2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana

The 2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

2016 United States presidential election in Louisiana

November 8, 2016
Turnout67.79% [1]
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 8 0
Popular vote 1,178,638 780,154
Percentage 58.09% 38.45%

Parish Results

President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Treemap of the popular vote by parish.

Trump won the state with 58.09% of the vote, while Clinton received 38.45%. Trump performed slightly better in the state than Mitt Romney in 2012, but also slightly worse than John McCain in 2008. In contrast, Clinton's vote share in the state was a decrease from Barack Obama's vote shares in 2012 and 2008, where he earned 40.58% and 39.93%, respectively.

Primary elections

Twenty-four candidates were on the ballot.[3]

Democratic primary

Louisiana Democratic primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 221,733 71.12% 37 7 44
Bernie Sanders 72,276 23.18% 14 0 14
Steve Burke 4,785 1.53%
John Wolfe Jr. 4,512 1.45%
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 2,550 0.82%
Willie Wilson 1,423 0.46%
Keith Russell Judd 1,357 0.44%
Rocky De La Fuente 1,341 0.43%
Michael Steinberg 993 0.32%
Henry Hewes 806 0.26%
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 311,776 100% 51 8 59
Source: The Green Papers, Louisiana Secretary of States

Republican primary

Republican primary results by parish.
  Donald Trump
  Ted Cruz


Four candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:

Louisiana Republican primary, March 5, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 124,854 41.45% 25 0 25
Ted Cruz 113,968 37.83% 18 0 18
Marco Rubio 33,813 11.22% 0 0 0
John Kasich 19,359 6.43% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 4,544 1.51% 0 0 0
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) 2,145 0.71% 0 0 0
Rand Paul (withdrawn) 670 0.22% 0 0 0
Mike Huckabee (withdrawn) 645 0.21% 0 0 0
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 401 0.13% 0 0 0
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) 243 0.08% 0 0 0
Rick Santorum (withdrawn) 180 0.06% 0 0 0
Lindsey Graham (withdrawn) 152 0.05% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 3 0 3
Total: 301,241 100.00% 46 0 46
Source: The Green Papers

State Convention

On March 24, the State Convention met and reversed the results of the primary, giving Ted Cruz a clear majority.[4] Rubio's five delegates and 2 uncommitted delegates committed to Trump after Kasich and Cruz dropped out of the race.[5][6] This gave Trump the majority of the delegates from the state.

Polling

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Louisiana as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[7] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[8] Safe R November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[10] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[11] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[12] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[13] Safe R November 7, 2016

General Election

Results

Presidential general election, November 8, 2016[14]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Donald Trump 1,178,638 58.10%
Democratic Hillary Clinton 780,154 38.40%
Libertarian Gary Johnson 37,978 1.90%
Green Jill Stein 14,031 0.70%
Independent Evan McMullin 8,547 0.40%
Independent Darrell Castle 3,129 0.20%
Write-in Others 2,330 0.10%
Independent Christopher Robert Keniston 1,881 0.10%
Independent Laurence Kotlikoff 1,048 0.10%
Independent Alyson Kennedy 480 0.00%
Independent Gloria La Riva 446 0.00%
Independent Jerry White 370 0.00%
Total votes 2,029,032 100.00%

Donald Trump carried the state, lengthening the Republican streak in Louisiana to 5 straight contests.

