2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

The 2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Tennessee voters chose 11 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

2012 United States presidential election in Tennessee

November 6, 2012
 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 11 0
Popular vote 1,462,330 960,709
Percentage 59.48% 39.08%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Mitt Romney easily carried Tennessee's 11 electoral votes after he garnered 59.48% of the popular vote in Tennessee, to Barack Obama's 39.08%.[1] Romney's 20.40% margin of victory was the strongest Republican performance in the state since Richard Nixon's 1972 landslide. Tennessee has not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee since 1996, when Bill Clinton won the state and many other states of the South, and the Volunteer State has not given a majority to a Democratic nominee since fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter carried it in 1976. Thus, Tennessee has been seen as part of the modern day Red Wall in the 21st century. After the 1996 election, the state has been growing more Republican each election.[2] Even in 2008, when the rest of the country swung hard towards the left, John McCain's margin of victory increased to 15.06%, solidifying the state's Republican identity as West Tennessee has joined the Appalachian region to become one of the most Republican areas of the country.

As consistent with the rest of the country, Obama carried heavily populated and diverse counties. The largest county, Shelby, was won by Obama by a 26.08% margin due to it being home to Memphis, Tennessee's largest city. In addition, the home of the state capital of Nashville, Davidson County, went to the president by 18.58%. Hardeman and Haywood counties, both low-populated suburbs of Memphis, also went to the president due to their high African American populations (42.2%[3] and 50.6%[4] respectively). However, rural areas – including areas in the northwest of the state that had long favored Democratic candidates – saw heavy margins for Romney, allowing him to offset Obama's wins in large cities. The eastern region of the state in Appalachia, some of the most historically Republican and Unionist counties in the country, saw margins of over 70% for the Republican ticket.[5]

Romney also flipped two counties, Houston and Jackson, into the Republican column. Both of these majority white counties have been Democratic strongholds with their strong ties to secessionism: they have only voted for a Republican presidential nominee once prior to this election, in 1928 and 1920, respectively.[6]

As of 2020, this is the most recent election in which Hardeman County was won by the Democratic presidential nominee.

General election

Results

United States presidential election in Tennessee, 2012
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 1,462,330 59.48% 11
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 960,709 39.08% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 18,623 0.67% 0
Green Jill Stein Cheri Honkala 6,515 0.26% 0
Constitution Virgil Goode Jim Clymer 6,022 0.24% 0
Justice Rocky Anderson Luis J. Rodriguez 2,639 0.11% 0
American Third Position Merlin Miller Virginia D. Abernethy 1,739 0.07% 0
Totals 2,458,577 100.00% 11

