2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

The 2016 United States presidential election in Washington took place on November 8, 2016 as part of the 2016 United States presidential election. Washington was won by Hillary Clinton, who won the state with 54.3% of the vote over Donald Trump's 38.07%. All of the state's 12 electoral votes were assigned to Clinton, though four defected. Trump prevailed in the presidential election nationally.

2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)

November 8, 2016
Turnout78.76% (of registered voters) 2.49%[1]
 
Nominee Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Home state New York New York New Mexico
Running mate Tim Kaine Mike Pence Bill Weld
Electoral vote 8 0 0
Popular vote 1,742,718 1,221,747 160,879
Percentage 52.54% 36.83% 4.85%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county

In the presidential primaries, Washington voters chose Republican Party's nominee; the Democratic Party used the caucus system, and Green Party nominee was chosen in a convention.

Background

Washington has voted for the Democratic candidate in every presidential election since 1988. While the state's Senate was majority Republican in 2016, both of Washington's United States Senators are Democrats, as well as a majority of the state's U.S. House delegation. Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 17.08% in 2008 and Mitt Romney by 14.93% in 2012.

Primary elections

Democratic caucus

County results of the Washington Democratic presidential caucus, 2016.
  Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders bested Hillary Clinton in the Democratic presidential caucus on March 26, 2016:

The state also held a non-binding presidential primary on May 24, the same date as the state's Republican primary. Hillary Clinton won the preference vote.

Washington Democratic caucuses, March 26, 2016
Candidate District delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 19,159 72.72% 74 0 74
Hillary Clinton 7,140 27.10% 27 10 37
Others
Uncommitted 46 0.18% 0 7 7
Total 26,345 100% 101 17 118
Source: The Green Papers
Washington Democratic primary, May 24, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 420,461 52.38% 0 0 0
Bernie Sanders 382,293 47.62% 0 0 0
Others
Uncommitted
Total 802,754 100% 0 0 0
Source: Washington Secretary of State - Official Results

Republican primary

Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot on May 24, 2016:

Washington Republican primary, May 24, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 455,023 75.46% 41 0 41
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 65,172 10.81% 0 0 0
John Kasich (withdrawn) 58,954 9.78% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 23,849 3.96% 0 0 0
Uncommitted 3 0 3
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 602,998 100.00% 44 0 44
Source: The Green Papers

Green convention

This state's Green Party state convention was on May 15. Ballots were emailed to members within a week after the convention.[2]

Washing Green Party Convention, May 15, 2016.
Candidate Votes Percentage National delegates
Jill Stein - 91.7 5
William Kreml - - -
Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - -
Kent Mesplay - - -
Darryl Cherney - - -
Total - - 5

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[3] Safe D November 6, 2016
CNN[4] Safe D November 4, 2016
Cook Political Report[5] Safe D November 7, 2016
Electoral-vote.com[6] Safe D November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] Safe D November 7, 2016
Fox News[8] Safe D November 7, 2016

Polling

State voting history

Washington joined the Union in November 1889 and has participated in all elections from 1892 onwards.

Since 1900, Washington voted Democratic 51.72 percent of the time and Republican 44.83 percent of the time. Since 1988, Washington had voted for the Democratic Party in each presidential election, and the same was expected to happen in 2016.[9]

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Washington (state)[10]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 1,742,718 52.54% 8
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 1,221,747 36.83% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 160,879 4.85% 0
Write-ins 107,805 3.25% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 58,417 1.76% 0
Constitution Darrell Castle Scott Bradley 17,623 0.53% 0
Socialist Workers Alyson Kennedy Osborne Hart 4,307 0.13% 0
Socialism and Liberation Gloria La Riva Eugene Puryear 3,523 0.11% 0
Republican Colin Powell 0 0.00% 3
Independent Faith Spotted Eagle Winona LaDuke 0 0.00% 1
Totals 3,317,019 100.00% 12

Analysis

Hillary Clinton won the election in Washington with 54.3 percent of the vote, a slightly reduced percentage from President Obama in 2012. However, Washington was among the states in which Hillary Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's winning margin in 2012, despite the Democratic nominee losing the Electoral College this time. [11] Donald Trump received 38.1 percent of the vote. This was the first presidential election in which the Republican Party won Grays Harbor and Pacific Counties since 1928 and 1952 respectively.[12][13] It was also the first time the GOP had won Cowlitz County since Ronald Reagan in 1980, and the first Republican win in Mason County since Reagan in 1984.[14]

Despite Clinton's victory, four Democratic electors defected. Three voted for Colin Powell, making him the first African-American Republican to receive electoral votes, while a Native American activist cast his vote for Faith Spotted Eagle, making her the first Native American to receive an electoral vote for president.

