Ottawa South (provincial electoral district)

Ottawa South (French: Ottawa-Sud) is a provincial electoral district (riding) in the Canadian province of Ontario, in the city of Ottawa.

Ottawa South
Ontario electoral district
Ottawa South in relation to other Ottawa electoral districts
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Ontario
MPP
 
 
 
John Fraser
Liberal
District created1925
First contested1926
Last contested2018
Demographics
Population (2011)121,921
Electors (2013)86,346
Area (km²)76
Pop. density (per km²)1,604.2
Census division(s)Ottawa
Census subdivision(s)Ottawa

History

The district was created in 1925 from part of Ottawa West. Prior to the 1999 election, the provincial district did not have the same borders as the federal district.

Prior to the 1967 redistribution, the riding shared no common area with the present riding. Present day Ottawa South could be found in the riding of Russell prior to 1967.

After having been firmly conservative for the first 60 years, it has been in the hands of the Liberals without interruption since 1987. From 1987 to 2013, it was held by two generations of the McGuinty family–father Dalton Sr. from 1987 to 1990 and son Dalton Jr. from 1990 to 2013.

Members of Provincial Parliament

Ottawa South
Assembly Years Member Party
Riding created from Ottawa West
17th  1926–1929     Thomas Birkett Progressive Conservative
18th  1929–1934 Arthur Ellis
19th  1934–1937
20th  1937–1943 George Dunbar
21st  1943–1945
22nd  1945–1948
23rd  1948–1951
24th  1951–1955
25th  1955–1959
26th  1959–1963 Irwin Haskett
27th  1963–1967
28th  1967–1971
29th  1971–1975 Claude Bennett
30th  1975–1977
31st  1977–1981
32nd  1981–1985
33rd  1985–1987
34th  1987–1990     Dalton McGuinty, Sr. Liberal
35th  1990–1995 Dalton McGuinty
36th  1995–1999
37th  1999–2003
38th  2003–2007
39th  2007–2011
40th  2011–2013
 2013–2014 John Fraser
41st  2014–2018
42nd  2018–Present

Election results

2018 general election

2018 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJohn Fraser20,77339.63−10.40
Progressive ConservativeKarin Howard15,31929.23-2.63
New DemocraticEleanor Fast14,25027.19+14.82
GreenLes Schram1,6183.09−1.26
LibertarianRobert Daigneault3420.65+0.07
CommunistLarry Wasslen1140.22−0.08
Total valid votes 52,616100.0  
Liberal hold Swing
Source: Elections Ontario[1]

2014 general election

2014 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalJohn Fraser23,70849.96+7.70
Progressive ConservativeMatt Young15,23532.11−6.84
New DemocraticBronwyn Funiciello5,81712.26−1.93
GreenMatt Lakatos-Hayward2,0344.29+1.23
LibertarianJean-Serge Brisson2730.58−0.01
Special NeedsJohn Redins2440.51+0.22
CommunistEspoir Manirambona1390.29
Total valid votes 47,450 100.0  
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 432 0.91
Turnout 47,882 53.71
Eligible voters 89,150  
Liberal hold Swing +7.27
Source(s)
"General Election Results by District, 064 Ottawa South". Elections Ontario. 2014. Retrieved 17 June 2014.

2013 by-election

Election signs for John Fraser (Liberal), Taylor Howarth (Green), Bronwyn Funiciello (NDP) and Matt Young (PC)

Dalton McGuinty resigned the Premiership of Ontario in February 2013, but decided to stay on as MPP of Ottawa South until the next election. McGuinty changed his mind however, and resigned on June 12 amid the "gas plant scandal".

Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Liberal PC NDP Green Other Type of poll Margin of error
Forum Research July 31 PDF 36 52 9 3 0 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 30 PDF 35 42 12 6 5 IVR 4.5%
Forum Research July 24 HTML 34 48 12 5 1 IVR 4%
Campaign Research July 15 PDF 37 38 17 5 2 IVR 5.1%
Forum Research July 3 HTML 42 38 17 4 3 IVR 5%
Forum Research June 13 HTML 34 37 22 4 2 IVR 4%

Results

Ontario provincial by-election, August 1, 2013
Resignation of Dalton McGuinty
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalJohn Fraser14,92142.33−6.53$ 95,351.00
Progressive ConservativeMatt Young13,64238.70+5.2789,316.00
New DemocraticBronwyn Funiciello5,04214.30+0.9140,274.11
GreenTaylor Howarth1,0993.12−0.112,212.50
LibertarianJean-Serge Brisson2080.59+0.030.00
Special NeedsJohn Redins1020.29−0.240.00
IndependentDaniel Post910.26 0.00
FreedomDave McGruer850.24 0.00
PauperJohn Turmel580.16 0.00
Total valid votes / Expense limit 35,248 100.00 −21.16 $ 104,501.00
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 216 0.61 +0.12
Turnout 35,464 40.38 −10.81
Eligible voters 87,816   +0.06
Liberal hold Swing −5.90

