2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina

The 2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina took place on November 6, 2012, as part of the 2012 General Election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. North Carolina voters chose 15 electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting incumbent Democratic President Barack Obama and his running mate, Vice President Joe Biden, against Republican challenger and former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney and his running mate, Congressman Paul Ryan.

2012 United States presidential election in North Carolina

November 6, 2012
 
Nominee Mitt Romney Barack Obama
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Massachusetts Illinois
Running mate Paul Ryan Joe Biden
Electoral vote 15 0
Popular vote 2,270,395 2,178,391
Percentage 50.39% 48.35%

County Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Barack Obama
Democratic

Mitt Romney narrowly carried the state of North Carolina, winning 50.39% of the vote to Barack Obama's 48.35%, a margin of 2.04%. North Carolina was one of just two states (along with Indiana) which flipped from voting for Obama in 2008 to voting Republican in 2012. Like Indiana, North Carolina had been a reliably Republican state prior to Obama's 2008 win, having not previously gone Democratic since 1976. Unlike Indiana, however, North Carolina was still considered a competitive swing state in 2012, and both campaigns targeted it heavily, with the Democrats holding their convention in Charlotte. Romney was the first presidential candidate since Zachary Taylor in 1848 to carry North Carolina while losing both Wake County and Mecklenburg County, the two most populous counties and home to the cities of Raleigh and Charlotte, respectively. While Obama lost North Carolina to Romney, he received more votes than he had received in 2008, garnering 35,740 more votes in 2012. This is the first time Nash County voted for a Democratic candidate since Jimmy Carter carried it in 1976. This is peculiar considering the state otherwise flipped towards the Republican Party this election cycle, flipping four counties that were won by Obama four years prior.

As of 2020, this is the most recent election where the Republican won Watauga County and the Democrat won Bladen County, Gates County, Granville County, Martin County, Richmond County, and Robeson County.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

The 2012 North Carolina Democratic primary was held May 8, 2012. North Carolina awarded 157 delegates proportionally.[1]

No candidate ran against incumbent President Barack Obama in North Carolina's Democratic presidential preference primary. Obama received 766,079 votes, or 79.23% of the vote, with the remainder (200,810 votes, or 20.77%) going to elect delegates with "No Preference".[1]

At the North Carolina Democratic state convention, 152 delegates were awarded to Obama, with 5 delegates remaining unannounced.[1]

Democratic Primary Election in NC[2]
Candidate Votes Percentage Awarded delegates
Barack Obama 766,077 79.23% 104
No Preference 200,810 20.77% 0
Totals 966,889 100.00% 104

Republican primary

The 2012 North Carolina Republican primary was held May 8, 2012.[3][4] North Carolina awarded 55 delegates proportionally.[5] Ron Paul and Mitt Romney were the only active contenders on the ballot. By the time of the primary, Romney had already been declared the party's presumptive nominee.[6]

Romney won the North Carolina GOP presidential primary with 65.62% of the vote. Paul (with 11.12% of the vote) narrowly edged out Santorum (with 10.39% of the vote), and Gingrich came in last with 7.64% of the vote. 5.23% of voters registered "no preference". The awarded delegate count from North Carolina's Republican state convention was Romney with 48 delegates and Paul with 7 delegates.[5]

Republican Primary Election in NC[5]
Candidate Votes Percentage Awarded delegates
Mitt Romney 638,601 65.62% 48
Ron Paul 108,217 11.12% 7
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 101,093 10.39%
Newt Gingrich (withdrawn) 74,367 7.64%
No Preference 50,928 5.23%
Totals 973,206 100.00% 55

General election

Polling

Statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

Throughout most of 2011, Obama won or tied with Romney in every poll. On September 25, 2011, Romney won a poll for the first time, 50% to 39%. Until May 2012, Obama had a consistent but narrow lead over Romney. Throughout the summer of 2012, the tide changed with Romney winning more polls than Obama. In September, Obama's momentum rose and Obama won most polls in September 2012. In October, the tide changed in Romney's favor, and Obama had not won a poll since October 1, 2012. Romney won every poll for the first three weeks in October, but then many polls came as tied between Obama and Romney. Romney led the last poll 50% to 46%, but the second last poll was tied. [7] The last three polls showed an average of Romney leading 49% to 48%, which was accurate compared to the results.[8]

