2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election

The 2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election was held on May 9, 2015, as a result of the resignation of Ontario Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak following the provincial election on June 12, 2014, his second loss in a row as party leader. Patrick Brown won the leadership with 61.8% of votes allocated, defeating Christine Elliott who had 38.2%.

2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election

May 9, 2015
 
Candidate Patrick Brown Christine Elliott
Riding Barrie
(Federal)
Whitby—Oshawa
Points allocated 6,543 4,040
Percentage 61.8% 38.2%

Results by Ontario electoral district

Leader before election

Jim Wilson (interim)

Elected Leader

Patrick Brown

2015 Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario leadership election
DateMay 9, 2015
ConventionToronto Congress Centre
Resigning leaderTim Hudak
Won byPatrick Brown
Ballots1
Candidates2
Entrance Fee$75,000 fee + $25,000 deposit
Spending limit$1.25 million

Rules and procedure

The party's 76,587 members[1] were eligible to cast votes by preferential ballot. The vote will be weighted so that each of the province's 107 ridings that has more than 100 votes cast are allocated 100 electoral votes;[2] ridings in which fewer than 100 party members vote will not be weighted, but will instead have the votes counted as individual votes.[3] If at least 100 members votes in each riding the number of electoral college votes needed to win will be 5,351.[1] The registration fee was $75,000 plus a refundable deposit of $25,000[3] and the spending limit was $1.25 million.[4] 20% of money raised by candidates after the first $100,000 will be transferred to the PC Ontario Fund.[4] The lowest ranked candidate will be dropped from the next round as ballots are counted, and the first candidate to get 50 per cent of the votes will be declared the new leader.[4]

Timeline

  • June 12, 2014: General election results in the incumbent Liberals, led by Kathleen Wynne, being re-elected with a majority government and the Progressive Conservatives losing 9 seats. Party leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to resign as leader following the selection of his successor.
  • June 16, 2014: Progressive Conservative caucus meets with a majority of MPPs asking Hudak to resign immediately.[5][6]
  • June 18, 2014: Hudak announces to the Progressive Conservative caucus that he will resign effective July 2, 2014.
  • June 25, 2014: Christine Elliott announces her bid for the leadership of the Ontario PC Party.
  • July 2, 2014: Ontario legislature convenes; Hudak's resignation will take effect; Progressive Conservative caucus chooses Jim Wilson as interim leader.[5][6]
  • July 5, 2014: The Progressive Conservative executive met to discuss the leadership and appointed a committee to consult the party membership and then draft recommendations for leadership campaign rules and propose a date for the election.[5][6][7][8]
  • Early August 2014: Party committee reports back to the executive with its proposals.[8]
  • August 9, 2014: Party executive announces that the leadership election will occur no earlier than April 1, 2015 and no later than May 31, 2015. The planning committee is given an additional six weeks to consult with party members on the rules of the election.[9]
  • September 17, 2014: Monte McNaughton declares his candidacy.
  • September 21, 2014: Planning committee reports back to executive.[9]
  • September 24, 2014: Vic Fedeli declares his candidacy.
  • September 28, 2014: Patrick Brown declares his candidacy.
  • October 6, 2014: Lisa MacLeod declares her candidacy.
  • November 8, 2014: Official campaign period begins.[3]
  • November 24, 2014: All-candidates debate in Sudbury.[10]
  • January 26, 2015: All-candidates debate in London.[10]
  • January 30, 2015 at 12 pm: Deadline for candidates to file nomination papers and pay first installment of $75,000 registration fee and $25,000 deposit.[3][4]
  • February 4, 2015: Fedeli withdraws from contest.
  • February 6, 2015: MacLeod withdraws; final non-refundable $50,000 installment of candidate entry fee is due.[11]
  • February 11, 2015: All-candidates debate in Ottawa.[10]
  • February 28, 2015: Date by which one must become a member of the party and be eligible to vote in the leadership election.[2][4]
  • April 9, 2015: McNaughton withdraws; endorses Brown.[12]
  • May 1, 2015: Televised debate on TVO in Toronto
  • May 3 & 7, 2015: Members cast preferential ballot for leader.[2]
  • May 8–9, 2015: Ballots counted.[1]
  • May 9, 2015: Results announced, riding by riding, between 10 am and noon at the Toronto Congress Centre.[1][2]

Interim leadership

The following MPPs stood in the July 2, 2014, election by caucus to be interim leader of the party until the leadership election for a permanent leader is held:

  • Randy Hillier (Lanark—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington), MPP since 2007, variously Opposition Critic for Labour, Municipal Affairs and Housing, Rural Affairs, and Northern Development, Mines and Forestry.[13]
  • Jim Wilson (Simcoe—Grey), MPP since 1990, Opposition House Leader (2011–2014), previously Minister of Health (1995–1997), Minister of Energy, Science & Technology (1997–2002), Minister of Northern Development and Mines (2002–2003), Minister of Environment (2003).[13]
  • John Yakabuski (Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke), MPP since 2003, has served as Chief Opposition Whip (2011–2014), Opposition House Leader (2010–2011) and variously Opposition Critic for Community Safety and Energy.[13]