Elections 1926-2011

Map showing the winning party in each polling division shaded by vote percentage in the 2011 election
2011 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDalton McGuinty21,84248.86−1.28$ 74,137.81
Progressive ConservativeJason MacDonald14,94533.43+3.7748,914.10
New DemocraticWali Farah5,98813.39+4.0715,509.77
GreenJames Mihaychuk1,4423.23−4.923,566.26
LibertarianJean-Serge Brisson2520.56−0.240.00
Special NeedsJohn Redins2380.53 0.00
Total valid votes 44,707 100.00 −6.67 $ 104,477.24
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 222 0.49 −0.29
Turnout 44,929 51.19 −5.41
Eligible voters 87,766   +2.88
Liberal hold Swing −2.52
2007 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDalton McGuinty24,01550.13−1.30ᴿ$ 68,501.89
Progressive ConservativeRichard Raymond14,20629.66−4.24ᴿ80,475.86
New DemocraticEdelweiss D'Andrea4,4679.33+0.26ᴿ19,220.39
GreenJohn Ford3,9028.15+4.49 2,069.63
Family CoalitionDavid MacDonald9271.94+0.76 2,294.17
LibertarianJean-Serge Brisson3840.80 118.38
Total valid votes/Expense limit 47,901 100.0   +1.28  $ 92,129.40
Total rejected ballots 3800.79 +0.17 
Turnout 48,281 56.60 −2.17 
Eligible voters 85,305   +4.52 
Liberal hold Swing 1.47ᴿ
ᴿ Change based in redistributed results.
2003 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDalton McGuinty24,64751.70+2.11$ 70,963.18
Progressive ConservativeRichard Raymond16,41334.43−7.8075,453.48
New DemocraticJames McLaren4,3069.03+3.2312,014.97
GreenDavid Chernushenko1,7413.65+2.072,884.13
Family CoalitionJohn Pacheco5621.18 9,388.75
Total valid votes/Expense limit 47,669100.0   +4.11 $ 78,349.44
Total rejected ballots 2960.62 −0.16
Turnout 47,965 58.77 +1.03
Eligible voters 81,614   +2.12
Liberal hold Swing +4.96
1999 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDalton McGuinty22,70749.59−3.76$ 62,090.51
Progressive ConservativeMike Nicholson19,33742.23+12.4120,397.04
New DemocraticJames McLaren2,6555.80−8.8614,683.16
GreenGeorge Brown7241.58+0.260.00
IndependentMeg Carson2430.53 8.09
Natural LawJames Hea1210.26−0.580.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 45,787 100.0   +58.44 $ 76,725.12
Total rejected ballots 3600.78 −0.01
Turnout 46,147 57.74 −8.77
Eligible voters 79,922   +82.50
Liberal hold Swing −8.09
Note: Boundaries significantly adjusted.  Percentage change not adjusted to reflected redistribution.
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1987, 1990 and 1995 elections.
1995 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalDalton McGuinty15,41853.35+7.48$ 38,581.00
Progressive ConservativeLinda Thom8,61829.82+5.3128,456.94
New DemocraticMargaret Armstrong4,23514.65−11.2716,082.17
GreenKaren Fyson3831.33−0.700.00
Natural LawWayne Foster2450.85 0.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 28,899100.0   −4.26 $ 44,698.00
Total rejected ballots 2290.79
Turnout 29,128 66.51
Eligible voters 43,793
1990 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalDalton McGuinty13,84545.87−5.01
New DemocraticMargaret Armstrong7,82625.93+6.67
Progressive ConservativeDarrel Kent7,39924.51−5.36
GreenStephen Johns6122.03 
Family CoalitionDavid Fitzpatrick5031.67 
Total valid votes 30,185100.0   −3.73
1987 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalDalton McGuinty, Sr.15,95250.88+15.53
Progressive ConservativeMichael McSweeney9,36529.87−9.54
New DemocraticPenina Coopersmith6,03819.26−5.99
Total valid votes 31,355100.0   −4.74
1985 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeClaude Bennett12,97139.41−10.56
LiberalAndrew Caddell11,63435.34+6.34
New DemocraticJohn Smart8,31125.25+5.07
Total valid votes 32,916100.0   +8.08
1981 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeClaude Bennett15,21849.97+0.60
LiberalRobert Dyck8,83229.00+3.05
New DemocraticChris Chilton6,14620.18−2.80
IndependentRay Turmel2590.85 
Total valid votes 30,455 100.0   −9.76
1977 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeClaude Bennett16,66249.37+6.22
New DemocraticEileen Scotton8,75925.95−6.48
LiberalPatricia Thorpe7,75422.98−1.45
IndependentMichael Holton5741.70 
Total valid votes 33,749100.0   −1.39
Map of the Ottawa South provincial electoral district for the 1967, 1971 and 1975 elections
1975 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeClaude Bennett14,76743.15−8.52
New DemocraticEileen Scotton11,09932.43+7.88
LiberalPatricia Thorpe8,36024.43+0.64
Total valid votes 34,226100.0   −21.02
1971 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeClaude Bennett22,39251.67+4.16
New DemocraticDon Francis10,63824.55+15.62
LiberalIan Kimmerly10,30723.78−19.78
Total valid votes 43,337100.0   +52.84
1967 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeIrwin Haskett13,47247.51−6.99
LiberalJoseph McDonald12,35143.56+3.40
New DemocraticWilliam Hardy2,5318.93+3.59
Total valid votes 28,354100.0   +21.95