Overview

United States presidential election in North Carolina, 2012[9]
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Mitt Romney Paul Ryan 2,270,395 50.39% 15
Democratic Barack Obama Joe Biden 2,178,391 48.35% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson Jim Gray 44,515 0.99% 0
Others (write-in) 12,071 0.27% 0
Totals 4,505,372 100.00% 15
Voter turnout (registered voters) 67.74%
North Carolina 2012 Presidential Election by Precinct

By county

County Obama% Obama# Romney% Romney# Others% Others# Total
Alamance42.60%28,87556.32%38,17001.08%73167,776
Alexander26.81%4,61171.25%12,25301.93%33217,196
Alleghany31.24%1,58366.90%3,39001.86%945,067
Anson62.36%7,01937.01%4,16600.63%7111,256
Ashe32.64%4,11665.36%8,24202.00%25212,610
Avery24.26%1,88274.31%5,76601.43%1117,759
Beaufort39.94%9,43559.17%13,97700.88%20823,620
Bertie66.14%6,69533.46%3,38700.41%4110,123
Bladen50.52%8,06248.56%7,74800.92%14715,957
Brunswick38.42%22,03860.57%34,74301.01%58157,362
Buncombe55.31%70,62542.84%54,70101.86%2,370127,696
Burke37.49%13,70160.93%22,26701.58%57636,544
Cabarrus39.31%32,84959.30%49,55701.39%1,16083,566
Caldwell31.38%10,89866.88%23,22901.74%60534,732
Camden32.06%1,50866.09%3,10901.85%874,704
Carteret29.00%10,30169.76%24,77501.24%44135,517
Caswell48.45%5,34850.67%5,59400.88%9711,039
Catawba34.58%24,06963.99%44,53801.43%99469,601
Chatham51.82%18,36147.03%16,66501.15%40835,434
Cherokee26.25%3,37872.11%9,27801.64%21112,867
Chowan47.38%3,55651.85%3,89100.77%587,505
Clay27.99%1,57970.42%3,97301.60%905,642
Cleveland39.37%17,06259.51%25,79301.12%48543,340
Columbus45.58%11,05053.38%12,94101.04%25224,243
Craven40.64%18,76358.32%26,92801.04%47946,170
Cumberland59.38%75,79239.69%50,66600.93%1,183127,641
Currituck31.51%3,56266.31%7,49602.18%24611,304
Dare41.13%7,39357.02%10,24801.85%33317,974
Davidson29.07%20,62469.62%49,38301.31%92870,935
Davie27.75%5,73571.05%14,68701.20%24820,670
Duplin43.87%9,03355.44%11,41600.69%14320,592
Durham75.80%111,22423.01%33,76901.19%1,742146,735
Edgecombe67.89%18,31031.68%8,54600.43%11626,972
Forsyth53.04%92,32345.83%79,76801.14%1,978174,069
Franklin47.33%13,43651.44%14,60301.23%35028,389
Gaston36.66%33,17162.04%56,13801.30%1,17490,483
Gates51.63%2,78647.52%2,56400.85%465,396
Graham28.35%1,11969.67%2,75001.98%783,947
Granville51.75%13,59847.21%12,40501.04%27226,275
Greene45.87%3,77853.56%4,41100.57%478,236
Guilford57.66%146,36541.28%104,78901.06%2,698253,852
Halifax65.86%17,17633.60%8,76300.54%14026,079
Harnett39.92%17,33158.89%25,56501.20%51943,415
Haywood42.30%11,83355.88%15,63301.82%50827,974
Henderson35.58%18,64262.98%32,99401.44%75652,392
Hertford71.84%7,84327.54%3,00700.62%6810,918
Hoke58.96%10,07639.90%6,81901.14%19417,089
Hyde48.80%1,16350.06%1,19301.13%272,383
Iredell34.15%26,07664.56%49,29901.30%99076,365
Jackson48.47%8,09549.42%8,25402.11%35216,701
Johnston35.58%27,29063.15%48,42701.27%97476,691
Jones44.97%2,35254.24%2,83700.78%415,230
Lee44.56%10,80154.28%13,15801.16%28024,239
Lenoir49.66%13,94849.78%13,98000.56%15828,086
Lincoln29.98%11,02468.71%25,26701.32%48436,775
Macon33.88%5,71264.26%10,83501.86%31416,861
Madison44.34%4,48453.44%5,40402.22%22510,113
Martin52.03%6,58347.38%5,99500.58%7412,652
McDowell33.32%6,03165.06%11,77501.62%29318,099
Mecklenburg60.65%272,26238.24%171,66801.11%4,970448,900
Mitchell23.67%1,83874.77%5,80601.56%1217,765
Montgomery41.90%4,70657.02%6,40401.08%12111,231
Moore35.56%16,50563.55%29,49500.89%41546,415
Nash50.14%24,31349.17%23,84200.69%33748,492
New Hanover46.96%48,66851.52%53,38501.52%1,575103,628
Northampton67.24%7,23232.38%3,48300.38%4110,756
Onslow35.95%18,49062.69%32,24301.36%70251,435
Orange70.22%53,90128.06%21,53901.72%1,31776,757
Pamlico39.15%2,64759.91%4,05100.95%646,762
Pasquotank56.78%10,28242.15%7,63301.06%19218,107
Pender39.27%9,63259.60%14,61701.13%27824,527
Perquimans41.48%2,75957.46%3,82201.07%716,652
Person44.06%8,41854.94%10,49601.00%19219,106
Pitt53.06%41,84345.92%36,21401.01%79978,856
Polk38.63%4,01360.03%6,23601.35%14010,389
Randolph24.33%14,77374.38%45,16001.29%78260,715
Richmond51.01%9,90448.06%9,33200.93%18119,417
Robeson58.18%24,98840.77%17,51001.04%44842,946
Rockingham38.91%16,35160.04%25,22701.05%44242,020
Rowan36.35%22,65062.23%38,77501.42%88762,312
Rutherford32.66%9,37466.04%18,95401.30%37428,702
Sampson44.19%11,56655.10%14,42200.71%18626,174
Scotland58.03%8,21541.19%5,83100.78%11014,156
Stanly29.36%8,43169.31%19,90401.33%38228,717
Stokes27.84%6,01870.48%15,23701.68%36421,619
Surry30.92%9,11267.60%19,92301.48%43529,470
Swain45.71%2,61851.96%2,97602.34%1345,728
Transylvania40.72%6,82657.47%9,63401.81%30316,763
Tyrrell46.94%83752.16%93000.90%161,783
Union34.28%32,47364.51%61,10701.21%1,14894,728
Vance63.89%13,32335.62%7,42900.49%10220,854
Wake54.94%267,26243.50%211,59601.56%7,569486,427
Warren68.67%6,97830.90%3,14000.43%4410,162
Washington58.98%3,83340.34%2,62200.68%446,499
Watauga46.98%13,00250.09%13,86102.93%81127,674
Wayne45.40%23,31453.83%27,64100.77%39751,352
Wilkes27.96%8,14870.39%20,51501.65%48229,145
Wilson53.38%20,87545.91%17,95400.72%28039,109
Yadkin23.54%3,95774.81%12,57801.65%27816,813
Yancey42.12%3,98155.85%5,27802.03%1929,451

