2008 United States presidential election in Vermont
The 2008 United States presidential election in Vermont took place on November 4, 2008, concurrent with the federal election in all 50 states and D.C., which was part of the 2008 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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 County Results
Obama 50-60% 60-70% 70-80%
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| Elections in Vermont |
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Vermont was won by Democratic nominee Barack Obama with 67.46%, to Republican John McCain's 30.45%, a Democratic victory margin of 37.01%.
Obama carried every county by more than 60% of the vote with the exception of Essex County, which he won with 56%. He also broke 70% in 3 counties.
A very liberal Northeastern state, Vermont was the second most Democratic state in the nation, weighing in as a whopping 30% more Democratic than the national average in the 2008 election.
Obama's landslide win in Vermont outperformed Lyndon Johnson's 1964 Democratic landslide in the state, making the results of 2008 the strongest Democratic victory in Vermont's history.
Campaign
Predictions
There were 16 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day:
- D.C. Political Report: Democrat[1]
- Cook Political Report: Solid Democrat[2]
- Takeaway: Solid Obama[3]
- Electoral-vote.com: Strong Democrat[4]
- Washington Post: Solid Obama[5]
- Politico: Solid Obama[6]
- Real Clear Politics: Solid Obama[7]
- FiveThirtyEight.com: Solid Obama[8]
- CQ Politics: Safe Democrat[9]
- New York Times: Solid Democrat[10]
- CNN: Safe Democrat[11]
- NPR: Solid Obama[12]
- MSNBC: Solid Obama[13]
- Fox News: Democrat[14]
- Associated Press: Democrat[15]
- Rasmussen Reports: Safe Democrat[16]
Polling
Obama won every single pre-election poll, and each with a double-digit margin of victory. The final 3 polls averaged Obama leading 59% to 35%.[17]
Fundraising
Obama raised a total of $2,071,271 in the state. McCain raised $206,395.[18]
Analysis
Vermont was once the quintessential Yankee Republican state. It identified with the newly formed GOP in 1856 and remained in the Republican fold for over 130 years. From 1856 to 1988, it only voted for a Democrat once, in Lyndon Johnson's 44-state landslide of 1964. Vermont and Maine were the only states that Franklin D. Roosevelt didn't carry in any of his four elections.
However, the brand of Republicanism practiced in the Green Mountain State has historically been a moderate one. Coupled with an influx of more liberal newcomers from out of state, this made Vermont considerably friendlier to Democrats as the national GOP moved further to the right. After narrowly supporting George H. W. Bush in 1988, Vermont gave Bill Clinton a 16-point margin in 1992. Republicans have not seriously contested the state since then, and Vermont is now reckoned as part of a bloc of solidly blue states spanning most of the Northeast.
The 2008 race kept this tradition going. Obama won with 67% of the vote to McCain's 30%. The state was called for Obama almost as soon as the polls closed, and was the first state called for Obama.
Vermont was Obama's second-best state and his best in the contiguous 48 states; only topped by the staggering 71% he received in Hawaii, the state where he was born. The Obama-Biden ticket won every county in the state, including several north eastern counties which had a history of voting Republican.[21] Obama also performed better than John Kerry in every county.[22] As a measure of how Republican Vermont once was, George W. Bush was at the time the only Republican to win the White House without carrying Vermont.
Results
| 2008 United States presidential election in Vermont | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Democratic | Barack Obama | Joe Biden | 219,262 | 67.46% | 3 | |
| Republican | John McCain | Sarah Palin | 98,974 | 30.45% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Matt Gonzalez | 3,339 | 1.03% | 0 | |
| Write-ins* | Write-ins | 1,464 | 0.45% | 0 | ||
| Libertarian | Bob Barr | Wayne Allyn Root | 1,067 | 0.33% | 0 | |
| Constitution | Chuck Baldwin | Darrell Castle | 500 | 0.15% | 0 | |
| Others* | Others | 440 | 0.14% | 0 | ||
| Totals | 325,046 | 100.00% | 3 | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 66.7% | |||||
- Write-ins include Cynthia McKinney, Green.
