ± 4.1% 48% 36% – – 16%
Quinnipiac University April 12–17, 2018 1,029 ± 3.6% 49% 40% – 0% 9%

Results
2018 Texas gubernatorial election[159]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 4,656,196 55.81% -3.46%
Democratic Lupe Valdez 3,546,615 42.51% +3.61%
Libertarian Mark Tippetts 140,632 1.69% +0.28%
Total votes 8,343,443 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

References
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  65. @GiffordsCourage (May 8, 2018). ".As the former Dallas County Sheriff, @LupeValdez knows the danger of letting guns fall into the wrong hands. She will be a Governor who protects 2nd amendment rights while fighting for gun safety laws, and we are proud to endorse her. giffords.org/2018/05/valdez/ #VoteCourage" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  99. @randrewwhite (April 19, 2018). "Honored to receive the Gun-Sense Candidate distinction from @MomsDemand. I believe, as they do, that we can fully support the 2nd Amendment while supporting common-sense gun legislation that reduces death & injury from gun violence in our state & country. #GunReformNow #DoRightTX" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  107. Cedric Davis 4%, Joe Mumbach 3%, James Clark 1%
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  113. Christi Craddick [@ChristiCraddick] (March 16, 2018). "Calling all Texas Republican women. #KeepTexasRed @TexasGOP @TFRW" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  114. Miller, Sid (May 27, 2018). "Sid Miller on Facebook". Facebook.com. Retrieved May 28, 2017.
  115. @MattShaheen (September 3, 2018). "WHuge Collin County GOP Labor Day Rally! So many fired up about Keeping Texas Red to continue our growing prosperity and high quality of life!! #VoteGOP #HD66 @GregAbbott_TX @VanTaylorTX @KenPaxtonTX @AngelaPaxtonTX @candynoble @Scott_SanfordTX @leachfortexas @justinaholland" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  116. @AngelaPaxtonTX (March 20, 2018). "What a wonderful event today in Frisco hosted by Jerry Jones for @GregAbbott_TX. So good to see so many friends. Thank you Bobby and Phyllis Ray for inviting me as your guest. @leachfortexas @MattShaheen @candynoble @Scott_SanfordTX @SenBobHall @KonniBurton" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  117. @MattRinaldiTX (May 5, 2018). "What enthusiasm gap? Great crowd at @DallasGOP block walk w/ @GregAbbott_TX @DonHuffines @LindaKoopHD102 @AngieChenButton @lisalubyryan. #txlege #KeepTexasRed" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  118. @VanTaylorTX (September 5, 2018). "America as #1. Republican policies are driving economic success. Proud to work w @GregAbbott_TX @leachfortexas @Scott_SanfordTX @CandyNobleHD89 forTexas and Collin County" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  119. Crossroads Today (May 5, 2018). "Gov. Greg Abbott to kick off statewide Block Walking Event". Retrieved May 5, 2018.
  120. @glennbeck (May 27, 2018). "@GregAbbott_TX is the best governor I have ever had the honor to watch. Soro's is pouring millions into Texas to turn it blue. Only TWO counties are keeping Texas Red. It is that close. #wakeuptexans I pray for the Gov to remain strong, decent and in office" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  121. @AbbottCampaign (April 11, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am proud to receive the endorsement of the Associated Plumbing-Heating-Cooling Contractors of Texas PAC. They understand the importance of fostering successful small businesses & economic achievements through low taxes & reasonable regulations."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  122. @AbbottCampaign (April 6, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: .@GregAbbott_TX: "I am proud to receive the endorsement of the Rural Friends of Electric Cooperatives PAC, an organization that works diligently to provide energy resources to rural Texans and businesses."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  123. @AbbottCampaign (April 18, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I look forward to working with the Texas Agricultural Aviation Association and others over the next four years as we bring even more innovation to Texas' thriving agricultural industry."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  124. @AbbottCampaign (May 3, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am honored to receive the endorsement of the Texas Hospital Association's political action committee, and I am excited to work with them to strengthen our hospitals and health systems and provide even greater care to the people of Texas.""" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  125. @AbbottCampaign (April 25, 2018). ".@GregAbbott_TX: ".@GregAbbott_TX: "I am honored to receive the endorsement of the Texas Pyrotechnic Association PAC, an organization that epitomizes the powerful force of small businesses in our great state."" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  126. Lauren McGaughy (July 27, 2018). "Largest police group in Texas endorses Greg Abbott over former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez". The Dallas Morning News.
  127. "WATCH: NFIB Texas PAC Endorses Governor Abbott for Second Term". NFIB. July 12, 2018.