1954-1966: Ward 5 (Old Ottawa South, the Glebe) and that part of Wards 4 (Centretown) and 6 (Dalhousie Ward) south of Sparks Street and Wellington Street (West).

1963 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeIrwin Haskett12,67154.50+2.84
LiberalJoseph McDonald9,33840.16−4.06
New DemocraticPeter Hopwood1,2415.34+1.22
Total valid votes 23,250 100.0   −7.54
1959 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeIrwin Haskett12,98951.66−2.28
LiberalArchibald M. Laidlaw11,11944.22+2.35
Co-operative CommonwealthJohn Fisher1,0374.12+0.97
Total valid votes 25,145 100.0   −4.15
1955 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar14,15153.94−2.04
LiberalKenneth Fogarty10,98441.87+6.88
Co-operative CommonwealthAllen Schroeder8263.15−5.88
Labor–ProgressiveDaniel Nerenberg2731.04 
Total valid votes 26,234 100.0   −26.23

1933-1954: Capital Ward, Dalhousie Ward, Central Ward, Wellington Ward, that part of Riverdale Ward west of Main Street and that part of Elmdale Ward east of Parkdale Avenue.

1951 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar19,90855.98+0.85
LiberalKenneth Fogarty12,44434.99+6.45
Co-operative CommonwealthMelville Fleming3,2129.03−5.95
Total valid votes 35,564 100.0   +3.43
1948 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar18,95555.13−5.79
LiberalWilliam R. Burnett9,81328.54+3.23
Co-operative CommonwealthMilton C. Anderson5,15114.98+1.69
Union of ElectorsTerrence O'Reilly2790.81 
Socialist LabourWilliam Leckie1850.54+0.06
Total valid votes 34,383 100.0   −11.30
1945 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar23,61660.92+16.87
LiberalGeorge Pushman9,81325.31−9.24
Co-operative CommonwealthEugene Forsey5,15113.29−7.42
Socialist LabourE. Irving1850.48−0.21
Total valid votes 38,765 100.0   +43.87
1943 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar11,87044.05−6.15
LiberalLeonard L. Coulter9,31134.56−13.08
Co-operative CommonwealthWalter B. Mann5,57920.71 
Socialist LabourEdward A. Irving1850.69−0.11
Total valid votes 26,945 100.0   −22.45
1937 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
ConservativeGeorge H. Dunbar17,44350.20+2.64
LiberalJohn H. Putnam16,55047.63+0.76
CommunistHarry Binder4081.17+0.64
Socialist LabourPeter Leckie2760.79 
IndependentJames C. Sidey690.20 
Total valid votes 34,746 100.0   −2.69
1934 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%
ConservativeArthur Ellis16,98347.56
LiberalPercy O. Wilson16,73746.87
Co-operative CommonwealthWilliam Henry Chapman1,5314.29
CommunistJohn Lyons1920.54
IndependentJoseph B. O'Reilly1650.46
IndependentDuncan McNaughton1000.28
Total valid votes 35,708 100.0  

1925-1933: Dalhousie Ward and Capital Ward

1929 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%
ConservativeArthur EllisAcclaimed 
1926 Ontario general election
Party Candidate Votes%
ConservativeThomas Miles Birkett9,17162.27
LiberalRobert R. Sparks5,55637.73
Total valid votes 14,727 100.0  

2007 electoral reform referendum

2007 Ontario electoral reform referendum
Side Votes %
First Past the Post 30,718 65.84
Mixed Member Proportional 15,941 34.16
Total valid votes 46,659 100.0  
Source
"Referendum Statistical Results" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2012-06-08.

Riding associations

Riding associations are the local branches of the provincial political parties:

Party Association Name CEO HQ Address Neighbourhood
Green Green Party of Ontario Ottawa South Unknown Unknown Unknown
  Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario Ottawa South Progressive Conservative Association Alan Wilde 10 The Masters Drive, Ottawa, ON. Uplands
  Liberal Party of Ontario Ottawa South Provincial Liberal Association John Fraser Unknown Unknown
  Ontario New Democratic Party Ontario New Democrat Party Ottawa South Unknown Unknown Unknown

Sources

References

  1. "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. p. 8. Retrieved 20 January 2019.
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