2016 United States Senate election in California

The 2016 United States Senate election in California was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of California, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

2016 United States Senate election in California
November 8, 2016
 
Candidate Kamala Harris Loretta Sanchez
Party Democratic Democratic
Popular vote 7,542,753 4,701,417
Percentage 61.60% 38.40%
County results

Harris:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

Sanchez:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Barbara Boxer
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Kamala Harris
Democratic

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Under California's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the primary, voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. In the California system, the top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate receives a majority of the vote in the primary election. Washington and Louisiana have similar "jungle primary" style processes for senators.

Incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer decided to not run for reelection to a fifth term.[1] This was the first open seat Senate election in California in 24 years.[2] In the primary on June 7, 2016, California Attorney General Kamala Harris and U.S. Representative Loretta Sanchez, both Democrats, finished in first and second place, respectively, and contested the general election. For the first time since direct elections to the Senate began after the passage of the Seventeenth Amendment in 1913, no Republican appeared on the general election ballot for U.S. Senate in California. The highest Republican finisher in the primary won only 7.8 percent of the vote, and the 10 Republicans only won 27.9 percent of the vote among them.[3]

In the general election, Harris defeated Sanchez in a landslide, carrying 54 of the state's 58 counties, including Sanchez's home county of Orange.

Background

Barbara Boxer was reelected with 52.1% of the vote in 2010 against Republican Carly Fiorina. Toward the end of 2014, Boxer's low fundraising and cash-on-hand numbers led to speculation that she would retire.[4][5] On January 8, 2015, she announced that she would not run for reelection.[1]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Declared
  • Pamela Elizondo[6]

Declared

Declared
  • John Thompson Parker[6]

Declared

Declined

Endorsements
Rocky Chávez
State politicians
Organizations
  • Deputy Sheriff's Association of San Diego County[83]
Tom Del Beccaro
Kamala Harris
Federal politicians
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Loretta Sánchez
Federal politicians
State-level officials
Local-level officials
Organizations
Duf Sundheim
Federal politicians
State politicians
Businesspeople
Organizations
  • California Small Business Association[161]

Primary election

Fundraising

The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures through the reporting period ending March 31, 2016.

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Kamala Harris (D) $9,749,024 $4,759,048 $4,989,977 $78,900
Loretta Sánchez (D) $3,251,186 $921,291 $2,329,895 $209,217
Tom Del Beccaro (R) $316,560 $238,612 $77,946 $74,465
George 'Duf' Sundheim (R) $532,638 $475,415 $57,222 $181,640
Phillip Wyman (R) $48,900 $11,761 $30,737 $40,000
Clive Grey (NPP) $38,916 $21,554 $17,361 $25,000
Greg Conlon (R) $21,205 $13,396 $7,809 $9,575
Mike Beitiks (NPP) $6,305 $4,860 $1,444 $0
Steve Stokes (D) $4,864 $4,351 $762 $4,742
Emory Rodgers (D) $7,246 $6,988 $290 $0
Tom Palzer (R) $2,783 $2,442 $241 $0

Polling
Poll
source		 Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Tom
Del Beccaro (R)		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Loretta
Sánchez (D)		 Duf
Sundheim (R)		 Ron
Unz (R)		 Other Undecided
Marist College May 29–31, 2016 2,485 ± 2.3% 8% 37% 19% 5% 5% 3% 24%
The Field Poll May 26–31, 2016 1,002 ± 3.1% 4% 30% 14% 3% 3% 19% 27%
Public Policy Institute of California May 13–22, 2016 996 ± 4.3% 8% 27% 19% 3% 6% — 22%
SurveyUSA May 19–22, 2016 1,416 ± 2.7% 9% 31% 22% 9% 7% 7% 15%
Public Policy Institute of California May 13–22, 2016 996 ± 4.3% 8% 27% 19% 3% 6% 6% 31%
Hoover Institution May 4–16, 2016 1,196 – 6% 26% 13% 6% 6% – 43%
SurveyUSA April 27–30, 2016 2,400 ± 2.6% 10% 29% 18% 7% 8% 6% 22%
SurveyUSA March 30–April 3, 2016 1,269 ± 2.8% 8% 26% 22% 5% – 7% 24%
The Field Poll March 24–April 4, 2016 1,400 ± 3.2% 4% 27% 14% 2% 5% – 48%
Los Angeles Times March 16–23, 2016 691 – 10% 33% 15% 8% – – 34%
Public Policy Institute of California March 6–15, 2016 1,710 ± 3.6% 9% 26% 17% 6% – 11% 31%
The Field Poll December 15, 2015 – January 3, 2016 730 ± 3.6% 3% 27% 15% 3% – 1% 44%
The Field Poll September 17–October 4, 2015 694 ± 4.3% 6% 30% 17% 3% – 1% 34%
Los Angeles Times August 29–September 8, 2015 1,500 ± 2.8% 10% 26% 17% – – – 35%
The Field Poll April 23–May 16, 2015 801 ± 3.5% 5% 19% 8% 1% – – 58%

