2016 United States presidential election in Kansas
The 2016 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.[1]
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Turnout | 67.40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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County Results
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Elections in Kansas |
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Trump carried the state with 56.16% of the vote, while Clinton received 35.74%.[2] Kansas was among the eleven states in which Clinton outperformed Barack Obama's margin of victory in 2012 (though her vote share percentage was lower than Obama's 38%), largely due to a significant shift towards Democrats in Johnson County.[3][4]
Background
The incumbent President of the United States, Barack Obama, a Democrat and former U.S. Senator from Illinois, was first elected president in the 2008 election, running with then-Senator Joe Biden of Delaware. Defeating the Republican nominee, Senator John McCain of Arizona, with 52.9% of the popular vote and 68% of the electoral vote,[5][6] Obama succeeded two-term Republican President George W. Bush, the former Governor of Texas. Obama and Biden were reelected in the 2012 presidential election, defeating former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 51.1% of the popular vote and 61.7% of electoral votes.[7] Although Barack Obama's approval rating in the RealClearPolitics poll tracking average remained between 40% and 50% for most of his second term, it has experienced a surge in early 2016 and reached its highest point since 2012 during June of that year.[8][9] Analyst Nate Cohn has noted that a strong approval rating for President Obama would equate to a strong performance for the Democratic candidate, and vice versa.[10]
Following his second term, President Obama is not eligible for another reelection. In October 2015, Obama's running-mate and two-term Vice President Biden decided not to enter the race for the Democratic presidential nomination either.[11] With their term expiring on January 20, 2017, the electorate is asked to elect a new president, the 45th president and 48th vice president of the United States, respectively.
Political landscape in Kansas
The state of Kansas has given its electoral votes to the Republican ticket since 1968, and only once to the Democrats (1964) since 1940. At the time, all current statewide officials were Republicans, as were all four members of the state's U.S. House delegation. Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama by a margin of 60% to 38% in 2012. A poll conducted by John Zogby found Clinton leading Trump by 7 points in June. In addition, an internal poll for Representative Kevin Yoder, a Republican from Kansas' 3rd congressional district, released an internal poll showing Clinton leading Trump by 6 points in his district. This district voted for Mitt Romney by a 10-point margin in 2012 and has a PVI of R+6. This result, coupled with Clinton's gains in national polls, caused Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball to move the Kansas race from "Safe Republican" to "Likely Republican" on August 18.[12]
Primary elections
Democratic caucuses
Kansas Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016 | |||||
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Candidate | District delegates | Estimated delegates | |||
Count | Percentage | Pledged | Unpledged | Total | |
Bernie Sanders | 26,637 | 67.90% | 23 | 0 | 23 |
Hillary Clinton | 12,593 | 32.10% | 10 | 4 | 14 |
Uncommitted | N/A | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Total | 39,230 | 100% | 33 | 4 | 37 |
Source: The Green Papers |
Bernie Sanders visited Kansas during the primary season—while Hillary Clinton did not herself and instead sent her daughter Chelsea Clinton to hold a rally in Johnson County.
