2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska

The 2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Nebraska voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Nebraska has five electoral votes in the Electoral College, two from the state at large, and one each from the three congressional districts.[1]

2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska

November 8, 2016
Turnout71.06%
 
Nominee Donald Trump Hillary Clinton
Party Republican Democratic
Home state New York New York
Running mate Mike Pence Tim Kaine
Electoral vote 5 0
Popular vote 495,961 284,494
Percentage 58.75% 33.70%


President before election

Barack Obama
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
Treemap of the popular vote by county

Trump carried the state with 58.7% of the vote, while Clinton received 33.7%.[2] Trump subsequently became the first Republican to win the White House without carrying Douglas or Lancaster County since William Howard Taft in 1908.

Democratic caucus

Results of the Democratic caucuses by county.
  Bernie Sanders
  Hillary Clinton

Democratic presidential caucuses

Nebraska Democratic caucuses, March 5, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 19,120 57.14% 15 1 16
Hillary Clinton 14,340 42.86% 10 3 13
Uncommitted N/A 0 1 1
Total 33,460 100% 25 5 30
Source: The Green Papers


Democratic presidential primary (non-binding)
The Nebraska Democratic primary was held on May 10, 2016. The primary does not bind delegates. Delegates were bound by the caucuses on March 5, 2016.

Nebraska Democratic primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 42,692 53.08% N/A
Bernie Sanders 37,744 46.92% N/A
Total 80,436 100% N/A
Source: Nebraska Secretary of State Election - Official Primary Results

Republican primary

2016 Nebraska Republican primary

May 10, 2016 (2016-05-10)
 
Candidate Donald Trump Ted Cruz
Home state New York Texas
Delegate count 36 0
Popular vote 122,327 36,703
Percentage 61.47% 18.44%

 
Candidate John Kasich Ben Carson
Home state Ohio Maryland
Delegate count 0 0
Popular vote 22,709 10,016
Percentage 11.41% 5.03%

Nebraska results by county
  Donald Trump
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

Twelve candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot:[3][4]

Nebraska Republican primary, May 10, 2016
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 122,327 61.47% 36 0 36
Ted Cruz (withdrawn) 36,703 18.44% 0 0 0
John Kasich (withdrawn) 22,709 11.41% 0 0 0
Ben Carson (withdrawn) 10,016 5.03% 0 0 0
Marco Rubio (withdrawn) 7,233 3.63% 0 0 0
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 198,988 100.00% 36 0 36
Source: The Green Papers

Libertarian primary

Nebraska Libertarian primary, 2016

May 10, 2016 (2016-05-10)
 
Candidate Gary Johnson Austin Petersen John McAfee
Home state New Mexico Missouri Tennessee
Popular vote 375 135 124
Percentage 52.08% 18.75% 17.22%

 
Candidate Marc Allan Feldman
Home state Ohio
Popular vote 47
Percentage 6.53%

Nebraska results by county
(Note: Italicization indicates a withdrawn candidacy)

The Nebraska primary was held on May 10, 2016. Independents and registered Libertarians were allowed to vote in the state's Libertarian primary. The Nebraska Primary marked the third large victory for Gary Johnson in the handful of states that conduct Libertarian presidential primaries. However, since the Libertarian Party does not use such primaries for selecting delegates to its national nominating convention, the results were effectively non-binding.

2016 Nebraska Libertarian primary[5]
Candidate Popular vote
Count Percentage
Gary Johnson 375 52.08%
Austin Petersen 135 18.75%
John McAfee 124 17.22%
Marc Allan Feldman 47 6.53%
Steve Kerbel 35 4.86%
Total: 720 100%

General election polling

Nebraska's 1st Congressional District
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[6] September 25–27, 2016 233 29% 53%
Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[6] September 25–27, 2016 233 40% 49%
The Singularis Group, LLC[7] May 11–12, 2016 1,007 ± 3.08% 36% 44% 20%
Nebraska's 3rd Congressional District
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Hillary
Clinton (D)
Donald
Trump (R)
Gary
Johnson (L)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[6] September 25–27, 2016 234 20% 65%

Predictions

The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Nebraska as of Election Day.

