2012 United States Senate election in Washington
The 2012 United States Senate election in Washington took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Maria Cantwell won re-election to a third term by a significant margin.
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Turnout | 64.1% (voting eligible)[1] | ||||||||||||||||
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County results Cantwell: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Baumgartner: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Washington |
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Background
Maria Cantwell won re-election to serve a second term with 56.85% of the vote against Mike McGavick in the 2006 Washingtonian U.S. senatorial election.
Top-two primary election
Democratic
- Maria Cantwell, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
- Timothy Wilson[3]
Republican
- Michael Baumgartner, state senator[4]
- Art Coday, physician[5]
- Chuck Jackson, merchant mariner[6][7]
- Glen R. Stockwell, president of Washington State Economic Development Corporation[6][8]
- Mike the Mover, perennial candidate[6]
Declined
- Bill Bryant, Port of Seattle Commission President[9]
- Clint Didier, former NFL football player (endorsed Coday)[10]
- Doc Hastings, U.S. Representative[11]
- Jaime Herrera Beutler, U.S. Representative[12]
- John Koster, Snohomish County Councilman and candidate for the 2nd congressional district in 2010 (running for the U.S. House)[13]
- Cathy McMorris Rodgers, U.S. Representative[14]
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative[15]
- Phillip Yin, Hong Kong-based anchor for Bloomberg Television[16]
Others
- Will Baker (Reform Party)[6]
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 626,360 | 55.42 | |
Republican | Michael Baumgartner | 344,729 | 30.50 | |
Republican | Art Coday | 59,255 | 5.24 | |
Democratic | Timothy Wilson | 26,850 | 2.38 | |
Republican | Chuck Jackson | 21,870 | 1.94 | |
Republican | Glenn R. Stockwell | 21,731 | 1.92 | |
Republican | Mike the Mover | 16,459 | 1.46 | |
Reform | Will Baker | 12,865 | 1.14 | |
Total votes | 1,130,119 | 100 |
General election
Candidates
- Maria Cantwell (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Michael Baumgartner (Republican), state senator
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 12, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Maria Cantwell (D) | $8,032,254 | $6,355,260 | $2,176,258 | $2,171,350 |
Michael Baumgartner (R) | $689,690 | $422,428 | $181,841 | $45,689 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[18][19] |
Top contributors
Maria Cantwell | Contribution | Michael Baumgartner | Contribution |
---|---|---|---|
Microsoft Corp | $83,982 | Anderson Hay & Grain | $5,000 |
EMILY's List | $77,900 | Columbia Management Systems, By Lar | $5,000 |
Morgan & Morgan | $40,000 | Ignition Partners | $5,000 |
League of Conservation Voters | $39,900 | Kvc Development Co | $5,000 |
University of Washington | $35,900 | Acorn Campus Ventures | $4,000 |
K&L Gates | $35,048 | Legacy LLC | $3,523 |
Boeing Co. | $30,625 | Inland Empire Paper | $3,750 |
Intellectual Ventures LLC | $27,250 | Savers Inc | $3,523 |
McBee Strategic Consulting | $26,650 | Red Lion Hotels | $3,500 |
Second Avenue Partners | $24,500 | National Cotton Council | $3,300 |
Top industries
Maria Cantwell | Contribution | Michael Baumgartner | Contribution |
---|---|---|---|
Lawyers/Law Firms | $696,936 | Retired | $45,756 |
Retired | $621,231 | Financial Institutions | $10,000 |
Lobbyists | $539,418 | Financial Institutions | $310,487 |
Financial Institutions | $310,487 | Agribusiness | $9,550 |
Computers/Internet | $206,970 | Health Professionals | $6,150 |
Real Estate | $179,169 | Misc Finance | $4,250 |
Health Professionals | $169,937 | Mining | $4,25 |
Business Services | $167,629 | Timber/Forest Products | $3,750 |
Casinos/Gambling | $165,850 | General Contractors | $3,000 |
Entertainment Industry | $136,457 | Real Estate | $2,950 |
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[22] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Rothenberg Political Report[24] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
