2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi

The 2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Mississippi, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2020 United States Senate election in Mississippi
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Cindy Hyde-Smith Mike Espy
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 709,539 578,806
Percentage 54.10% 44.13%
County Results

Hyde-Smith:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Espy:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
U.S. senator before election

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

 Elected U.S. Senator

Cindy Hyde-Smith
Republican

Elections in Mississippi
Federal government
U.S. President
U.S. Senate
U.S. House
State government
State elections
Gubernatorial elections
Attorney General elections
Ballot measures
City of Jackson
Mayoral elections

Incumbent Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith won reelection to a full term against Democratic nominee Mike Espy, in a rematch of the 2018 special election. Despite being outspent nearly 4 to 1, Hyde-Smith won convincingly by a nearly ten point margin.

Republican primary

Nominee

Declined

Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Organizations

Results
Republican primary results[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) 235,463 100.0%
Total votes 235,463 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary
  • Tobey Bartee, former military intelligence officer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[9]
  • Jensen Bohren, teacher, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018[10]

Declined

Endorsements
Mike Espy
Organizations

Results
Results by county
Democratic primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Espy 250,496 93.12%
Democratic Tobey Bartee 11,148 4.14%
Democratic Jensen Bohren 7,345 2.74%
Total votes 268,989 100.0%

Other candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Likely R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Safe R September 18, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Likely R October 8, 2020
Daily Kos[20] Safe R August 31, 2020
Politico[21] Likely R September 9, 2020
RCP[22] Lean R October 5, 2020
Niskanen[23] Safe R September 15, 2020
DDHQ[24] Likely R September 25, 2020
538[25] Likely R September 27, 2020
Economist[26] Likely R September 23, 2020

Endorsements
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)
Executive Branch Officials
Organizations
Mike Espy (D)
Executive Branch Officials
  • Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[34]
  • Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Delaware (1973-2009)[35]
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Officials
Notable Individuals
Organizations
Unions

Polling
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Cindy
Hyde-Smith (R)		 Mike
Espy (D)		 Other Undecided
Data For Progress October 27 – November 1, 2020 562 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 47% 4%[lower-alpha 1] –
Civiqs/Daily Kos October 23–26, 2020 507 (LV) ± 5.3% 52% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 2] 2%
The Progress Campaign (D) October 23, 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 3] – 48% 43% – –
Tyson Group (R)[lower-alpha 4] August 28–30, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 41% 40% – 18%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research (D)[lower-alpha 5] July 30 – August 9, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4.1% 47% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 6] 8%
Public Policy Polling (D)[lower-alpha 7] May 27–28, 2020 871 (V) ± 3.3% 49% 41% – 10%
Impact Management Group (R) May 4–7, 2020 606 (LV) ± 4.4% 58% 31% 3%[lower-alpha 8] 9%[lower-alpha 9]
Tyson Group (R)[lower-alpha 4] March 10–12, 2020 600 (LV) – 54% 28% – 18%
The Progress Campaign (D) March 3–7, 2020 826 (V) – 52% 44% – 4%[lower-alpha 10]
Mason-Dixon February 26–28, 2020 625 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 43% – 4%
Chism Strategies January 3–7, 2020 618 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 36% – 20%

Results
United States Senate election in Mississippi, 2020[47]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith (incumbent) 709,539 54.10% +0.25%
Democratic Mike Espy 578,806 44.13% -2.02%
Libertarian Jimmy Edwards 23,152 1.77% N/A
Total votes 1,311,497 100.00%
Republican hold

Notes
  1. Edwards (L) with 3%; "Other candidate or write-in" with 1%
  2. Edwards (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
  3. Not yet released
  4. Poll sponsored by the Consumer Energy Alliance, which is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group.
  5. Poll sponsored by Espy's campaign
  6. "Third party" with 3%
  7. Poll conducted for the Mississippi Democratic Party.
  8. Edwards (L) with 3%
  9. Includes "refused"
  10. Listed as "other/undecided"