Republican caucuses
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Kansas results by congressional district
Ted Cruz |
Kansas Republican precinct caucuses, March 5, 2016 | |||||
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Candidate | Votes | Percentage | Actual delegate count | ||
Bound | Unbound | Total | |||
Ted Cruz | 37,512 | 47.50% | 24 | 0 | 24 |
Donald Trump | 18,443 | 23.35% | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Marco Rubio | 13,295 | 16.83% | 6 | 0 | 6 |
John Kasich | 8,741 | 11.07% | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Ben Carson (withdrawn) | 582 | 0.74% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Uncommitted | 279 | 0.35% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Jeb Bush (withdrawn) | 84 | 0.11% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Carly Fiorina (withdrawn) | 42 | 0.05% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Unprojected delegates: | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Total: | 78,978 | 100.00% | 40 | 0 | 40 |
Source: The Green Papers |
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Los Angeles Times[13] | Safe R | November 6, 2016 |
CNN[14] | Safe R | November 4, 2016 |
Cook Political Report[15] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Electoral-vote.com[16] | Safe R | November 8, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[17] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Fox News[18] | Safe R | November 7, 2016 |
Polling
Minor candidates
The following received write-in status:[19]
- President: Andrew D. Basiago; Vice President: Karen D. Kinnison
- President: Darrell L Castle; Vice President: Scott N. Bradley
- President: "Rocky" Roque De La Fuente, Vice President: Michael Steinberg
- President: Rocky Giordani; Vice President: Farley M Anderson
- President: James A Hedges; Vice President: Bill V Bayes
- President: Tom Hoefling; Vice President: Steve Schulin
- President: Lynn Kahn; Vice President: Kathy Monahan
- President: Gloria La Riva; Vice President: Eugene Puryer
- President: Michael S. Levinson; Vice President: Perry E. Wharton, II
- President: Michael A Maturen; Vice President: Juan A Munoz
- President: Evan McMullin; Vice President: Nathan D Johnson
- President: Monica G. Moorehead; Vice President: Lamont G. Lilly
- President: Darryl Perry; Vice President: Conan Salada
- President: Marshall R. Schoenke; Vice President: James C. Mitchell, Jr.
- President: Joe C Schriner; Vice President: Joe Moreaux
- President: Mike Smith; Vice President: Daniel White
Results
Candidate | Popular vote | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Donald Trump (Republican) | 671,018 | 56.16% |
Hillary Clinton (Democrat) | 427,005 | 35.74% |
Gary Johnson (Libertarian) | 55,406 | 4.64% |
Jill Stein (Green) | 23,506 | 1.97% |
Evan McMullin (write-in) | 6,520 | 0.55% |
Darrell Castle (write-in) | 646 | 0.05% |
Mike Maturen (write-in) | 214 | 0.02% |
Tom Hoefling (write-in) | 45 | <0.01% |
Gloria La Riva (write-in) | 7 | <0.01% |
Mike Smith (write-in) | 6 | <0.01% |
Rocky De La Fuente (write-in) | 3 | <0.01% |
James Hedges (write-in) | 3 | <0.01% |
Lynn Kahn (write-in) | 2 | <0.01% |
Other write-ins | 10,374 | 0.87% |