Powell became the first Republican to receive electoral votes from Washington state since Ronald Reagan in 1984.[14] However, overall it was the eighth consecutive election in which Washington voted Democratic, and the twelfth in a row in which it voted the same way as neighboring Oregon.

By county

County Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others (excluding write-ins)% Others (excluding write-ins)# Total
Adams28.32%1,29967.21%3,0835.64%2624,644
Asotin32.59%3,13459.70%5,7418.84%8619,736
Benton33.26%26,36059.55%47,1948.09%6,47380,027
Chelan39.34%13,03254.68%18,1146.69%2,23433,380
Clallam45.19%17,67748.04%18,7947.57%2,98639,457
Clark46.70%92,75746.54%92,4417.48%14,962200,160
Columbia24.37%52669.37%1,4977.29%1592,182
Cowlitz39.60%17,90853.48%24,1857.88%3,59945,692
Douglas31.89%4,91862.28%9,6036.58%1,02215,543
Ferry30.94%1,09862.05%2,2028.36%3013,601
Franklin37.87%8,88656.28%13,2066.86%1,62823,720
Garfield22.65%27969.07%8519.31%1161,246
Grant27.89%7,81066.12%18,5187.12%2,01828,346
Grays Harbor42.78%12,02050.06%14,0678.04%2,28028,367
Island49.26%20,96043.39%18,4658.05%3,45142,876
Jefferson62.82%12,65629.97%6,0377.81%1,58320,276
King72.32%718,32221.78%216,3396.39%63,838998,499
Kitsap51.28%63,15639.80%49,0189.77%12,143124,317
Kittitas39.81%7,48953.69%10,1007.21%1,36618,955
Klickitat39.33%4,19454.29%5,7897.30%78610,769
Lewis28.54%9,65465.02%21,9927.33%2,50334,149
Lincoln22.00%1,24472.66%4,1086.32%3615,713
Mason43.16%11,99349.22%13,6778.56%2,40328,073
Okanogan37.24%6,29856.82%9,6106.92%1,18317,091
Pacific43.52%4,62050.49%5,3606.87%73610,716
Pend Oreille28.74%1,93464.99%4,3737.28%4956,802
Pierce49.95%172,53842.51%146,8248.36%29,123348,485
San Juan66.85%7,17225.05%2,6888.48%91410,774
Skagit48.07%26,69044.55%24,7368.12%4,54255,968
Skamania39.97%2,23252.44%2,9288.49%4795,639
Snohomish54.60%185,22737.81%128,2558.38%28,691342,173
Spokane41.75%93,76750.50%113,4358.82%20,044227,246
Stevens25.78%5,76767.78%15,1617.71%1,74922,677
Thurston53.62%68,79837.90%48,6249.26%11,988129,410
Wahkiakum35.60%83257.51%1,3447.72%1822,358
Walla Walla38.52%9,69454.24%13,6518.16%2,07425,419
Whatcom55.47%60,34037.32%40,5997.96%8,734109,673
Whitman47.66%8,14643.31%7,40310.15%1,75617,305
Yakima40.61%31,29154.16%41,7356.08%4,72477,750

Counties that swung flipped Democratic to Republican

[15]

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Clinton won 7 of 10 congressional districts including one represented by a Republican.[16]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 38% 54% Suzan DelBene
2nd 35% 57% Rick Larsen
3rd 49% 43% Jaime Herrera Beutler
4th 58% 35% Dan Newhouse
5th 52% 39% Cathy McMorris Rodgers
6th 40% 52% Derek Kilmer
7th 12% 82% Jim McDermott
Pramila Jayapal
8th 45% 48% Dave Reichert
9th 23% 71% Adam Smith
10th 40% 51% Denny Heck

See also

References

  1. Secretary of State: Kim Wyman. "November 8, 2016 General Election Results". www.sos.wa.gov. Retrieved 2019-06-09.
  2. https://www.facebook.com/events/965157636872423/
  3. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  4. Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  5. "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  6. "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  7. Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
  8. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. "Washington Presidential Election 2016 Results LIVE Updates". Archived from the original on 2016-10-13. Retrieved 2016-10-13.
  10. "November 8, 2016 General Election Results (Washington)". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved 12 January 2017.
  11. "Washington Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2017-08-01. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2019-06-09.
  12. http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/20161108/pacific/
  13. Wheel, Robert. "The 2016 Streak Breakers". Center for Politics. Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Retrieved 13 November 2016.
  14. Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016
  15. Bump, Philip. "The counties that flipped parties to swing the 2016 election". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved 2020-09-01.
  16. Results (PDF). wei.sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2018-06-30.
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