Source Ranking As of
Los Angeles Times[8] Safe R November 6, 2016
CNN[9] Safe R November 8, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Safe R November 7, 2016
NBC[11] Likely R November 7, 2016
RealClearPolitics[12] Safe R November 8, 2016
Fox News[13] Safe R November 7, 2016
ABC[14] Safe R November 7, 2016

Results

2016 United States presidential election in Nebraska
Party Candidate Running mate Votes Percentage Electoral votes
Republican Donald Trump Mike Pence 495,961 58.75% 5
Democratic Hillary Clinton Tim Kaine 284,494 33.70% 0
Libertarian Gary Johnson William Weld 38,946 4.61% 0
Write-Ins 16,051 1.90% 0
Green Jill Stein Ajamu Baraka 8,775 1.04% 0
Totals 844,227 100.00% 5

Results by county

Final results by county from the Nebraska Secretary Of State.[15]

County Candidate Total
votes
Trump Clinton Johnson Write-ins Stein
Percent Votes Percent Votes Percent Votes Percent Votes Percent Votes
Adams 68.73% 9,287 24.44% 3,302 4.40% 594 1.62% 219 0.82% 111 13,513
Antelope 83.27% 2,732 11.67% 383 3.20% 105 1.28% 42 0.58% 19 3,281
Arthur 89.38% 244 6.23% 17 4.03% 11 0.37% 1 0.00% 0 273
Banner 88.81% 357 4.73% 19 3.48% 14 2.24% 9 0.75% 3 402
Blaine 87.07% 276 9.46% 30 3.15% 10 0.32% 1 0.00% 0 317
Boone 79.14% 2,299 14.25% 414 4.72% 137 1.31% 38 0.59% 17 2,905
Box Butte 73.46% 3,617 19.60% 965 4.67% 230 1.54% 76 0.73% 36 4,924
Boyd 85.03% 983 11.07% 128 1.99% 23 0.78% 9 1.12% 13 1,156
Brown 86.73% 1,385 9.58% 153 2.44% 39 0.81% 13 0.44% 7 1,597
Buffalo 68.95% 14,569 22.54% 4,763 5.56% 1,174 1.87% 396 1.07% 227 21,129
Burt 66.53% 2,367 26.14% 930 5.54% 197 0.70% 25 1.10% 39 3,558
Butler 77.34% 3,079 17.36% 691 3.24% 129 1.38% 55 0.68% 27 3,981
Cass 65.35% 8,452 26.94% 3,484 4.94% 639 1.75% 226 1.02% 132 12,933
Cedar 79.91% 3,532 12.92% 571 5.07% 224 1.40% 62 0.70% 31 4,420
Chase 86.83% 1,648 9.01% 171 2.85% 54 1.00% 19 0.32% 6 1,898
Cherry 84.12% 2,623 10.17% 317 4.07% 127 1.15% 36 0.48% 15 3,118
Cheyenne 77.80% 3,665 15.09% 711 4.52% 213 1.61% 76 0.98% 46 4,711
Clay 79.02% 2,422 15.56% 477 3.78% 116 1.14% 35 0.49% 15 3,065
Colfax 67.55% 2,171 26.73% 859 3.67% 118 1.24% 40 0.81% 26 3,214
Cuming 76.63% 3,122 17.65% 719 3.85% 157 1.23% 50 0.64% 26 4,074
Custer 83.07% 4,695 11.34% 641 3.64% 206 1.29% 73 0.65% 37 5,652
Dakota 57.59% 3,616 36.85% 2,314 3.65% 229 1.11% 70 0.80% 50 6,279
Dawes 71.60% 2,632 21.79% 801 5.20% 191 0.00% 0 1.41% 52 3,676
Dawson 69.30% 5,984 24.74% 2,136 4.41% 381 0.88% 76 0.67% 58 8,635
Deuel 82.22% 809 12.20% 120 4.78% 47 0.71% 7 0.10% 1 984
Dixon 73.36% 2,041 19.99% 556 4.67% 130 1.37% 38 0.61% 17 2,782
Dodge 63.96% 9,933 29.26% 4,544 4.02% 624 1.71% 266 1.04% 162 15,529
Douglas 44.95% 108,077 47.33% 113,798 4.33% 10,402 2.19% 5,274 1.20% 2,882 240,433
Dundy 86.36% 823 9.34% 89 3.25% 31 0.42% 4 0.63% 6 953
Fillmore 72.42% 2,130 20.84% 613 5.13% 151 0.88% 26 0.71% 21 2,941
Franklin 80.51% 1,347 14.94% 250 3.23% 54 0.90% 15 0.42% 7 1,673
Frontier 83.58% 1,110 12.12% 161 2.71% 36 0.98% 13 0.60% 8 1,328
Furnas 82.09% 1,921 12.99% 304 3.63% 85 0.81% 19 0.47% 11 2,340
Gage 63.50% 6,380 29.21% 2,935 4.90% 492 1.36% 137 1.04% 104 10,048
Garden 80.84% 869 14.23% 153 3.63% 39 1.12% 12 0.19% 2 1,075
Garfield 83.78% 821 12.35% 121 2.35% 23 1.02% 10 0.51% 5 980
Gosper 78.61% 794 16.44% 166 3.76% 38 0.59% 6 0.59% 6 1,010
Grant 90.62% 367 4.94% 20 1.48% 6 2.72% 11 0.25% 1 405
Greeley 77.62% 912 17.87% 210 3.23% 38 0.77% 9 0.51% 6 1,175
Hall 65.31% 14,408 28.48% 6,282 4.06% 895 1.28% 283 0.87% 192 22,060