Total | 1,194,755 | 100.00% |
Source: 2016 Presidential General Election Results - Kansas |
By congressional district
Trump won 3 of the 4 congressional districts.[20]
District | Trump | Clinton | Representative |
---|---|---|---|
1st | 69% | 24% | Tim Huelskamp |
Roger Marshall | |||
2nd | 56% | 37% | Lynn Jenkins |
3rd | 46% | 47% | Kevin Yoder |
4th | 60% | 33% | Mike Pompeo |
By county
County | Clinton% | Clinton# | Trump% | Trump# | Others% | Others# | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Allen | 26.27% | 1,433 | 66.94% | 3,651 | 6.78% | 370 | 5,454 |
Anderson | 20.06% | 672 | 72.69% | 2,435 | 7.25% | 243 | 3,350 |
Atchison | 30.25% | 1,989 | 61.58% | 4,049 | 8.17% | 537 | 6,575 |
Barber | 12.70% | 286 | 82.15% | 1,850 | 5.15% | 116 | 2,252 |
Barton | 17.91% | 1,839 | 76.82% | 7,888 | 5.27% | 541 | 10,268 |
Bourbon | 21.93% | 1,336 | 72.61% | 4,424 | 5.47% | 333 | 6,093 |
Brown | 21.38% | 863 | 72.00% | 2,906 | 6.62% | 267 | 4,036 |
Butler | 23.77% | 6,573 | 68.96% | 19,073 | 7.27% | 2,011 | 27,657 |
Chase | 23.08% | 316 | 70.78% | 969 | 6.14% | 84 | 1,369 |
Chautauqua | 13.30% | 197 | 83.46% | 1,236 | 3.24% | 48 | 1,481 |
Cherokee | 23.26% | 2,005 | 71.72% | 6,182 | 5.02% | 433 | 8,620 |
Cheyenne | 12.86% | 181 | 83.37% | 1,173 | 3.77% | 53 | 1,407 |
Clark | 11.94% | 120 | 82.09% | 825 | 5.97% | 60 | 1,005 |
Clay | 17.72% | 677 | 75.68% | 2,891 | 6.60% | 252 | 3,820 |
Cloud | 19.36% | 761 | 74.27% | 2,919 | 6.36% | 250 | 3,930 |
Coffey | 17.87% | 727 | 74.98% | 3,050 | 7.15% | 291 | 4,068 |
Comanche | 11.76% | 102 | 82.47% | 715 | 5.77% | 50 | 867 |
Cowley | 28.14% | 3,551 | 65.53% | 8,270 | 6.34% | 800 | 12,621 |
Crawford | 34.91% | 5,199 | 57.91% | 8,624 | 7.17% | 1,068 | 14,891 |
Decatur | 12.26% | 178 | 83.33% | 1,210 | 4.41% | 64 | 1,452 |
Dickinson | 19.60% | 1,609 | 73.43% | 6,029 | 6.97% | 572 | 8,210 |
Doniphan | 17.38% | 587 | 77.15% | 2,606 | 5.48% | 185 | 3,378 |
Douglas | 62.28% | 31,195 | 29.32% | 14,688 | 8.39% | 4,204 | 50,087 |
Edwards | 16.07% | 212 | 78.62% | 1,037 | 5.31% | 70 | 1,319 |
Elk | 12.71% | 160 | 83.24% | 1,048 | 4.05% | 51 | 1,259 |
Ellis | 22.95% | 2,742 | 70.86% | 8,466 | 6.19% | 739 | 11,947 |
Ellsworth | 19.45% | 521 | 73.50% | 1,969 | 7.05% | 189 | 2,679 |
Finney | 31.45% | 3,195 | 62.51% | 6,350 | 6.04% | 614 | 10,159 |
Ford | 27.84% | 2,149 | 66.26% | 5,114 | 5.90% | 455 | 7,718 |
Franklin | 26.37% | 2,892 | 65.53% | 7,185 | 8.10% | 888 | 10,965 |
Geary | 36.27% | 2,722 | 56.96% | 4,274 | 6.77% | 508 | 7,504 |
Gove | 11.09% | 149 | 84.88% | 1,140 | 4.02% | 54 | 1,343 |
Graham | 14.64% | 188 | 79.83% | 1,025 | 5.53% | 71 | 1,284 |
Grant | 18.46% | 441 | 75.51% | 1,804 | 6.03% | 144 | 2,389 |
Gray | 12.73% | 263 | 82.19% | 1,698 | 5.08% | 105 | 2,066 |
Greeley | 12.77% | 83 | 82.15% | 534 | 5.08% | 33 | 650 |
Greenwood | 17.08% | 485 | 76.06% | 2,160 | 6.87% | 195 | 2,840 |
Hamilton | 13.81% | 121 | 80.48% | 705 | 5.71% | 50 | 876 |
Harper | 15.24% | 393 | 77.42% | 1,996 | 7.33% | 189 | 2,578 |
Harvey | 33.98% | 5,068 | 58.11% | 8,668 | 7.91% | 1,180 | 14,916 |
Haskell | 18.09% | 245 | 76.81% | 1,040 | 5.10% | 69 | 1,354 |
Hodgeman | 12.19% | 124 | 84.07% | 855 | 3.74% | 38 | 1,017 |
