2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana

2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana
	November 3, 2020
	November 3, 2020
	Parish results; Cassidy: 30-40% 40-50% 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90%; Perkins: 40-50%
U.S. senator before election; Bill Cassidy; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Bill Cassidy; Republican

The 2020 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. A blanket primary was held on November 3, 2020; if no candidate had won a majority of the vote in the blanket primary, then a runoff election would have been held on December 5.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Bill Cassidy, incumbent U.S. Senator[2]
Dustin Murphy, welder[3][4]

Democratic Party

Though there are multiple Democratic candidates, the one with the most institutional support is Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins, who has the endorsements of the Louisiana Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.[5]

Declared

Derrick Edwards, perennial candidate[6]
Drew Knight[7]
Adrian Perkins, mayor of Shreveport[8]
Antoine Pierce, community activist[9]
Peter Wenstrup, teacher[4]

Withdrew

Dartanyon Williams, businessman and author (running for Louisiana's 6th congressional district)[10][11][6]

Declined

Mary Landrieu, former U.S. Senator[12]
Mitch Landrieu, former mayor of New Orleans[13]

Endorsements

Adrian Perkins (D)

Federal officials

Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[14]

State officials

John Bel Edwards, Governor of Louisiana[15]

Local officials

Pete Buttigieg, former mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012-2020)[16]

Organizations

U.S. Senators

Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (2013–present)[16]
Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator from California (2017-present) and Democratic 2020 Vice Presidential nominee[20]

Antoine Pierce (D)

Individuals

Andrew Yang, businessman, entrepreneur, non-profit leader and 2020 Presidential Candidate[21]

Organizations

DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[22]
Humanity Forward[21]

Declared

Aaron Sigler, neurosurgeon[6]

Declared

Beryl Billiot, businessman[23]
John Paul Bourgeois[23]
Reno Jean Daret III[23]
Alexander "Xan" John[23]
Jamar "Doc" Montgomery, attorney[24]

Withdrew

Gregory Fitch[10][7][6]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[25]	Safe R	August 17, 2020
Inside Elections[26]	Safe R	September 18, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27]	Safe R	August 5, 2020
Daily Kos[28]	Safe R	August 31, 2020
Politico[29]	Safe R	September 9, 2020
RCP[30]	Safe R	September 17, 2020
Niskanen[31]	Safe R	September 15, 2020
DDHQ[32]	Safe R	September 16, 2020
538[33]	Safe R	September 18, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Dustin Murphy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Antoine Pierce (D)	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	6%	17%	11%	3%[lower-alpha 2]	21%

Head to head matchups

Cassidy vs. Perkins

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Adrian Perkins (D)	Undecided
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	52%	33%	16%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Opponent

Poll source	Date	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Bill Cassidy (R)	Generic Opponent	Undecided
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[upper-alpha 2]	September 2–5, 2020	600 (LV)	± 4%	38%	37%	24%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[upper-alpha 2]	March 16, 2020	– (V)[lower-alpha 3]	–	48%	25%	27%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat	Other	Undecided
ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1]	August 6–12, 2020	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	43%	33%	2%[lower-alpha 4]	23%[lower-alpha 5]

Results

United States Senate election blanket primary in Louisiana, 2020[34]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Cassidy (incumbent)	1,228,908	59.32%
	Democratic	Adrian Perkins	394,049	19.02%
	Democratic	Derrick Edwards	229,814	11.09%
	Democratic	Antoine Pierce	55,710	2.69%
	Republican	Dustin Murphy	38,383	1.85%
	Democratic	Drew Knight	36,962	1.78%
	Independent	Beryl Billiot	17,362	0.84%
	Independent	John Paul Bourgeois	16,518	0.80%
	Democratic	Peter Wenstrup	14,454	0.70%
	Libertarian	Aaron Sigler	11,321	0.55%
	Independent	M.V. "Vinny" Mendoza	7,811	0.38%
	Independent	Melinda Mary Price	7,680	0.37%
	Independent	Jamar Montgomery	5,804	0.28%
	Independent	Reno Jean Daret III	3,954	0.19%
	Independent	Alexander "Xan" John	2,813	0.14%
Total votes			2,071,543	100.00%
	Republican hold

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%
Not yet released
"Neither" with 2%
"It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

Partisan clients

Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.
The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