Results
Results of the primary election held June 7:
  Harris—>70%
  Harris—60–70%
  Harris—50–60%
  Harris—40–50%
  Harris—30–40%
  Harris—20–30%
  Harris—10-20%
  Sanchez—10-20%
  Sanchez—20–30%
  Sanchez—30–40%
Primary results[173]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kamala Harris 3,000,689 37.9%
Democratic Loretta Sanchez 1,416,203 17.9%
Republican Duf Sundheim 584,251 7.8%
Republican Phil Wyman 352,821 4.7%
Republican Tom Del Beccaro 323,614 4.3%
Republican Greg Conlon 230,944 3.1%
Democratic Steve Stokes 168,805 2.2%
Republican George C. Yang 112,055 1.5%
Republican Karen Roseberry 110,557 1.5%
Libertarian Gail K. Lightfoot 99,761 1.3%
Democratic Massie Munroe 98,150 1.3%
Green Pamela Elizondo 95,677 1.3%
Republican Tom Palzer 93,263 1.2%
Republican Ron Unz 92,325 1.2%
Republican Don Krampe 69,635 0.9%
No party preference Eleanor García 65,084 0.9%
Republican Jarrell Williamson 64,120 0.9%
Republican Von Hougo 63,609 0.8%
Democratic President Cristina Grappo 63,330 0.8%
Republican Jerry J. Laws 53,023 0.7%
Libertarian Mark Matthew Herd 41,344 0.6%
Peace and Freedom John Thompson Parker 35,998 0.5%
No party preference Ling Ling Shi 35,196 0.5%
Democratic Herbert G. Peters 32,638 0.4%
Democratic Emory Peretz Rodgers 31,485 0.4%
No party preference Mike Beitiks 31,450 0.4%
No party preference Clive Grey 29,418 0.4%
No party preference Jason Hanania 27,715 0.4%
No party preference Paul Merritt 24,031 0.3%
No party preference Jason Kraus 19,318 0.3%
No party preference Don J. Grundmann 15,317 0.2%
No party preference Scott A. Vineberg 11,843 0.2%
No party preference Tim Gildersleeve 9,798 0.1%
No party preference Gar Myers 8,726 0.1%
Republican Billy Falling (write-in) 87 0.0%
No party preference Ric M. Llewellyn (write-in) 32 0.0%
Republican Alexis Stuart (write-in) 10 0.0%
Total votes 7,512,322 100.0%

General election

Fundraising

The following are Federal Election Commission disclosures through the reporting period ending March 31, 2016.

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Kamala Harris (D) $9,749,024 $4,759,048 $4,989,977 $78,900
Loretta Sánchez (D) $3,251,186 $921,291 $2,329,895 $209,217

Debates
Dates Location Harris Sanchez Link
October 9, 2016 Cal State LA, Los Angeles, California Participant Participant Full debate - C-SPAN

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[174] Safe D (Harris) September 9, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[175] Safe D (Harris) September 19, 2016
Rothenberg Political Report[176] Safe D (Harris) September 2, 2016
Daily Kos[177] Safe D (Harris) September 16, 2016
Real Clear Politics[178] Safe D (Harris) September 15, 2016