Jackson | 25.99% | 1,512 | 67.70% | 3,939 | 6.31% | 367 | 5,818 |
Jefferson | 30.20% | 2,518 | 62.53% | 5,213 | 7.27% | 606 | 8,337 |
Jewell | 12.05% | 180 | 81.86% | 1,223 | 6.09% | 91 | 1,494 |
Johnson | 44.76% | 129,852 | 47.40% | 137,490 | 7.84% | 22,748 | 290,090 |
Kearny | 13.22% | 174 | 81.69% | 1,075 | 5.09% | 67 | 1,316 |
Kingman | 17.97% | 599 | 75.88% | 2,530 | 6.15% | 205 | 3,334 |
Kiowa | 10.57% | 114 | 83.41% | 900 | 6.02% | 65 | 1,079 |
Labette | 28.26% | 2,291 | 65.81% | 5,335 | 5.93% | 481 | 8,107 |
Lane | 12.17% | 106 | 82.43% | 718 | 5.40% | 47 | 871 |
Leavenworth | 33.69% | 10,209 | 58.21% | 17,638 | 8.10% | 2,454 | 30,301 |
Lincoln | 14.69% | 215 | 80.53% | 1,179 | 4.78% | 70 | 1,464 |
Linn | 16.63% | 736 | 78.70% | 3,484 | 4.68% | 207 | 4,427 |
Logan | 10.98% | 149 | 83.42% | 1,132 | 5.60% | 76 | 1,357 |
Lyon | 37.83% | 4,649 | 53.32% | 6,552 | 8.85% | 1,087 | 12,288 |
Marion | 21.41% | 1,204 | 71.18% | 4,003 | 7.41% | 417 | 5,624 |
Marshall | 22.94% | 1,072 | 70.77% | 3,307 | 6.29% | 294 | 4,673 |
McPherson | 25.32% | 3,226 | 67.09% | 8,549 | 7.59% | 967 | 12,742 |
Meade | 12.21% | 210 | 82.27% | 1,415 | 5.52% | 95 | 1,720 |
Miami | 26.57% | 3,991 | 66.59% | 10,003 | 6.84% | 1,028 | 15,022 |
Mitchell | 16.21% | 477 | 78.45% | 2,308 | 5.34% | 157 | 2,942 |
Montgomery | 21.97% | 2,637 | 72.30% | 8,679 | 5.73% | 688 | 12,004 |
Morris | 22.90% | 601 | 69.36% | 1,820 | 7.74% | 203 | 2,624 |
Morton | 12.33% | 147 | 83.47% | 995 | 4.19% | 50 | 1,192 |
Nemaha | 14.15% | 725 | 80.52% | 4,124 | 5.33% | 273 | 5,122 |
Neosho | 23.77% | 1,501 | 70.18% | 4,431 | 6.05% | 382 | 6,314 |
Ness | 11.14% | 162 | 84.46% | 1,228 | 4.40% | 64 | 1,454 |
Norton | 12.58% | 281 | 82.36% | 1,840 | 5.06% | 113 | 2,234 |
Osage | 24.88% | 1,753 | 68.49% | 4,826 | 6.63% | 467 | 7,046 |
Osborne | 13.03% | 233 | 81.66% | 1,460 | 5.31% | 95 | 1,788 |
Ottawa | 14.61% | 424 | 78.64% | 2,283 | 6.75% | 196 | 2,903 |
Pawnee | 21.76% | 579 | 71.55% | 1,904 | 6.69% | 178 | 2,661 |
Phillips | 11.26% | 300 | 83.82% | 2,233 | 4.92% | 131 | 2,664 |
Pottawatomie | 20.81% | 2,225 | 71.19% | 7,612 | 8.01% | 856 | 10,693 |
Pratt | 20.07% | 771 | 73.87% | 2,838 | 6.06% | 233 | 3,842 |
Rawlins | 11.07% | 163 | 82.88% | 1,220 | 6.05% | 89 | 1,472 |
Reno | 28.24% | 6,837 | 64.08% | 15,513 | 7.68% | 1,860 | 24,210 |
Republic | 14.83% | 375 | 80.03% | 2,024 | 5.14% | 130 | 2,529 |
Rice | 18.27% | 695 | 74.58% | 2,837 | 7.15% | 272 | 3,804 |
Riley | 43.38% | 9,341 | 46.94% | 10,107 | 9.68% | 2,084 | 21,532 |
Rooks | 11.37% | 275 | 83.96% | 2,031 | 4.67% | 113 | 2,419 |
Rush | 15.50% | 233 | 79.64% | 1,197 | 4.86% | 73 | 1,503 |
Russell | 14.44% | 461 | 80.61% | 2,574 | 4.95% | 158 | 3,193 |
Saline | 28.63% | 6,317 | 62.67% | 13,828 | 8.70% | 1,919 | 22,064 |
Scott | 10.72% | 236 | 84.70% | 1,865 | 4.59% | 101 | 2,202 |
Sedgwick | 36.88% | 69,627 | 55.28% | 104,353 | 7.84% | 14,803 | 188,783 |
Seward | 32.31% | 1,628 | 62.70% | 3,159 | 4.98% | 251 | 5,038 |
Shawnee | 44.99% | 33,926 | 47.65% | 35,934 | 7.35% | 5,546 | 75,406 |
Sheridan | 09.24% | 127 | 87.12% | 1,197 | 3.64% | 50 | 1,374 |
Sherman | 13.28% | 347 | 79.98% | 2,089 | 6.74% | 176 | 2,612 |