Jim Wilson was elected by caucus to be interim leader and also assumed the position of Leader of the Opposition. Vote totals were not released.[14]

Declared candidates

Patrick Brown

Background

Federal Conservative Party MP for Barrie (2006–2015), Barrie City Councillor (2000–2006), President of the Progressive Conservative Youth Federation (PCYF) (1998–2002). Former vice-president of the Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario. Lawyer by profession.

Date candidacy declared: September 28, 2014[15]
Supporters

Christine Elliott

Christine Elliott
Background

MPP since 2006 (Whitby—Ajax (2006–2007), Whitby—Oshawa (2007–2015). Deputy Leader of the Opposition and Critic for Health and Long-Term Care since 2009. Ran in the 2009 leadership election, placing third. Widow of former federal Minister of Finance Jim Flaherty. Prior to entering politics, Elliott was a lawyer who practiced corporate, estate and real estate law.

Date candidacy declared: June 25, 2014[26]
Supporters

Withdrawn

Vic Fedeli

Background

MPP for Nipissing (2011–present), Opposition Finance Critic (2013–present), Energy Critic (2011–2013), Finance Critic (2013–Present), Fedeli served as mayor of North Bay, Ontario (2003–2010) for two terms, during which he donated his entire salary to charity. Before entering politics, he ran Fedeli Advertising, which in 1989 was ranked by Profit - the magazine for Small Business as the firm 34th on its list of 50 Best Places to Work in Canada. Fedeli was also recognized as one of Canada's Most Successful Entrepreneurs in an episode of MoneyMakers, hosted by Everett Banning. Additionally, Fedeli served as the dollar-per-year chairman of a non-profit organization in North Bay. Fedeli's campaign is called "OntarioFirst".[34]

Date candidacy declared: September 24, 2014[35]
Date withdrawn: February 4, 2015, endorsed Elliott[36]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Randy Pettapiece (Perth—Wellington)
Support from federal caucus members: Jay Aspin (Nipissing—Timiskaming)
Support from former provincial caucus members:
Other prominent supporters: Paula Peroni, 2014 Sudbury candidate and Sudbury Catholic District School Board trustee;[37]
Policies

Lisa MacLeod

Background

MPP for Nepean—Carleton (2006–present), Opposition Treasury Board Critic (2014–present), Energy and Francophone Affairs Critic (2013–2014), Education Critic (2011–2013), Revenue and Government Accountability Critic (2009–2011).

Date candidacy declared: October 6, 2014[38]
Date withdrawn: February 6, 2015, endorsed Elliott[28]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Steve Clark (Leeds—Grenville), Garfield Dunlop (Simcoe North), Julia Munro (York—Simcoe), Jim McDonell (Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry)
Support from federal caucus members: Senator Bob Runciman, former interim PC Leader and cabinet minister, former MPP for Leeds—Grenville[39]
Support from former provincial caucus members: Norm Sterling (Carleton—Mississippi Mills, Lanark—Carleton, Carleton, 1979–2011)[40]
Other prominent supporters:
Policies:

Monte McNaughton

Background

MPP for Lambton—Kent—Middlesex (2011–present), Opposition Critic for Citizenship, Immigration and International Trade (2014–present), Labour Critic (2013–2014), Economic Development and Innovation Critic (2011–2013). Prior to entering provincial politics, McNaughton sat on the city council of Newbury and was general manager and co-owner of McNaughton Family Shopping Centre in Newbury. He also served as chair of the Newbury Economic Development Committee and was president of the Strathroy and District Chamber of Commerce in 2009–10.

Date candidacy declared: September 17, 2014[41]
Date withdrawn: April 9, 2015; endorsed Brown.[12]
Supporters
Support from caucus members: Bob Bailey (Sarnia—Lambton)
Supports from federal caucus members:
Supports from former provincial caucus members: Darcy McKeough (Kent West, 1963–1967; Chatham—Kent 1967–1981), Marcel Beaubien, (Lambton then Lambton—Kent—Middlesex, 1995–2003), Andrew Naismith Watson, (Chatham—Kent 1978–1985)[42]
Other prominent supporters: Rob Ford, Toronto city councillor and former mayor (2010–2014)[43]
Policies: Social conservative

Declined

Results

Results announced in Toronto on May 9, 2015

Ballot Count

Candidate Weighted votes
(sum of percentages in each riding)
Percentage
Patrick Brown6,54361.8
Christine Elliott4,04038.2
Total10,583100

Eligible voters: 76,587; turnout: 49.3%[53]