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Kamala
Harris (D)		 Loretta
Sánchez (D)		 Would
not vote		 Undecided
SurveyMonkey November 1–7, 2016 2,712 ± 4.6% 52% 31% — 17%
Insights West November 4–6, 2016 401 ± 4.9% 50% 28% — 22%
SurveyMonkey Oct 31–Nov 6, 2016 2,655 ± 4.6% 51% 32% — 17%
SurveyMonkey Oct 28–Nov 3, 2016 2,528 ± 4.6% 51% 31% — 18%
SurveyMonkey Oct 27–Nov 2, 2016 2,316 ± 4.6% 51% 31% — 18%
SurveyMonkey Oct 26–Nov 1, 2016 2,284 ± 4.6% 51% 30% — 19%
SurveyUSA October 28–31, 2016 747 ± 3.7% 47% 27% — 26%
SurveyMonkey October 25–31, 2016 2,505 ± 4.6% 50% 30% — 20%
The Field Poll October 25–31, 2016 1,498 ± 3.2% 47% 23% 13% 17%
USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times October 22–30, 2016 697 ± 3.7% 48% 31% 9% 12%
PPIC Statewide Survey October 14–23, 2016 1,024 ± 4.3% 42% 20% 18% 20%
SurveyUSA October 13–15, 2016 725 ± 3.7% 45% 24% — 31%
Hoover Institution - Golden State Poll October 4–14, 2016 1,228 ± 3.3% 41% 22% — 37%
Sacramento State/CA Counts October 7–13, 2016 622 ± 7.0% 49% 24% 7% 20%
SurveyUSA September 27–28, 2016 751 ± 3.6% 40% 29% — 31%
PPIC Statewide Survey September 9–18, 2016 1,702 ± 3.5% 32% 25% 24% 19%
Insights West September 12–14, 2016 515 ± 4.3% 42% 28% 3% 28%
The Field Poll September 7–13, 2016 1,426 ± 3.2% 42% 20% 12% 26%
SurveyUSA September 8–11, 2016 712 ± 3.7% 44% 27% — 29%
SurveyMonkey USC/Los Angeles Times September 1–8, 2016 4,212 ± 2.0% 30% 16% 16% 38%
Sacramento State/CA Counts August 15–24, 2016 915 ± 4.0% 51% 19% 6% 25%
SmithJohnson Research August 17–19, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 41% 15% 8% 36%
PPIC Statewide Survey July 10–19, 2016 1,056 ± 3.5% 38% 20% 28% 14%
The Field Poll June 8–July 2, 2016 956 ± 3.2% 39% 24% 15% 22%
SurveyMonkey USC/Los Angeles Times June 9–10, 2016 1,553 ± 3.5% 47% 22% 26% 5%
The Field Poll May 26–31, 2016 1,002 ± 3.1% 40% 26% 14% 20%
PPIC Statewide Survey May 13–22, 2016 996 ± 4.3% 34% 26% 24% 15%
Gravis Marketing April 7–10, 2016 2,088 ± 2.1% 29% 19% — 52%

Results
United States Senate election in California, 2016[179]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kamala Harris 7,542,753 61.60%
Democratic Loretta Sanchez 4,701,417 38.40%
Total votes 12,244,170 100.00%
Democratic hold

Miscellaneous

Harris stepped down from her Senate seat on January 18, 2021, two days before her inauguration as Vice President. This makes Harris the first US Senator elected to a full six-year term since Barack Obama in 2008 to not finish what would be her sole term. On December 22, 2020, California Governor Gavin Newsom appointed California Secretary of State Alex Padilla to serve the remainder of Harris' term.[180] Although Harris no longer occupies this Senate seat, she became President of the Senate on January 20, 2021 by virtue of her election as Vice President.

