2016 Washington gubernatorial election
The 2016 Washington gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2016, to elect the Governor of Washington, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
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 County results Inslee: 50–60% 60–70% Bryant: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Washington |
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Under Washington's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, residents voted for one of several candidates from a range of party affiliations. The top two finishers, incumbent governor Jay Inslee (Democratic)[1] and Port of Seattle Commissioner Bill Bryant (Republican), moved on to the November general election, which Inslee won.
Background
Democratic governor Christine Gregoire declined to seek a third term in 2012. Democratic former U.S. Representative Jay Inslee was elected to succeed her, defeating Republican Rob McKenna, the outgoing Attorney General of Washington, by 51.5% to 48.5%. The last Republican to hold the office of governor was John Spellman in 1985, meaning that Washington has the second longest period (South Dakota has not had a Democratic governor since 1979) of one-party statehouse rule in America.[2]
Primary election
Declared
- James Robert Deal[3]
- Johnathan Dodds[3]
- Jay Inslee, incumbent governor
- Patrick O'Rourke[3]
Declared
- Bill Bryant, former Seattle Port Commissioner[4]
- Goodspaceguy, perennial candidate[3]
- Bill Hirt[3]
Declined
- Andy Hill, state senator[5]
- Steve Litzow, state senator[5]
- Rob McKenna, former attorney general of Washington and nominee for governor in 2012[6][7]
- Dave Reichert, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[8]
Declared
- David Blomstrom (Fifth Republic)[3]
- Christian Joubert (Holistic)[3]
- Mary Martin (Socialist Workers)[3]
- Steve Rubenstein (Independent)
Declined
- Randy Dorn, State Superintendent of Public Instruction[9]
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | 687,412 | 49.30 | |
| Republican | Bill Bryant | 534,519 | 38.33 | |
| Republican | Bill Hirt | 48,382 | 3.47 | |
| Democratic | Patrick O'Rourke | 40,572 | 2.91 | |
| Independent | Steve Rubenstein | 22,582 | 1.62 | |
| Democratic | James Robert Deal | 14,623 | 1.05 | |
| Democratic | Johnathan Dodds | 14,152 | 1.01 | |
| Republican | Goodspaceguy | 13,191 | 0.95 | |
| Socialist Workers | Mary Martin | 10,374 | 0.74 | |
| Independent | David Blomstrom | 4,512 | 0.32 | |
| Independent | Christian Joubert | 4,103 | 0.29 | |
| Total votes | 1,394,422 | 100 | ||
General election
Debates
- Complete video of debate, October 19, 2016 - C-SPAN
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[11] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[12] | Likely D | October 14, 2016 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[13] | Safe D | November 3, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] | Safe D | November 7, 2016 |
| Real Clear Politics[15] | Lean D | November 1, 2016 |
| Governing[16] | Likely D | October 27, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Jay Inslee (D) |
Bill Bryant (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Insights West | November 4–6, 2016 | 402 | ± 4.9% | 49% | 40% | 10% |
| SurveyUSA | October 31 – November 2, 2016 | 667 | ± 3.9% | 50% | 43% | 6% |
| Elway Poll | October 20–22, 2016 | 502 | ± 4.5% | 51% | 39% | 10% |
| KCTS 9/YouGov | October 6–13, 2016 | 750 | ± 4.4% | 51% | 45% | 4% |
| Strategies 360/KOMO News | September 29 – October 3, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | 8% |
| Elway Poll | August 9–13, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Moore Information | May 16–18, 2016 | 500 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 36% | 18% |
| Elway Poll | April 14–17, 2016 | 503 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 36% | 16% |
| Elway Poll | December 28–30, 2015 | 500 | ± 4.5% | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Public Policy Polling | May 14–17, 2015 | 879 | ± 3.3% | 46% | 34% | 21% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Jay Inslee (incumbent) | 1,760,520 | 54.39% | +2.85% | |
| Republican | Bill Bryant | 1,476,346 | 45.61% | -2.85% | |
| Total votes | 3,236,866 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that swung from Democratic to Republican
- Grays Harbor (largest city: Aberdeen)
- Pacific (largest city: Raymond)
Counties that swung from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Islee won 6 of 10 congressional districts with the remaining 4 going to Bryant.[18]
| District | Bryant | Inslee | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 49% | 51% | Suzan DelBene |
| 2nd | 43% | 57% | Rick Larsen |
| 3rd | 55% | 45% | Jaime Herrera Beutler |
| 4th | 60% | 40% | Dan Newhouse |
| 5th | 56% | 44% | Cathy McMorris Rodgers |
| 6th | 46% | 54% | Derek Kilmer |
| 7th | 22% | 78% | Jim McDermott |
| Pramila Jayapal | |||
| 8th | 54% | 46% | Dave Reichert |
| 9th | 33% | 67% | Adam Smith |
| 10th | 47% | 53% | Denny Heck |
References
- "Stockpiling for 2016? Gov. Inslee stages quiet 2014 fundraiser". Seattle Pi. October 26, 2014. Retrieved October 21, 2014.
- Connelly, Joel (September 29, 2014). "What 2014 elections say about 2016 governor's race". Seattle Pi. Retrieved October 26, 2014.
- Camden, Jim (May 23, 2016). "Final list of candidates in the August primary". The Spokesman-Review. Retrieved May 24, 2016.
- Brunner, Jim (May 14, 2015). "Port Commissioner Bill Bryant announces run for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved May 14, 2015.
- O'Sullivan, Joseph (September 11, 2015). "Hill, Litzow won't challenge Inslee in 2016". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 14, 2015.
- Rosenthal, Brian (February 19, 2013). "Former AG McKenna joins lawfirm". Yakima Herald. Retrieved March 4, 2013.
- Cornfield, Jerry (June 6, 2013). "If not McKenna, others could challenge Inslee in 2016". HeraldNet. Archived from the original on July 14, 2014. Retrieved July 10, 2014.
- Brunner, Jim (October 16, 2015). "Dave Reichert decides: He won't run against Jay Inslee for governor". The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 16, 2015.
- Douglas, C.R. (March 9, 2016). "State schools chief Randy Dorn close to a third-party run for governor". Q13 Fox. Retrieved March 12, 2016.
- "August 2, 2016 Primary Results - Governor". Washington Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 23, 2016. Retrieved September 5, 2020.
- "2016 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- "Elections 2015-16". Daily Kos. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- "Our Final 2016 picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- "2016 Election Maps - 2016 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 15, 2018.
- "2016 Governors Races Ratings & News". Governing Magazine. Retrieved October 28, 2016.
- "November 8, 2016 General Election Results". Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2016.
- Results (PDF). wei.sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2018-06-30.
External links
- Official campaign websites (Archived)
- David Blomstrom (FR) for Governor
- Patrick O'Rourke (D) for Governor
- Jay Inslee (D) for Governor
- Bill Bryant (R) for Governor
- James Robert Deal (D) for Governor
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