Hamilton 75.60% 3,783 17.55% 878 4.48% 224 1.52% 76 0.86% 43 5,004
Harlan 81.66% 1,496 13.86% 254 3.38% 62 0.71% 13 0.38% 7 1,832
Hayes 91.83% 472 5.84% 30 1.56% 8 0.58% 3 0.19% 1 514
Hitchcock 83.92% 1,232 10.97% 161 4.16% 61 0.48% 7 0.48% 7 1,468
Holt 85.07% 4,354 10.38% 531 3.17% 162 0.86% 44 0.53% 27 5,118
Hooker 85.13% 355 9.59% 40 3.84% 16 0.72% 3 0.72% 3 417
Howard 76.29% 2,284 18.17% 544 3.61% 108 1.20% 36 0.73% 22 2,994
Jefferson 68.66% 2,399 23.96% 837 5.21% 182 1.32% 46 0.86% 30 3,494
Johnson 64.86% 1,355 26.95% 563 5.84% 122 1.29% 27 1.05% 22 2,089
Kearney 76.79% 2,531 16.69% 550 4.49% 148 1.24% 41 0.79% 26 3,296
Keith 80.19% 3,235 14.15% 571 4.07% 164 0.97% 39 0.62% 25 4,034
Keya Paha 88.63% 460 7.71% 40 3.28% 17 0.39% 2 0.00% 0 519
Kimball 79.31% 1,330 13.71% 230 4.65% 78 1.25% 21 1.07% 18 1,677
Knox 77.47% 3,188 17.50% 720 3.33% 137 1.00% 41 0.70% 29 4,115
Lancaster 45.21% 61,588 45.44% 61,898 5.22% 7,109 2.68% 3,654 1.45% 1,974 136,223
Lincoln 75.41% 12,164 18.06% 2,913 4.41% 711 1.46% 236 0.66% 107 16,131
Logan 88.30% 400 7.06% 32 3.97% 18 0.44% 2 0.22% 1 453
Loup 83.90% 323 12.47% 48 2.60% 10 0.78% 3 0.26% 1 385
Madison 74.10% 10,628 18.90% 2,711 4.66% 669 1.46% 209 0.88% 126 14,343
McPherson 89.55% 257 4.88% 14 4.88% 14 0.35% 1 0.35% 1 287
Merrick 77.24% 2,926 15.89% 602 4.36% 165 1.74% 66 0.77% 29 3,788
Morrill 81.58% 1,802 12.86% 284 3.80% 84 1.13% 25 0.63% 14 2,209
Nance 77.79% 1,261 17.33% 281 2.96% 48 1.05% 17 0.86% 14 1,621
Nemaha 66.94% 2,116 24.83% 785 5.69% 180 1.68% 53 0.85% 27 3,161
Nuckolls 78.28% 1,726 16.01% 353 3.99% 88 0.82% 18 0.91% 20 2,205
Otoe 65.17% 4,860 27.16% 2,025 5.03% 375 1.86% 139 0.78% 58 7,457
Pawnee 73.40% 974 21.02% 279 4.14% 55 0.68% 9 0.75% 10 1,327
Perkins 83.64% 1,217 11.07% 161 3.71% 54 1.24% 18 0.34% 5 1,455
Phelps 81.98% 3,849 12.18% 572 4.05% 190 1.41% 66 0.38% 18 4,695
Pierce 84.08% 3,052 10.52% 382 3.44% 125 1.38% 50 0.58% 21 3,630
Platte 75.97% 10,965 18.33% 2,646 3.43% 495 1.67% 241 0.60% 86 14,433
Polk 78.54% 2,028 16.00% 413 3.95% 102 1.28% 33 0.23% 6 2,582
Red Willow 82.36% 4,258 12.48% 645 3.69% 191 0.97% 50 0.50% 26 5,170
Richardson 72.77% 2,769 21.50% 818 4.18% 159 0.84% 32 0.71% 27 3,805
Rock 86.09% 687 8.77% 70 4.14% 33 0.50% 4 0.50% 4 798
Saline 58.49% 3,004 33.74% 1,733 5.53% 284 1.23% 63 1.01% 52 5,136
Sarpy 56.02% 45,143 34.79% 28,033 5.81% 4,682 2.34% 1,886 1.04% 836 80,580
Saunders 69.57% 7,555 23.23% 2,523 4.74% 515 1.57% 170 0.89% 97 10,860
Scotts Bluff 70.38% 10,076 22.40% 3,207 4.77% 683 1.57% 225 0.88% 126 14,317
Seward 68.85% 5,454 23.67% 1,875 4.25% 337 2.17% 172 1.06% 84 7,922
Sheridan 84.78% 2,211 11.00% 287 2.68% 70 0.84% 22 0.69% 18 2,608
Sherman 73.11% 1,150 21.61% 340 3.75% 59 0.70% 11 0.83% 13 1,573
Sioux 83.70% 616 11.01% 81 3.80% 28 0.95% 7 0.54% 4 736
Stanton 78.08% 2,187 14.89% 417 5.14% 144 1.39% 39 0.50% 14 2,801
Thayer 76.25% 2,051 18.55% 499 4.61% 124 0.22% 6 0.37% 10 2,690
Thomas 87.53% 344 7.63% 30 2.54% 10 1.53% 6 0.76% 3 393
Thurston 49.95% 1,043 44.01% 919 2.68% 56 1.01% 21 2.35% 49 2,088
Valley 80.73% 1,780 15.37% 339 2.40% 53 0.95% 21 0.54% 12 2,205
Washington 68.54% 7,424 24.22% 2,623 4.74% 513 1.62% 175 0.90% 97 10,832
Wayne 71.32% 2,693 22.11% 835 5.35% 202 0.29% 11 0.93% 35 3,776
Webster 77.87% 1,330 17.92% 306 2.99% 51 0.64% 11 0.59% 10 1,708
Wheeler 81.08% 377 13.33% 62 3.66% 17 1.08% 5 0.86% 4 465
York 73.66% 4,700 18.59% 1,186 5.41% 345 1.54% 98 0.81% 52 6,381
Total 58.75% 495,961 33.70% 284,494 4.61% 38,946 1.90% 16,051 1.04% 8,775 844,227

