2012 United States Senate election in New York
The 2012 United States Senate election in New York took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate and House of Representatives as well as various state and local elections.
.svg.png.webp){kind=small} | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
| Turnout | 53.2% (voting eligible)[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ||||||||||||||||||||
 County results Gillibrand: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Long: 40–50% 50–60% | ||||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||
.jpg.webp)
| Elections in New York State |
|---|
 |
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Kirsten Gillibrand won re-election to her first full term. She was opposed in the general election by Wendy Long (who ran on the Republican and Conservative Party tickets) and by three minor party candidates. Gillibrand was re-elected with 72% of the vote, by a margin of 46%, the highest margin for any statewide candidate in New York. She performed 9 points better than President Barack Obama did in the presidential race in New York. She carried 60 out of 62 counties statewide. There was one debate, held in October 2012, in which Gillibrand and Long debated various issues such as the economy, abortion rights, the debt and deficit, foreign policy, jobs, and tax and regulatory policy.
Background
Governor David Paterson appointed then-U.S. Representative Kirsten Gillibrand to serve as U.S. Senator from New York until the 2010 special election, succeeding former U.S. Senator Hillary Clinton, who resigned to serve as U.S. Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Gillibrand won the special election in 2010 with 62.95% of the vote over former U.S. Representative Joseph DioGuardi.
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Kirsten Gillibrand, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Gillibrand has also been endorsed by the Independence Party of New York and the Working Families Party, and also appeared on the ballot lines of both of those parties in the general election.[3][4]
Republican primary
Declared
- Wendy E. Long, attorney[5]
- George Maragos, Nassau County Comptroller[6]
- Bob Turner, U.S. Representative, New York's 9th congressional district[7]
The 2012 New York State Republican Convention took place on March 16, 2012.[8] Candidates Wendy Long, George Maragos, and Congressman Bob Turner each reached the threshold of 25% of the weighted vote necessary to qualify for the June 26 primary ballot; however, none of the candidates achieved a majority.[9] Long prevailed by a sizeable margin in the June 26 Republican primary, receiving 50.9% of the vote; Turner received 35.6% and Maragos 13.5%.[10]
Long was designated as the nominee for the Conservative Party of New York State, and appeared on its ballot line in the general election as well as the Republican Party line.[4][11]
Withdrew
- Joe Carvin, Rye Town Supervisor,[12] withdrew on March 16, 2012[13] to run for the House of Representatives against Nita Lowey.
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Wendy Long |
George Maragos |
Bob Turner |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 372 | ±5.1% | 11% | 7% | 19% | 2% | 61% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 218 | ±6.6% | 10% | 5% | 19% | — | 66% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 205 | ±6.8% | 12% | 6% | 15% | — | 67% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 201 | ±6.9% | 11% | 3% | 16% | — | 70% |
Endorsements
Wendy Long
- John Bolton, former US Ambassador to the United Nations
- John Faso, 2006 gubernatorial candidate
- Steve Forbes, publisher and former Presidential candidate
- Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host
- Laura Ingraham, talk radio host
- Brian Kolb, State Assembly Minority Leader
- Rick Lazio, former US Congressman from New York
- National Organization for Marriage
- The New York Post
- Grover Norquist
- Carl Paladino, 2010 gubernatorial candidate
- Dennis Vacco, former New York State Attorney General
Bob Turner
- Rudy Giuliani, former mayor of New York City, 2008 presidential candidate, and Time Person of the Year for 2001
- Martin Golden, New York State Senator from the 22nd District
- Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host
Source: Update for US Senate Election NY 2012: http://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Wendy Long | 75,924 | 50.2% | |
| Republican | Bob Turner | 54,196 | 35.9% | |
| Republican | George Maragos | 21,002 | 13.9% | |
| Total votes | 151,122 | 100.0% | ||
General election
Candidates