  128. David Tarrant (September 20, 2018). "Dallas sheriff's association endorses Gov. Greg Abbott over their former boss, Lupe Valdez". DallasNews.com.
  129. "We recommend Greg Abbott for governor". Dallas Morning News. October 18, 2018.
  130. "Gov. Abbott for a second term". San Antonio Express-News. October 18, 2018.
  131. "For Texas governor: Greg Abbott, without a doubt". Fort Worth Star-Telegram. October 26, 2018. Retrieved October 28, 2018.
  132. @TomPerez (May 24, 2018). ".Representation matters and we are working hard to elect Democratic candidates in every ZIP code and up and down the ballot who look like the people they serve. ¡Adelante, @LupeValdez!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  133. @sethmoulton (September 20, 2018). "I am proud to endorse a new group of @serve_america candidates who will put public service before personal gain. They are ready to bring a new generation of leadership to Washington and to state capitals across the country! I hope you will join me in supporting their campaigns" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  134. @WendyDavis (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations @LupeValdez!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  135. @JohnsonforTexas (May 31, 2018). "Great to spend time with my fellow @dallasdemocrats, especially my wife @FemmeNakita and the next Governor of Texas, @LupeValdez! #JohnsonJordan18 #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  136. @ChrisGTurner (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez on winning the Democratic nomination for #TXgov. And thank you to @randrewwhite for the race you ran. Onward to November! #txlege" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  137. @CollierforTexas (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez for winning the Democratic nomination for Governor of Texas. I look forward to working with Sheriff Valdez to help make a better state for ALL Texans" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  138. "Lupe Valdez Speaks to Her Win as Democratic Nominee for Texas Governor". MSNBC. May 28, 2018. Retrieved May 28, 2018.
  139. @GeorgeTakei (May 23, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez, who won her primary for governor of Texas and is pretty much Trump's worst nightmare: a lesbian, Latina former sheriff—in short, the progressive answer to bigot and pardoned felon Joe Arpaio. Give her a follow, friends. #BlueWave" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  140. @randrewwhite (May 22, 2018). "Congratulations to @LupeValdez for winning the Democratic nomination for Governor of Texas. She has my endorsement and my support. Let's #DoRightTX and win in November!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  141. @AnniesListTX (May 23, 2018). "Annie's List is pleased to announce our endorsement of @LupeValdez for Governor, @joifortexas for Comptroller and @KimOlson4TxAg for Commissioner of Agriculture. We are excited for their campaigns and believe these women truly represent the future of Texas!" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  142. @HRC (September 7, 2018). ".@HRC is proud to endorse @LupeValdez for governor of Texas. She is the first out #LGBTQ Latina candidate in the nation to win a major party's nomination for governor. #VamosValdez #TXGov #TXLege www.hrc.org/blog/hrc-endorses-lupe-valdez-in-her-historic-bid-for-governor-of-texas …" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  143. @Mark4Gov (May 24, 2018). "It was great to receive an endorsement from @GovGaryJohnson recently. He has also agreed to serve as a policy adviser on my campaign - thank you Gary! Check out the rest of my team at mark4gov.com/?page_id=12" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  144. @GovBillWeld (August 25, 2018). "Mark Tippetts is a business leader, father of four, and understands the issues facing Texans today. He knows what it takes to create jobs, keep government out of the way, and defend our freedoms. He will make a great Governor. I proudly endorse @Mark4Gov for Governor of Texas" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  146. "Endorsement News for October 11 - Texas Election Source". Txelects.com. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
  147. "My Team". Mark Tippets Campaign. Archived from the original on June 18, 2018. Retrieved June 18, 2018.
  148. @Mark4Gov (July 13, 2018). "IWith @nsarwark, the chair of the Libertarian National Party. #LetMarkDebate #EndTwoPartyRule" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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  150. "The Washington Post's gubernatorial race ratings". The Washington Post. October 16, 2018.
  151. "2018 Governor Forecast | FiveThirtyEight". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved October 17, 2018.
  152. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". Insideelections.com. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  153. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2018 Governor". Centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved November 15, 2017.
  154. "2018 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. October 9, 2018.
  155. "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. June 5, 2018.
  156. "2018 Midterm Power Ranking". Fox News.
  157. "Politico Predicts". Politico.com.
  158. "2018 Governor Elections: As November Nears, More Governors' Races Become Tossups". Governing.com. Retrieved July 18, 2018.
  159. "2018 General Election". Texas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 5, 2018.
Debates
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