Riding results

Toronto
Riding MPP/MP (supported) Brown Elliott Total
Toronto & York
Beaches-East York5446100
Davenport7328100
Eglinton-LawrenceMP: Joe Oliver2872100
Parkdale-High Park6535100
St. Paul's4159100
Toronto Centre3070100
Toronto-Danforth5347100
Trinity-Spadina3961100
Etobicoke
Etobicoke CentreMP: Ted Opitz (Elliott)4753100
Etobicoke-LakeshoreMP: Bernard Trottier (Elliott)5842100
Etobicoke North7723100
North York
Don Valley EastMP: Joe Daniel (Brown)6139100
Don Valley WestMP: John Carmichael (Elliott)3862100
WillowdaleMP: Chungsen Leung5842100
York CentreMP: Mark Adler (Brown)5842100
York South-WestonMP: Mike Sullivan8218100
York West8614100
Scarborough
Scarborough-Agincourt8416100
Scarborough CentreMP: Roxanne James7624100
Scarborough-Guildwood8119100
Scarborough-Rouge River9010100
Scarborough Southwest7228100
905
Riding MPP/MP (supported) Brown Elliott Total
Hamilton & Niagara
Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-WestdaleMP: David Sweet (Elliott)5545100
BrantMP: Phil McColeman (Brown)7030100
Haldimand-NorfolkMPP: Toby Barrett (Brown)
MP: Diane Finley
7129100
Hamilton Centre7030100
Hamilton East-Stoney Creek7228100
Hamilton Mountain8119100
Niagara FallsMP: Rob Nicholson (Elliott)4357100
Niagara West-GlanbrookMPP: Tim Hudak
MP: Dean Allison (Brown)
6436100
St. CatharinesMP: Rick Dykstra (Brown)7030100
Welland6832100
Peel & Halton
Bramalea-Gore-MaltonMP: Bal Gosal (Brown)7624100
Brampton-SpringdaleMP: Parm Gill (Brown)6733100
Brampton WestMP: Kyle Seeback (Brown)7228100
Mississauga-Brampton SouthMP: Eve Adams8119100
Mississauga East-CooksvilleMP: Wladyslaw Lizon (Brown)8812100
Mississauga-ErindaleMP: Bob Dechert7525100
Mississauga SouthMP: Stella Ambler4852100
Mississauga-StreetsvilleMP: Brad Butt (Brown)7426100
BurlingtonMP: Mike Wallace (Elliott)4159100
HaltonMP: Lisa Raitt (Elliott)6832100
OakvilleMP: Terence Young (Elliott)4456100
York & Simcoe
Markham-Unionville8713100
Newmarket-AuroraMP: Lois Brown6436100
Oak Ridges-MarkhamMP: Paul Calandra (Brown)7426100
Richmond HillMP: Costas Menegakis7228100
ThornhillMPP: Gila Martow (Elliott)
MP: Peter Kent (Elliott)
5248100
Vaughan5941100
York-SimcoeMPP: Julia Munro (Elliott)
MP: Peter Van Loan
7129100
BarrieMP: Patrick Brown (Brown)8911100
Simcoe-GreyMPP: Jim Wilson
MP: Kellie Leitch (Elliott)
6535100
Simcoe NorthMPP: Garfield Dunlop
MP: Bruce Stanton (Elliott)
4852100
Durham
Ajax-PickeringMP: Chris Alexander (Elliott)5446100
DurhamMP: Erin O'Toole (Elliott)3664100
OshawaMP: Colin Carrie4852100
Pickering-Scarborough EastMP: Corneliu Chisu6634100
Whitby-OshawaMPP: Christine Elliott (Elliott)
MP: Pat Perkins (Elliott)
2773100
Eastern Ontario
Riding MPP/MP (supported) Brown Elliott Total
Ottawa
Carleton-Mississippi MillsMPP: Jack MacLaren (Brown)
MP: Gordon O'Connor
6832100
Nepean-CarletonMPP: Lisa MacLeod (Elliott)
MP: Pierre Poilievre
6238100
Ottawa Centre5644100
Ottawa-OrleansMP: Royal Galipeau (Brown)6931100
Ottawa South6535100
Ottawa-Vanier6040100
Ottawa West-NepeanMP: John Baird (Elliott)5347100
Eastern Ontario
Glengarry-Prescott-RussellMP: Pierre Lemieux (Brown)5842100
Haliburton-Kawartha Lakes-BrockMPP: Laurie Scott (Elliott)
MP: Barry Devolin
2971100
Kingston and the Islands5446100
Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox and AddingtonMPP: Randy Hillier
MP: Scott Reid
5644100
Leeds-GrenvilleMPP: Steve Clark (Elliott)
MP: Gord Brown (Brown)
4753100
Northumberland-Quinte WestMP: Rick Norlock (Elliott)3961100
PeterboroughMP: Dean Del Mastro6139100
Prince Edward-HastingsMPP: Todd Smith (Elliott)
MP: Daryl Kramp (Elliott)
3367100
Renfrew-Nipissing-PembrokeMPP: John Yakabuski
MP: Cheryl Gallant
6634100
Stormont-Dundas-South GlengarryMPP: Jim McDonell (Elliott)
MP: Guy Lauzon
5545100
Southwestern Ontario
Riding MPP/MP (supported) Brown Elliott Total
Kitchener-Waterloo
CambridgeMP: Gary Goodyear6139100
Guelph5644100
Kitchener CentreMP: Stephen Woodworth5050100
Kitchener-ConestogaMPP: Michael Harris (Elliott)
MP: Harold Albrecht
5347100
Kitchener-WaterlooMP: Peter Braid (Elliott)5842100
Wellington-Halton HillsMPP: Ted Arnott (Elliott)
MP: Michael Chong (Elliott)
5347100
London
Elgin-Middlesex-LondonMPP: Jeff Yurek (Elliott)
MP: Joe Preston (Elliott)
4951100
London-Fanshawe7525100
London North CentreMP: Susan Truppe6634100
London WestMP: Ed Holder (Elliott)6733100
Windsor-Essex
Chatham-Kent-EssexMPP: Rick Nicholls (Brown)
MP: Dave Van Kesteren (Elliott)
7327100
EssexMP: Jeff Watson7525100
Windsor-Tecumseh8020100
Windsor West8911100
Rural
Bruce-Grey-Owen SoundMPP: Bill Walker (Elliott)
MP: Larry Miller
4654100
Dufferin-CaledonMPP: Sylvia Jones (Elliott)
MP: David Tilson
5743100
Huron-BruceMPP: Lisa Thompson (Elliott)
MP: Ben Lobb
5248100
Lambton-Kent-MiddlesexMPP: Monte McNaughton (Brown)
MP: Bev Shipley
8515100
OxfordMPP: Ernie Hardeman (Elliott)
MP: Dave Mackenzie (Brown)
4654100
Perth-WellingtonMPP: Randy Pettapiece (Elliott)
MP: Gary Schellenberger
5743100
Sarnia-LambtonMPP: Bob Bailey (Brown)
MP: Pat Davidson
7129100
Northern Ontario
Riding MPP/MP (supported) Brown Elliott Total
Algoma-Manitoulin492877
Kenora-Rainy RiverMP: Greg Rickford7921100
Nickel Belt583593
NipissingMPP: Vic Fedeli (Elliott)
MP: Jay Aspin (Elliott)
4060100
Parry Sound-MuskokaMPP: Norm Miller (Elliott)
MP: Tony Clement
3763100
Sault Ste. MarieMP: Bryan Hayes8812100
Sudbury7327100
Thunder Bay-Atikokan7327100
Thunder Bay-Superior North553287
Timiskaming-Cochrane431861
Timmins-James Bay382765