- Colia Clark (Green), civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[15]
- Chris Edes (Libertarian), Member of the New York Civil Liberties Union Board of Directors[16]
- Kirsten Gillibrand (Democratic, Working Families, Independence), incumbent U.S. Senator
- Wendy Long (Republican, Conservative), attorney
- John Mangelli (Common Sense Party), Long Island foreclosure defense attorney
- Scott Noren (Independent), oral surgeon (had previously sought the Democratic nomination)[15][17]
- Tim Sweet (Independent-Republican), former social worker, journalist, pastor, businessman, author, and actor[18]
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 17, 2012 - C-SPAN
Fundraising
| Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirsten Gillibrand (D) | $13,778,867 | $3,734,097 | $10,541,156 | $0 |
| Wendy Long (R) | $336,976 | $240,564 | $96,411 | $250,077 |
| Chris Edes (L) | $2,017 | $668 | $1,348 | $0 |
| John Mangelli (I) | $43,819 | $43,820 | $0 | $22,120 |
| Source: Federal Election Commission[19][20][21][22] | ||||
Top contributors
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boies, Schiller & Flexner | $394,664 | Citizens United | $10,000 |
| Davis Polk & Wardwell | $314,600 | Susan B. Anthony List | $10,000 |
| Corning Inc. | $150,650 | Davis, Polk & Wardwell | $8,500 |
| JPMorgan Chase & Co | $143,800 | Kirkland & Ellis | $7,000 |
| Morgan Stanley | $140,800 | Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz | $6,000 |
| National Amusements Inc. | $126,850 | Alta Partners | $5,500 |
| Goldman Sachs | $117,400 | Actimize | $5,000 |
| Blackstone Group | $106,700 | Carlyle Group | $5,000 |
| Sullivan & Cromwell | $100,750 | Credit Suisse Group | $5,000 |
| Simpson, Thacher & Bartlett | $95,700 | Crow Holdings | $5,000 |
Top industries
| Kirsten Gillibrand | Contribution | Wendy Long | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lawyers/law firms | $4,050,294 | Lawyers/law firms | $38,550 |
| Financial Institutions | $2,748,640 | Financial institutions | $31,750 |
| Real estate | $1,257,504 | Real estate | $26,250 |
| Retired | $921,738 | Retired | $25,050 |
| Women's issues | $853,517 | Misc. finance | $16,000 |
| Entertainment industry | $764,677 | Women's issues | $15,150 |
| Lobbyists | $723,596 | Republican/Conservative | $11,250 |
| Misc. finance | $644,953 | Education | $7,250 |
| Business services | $621,286 | Misc. business | $7,000 |
| Insurance | $518,275 | Construction services | $5,000 |
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[25] | Solid D | November 1, 2012 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[27] | Safe D | November 2, 2012 |
| Real Clear Politics[28] | Safe D | November 5, 2012 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Kirsten Gillibrand (D) |
Wendy Long (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac | March 28 – April 2, 2012 | 1,597 | ±2.5% | 58% | 25% | 1% | 13% |
| Siena College | April 1–4, 2012 | 808 | ±3.4% | 63% | 23% | — | 14% |
| Siena College | May 6–10, 2012 | 766 | ±3.5% | 60% | 26% | — | 14% |
| Quinnipiac | May 22–28, 2012 | 1,504 | ±2.5% | 58% | 24% | 1% | 15% |
| Siena College | June 3–6, 2012 | 807 | ±3.4% | 65% | 22% | — | 12% |
| Siena College | July 10–15, 2012 | 758 | ±3.6% | 62% | 25% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac | July 17–23, 2012 | 1,779 | ±2.3% | 57% | 24% | 1% | 16% |
| Siena College | August 14–19, 2012 | 671 | ±3.8% | 65% | 22% | — | 13% |
| Quinnipiac | September 4–9, 2012 | 1,468 | ±2.5% | 64% | 27% | — | 9% |
| Marist | October 18–21, 2012 | 565 | ±4.1% | 68% | 24% | — | 8% |
| Siena College | October 22–24, 2012 | 750 | ±3.6% | 67% | 24% | — | 8% |
| SurveyUSA | October 23–25, 2012 | 554 | ±4.1% | 64% | 22% | 7% | 7% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kirsten Gillibrand | 4,432,525 | 66.38% | +11.38% | |
| Working Families | Kirsten Gillibrand | 251,292 | 3.76% | -0.29% | |
| Independence | Kirsten Gillibrand | 138,513 | 2.07% | -1.83% | |
| Total | Kirsten Gillibrand (incumbent) | 4,822,330 | 72.21% | +9.26% | |
| Republican | Wendy Long | 1,517,578 | 22.73% | -6.96% | |
| Conservative | Wendy Long | 241,124 | 3.61% | -1.81% | |
| Total | Wendy Long | 1,758,702 | 26.34% | -8.77% | |
| Green | Colia Clark | 42,591 | 0.64% | -0.15% | |
| Libertarian | Chris Edes | 32,002 | 0.48% | +0.07% | |
| Independent | John Mangelli | 22,041 | 0.33% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 6,677,666 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
See also
References
- Dr. Michael McDonald (February 9, 2013). "2012 General Election Turnout Rates". George Mason University. Archived from the original on April 24, 2013. Retrieved April 6, 2013.
