Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (provincial electoral district)
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex is a provincial electoral district in southwestern Ontario, Canada. It elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.
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Provincial electoral district | |||
Legislature | Legislative Assembly of Ontario | ||
MPP |
Progressive Conservative | ||
District created | 1999 | ||
First contested | 1999 | ||
Last contested | 2018 | ||
Demographics | |||
Population (2006) | 107,635 | ||
Electors (2007) | 75,997 | ||
Area (km²) | 5,277 | ||
Pop. density (per km²) | 20.4 | ||
Census division(s) | Chatham-Kent, Lambton County, Middlesex County | ||
Census subdivision(s) | Lambton Shores, Warwick, Brooke-Alvinston, Dawn-Euphemia, Southwest Middlesex, Newbury, Adelaide Metcalfe, Strathroy-Caradoc, Oneida 41, Chippewas of the Thames First Nation 42, Walpole Island 46, Chatham-Kent, North Middlesex, Lucan Biddulph, Middlesex Centre |
It was created in 1999 from parts of Lambton, Chatham—Kent and Middlesex when ridings were redistributed to match their federal counterparts.
From 1999 to 2007 the riding consisted of the municipalities of Lambton Shores, Warwick, Brooke-Alvinston, Dawn-Euphemia, Southwest Middlesex, Newbury, Adelaide Metcalfe, Strathroy-Caradoc, Oneida 41, Chippewas of the Thames First Nation 42, Plympton-Wyoming, Enniskillen, Petrolia, Oil Springs, Walpole Island 46, Chatham-Kent north of the Thames River and not including the former city of Chatham, and the southwest third of North Middlesex.
In 2007, the riding was redistributed, and it lost Plympton-Wyoming, Enniskillen, Petrolia and Oil Springs while it gained the rest of North Middlesex, Lucan Biddulph and Middlesex Centre.
Considered a bellwether or swing riding, the area tends to attract frequent visits by party leaders during elections. The political instability of the riding is largely attributed to the diversity of political and religious opinion within its borders. A rural riding by nature, the issues of gun control and abortion arise frequently during town-hall meetings and elections. At the same time the largely Liberal areas of Strathroy and Petrolia tend to balance the more conservative rural regions. The Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) also has pockets of support in Wallaceburg.
During the 1999 election, the riding attracted controversy as it included Ipperwash Provincial Park - the sight of a 1995 stand-off between the Ontario Provincial Police and native land protesters known as the Ipperwash Crisis. Political events in the riding became frequent targets for further protests by natives unhappy with the Conservative Government's handling of the Ipperwash Affair and the associated shooting death of protester Dudley George. Despite the controversy, Progressive Conservative MPP Marcel Beaubien was re-elected to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario, despite strong campaigns by Liberal former municipal politician Larry O'Neil and New Democratic candidate Jim Lee, then-President of United Automobile Workers Local 251.