By parish

Parish Clinton% Clinton# Trump% Trump# Others% Others# Total
Acadia20.58%5,63877.26%21,1622.15%58927,389
Allen22.78%2,10674.28%6,8672.94%2729,245
Ascension30.13%16,47666.10%36,1433.77%2,05954,678
Assumption36.05%3,93161.57%6,7142.38%25910,904
Avoyelles30.36%5,03567.32%11,1652.33%38616,586
Beauregard15.87%2,39381.16%12,2382.96%44715,078
Bienville44.67%3,12953.62%3,7561.71%1207,005
Bossier25.36%12,64171.16%35,4743.48%1,73349,848
Caddo50.55%53,48346.32%49,0063.13%3,315105,804
Calcasieu31.39%26,29664.68%54,1913.94%3,29883,785
Caldwell16.79%78881.46%3,8221.75%824,692
Cameron08.75%32388.19%3,2563.06%1133,692
Catahoula27.22%1,32271.64%3,4791.13%554,856
Claiborne42.31%2,71755.83%3,5851.85%1196,421
Concordia36.88%3,27261.73%5,4771.39%1238,872
De Soto38.26%5,16559.76%8,0681.98%26713,500
East Baton Rouge52.33%102,82843.09%84,6604.58%9,003196,491
East Carroll62.54%1,83836.03%1,0591.43%422,939
East Feliciana42.17%4,23555.46%5,5692.37%23810,042
Evangeline28.28%4,20869.61%10,3602.11%31414,882
Franklin27.35%2,50671.10%6,5141.55%1429,162
Grant13.39%1,18183.98%7,4082.63%2328,821
Iberia32.96%10,69864.41%20,9032.63%85332,454
Iberville51.89%8,32445.63%7,3202.49%39916,043
Jackson28.66%2,13969.25%5,1692.09%1567,464
Jefferson40.56%73,67055.27%100,3984.17%7,571181,639
Jefferson Davis21.57%3,08075.47%10,7752.96%42214,277
Lafayette30.99%32,72664.58%68,1954.43%4,682105,603
Lafourche20.23%8,42376.74%31,9593.03%1,26341,645
LaSalle09.21%60588.84%5,8361.95%1286,569
Lincoln38.07%7,10757.64%10,7614.29%80118,669
Livingston12.04%6,95084.57%48,8243.39%1,95657,730
Madison57.99%2,74440.72%1,9271.29%614,732
Morehouse43.49%5,15554.86%6,5021.65%19511,852
Natchitoches42.98%7,14453.96%8,9683.06%50916,621
Orleans80.81%133,99614.65%24,2924.54%7,524165,812
Ouachita35.91%24,42861.36%41,7342.73%1,85568,017
Plaquemines31.66%3,34765.26%6,9003.08%32610,573
Pointe Coupee40.51%4,76457.72%6,7891.77%20811,761
Rapides32.23%18,32264.77%36,8163.00%1,70656,844
Red River43.83%1,93854.07%2,3912.10%934,422
Richland32.90%3,15765.51%6,2871.59%1539,597
Sabine17.40%1,70380.50%7,8792.09%2059,787
St. Bernard31.36%4,96064.73%10,2373.91%61815,815
St. Charles32.68%8,55963.46%16,6213.86%1,01226,192
St. Helena56.22%3,35341.87%2,4971.91%1145,964
St. James53.11%6,41845.15%5,4561.75%21112,085
St. John the Baptist61.04%12,66136.49%7,5692.47%51320,743
St. Landry43.05%17,20954.96%21,9711.99%79739,977
St. Martin32.10%8,26665.53%16,8732.37%61125,750
St. Mary35.19%8,05062.77%14,3592.05%46822,877
St. Tammany22.28%27,71773.09%90,9154.63%5,760124,392
Tangipahoa32.20%16,87864.79%33,9593.01%1,57952,416
Tensas52.28%1,33246.39%1,1821.33%342,548
Terrebonne24.30%10,66572.68%31,9023.03%1,32943,896
Union24.70%2,69173.18%7,9722.12%23110,894
Vermilion18.95%4,85778.27%20,0632.78%71225,632
Vernon16.02%2,66580.99%13,4712.99%49716,633
Washington30.56%5,69267.40%12,5562.04%38018,628
Webster34.50%6,26063.61%11,5421.89%34318,145
West Baton Rouge42.35%5,38354.49%6,9273.16%40212,712
West Carroll15.02%71583.42%3,9701.55%744,759
West Feliciana38.77%2,24858.46%3,3902.78%1615,799
Winn25.80%1,64472.32%4,6081.88%1206,372

By congressional district

Trump won 5 of the 6 congressional districts in Louisiana.

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 69% 27% Steve Scalise
2nd 22% 75% Cedric Richmond
3rd 67% 29% Clay Higgins
4th 61% 37% Mike Johnson
5th 64% 34% Ralph Abraham
6th 65% 31% Garret Graves

Analysis

Donald Trump won the election in Louisiana with 58.1% of the vote. Hillary Clinton received 38.4% of the vote.[15] Of the 2,029,032 total votes cast, Trump had 1,178,638 while Clinton had 780,154 votes.[16] All of Louisiana's parishes voted for the same party they voted for in 2012 and 2008. As a result, this marked the first time since 1992 that East Baton Rouge Parish backed the losing candidate of the election, and the first time since 1948 East Baton Rouge voted Democratic three elections in a row.

Louisiana was one of eleven states that voted twice for Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996 which Hillary Clinton lost in 2016.

See also

References

  1. "Voter Statistics for November 8, 2016". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
  2. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
  3. "Twenty-Four Presidential Candidates Qualify for Louisiana Presidential Primaries | Ballot Access News". Ballot-access.org. 2015-12-04. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  4. Epstein, Reid J. (2016-03-24). "Ted Cruz Gains in Louisiana After Loss There to Donald Trump". WSJ.com. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  5. Katiana Krawchenko (2016-05-04). "Louisiana's five Rubio delegates back Trump, call for Rubio as VP". CBS News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  6. "BREAKING: Trump Gains Seven More Delegates From Louisiana After Rubio Delegates Finally Switch". The Hayride. 2016-05-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  7. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  8. "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  14. "Louisiana Results". The New York Times. The New York Times. Retrieved 21 July 2020.
  15. "Louisiana Election Results 2016". The New York Times. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  16. "2016 Presidential General Election Results".
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