- Hill, Michael (November 3, 2010). "Day after win, NY Sen. Gillibrand is running again". Associated Press. Retrieved December 28, 2010.
- Johnson, Michael (March 12, 2012). "State Independence Party Backs Gillibrand". Capital Tonight. Archived from the original on March 20, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- "New York Democrats back Kirsten Gillibrand for US Senate; Conservatives pick Wendy Long". The Post-Standard. Associated Press. March 19, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- Benjamin, Liz (January 29, 2012). "A New Challenger To Gillibrand?". Capital Tonight. Archived from the original on February 8, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2012.
- "U.S. Senate Hopeful Speaks to Rockland Republicans - Pearl River, NY Patch". patch.com. Archived from the original on July 27, 2011. Retrieved June 3, 2011.
- Campbell, Colin (March 13, 2012). "Bob Turner Announces U.S. Senate Campaign Against Kirsten Gillibrand". Politicker. Retrieved March 13, 2012.
- Seiler, Casey (February 19, 2012). Save the date: GOP plans March 16 convention. Capitol Confidential (Albany Times-Union). Retrieved February 19, 2012.
- Benjamin, Liz (March 16, 2012). Three-Way GOP Primary For US Senate. Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- "Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". Wall Street Journal. News Corporation. June 27, 2012. Archived from the original on June 28, 2012. Retrieved June 27, 2012.
- "Long wins NY Senate GOP primary to face Gillibrand". WSJ.com. Archived from the original on June 28, 2012.
- Vielkind, Jimmy (February 29, 2012). "Joe Carvin of Rye also challenging Gillibrand". Albany Times Union. Retrieved February 29, 2012.
- Benjamin, Elizabeth (March 16, 2012). Carvin Out Of US Senate Race (Updated). Capital Tonight. Retrieved March 16, 2012.
- "2016 Election Results: President Live Map by State, Real-Time Voting Updates". Election Hub.
- "Liberal Alternatives To Kirsten Gillibrand". Irregular Times. April 16, 2012. Archived from the original on May 5, 2012. Retrieved May 6, 2012.
- "Vote For Chris". www.vote-for-chris.net.
- Sultanik, Sara (January 24, 2011). "Ithaca Man to Run for U.S. Senate". WETM-TV. Retrieved January 24, 2011.
- "Alumnus vies for New York senate - The Daily Collegian Online". psu.edu.
- "Gillibrand Campaign Finances". fec.gov.
- "Long Campaign Finances". fec.gov.
- "Mangelli Campaign Finances". fec.gov.
- "Edes Campaign Finances". fec.gov.
- "New York Senate Race". opensecrets.org.
- "Kansas District 04 Race". opensecrets.org.
- "2012 Senate Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- "2012 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2012". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
- https://www.elections.ny.gov/NYSBOE/elections/2012/General/USSenator_07292013.pdf
External links
- New York State Board of Elections
- Campaign contributions at OpenSecrets.org
- Outside spending at Sunlight Foundation
- Candidate issue positions at On the Issues
- Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.