By county

County Obama% Obama# Romney% Romney# Others% Others# Total
Anderson34.13%10,12263.95%18,96801.92%56929,659
Bedford29.15%4,21169.46%10,03401.38%20014,445
Benton36.27%2,25861.84%3,85001.90%1186,226
Bledsoe29.07%1,26769.33%3,02201.61%704,359
Blount26.27%12,93471.98%35,44101.74%85949,234
Bradley22.35%8,03776.25%27,42201.40%50435,963
Campbell27.50%3,32871.10%8,60401.40%16912,101
Cannon31.45%1,56466.54%3,30902.01%1004,973
Carroll32.02%3,47566.58%7,22501.39%15110,851
Carter23.23%4,78975.20%15,50301.58%32520,617
Cheatham30.69%4,65967.63%10,26801.68%25515,182
Chester25.34%1,62473.07%4,68401.59%1026,410
Claiborne23.90%2,43374.84%7,61701.26%12810,178
Clay36.77%1,03761.95%1,74701.28%362,820
Cocke24.48%2,80473.85%8,45901.67%19111,454
Coffee30.48%5,87067.62%13,02301.90%36619,259
Crockett30.36%1,66968.81%3,78300.84%465,498
Cumberland24.80%6,26173.88%18,65301.32%33325,247
Davidson58.45%143,12039.87%97,62201.69%4,131244,873
Decatur30.65%1,30367.61%2,87401.74%744,251
DeKalb33.85%2,17464.51%4,14301.64%1056,422
Dickson34.95%6,23363.34%11,29601.72%30617,835
Dyer27.22%3,75771.89%9,92100.88%12213,800
Fayette34.17%6,68864.83%12,68901.01%19719,574
Fentress22.64%1,56176.04%5,24301.32%916,895
Franklin34.76%5,60363.66%10,26201.58%25416,119
Gibson33.38%6,56465.51%12,88301.12%22019,667
Giles34.82%3,76064.03%6,91501.15%12410,799
Grainger23.00%1,66875.43%5,47001.57%1147,252
Greene26.06%6,22572.19%17,24501.75%41723,887
Grundy38.78%1,64359.38%2,51601.84%784,237
Hamblen26.13%5,23472.49%14,52201.38%27620,032
Hamilton41.67%58,83656.62%79,93301.71%2,412141,181
Hancock23.22%47574.63%1,52702.15%442,046
Hardeman52.51%5,48246.60%4,86500.88%9210,439
Hardin23.51%2,46775.14%7,88601.35%14210,495
Hawkins25.70%5,08872.65%14,38201.65%32719,797
Haywood60.36%4,56939.11%2,96000.53%407,569
Henderson25.03%2,51773.80%7,42101.16%11710,055
Henry34.06%4,33964.31%8,19301.62%20712,739
Hickman35.49%2,69862.59%4,75801.92%1467,602
Houston46.25%1,40052.16%1,57901.59%483,027
Humphreys42.33%2,90555.85%3,83301.82%1256,863
Jackson41.56%1,73956.96%2,38301.48%624,184
Jefferson24.10%4,23274.25%13,03801.65%28917,559
Johnson23.94%1,48374.44%4,61101.61%1006,194
Knox34.43%59,39963.60%109,70701.97%3,401172,507
Lake42.36%88455.73%1,16301.92%402,087
Lauderdale46.16%4,01153.12%4,61600.71%628,689
Lawrence27.84%4,23770.77%10,77001.39%21215,219
Lewis30.83%1,44766.40%3,11702.77%1304,694
Lincoln24.80%3,29073.88%9,80301.32%17513,268
Loudon22.91%5,05875.69%16,70701.40%30822,073
Macon22.48%1,55276.18%5,26001.35%936,905
Madison45.13%18,36754.03%21,99300.84%34240,702
Marion37.98%3,95360.26%6,27201.77%18410,409
Marshall34.68%3,72563.61%6,83201.71%18410,741
Maury35.83%11,82562.74%20,70801.43%47333,006
McMinn25.84%4,60972.71%12,96701.45%25817,834
McNairy26.98%2,64571.57%7,01501.45%1429,802
Meigs29.34%1,16368.97%2,73401.69%673,964
Monroe26.76%4,37271.80%11,73101.44%23516,338
Montgomery44.08%24,49954.41%30,24501.51%84055,584
Moore25.19%70573.35%2,05301.46%412,799
Morgan26.52%1,72571.79%4,66901.69%1106,504
Obion27.01%3,32171.68%8,81401.32%16212,297
Overton36.60%2,80562.30%4,77501.10%847,664
Perry37.85%99260.21%1,57801.95%512,621
Pickett29.03%71269.79%1,71201.18%292,453
Polk30.63%1,85667.80%4,10801.57%956,059
Putnam30.60%7,80267.66%17,25401.74%44425,500
Rhea24.82%2,62873.67%7,80201.51%16010,590
Roane28.53%6,01869.82%14,72401.65%34821,090
Robertson31.53%8,29067.11%17,64301.35%35626,289
Rutherford36.84%36,41461.56%60,84601.61%1,58898,848
Scott21.78%1,45276.74%5,11701.48%996,668
Sequatchie28.96%1,48968.86%3,54102.18%1125,142
Sevier21.91%7,41876.73%25,98401.36%46233,864
Shelby62.63%232,44336.55%135,64900.81%3,017371,109
Smith34.85%2,47063.43%4,49501.72%1227,087
Stewart40.45%2,06957.93%2,96301.62%835,115
Sullivan25.58%15,32172.74%43,56201.68%1,00459,887
Sumner28.42%18,57970.38%46,00301.20%78465,366
Tipton29.62%7,13369.23%16,67201.15%27624,081
Trousdale42.69%1,24055.49%1,61201.82%532,905
Unicoi27.00%1,91371.01%5,03201.99%1417,086
Union25.36%1,47873.47%4,28201.17%685,828
Van Buren38.04%87560.26%1,38601.70%392,300
Warren36.51%4,75261.54%8,01001.94%25313,015
Washington29.82%14,32568.30%32,80801.87%89948,032
Wayne21.20%1,16377.52%4,25301.28%705,486
Weakley28.76%3,54869.75%8,60501.49%18412,337
White30.58%2,79567.80%6,19701.62%1489,140
Williamson26.13%25,14272.59%69,85001.28%1,23396,225
Wilson28.53%14,69570.12%36,10901.35%69551,499

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Mitt Romney swept the state and carried seven of the state's nine congressional districts, all represented by Republicans. Barack Obama carried the state's two congressional districts, the 5th and 9th, anchored by the two largest cities of Nashville and Memphis, respectively.[7]

District Romney Obama Representative
1st 72.7% 25.7%
Phil Roe
2nd 67.3% 30.9% John J. Duncan, Jr.
3rd 63.3% 35.1% Chuck Fleischmann
4th 65.3% 33.1% Scott DesJarlais
5th 42.5% 55.9% Jim Cooper
6th 69.1% 29.5% Diane Black
7th 65.7% 32.9% Marsha Blackburn
8th 66.1% 32.8% Stephen Fincher
9th 20.9% 78.3% Steve Cohen

Democratic primary

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012

March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
 
Candidate Barack Obama Uncommitted
Home state Illinois n/a
Delegate count 82 9
Popular vote 80,705 10,497
Percentage 88.48% 11.51%

Tennessee results by county
  Barack Obama

The 2012 democratic primary in Tennessee took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012, with Barack Obama receiving 80,355 (88.5%) votes. Other candidates received a combined total of 10,411 (11.5%) votes.[8] Tennessee had a total of 91 delegates to the 2012 Democratic National Convention, of which 82 were pledged to presidential contenders depending on the popular vote. The remaining 9 super-delegates were unbound.