Real Clear Politics[25] | Likely D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maria Cantwell (D) |
Michael Baumgartner (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Survey USA | November 21–23, 2011 | 549 | ±4.3% | 51% | 39% | — | 10% |
Survey USA | January 12–16, 2012 | 617 | ±4.0% | 50% | 41% | — | 8% |
Public Policy Polling | February 16–19, 2012 | 1,264 | ±2.76% | 51% | 36% | — | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | June 14–17, 2012 | 1,073 | ±3.0% | 51% | 35% | — | 14% |
Survey USA | July 16–17, 2012 | 630 | ±4.0% | 51% | 40% | — | 9% |
Survey USA | September 7–9, 2012 | 524 | ±4.4% | 54% | 38% | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 26, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 57% | 37% | 1% | 5% |
SurveyUSA | September 28–30, 2012 | 540 | ±4.3% | 53% | 40% | — | 6% |
The Washington Poll | October 1–16, 2012 | 782 | ±3.5% | 58% | 35% | — | 7% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 14, 2012 | 500 | ±4.5% | 52% | 37% | 1% | 9% |
KCTS 9/Washington Poll | October 18–31, 2012 | 632 | ±3.9% | 61% | 33% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2012 | 932 | ±3.2% | 57% | 39% | — | 4% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maria Cantwell (incumbent) | 1,855,493 | 60.45% | +3.60% | |
Republican | Michael Baumgartner | 1,213,924 | 39.55% | -0.38% | |
Total votes | 3,069,417 | 100.0% | N/A | ||
Democratic hold |
See also
References
- Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
- Blumenthal, Les (November 21, 2010). "Washington state's Cantwell not looking ahead to 2012 -- yet". McClatchy Newspapers. Archived from the original on November 19, 2012. Retrieved December 9, 2010.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on January 13, 2016. Retrieved September 1, 2019.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- "Makupfront: Up Front With Robert Mak". Archived from the original on April 25, 2012. Retrieved October 2, 2011.
- Camden, Jim (January 30, 2012). "U.S. Senate race: Cantwell has $4 million in bank". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved February 24, 2012.
- "2012 Candidates Appearing in the Primary". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
- "Candidate Statement". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
- "Corporation Registration Detail". Secretary of State of Washington. Retrieved August 1, 2012.
- Myrick, Bryan (March 12, 2012). "Port Commission President Bill Bryant Will Not Challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate". NW Daily Marker.
- "Endorsements - Art Coday for US Senate, Washington 2012". Archived from the original on March 23, 2012. Retrieved March 25, 2012.
- Faulk, Mike (February 24, 2012). "Doc Hastings rules out reform". Yakima Herald-Republic. Tri-City Herald. Archived from the original on April 18, 2012. Retrieved February 24, 2012.
- Mathieu, Stevie (January 16, 2012). "Congresswoman talks town halls, confirms re-election bid". The Columbian. Retrieved February 24, 2012.
- "John Koster officially files to unseat Rep. Rick Larsen | Politics | Everett News". Archived from the original on April 2, 2012. Retrieved August 6, 2011.
- Camden, Jim; Brunt, Jonathan (March 17, 2011). "McMorris Rodgers starting 2012 campaign". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved February 24, 2012.
- Brunner, Jim (February 2, 2012). "Reichert won't challenge Cantwell for U.S. Senate seat". The Seattle Times.
- Mak, Robert (October 26, 2011). "GOP Senate hopeful drops out of race". KING 5 News. Archived from the original on February 11, 2012. Retrieved December 14, 2011.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on August 10, 2012. Retrieved August 8, 2012.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- Cantwell Campaign Finances
- Baumgartner Campaign Finances
- [http://www.opensecrets.org/races/contrib.php?cycle=2012&id=WAS1 Center for Responsive Politics
- Donors by Industry (opensecrets.org)
- "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- https://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20121106/US-Senator.html
External links
- Elections & Voting at the Washington Secretary of State office
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
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