Opinion polling

All Ontarians

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Forum Research
Sample size: 881
March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
24%
Monte McNaughton 7% Patrick Brown
6%
Someone else 29%, Don't know 34%
Forum Research
Sample size: 1,079
September 30-October 1, 2014 Christine Elliott
14%
Lisa MacLeod
9%
Patrick Brown
5%
Vic Fedeli 4%, Monte McNaughton 4%, Someone else 14%, Don't know 43%
Forum Research
Sample size: 810
July 3, 2014 Christine Elliott
21%
John Baird
9%
Doug Ford
8%
Tony Clement 7%, Lisa MacLeod 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 30%

Progressive Conservative supporters only

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Forum Research
Sample size: 310
March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
35%
Monte McNaughton 15% Patrick Brown
11%
None of these 9%, Don't know 30%
Forum Research
Sample size: 367
September 30-October 1, 2014 Christine Elliott
24%
Lisa MacLeod
11%
Patrick Brown
6%
Vic Fedeli 5%, Monte McNaughton 3%, Someone else 20%, Don't know 30%
Forum Research
Sample size: 287
July 3, 2014 Christine Elliott
25%
John Baird
14%
Lisa MacLeod
11%
Tony Clement 7%, Doug Ford 6%, Lisa Raitt 3%, Someone else 15%, Don't know 19%

Progressive Conservative Members Only

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Mainstreet Research
Sample size: 442
April 30, 2015 Patrick Brown
62%
Christine Elliott 33% -
Undecided 5%
Mainstreet Research
Sample size: 348
April 14, 2015 Patrick Brown
47%
Christine Elliott 41% -
Undecided 12%
Forum Research
Sample size: 65
March 26, 2015 Christine Elliott
51%
Monte McNaughton 13% Patrick Brown
10%
Someone else 14%, Don't know 11%

See also

References

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