Members of Provincial Parliament
This riding has elected the following members of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario:
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | ||||
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Assembly | Years | Member | Party | |
Riding created from Lambton, Chatham—Kent and Middlesex | ||||
37th | 1999–2003 | Marcel Beaubien | Progressive Conservative | |
38th | 2003–2007 | Maria Van Bommel | Liberal | |
39th | 2007–2011 | |||
40th | 2011–2014 | Monte McNaughton | Progressive Conservative | |
41st | 2014–2018 | |||
42nd | 2018–Present |
Election results
2018 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Monte McNaughton | 27,906 | 55.34 | +10.17 | ||||
New Democratic | Todd Case | 16,800 | 33.32 | +6.80 | ||||
Liberal | Mike Radan | 3,143 | 6.23 | -14.05 | ||||
Green | Anthony Li | 1,660 | 3.29 | -1.30 | ||||
Trillium | Brian Everaert | 555 | 1.10 | |||||
Libertarian | Brad Greulich | 360 | 0.71 | +0.26 | ||||
Total valid votes | 50,424 | 100.0 | ||||||
Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | |||||||
Source: Elections Ontario[1] |
2014 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Monte McNaughton | 20,710 | 45.17 | -0.56 | ||||
New Democratic | Joe Hill | 12,160 | 26.52 | +5.56 | ||||
Liberal | Mike Radan | 9,298 | 20.28 | -9.04 | ||||
Green | James Armstrong | 2,104 | 4.59 | +2.26 | ||||
Family Coalition | Marinus Vander Vloet | 568 | 1.24 | +0.41 | ||||
None of the Above | Bob Lewis | 558 | 1.22 | – | ||||
Freedom | Dave Durnin | 242 | 0.53 | +0.25 | ||||
Libertarian | Matt Willson | 207 | 0.45 | – | ||||
Total valid votes | 45,847 | 100.0 | ||||||
Progressive Conservative hold | Swing | -3.06 | ||||||
Source: Elections Ontario[2] |
2011 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Monte McNaughton | 19,379 | 45.73 | +9.41 | ||||
Liberal | Maria Van Bommel | 12,423 | 29.32 | -13.91 | ||||
New Democratic | Joe Hill | 8,882 | 20.96 | +10.21 | ||||
Green | James Armstrong | 987 | 2.33 | -5.57 | ||||
Family Coalition | Marinus Vander Vloet | 350 | 0.83 | -0.47 | ||||
Reform | Brad Harness | 232 | 0.55 | +0.06 | ||||
Freedom | Tom Jackson | 119 | 0.28 | |||||
Total valid votes | 42,372 | 100.00 | ||||||
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots | 177 | 0.42 | ||||||
Turnout | 42,549 | 54.08 | ||||||
Eligible voters | 78,683 | |||||||
Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal | Swing | +11.66 | ||||||
Source: Elections Ontario[3] |
2007 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Liberal | Maria Van Bommel | 18,228 | 43.27 | -1.88 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Monte McNaughton | 15,295 | 36.30 | -0.34 | ||||
New Democratic | Joyce Jolliffe | 4,520 | 10.73 | -0.26 | ||||
Green | James Armstrong | 3,329 | 7.90 | +5.14 | ||||
Family Coalition | Bill McMaster | 549 | 1.30 | |||||
Reform | Brad Harness | 209 | 0.49 | |||||
Total valid votes | 42,130 | 100.00 |
2003 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||||
Liberal | Maria Van Bommel | 18,533 | 45.11 | +2.17 | ||||
Progressive Conservative | Marcel Beaubien | 15,060 | 36.66 | -8.34 | ||||
New Democratic | Joyce Jolliffe | 4,523 | 11.01 | +1.42 | ||||
Green | Tim Van Bodegom | 1,133 | 2.76 | |||||
Independent | James Armstrong | 1,053 | 2.56 | |||||
Freedom | Wayne Forbes | 780 | 1.90 | -0.58 | ||||
Total valid votes | 41,082 | 100.00 |
1999 Ontario general election | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |||||
Progressive Conservative | Marcel Beaubien | 19,561 | 45.00 | |||||
Liberal | Larry O'Neill | 18,665 | 42.94 | |||||
New Democratic | Jim Lee | 4,170 | 9.59 | |||||
Freedom | Wayne H. Forbes | 1,076 | 2.48 | |||||
Total valid votes | 43,472 | 100.00 |
2007 electoral reform referendum
2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum | |||
---|---|---|---|
Side | Votes | % | |
First Past the Post | 28,144 | 68.8 | |
Mixed member proportional | 12,775 | 31.2 | |
Total valid votes | 40,919 | 100.0 |
Sources
- "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 5. Archived from the original (PDF) on 28 December 2018. Retrieved 16 January 2019.
- Elections Ontario (2014). "Official result from the records, 040 Lambton-Kent-Middlesex" (PDF). Retrieved 27 June 2015.
- Elections Ontario (2011). "Official return from the records / Rapport des registres officiels - Lambton—Kent—Middlesex" (PDF). Retrieved 2 June 2014.