- Others include Róger Calero, Socialist Workers; Gloria La Riva, Socialism and Liberation; and Brian Moore, Liberty Union.[23]
By county
| County | Obama | Votes | McCain | Votes | Others | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison | 68.62% | 13,202 | 29.46% | 5,667 | 1.92% | 369 | 19,238 |
| Bennington | 65.47% | 12,524 | 32.06% | 6,133 | 2.47% | 472 | 19,129 |
| Caledonia | 60.43% | 8,900 | 37.15% | 5,472 | 2.42% | 356 | 14,728 |
| Chittenden | 71.44% | 59,611 | 26.65% | 22,237 | 1.91% | 1,592 | 83,440 |
| Essex | 55.89% | 1,733 | 41.41% | 1,284 | 2.71% | 84 | 3,101 |
| Franklin | 61.41% | 13,179 | 36.59% | 7,853 | 1.99% | 428 | 21,460 |
| Grand Isle | 63.11% | 2,694 | 34.90% | 1,490 | 1.99% | 85 | 4,269 |
| Lamoille | 70.37% | 8,914 | 27.75% | 3,515 | 1.88% | 239 | 12,668 |
| Orange | 64.56% | 9,799 | 33.25% | 5,047 | 2.19% | 333 | 15,179 |
| Orleans | 62.63% | 7,998 | 35.10% | 4,482 | 2.27% | 291 | 12,771 |
| Rutland | 61.22% | 19,355 | 36.64% | 11,584 | 2.14% | 678 | 31,617 |
| Washington | 69.33% | 22,324 | 28.35% | 9,129 | 2.32% | 747 | 32,200 |
| Windham | 73.02% | 17,585 | 24.90% | 5,997 | 2.08% | 499 | 24,081 |
| Windsor | 68.81% | 21,444 | 29.15% | 9,084 | 2.04% | 637 | 31,165 |
Electors
Technically the voters of Vermont, as they do in every state, cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Vermont is allocated three electors because it has 1 congressional district and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 3 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 3 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them.[24] An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 15, 2008, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were elected at large as members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged to Barack Obama and Joe Biden:[25]
- Claire Ayer
- Euan Bear
- Kevin Christie
References
- "D.C.'s Political Report: The complete source for campaign summaries". www.dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on 2009-01-01. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
- "Archived copy". Archived from the original on May 5, 2015. Retrieved May 4, 2015.CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
- Adnaan (2008-09-20). "Track the Electoral College vote predictions". The Takeaway. Archived from the original on April 22, 2009. Retrieved 2009-11-14.
- "Electoral-vote.com: President, Senate, House Updated Daily". electoral-vote.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
- Based on Takeaway
- "POLITICO's 2008 Swing State Map - POLITICO.com". www.politico.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
- "RealClearPolitics Electoral College". RealClearPolitics.
- Based on Takeaway
- "CQ Presidential Election Maps, 2008". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on June 14, 2009. Retrieved December 20, 2009.
- Nagourney, Adam; Zeleny, Jeff; Carter, Shan (2008-11-04). "The Electoral Map: Key States". The New York Times. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- "October – 2008 – CNN Political Ticker - CNN.com Blogs". CNN. October 31, 2008. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- Based on Takeaway
- Based on Takeaway
- "Winning The Electoral College". Fox News. April 27, 2010.
- "roadto270". hosted.ap.org. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
- "Election 2008: Electoral College Update - Rasmussen Reports™". www.rasmussenreports.com. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
- "Election 2008 Polls". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections.
- "Presidential Campaign Finance". Archived from the original on 24 March 2009.
- "Map: Campaign Ad Spending - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- "Map: Campaign Candidate Visits - Election Center 2008 from CNN.com". CNN. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- "CHAPTER 13: Toward the 21st Century". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 3, 2004. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- "CHAPTER 13: Toward the 21st Century". The New York Times. Archived from the original on November 3, 2004. Retrieved May 26, 2010.
- "Our Campaigns - VT US President Race - Nov 04, 2008". ourcampaigns.com. 2009. Retrieved 2015-08-25.
- "Electoral College". California Secretary of State. Archived from the original on October 30, 2008. Retrieved 2008-11-01.
- "Elections | Home | Vermont Secretary of State". vermont-elections.org. Archived from the original on 2014-02-10. Retrieved 2016-09-22.
