Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (provincial electoral district)

Lambton—Kent—Middlesex is a provincial electoral district in southwestern Ontario, Canada. It elects one member to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.

Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Ontario electoral district
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP
 
 
 
Monte McNaughton
Progressive Conservative
District created1999
First contested1999
Last contested2018
Demographics
Population (2006)107,635
Electors (2007)75,997
Area (km²)5,277
Pop. density (per km²)20.4
Census division(s)Chatham-Kent, Lambton County, Middlesex County
Census subdivision(s)Lambton Shores, Warwick, Brooke-Alvinston, Dawn-Euphemia, Southwest Middlesex, Newbury, Adelaide Metcalfe, Strathroy-Caradoc, Oneida 41, Chippewas of the Thames First Nation 42, Walpole Island 46, Chatham-Kent, North Middlesex, Lucan Biddulph, Middlesex Centre

It was created in 1999 from parts of Lambton, Chatham—Kent and Middlesex when ridings were redistributed to match their federal counterparts.

From 1999 to 2007 the riding consisted of the municipalities of Lambton Shores, Warwick, Brooke-Alvinston, Dawn-Euphemia, Southwest Middlesex, Newbury, Adelaide Metcalfe, Strathroy-Caradoc, Oneida 41, Chippewas of the Thames First Nation 42, Plympton-Wyoming, Enniskillen, Petrolia, Oil Springs, Walpole Island 46, Chatham-Kent north of the Thames River and not including the former city of Chatham, and the southwest third of North Middlesex.

In 2007, the riding was redistributed, and it lost Plympton-Wyoming, Enniskillen, Petrolia and Oil Springs while it gained the rest of North Middlesex, Lucan Biddulph and Middlesex Centre.

Considered a bellwether or swing riding, the area tends to attract frequent visits by party leaders during elections. The political instability of the riding is largely attributed to the diversity of political and religious opinion within its borders. A rural riding by nature, the issues of gun control and abortion arise frequently during town-hall meetings and elections. At the same time the largely Liberal areas of Strathroy and Petrolia tend to balance the more conservative rural regions. The Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) also has pockets of support in Wallaceburg.

During the 1999 election, the riding attracted controversy as it included Ipperwash Provincial Park - the sight of a 1995 stand-off between the Ontario Provincial Police and native land protesters known as the Ipperwash Crisis. Political events in the riding became frequent targets for further protests by natives unhappy with the Conservative Government's handling of the Ipperwash Affair and the associated shooting death of protester Dudley George. Despite the controversy, Progressive Conservative MPP Marcel Beaubien was re-elected to the Legislative Assembly of Ontario, despite strong campaigns by Liberal former municipal politician Larry O'Neil and New Democratic candidate Jim Lee, then-President of United Automobile Workers Local 251.

Members of Provincial Parliament

This riding has elected the following members of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario:

Lambton—Kent—Middlesex
Assembly Years Member Party
Riding created from Lambton, Chatham—Kent and Middlesex
37th  1999–2003     Marcel Beaubien Progressive Conservative
38th  2003–2007     Maria Van Bommel Liberal
39th  2007–2011
40th  2011–2014     Monte McNaughton Progressive Conservative
41st  2014–2018
42nd  2018–Present

Election results

2018 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeMonte McNaughton27,90655.34+10.17
New DemocraticTodd Case16,80033.32+6.80
LiberalMike Radan3,1436.23-14.05
GreenAnthony Li1,6603.29-1.30
TrilliumBrian Everaert5551.10
LibertarianBrad Greulich3600.71+0.26
Total valid votes 50,424100.0  
Progressive Conservative hold Swing
Source: Elections Ontario[1]
2014 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeMonte McNaughton20,71045.17-0.56
New DemocraticJoe Hill12,16026.52+5.56
LiberalMike Radan9,29820.28-9.04
GreenJames Armstrong2,1044.59+2.26
Family CoalitionMarinus Vander Vloet5681.24+0.41
None of the AboveBob Lewis5581.22
FreedomDave Durnin2420.53+0.25
LibertarianMatt Willson2070.45
Total valid votes 45,847100.0  
Progressive Conservative hold Swing -3.06
Source: Elections Ontario[2]
2011 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeMonte McNaughton19,37945.73+9.41
LiberalMaria Van Bommel12,42329.32-13.91
New DemocraticJoe Hill8,88220.96+10.21
GreenJames Armstrong9872.33-5.57
Family CoalitionMarinus Vander Vloet3500.83-0.47
ReformBrad Harness2320.55+0.06
FreedomTom Jackson1190.28 
Total valid votes 42,372 100.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 1770.42
Turnout 42,54954.08
Eligible voters 78,683
Progressive Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +11.66
Source: Elections Ontario[3]
2007 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMaria Van Bommel18,22843.27-1.88
Progressive ConservativeMonte McNaughton15,29536.30-0.34
New DemocraticJoyce Jolliffe4,52010.73-0.26
GreenJames Armstrong3,3297.90+5.14
Family CoalitionBill McMaster5491.30
ReformBrad Harness2090.49
Total valid votes 42,130 100.00
2003 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalMaria Van Bommel18,53345.11+2.17
Progressive ConservativeMarcel Beaubien15,06036.66-8.34
New DemocraticJoyce Jolliffe4,52311.01+1.42
GreenTim Van Bodegom1,1332.76
IndependentJames Armstrong1,0532.56
FreedomWayne Forbes7801.90-0.58
Total valid votes 41,082 100.00
1999 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeMarcel Beaubien19,56145.00
LiberalLarry O'Neill18,66542.94
New DemocraticJim Lee4,1709.59
FreedomWayne H. Forbes1,0762.48
Total valid votes 43,472 100.00

2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
Side Votes %
First Past the Post 28,144 68.8
Mixed member proportional 12,775 31.2
Total valid votes 40,919 100.0

Sources

  1. "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 5. Archived from the original (PDF) on 28 December 2018. Retrieved 16 January 2019.
  2. Elections Ontario (2014). "Official result from the records, 040 Lambton-Kent-Middlesex" (PDF). Retrieved 27 June 2015.
  3. Elections Ontario (2011). "Official return from the records / Rapport des registres officiels - Lambton—Kent—Middlesex" (PDF). Retrieved 2 June 2014.

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