References

"United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.
Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.
"2020 Election United States Senate - Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.
"Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
"DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Retrieved July 23, 2020.
"Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.
"The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.
"Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.
"Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
"Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
"Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.
Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.
https://twitter.com/barackobama/status/1309479802978676739?s=21
Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.
Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.
"Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.
"DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.
"Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org.
"LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.
"In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate.
"2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
"Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.
Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate - Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.
"2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
"2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
"2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
"Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
"2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
"Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
"2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
"2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
"2020 - General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

External links

Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Louisiana". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
"Louisiana: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, Calif.
"League of Women Voters of Louisiana". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Louisiana at Ballotpedia
"Election Guides: Louisiana". Spreadthevote.org.. (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)

Official campaign websites

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[key-34] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[36] Mendoza (I) with 2%; Sigler (L) with 1%

[38] Not yet released

[39] "Neither" with 2%

[40] "It depends" with 19%; "Don't know" with 4%

[Perkins-35] Poll sponsored by Adrians Perkins' campaign.

[consumer-37] The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group

[1] "United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2020". Ballotpedia.

[2] Hilburn, Greg (March 7, 2019). "Sen. Cassidy: I'm running for re-election in 2020". The News-Star. Retrieved March 10, 2019.

[3] "2020 Election United States Senate - Louisiana". FEC.gov. Retrieved October 22, 2020.

[politicsonelouisiana-4] "Louisiana". Politics1. Retrieved June 29, 2020.

[5] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. Retrieved July 23, 2020.

[candidates-6] "Candidate Inquiry". Louisiana Secretary of State. July 24, 2020. Retrieved August 16, 2020.

[greenpapersla-7] "The Green Papers: Louisiana 2020 General Election". The Green Papers. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[8] Bridges, Tyler (July 15, 2020). "Democrats still looking for a big-name candidate to challenge Sen. Bill Cassidy's reelection bid". The Advocate. Retrieved July 15, 2020.

[9] "Antoine Pierce Becomes the First Democratic Candidate to Enter the 2020 Senate Race in Louisiana". Chestnut Post. August 14, 2019. Retrieved September 1, 2019.

[opensecrets-10] "Louisiana Senate 2020 Race". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.

[11] "Dartanyon A. Williams (D-LA) Announces US Senate Run for Louisiana, Challenging Incumbent Bill Cassidy (R-LA)". Business Insider. March 26, 2020. Retrieved May 17, 2020.

[landrieu-12] "Mary Landrieu Closes the Door on Another Run". Roll Call. Retrieved May 2, 2020.

[13] Arkin, James (January 10, 2019). "Presidential dreams pull Democrats away from key Senate races". Politico. Retrieved February 9, 2019.

[Barack_Obama-14] ttps://twitter.com/barackobama/status/1309479802978676739?s=21

[John_Bel_Edwards-15] Ferrell, Scott. "Gov. John Bel Edwards endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins for Senate". The Times.

[Cory_Booker-16] Mark Ballard (July 23, 2020). "Bill Cassidy picks up formidable opponent in Senate race on second day of candidate qualifying". The Advocate.

[Louisiana_Democrats-17] "Release: Louisiana Democrats Endorse Mayor Adrian Perkins for U.S. Senate". September 26, 2020.

[DSCC-18] "DSCC Endorses Mayor Adrian Perkins in Louisiana Senate Race". DSCC: Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee. July 23, 2020.

[VoteVets-19] "Adrian Perkins for Senate". VoteVets.org.

[Kamala_Harris-20] "LA-Sen: Sen. Kamala Harris (D. CA) Endorses Shreveport Mayor Adrian Perkins (D) For U.S. Senate". Daily Kos.

[auto1-21] "In the Now". Antoine Pierce for U.S. Senate.

[duh-22] "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Retrieved March 19, 2020.

[auto-23] "Candidate Inquiry". voterportal.sos.la.gov.

[24] Senate, Doc Montgomery for US. "Doc Montgomery for US Senate - Politics". Doc Montgomery for US Senate.

[Cook_PR-25] "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.

[Inside_Elections-26] "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-27] "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.

[Daily_Kos-28] "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.

[Politico-29] "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.

[RCP-30] "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.

[Niskanen-31] "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.

[DDHQ-32] "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.

[33] Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.

[41] "2020 - General Election Official Results". Louisiana Secretary of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.

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