References
  1. "HYDE-SMITH, CINDY - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  2. Lange, Alan (May 22, 2019). "Say it ain't so. Time to talk about the 2020 senate race already?". Y'all Politics. Retrieved May 23, 2019.
  3. Douglas, William; Glueck, Katie (November 28, 2018). "Get ready: The fierce Mississippi Senate race may not be ending anytime soon". McClatchy. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  4. Ganucheau, Adam (November 12, 2019). "Former Miss America pageant leader mulls Sen. Hyde-Smith challenge in 2020 GOP primary". Mississippi Today. Retrieved November 15, 2019.
  5. "2020 Candidates". maggieslist.org.
  6. "2020 State Republican Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS GOP. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  7. "ESPY, MICHAEL - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
  8. "Democrat Mike Espy starts 2020 US Senate bid in Mississippi". The Philadelphia Tribune.
  9. "Mississippi will have Democratic primary for US Senate". AP NEWS. January 10, 2020. Retrieved February 13, 2020.
  10. Ulmer, Sarah (June 17, 2019). "Unique candidate Jensen Bohren announces candidacy for 2020 U.S. Senate run". Retrieved June 17, 2019.
  11. Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
  12. "DSCC Endorses Mike Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". November 13, 2019.
  13. "Our Candidates". Flip the Senate. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  14. Acosta, Lucas (March 4, 2020). "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate". Human Rights Campaign.
  15. "2020 State Democratic Party Certified Primary Election Results". MS DEMS. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  16. Pettus, Emily (March 11, 2020). "Espy wins Mississippi US Senate primary, setting up rematch with Hyde-Smith". Associated Press. Retrieved May 13, 2020.
  17. "2020 Senate Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 29, 2020.
  18. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
  19. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  20. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  21. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  24. "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  25. Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  26. "Why the Democrats are our narrow favourites to win the Senate". The Economist. September 23, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
  27. Geoff Pender (October 21, 2020). "Trump endorses Cindy Hyde-Smith in Mississippi Senate race". Mississippi Today.
  28. "Campaign for Working Families Endorsed Candidates".
  29. "Huck PAC Mississippi Candidates".
  30. "Maggie's List 2020 Candidates".
  31. "NRA-PVF Mississippi Endorsements".
  32. "Susan B. Anthony List 2020 Endorsed Candidates".
  33. "U.S. Chamber of Commerce again endorses Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith for US Senate". www.yallpolitics.com. Today, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce has again endorsed Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith in her race to retain her seat against Democrat challenger Mike Espy.
  34. "Obama endorses Espy in Mississippi Senate Race". The Hill. Retrieved October 21, 2020.
  35. "U.S. Senate Candidate Mike Espy receives endorsement from Joe Biden". WMC5. Retrieved October 2, 2020.
  36. "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senator". June 21, 2020.
  37. Adam Ganucheau (October 22, 2020). "Rep. Bennie Thompson, Democratic kingmaker, throws full support behind Mike Espy in Senate race". Mississippi Today.
  38. "Stacey Abrams endorses candidates in 7 US Senate Contests". AP.
  39. Frank Corder (October 15, 2020). "Yang's PAC endorses Espy, says it gives Democrats better chance to pass universal basic income". Y'all Politics.
  40. https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/#MS
  41. Geoff Pender (October 4, 2020). "Espy finally lands support from national Democrats in Senate race. Is it too late?". Mississippi Today.
  42. "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
  43. "CBC Candidate: Mike Espy".
  44. "HRC Endorses Mike Espy for U.S. Senate".
  45. "Mississippi AFL-CIO endorses Mike Espy for Senate". April 7, 2020.
  46. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  47. "State of Mississippi OFFICIAL 2020 GENERAL ELECTION CERTIFIED RESULTS" (PDF). State of Mississippi Secretary of State. Retrieved December 14, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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