2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

See also: 2020 Vermont elections

2020 U.S. House of Representatives election in Vermont
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Peter Welch Miriam Berry
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 238,827 95,830
Percentage 67.3% 27.0%
County results
Welch:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Representative
At-large before election

Peter Welch
Democratic

 Elected Representative
At-large

Peter Welch
Democratic

Elections in Vermont
Federal offices
Presidential elections
U.S. Senate elections
Class One
Class Three
U.S. House elections
Special elections
State offices
General elections
Gubernatorial elections
Legislative elections
Senate
House of Representatives
Municipal offices
Mayoral elections
City of Burlington
City of Rutland

Democratic primary

Declared

Debates & forums

Results
Results by county:
  Welch—>90%
Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 101,566 95.45%
Democratic Ralph Corbo 4,599 4.32%
Democratic Write-ins 237 0.22%
Total votes 106,402 100.0%

Republican primary

Nominee
  • Miriam Berry, nurse and screenplay writer[3]

Eliminated in primary
  • Jimmy Rodriguez, activist[3]
  • Justin Tuthill, consultant[3]
  • Anya Tynio, sales representative for Newport Daily Express and nominee for Vermont's at-large congressional district in 2018[3]

Debates & forums

Results
Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Miriam Berry 14,368 32.51%
Republican Justin Tuthill 10,915 24.70%
Republican Anya Tynio 8,830 19.98%
Republican Jimmy Rodriguez 8,290 18.76%
Republican Write-ins 1,789 4.05%
Total votes 44,192 100.0%

Progressive primary

Declared

Results
Progressive primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Chris Brimmer 469 58.04%
Progressive Cris Ericson 236 29.21%
Progressive Write-ins 103 12.75%
Total votes 808 100.0%

Other candidates

Nominee
  • Christopher Helali, former Army officer, veteran, chair of the Orange County Progressive Committee, organic farmer[5]

Debates & forums

Independents
  • Peter R. Becker
  • Marcia Horne, Republican nominee for state senator from Essex-Orleans in 2014 and 2016[6]
  • Shawn Orr
  • Jerry Trudell, renewable energy activist, pilot, independent candidate for U.S. House in 2006, 2008, and 2014, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[7]

General election

Candidates
  • Peter R. Becker (I)
  • Miriam Berry (R)
  • Christopher Helali (C)
  • Marcia Horne (I)
  • Shawn Orr (I)
  • Jerry Trudell (I)
  • Peter Welch (D) (incumbent)

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Safe D August 21, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Safe D August 21, 2020
Daily Kos[10] Safe D August 17, 2020
Niskanen[11] Safe D July 26, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] Safe D July 23, 2020
Politico[13] Safe D July 6, 2020
RCP[14] Safe D June 9, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Peter
Welch (D)		 Miriam
Berry (R)		 Other
Braun Research September 3–15, 2020 582 (LV) ± 4% 57% 18% 16%[lower-alpha 2]

Debates & forums

Results
Vermont's at-large congressional district, 2020[15]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Peter Welch (incumbent) 238,827 67.31% -1.89%
Republican Miriam Berry 95,830 27.01% +1.06%
Independent Peter R. Becker 8,065 2.27% N/A
Independent Marcia Horne 4,334 1.22% N/A
Communist Christopher Helali 3,432 0.97% N/A
Independent Shawn Orr 1,926 0.54% N/A
Independent Jerry Trudell 1,881 0.53% N/A
Write-in 542 0.15% +0.08%
Total votes 345,837 100.0% N/A
Democratic hold

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Other/not sure/no opinion" and would not vote with 6%; Becker (I) with 2%; Helali (Communist) and Horne (I) with 1%; Orr (I) and Trudell (I) with 0%

References
  1. Rathke, Lisa (August 8, 2020). "Welch faces single challenger in Vermont Democratic primary". Burlington Free Press. Associated Press. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  2. "Vermont Election Results - Official Results". Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  3. "Vermont's 2020 Primary Election Is Like No Other. Here's What You Need To Know". Vermont Public Radio. July 31, 2020. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  4. Meyn, Colin (August 13, 2020). "Cris Ericson seizes open Progressive ticket for (possible) sweep of statewide races". VT Digger. Retrieved September 17, 2020.
  5. Varricchio, Lou. "The Communist next door: Christopher Helali of Vermont". The Sun Community News. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
  6. https://electionarchive.vermont.gov/candidates/view/Marcia-Horne
  7. https://electionarchive.vermont.gov/candidates/view/Jerry-Trudell
  8. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  9. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  10. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  11. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  12. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  13. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  14. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  15. "2020 General Election Canvass Report" (PDF). Vermont Secretary of State. Retrieved November 19, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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