Tennessee Democratic primary, 2012[9]
Candidate Popular vote Delegates
Count Percentage Pledged delegates Super delegates Total delegates
Barack Obama 80,705 88.48% 82 9 91
Uncommitted 10,497 11.51% 0 0 0
John Wolfe Jr. (write-in) 7 0.00% 0 0 0
Total: 91,209 100% 91 29 251

Republican primary

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012

March 6, 2012 (2012-03-06)
 
Candidate Rick Santorum Mitt Romney
Home state Pennsylvania Massachusetts
Delegate count 29 14
Popular vote 205,809 155,630
Percentage 37.11% 28.06%

 
Candidate Newt Gingrich Ron Paul
Home state Georgia Texas
Delegate count 9 0
Popular vote 132,889 50,156
Percentage 23.96% 9.04%

Tennessee results by county
  Rick Santorum
  Mitt Romney
  Newt Gingrich

The Republican primary took place on Super Tuesday, March 6, 2012.[10][11]

Tennessee has 58 delegates to the 2012 Republican National Convention. Three superdelegates are unbound. 27 delegates are awarded by congressional district, 3 delegates for each district. If a candidate wins two-thirds of the vote in a district, he takes all 3 delegates there; if not, delegates are split 2-to-1 between the top two candidates. Another 28 delegates are awarded to the candidate who wins two-thirds of the vote statewide, or allocated proportionately among candidates winning at least 20% of the vote if no one gets two-thirds.[12]

Former Senator from Pennsylvania Rick Santorum won the primary with a plurality, carrying 37.11% of the vote and all but four counties, awarding him 29 delegates. Former Massachusetts Governor and eventual nominee, Mitt Romney, came second with 28.06% of the vote and 19 delegates. He carried only three counties: Davidson, Loudon, and Williamson. Former Speaker of the House of Representatives, Newt Gingrich of neighboring Georgia, came third with 23.96% of the vote and 9 delegates, carrying only the county of Marion. Representative from Texas Ron Paul received 9.04% of the vote and all other candidates received under 1% of the vote.[13]

Results

Tennessee Republican primary, 2012[14]
Candidate Votes Percentage Projected delegate count
NYT
[15]
CNN
[16]
FOX
[17]
Rick Santorum 205,809 37.11% 29 27 26
Mitt Romney 155,630 28.06% 14 15 12
Newt Gingrich 132,889 23.96% 9 8 9
Ron Paul 50,156 9.04% 0 0 0
Rick Perry (withdrawn) 1,966 0.35% 0 0 0
Michele Bachmann (withdrawn) 1,895 0.34% 0 0 0
Jon Huntsman (withdrawn) 1,239 0.22% 0 0 0
Buddy Roemer (withdrawn) 881 0.16% 0 0 0
Gary Johnson (withdrawn) 572 0.10% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3,536 0.64% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 6 8 9
Total: 554,573 100.00% 58 58 58

See also

References

  1. "Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - Tennessee". Retrieved 4 January 2013.
  2. Moskowitz, Seth (March 2, 2020). "The Road to 270: Tennessee". 270toWin. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  3. "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Hardeman County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  4. "U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: Haywood County, Tennessee". United States Census Bureau. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  5. Rothenberg, Stuart (October 3, 2017). "What Happened to Mountain Republicans in the South?". Inside Elections. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  6. Skelley, Geoffrey. "County winners, 1836-2016". Google Sheets. Retrieved November 29, 2020.
  7. "State of Tennessee Democratic presidential primary" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-02-12. Retrieved 2016-09-17.
  8. "State of Tennessee March 6, 2012 Democratic Primary Presidential Preference" (PDF). Tennessee Elections. Tennessee Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on February 12, 2017. Retrieved September 17, 2016.
  9. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.
  10. "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  11. Nate Silver (March 4, 2012). "Romney Could Win Majority of Super Tuesday Delegates". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved March 5, 2012.
  12. "Tennessee Republican Primary - Election Results". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-11-29.
  13. http://state.tn.us/sos/election/results/2012-03/RepPresStateCertCountyTotals.pdf
  14. Tennessee - New York Times
  15. Tennessee - CNN
  16. "Tennessee - Fox News". Archived from the original on 2012-04-07. Retrieved 2012-03-29.
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