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Romney won 10 of the states 13 congressional districts.

District Romney Obama Representative
1st 27.88% 71.60% G.K. Butterfield
2nd 57.26% 41.71% Renee Ellmers
3rd 57.99% 41.01% Walter B. Jones
4th 27.41% 71.43 David Price
5th 59.06% 39.77% Virginia Foxx
6th 57.65% 41.34% Howard Coble
7th 59.24% 39.86% Mike McIntyre
8th 58.06% 41.00% Larry Kissell
Richard Hudson
9th 56.19% 42.81% Sue Myrick
Robert Pittenger
10th 58.00% 40.89% Patrick T. McHenry
11th 60.90% 37.79% Heath Shuler
Mark Meadows
12th 20.79% 78.54% Mel Watt
13th 55.45% 43.53% Brad Miller
George Holding

See also

References

  1. "North Carolina Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved November 14, 2012.
  2. "NC - Election Results". results.enr.clarityelections.com. Retrieved September 18, 2016.
  3. "Primary and Caucus Printable Calendar". CNN. Retrieved January 12, 2012.
  4. "Presidential Primary Dates" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved January 23, 2012.
  5. "North Carolina Republican". The Green Papers. Retrieved November 14, 2012.
  6. Memoli, Michael A. (25 April 2012). "RNC officially names Mitt Romney the party's 'presumptive nominee'". LA Times. Retrieved November 3, 2016.
  7. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html#polls
  8. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nc/north_carolina_romney_vs_obama-1784.html#polls
  9. "North Carolina State Board of Elections". Archived from the original on 2012-11-25. Retrieved November 14, 2012.
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