Smith | 14.54% | 297 | 81.34% | 1,661 | 4.11% | 84 | 2,042 |
Stafford | 16.03% | 304 | 78.59% | 1,490 | 5.38% | 102 | 1,896 |
Stanton | 18.05% | 115 | 77.24% | 492 | 4.71% | 30 | 637 |
Stevens | 11.63% | 220 | 84.56% | 1,599 | 3.81% | 72 | 1,891 |
Sumner | 21.35% | 2,076 | 71.84% | 6,984 | 6.81% | 662 | 9,722 |
Thomas | 13.23% | 473 | 81.32% | 2,908 | 5.45% | 195 | 3,576 |
Trego | 13.36% | 198 | 82.79% | 1,227 | 3.85% | 57 | 1,482 |
Wabaunsee | 22.96% | 776 | 70.18% | 2,372 | 6.86% | 232 | 3,380 |
Wallace | 05.76% | 46 | 90.35% | 721 | 3.88% | 31 | 798 |
Washington | 14.00% | 387 | 79.35% | 2,194 | 6.65% | 184 | 2,765 |
Wichita | 14.64% | 140 | 80.44% | 769 | 4.92% | 47 | 956 |
Wilson | 16.54% | 594 | 77.64% | 2,788 | 5.82% | 209 | 3,591 |
Woodson | 18.92% | 273 | 74.98% | 1,082 | 6.10% | 88 | 1,443 |
Wyandotte | 61.80% | 30,146 | 32.40% | 15,806 | 5.80% | 2,829 | 48,781 |
See also
References
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- "Kansas Election Results 2016 – The New York Times". Retrieved November 11, 2016.
- http://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/data.php?year=2016&def=swg&datatype=national&f=0&off=0&elect=0
- Martin, David (22 November 2016). "Why did Hillary Clinton do relatively well in Johnson County? College diplomas". Kansas City Pitch. Retrieved 28 January 2019.
- "United States House of Representatives floor summary for Jan 8, 2009". Clerk.house.gov. Archived from the original on April 2, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2009.
- "Federal elections 2008" (PDF). Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- "President Map". The New York Times. November 29, 2012. Retrieved May 11, 2015.
- "Election Other – President Obama Job Approval". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved December 24, 2015.
- Byrnes, Jesse (2016-06-15). "Poll: Obama approval rating highest since 2012". TheHill. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- Cohn, Nate (2015-01-19). "What a Rise in Obama's Approval Rating Means for 2016". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2016-06-19.
- "Joe Biden Decides Not to Enter Presidential Race". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved October 21, 2015.
- Kondik, Kyle; Sabato, Larry; Skelley, Geoffrey. "Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190". Sabato's Crystal Ball. University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved 22 August 2016.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- Chalian, David (November 4, 2016). "Road to 270: CNN's new election map". CNN. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "2016 Electoral Scorecard". The Cook Political Report. November 7, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "2016 Electoral Map Prediction". Electoral-vote.com. November 8, 2016. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- Sabato, Larry J. (November 7, 2016). "2016 President". University of Virginia Center for Politics. Retrieved March 3, 2019.
- "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- http://www.sos.ks.gov/elections/16elec/2016_General_Election-Write-In_Presidential_Candidates.pdf
- http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/4161/