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Trump won all of the state's three congressional districts, winning all of the state's electoral votes.[16]

District Trump Clinton Representative
1st 56% 36% Jeff Fortenberry
2nd 47% 45% Brad Ashford
Don Bacon
3rd 74% 20% Adrian Smith

See also

References

  1. "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved December 14, 2020.
  2. https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/nebraska
  3. WRAL: NC approves 27 candidates for presidential primary ballots
  4. NC State Board of Elections presidential primary candidates' list (preliminary)
  5. "Unofficial Results: Primary Election - May 10, 2016". Nebraska Secretary of State. May 10, 2016. Retrieved July 22, 2016.
  6. "Emerson Poll: Washington State Looks Safe for Democrats in the Presidential and Senate Races; Trump Has a Wide Lead in Nebraska" (PDF). Emerson College. Retrieved September 28, 2016.
  7. "BACON LEADS ASHFORD IN LATEST POLL". The Singularis Group, LLC. Don Bacon for Congress. May 16, 2016. Archived from the original on September 10, 2016. Retrieved August 14, 2016.
  8. "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  9. "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  10. "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  11. Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  12. "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  13. "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  14. "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
  15. Revised Official Report of the Board of State Canvassers General Election November 8, 2016 Archived December 20, 2016, at the Wayback Machine John A. Gale Nebraska Secretary Of State.
  16. https://www.cookpolitical.com/introducing-2017-cook-political-report-partisan-voter-index
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