See also
  • United States Senate elections, 2016

References
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  110. Josh Richman (February 4, 2015). "Today's endorser of @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate in 2016 is @RepBera. #AnEndorsementADay". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
  111. Josh Richman (February 3, 2015). "Today's endorsement". Twitter. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
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  118. Christopher Cadelago (March 3, 2015). "AM Alert: John A. Pérez endorses Kamala Harris, joins campaign as co-chair". Sacramento Bee. Retrieved March 4, 2015.
  119. Josh Richman (February 6, 2015). "Today's endorsement of @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate 2016: @AsmJoseMedina, D-Riverside (a SoCal Latino Dem... hmmm...) #AnEndorsementADay". Twitter. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
  120. Cadelago, Christopher (April 1, 2015). "Latest @KamalaHarris endorsement is from Controller @BettyYee2014. Mentions her work "implementing smart crime prevention policies."". Twitter. Retrieved April 1, 2015.
  121. Josh Richman (February 5, 2015). "Today's endorsement". Twitter. Retrieved February 6, 2015.
  122. Josh Richman (February 2, 2015). "Endorsement du jour for @KamalaHarris' 2016 U.S. Senate campaign: Board of Equalization member @FionaMa of San Francisco". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
  123. Josh Richman (January 28, 2015). "Daily endorsement rollout continues". Twitter. Retrieved January 29, 2015.
  124. Josh Richman (January 29, 2014). "Today's entry on the @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate endorsement hit parade: Oakland Mayor @LibbyForMayor Schaaf". Twitter. Retrieved February 4, 2015.
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  126. Eric Bradley (January 30, 2015). "Long Beach mayor endorses Kamala Harris for U.S. Senate". Press-Telegram. Retrieved January 31, 2015.
  127. Seema Mehta (January 26, 2015). "Wesson backs Kamala Harris' bid for U.S. Senate". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 27, 2015.
  128. Josh Richman (February 9, 2015). "The @KamalaHarris for U.S. Senate 2016 #AnEndorsementADay cavalcade continues today with San Francisco City Attorney @DennisHerrera". Twitter. Retrieved February 9, 2015.
  129. Michael Finnegan (January 27, 2015). "Los Angeles County D.A. Lacey backs Kamala Harris for Senate". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved January 31, 2015.
  130. Josh Richman (February 19, 2015). "Alameda County DA @NancyOMalley endorses @KamalaHarris for Senate 2016 as "forward thinking strategist;" might she hope to be appointed AG?". Twitter. Retrieved February 19, 2015.
  131. Kamala Harris (February 23, 2015). "Thanks @TreasurerSF José Cisneros for the #CASen endorsement. I look fwd to continuing our fight for the middle class". Twitter. Retrieved February 24, 2015.
  132. Sovern, Doug (March 11, 2015). "I'm on special assignment so not tweeting much today, but another @KamalaHarris '16 endorsement in my inbox, this 1 from Ins Comm Dave Jones". Twitter. Retrieved March 12, 2015.
  133. Kamala Harris (February 26, 2015). "Thank you LA Assessor @JeffreyPrang for the #CASen endorsement & your dedication to our fight for education & the middle class. #TeamKamala". Twitter. Retrieved February 26, 2015.
  134. Seema Mehta (February 10, 2015). "Kamala Harris' Senate bid endorsed by ex-state party chief Art Torres". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 10, 2015.
  135. Michael Finnegan (March 5, 2015). "Rocky Chávez cites Marine background as key asset in U.S. Senate race". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved March 6, 2015.
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  150. "MAYORS AND CITY COUNCILMEMBERS FROM ACROSS LOS ANGELES COUNTY ENDORSE LORETTA SANCHEZ FOR U.S SENATE". Loretta Sanchez for U.S. Senate. February 24, 2016.
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  153. "Former L.A. Mayor Richard Riordan picks his candidate in California's U.S. Senate race". Los Angeles Times.
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  155. "LEADING MARITIME TRADE UNIONS ENDORSE SANCHEZ FOR U.S. SENATE". Loretta Sanchez for U.S. Senate.
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  158. "Former state Republican Party chairman Duf Sundheim raises $241,000 for U.S. Senate bid". Los Angeles Times. October 14, 2015.
  159. "Sundheim For U.S. Senate Lands Key National Security Endorsement, Congressman Colonel Paul Cook". January 5, 2016.
  160. "McCarthy endorses Sundheim for Senate". Porterville Recorder. February 2, 2016.
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  162. "Congressman Darrell Issa Endorses Duf Sundheim For U.S. Senate". February 22, 2016.
  163. "Fresno Mayor Ashley Swearengin endorses in U.S. Senate race – and it's a Republican". The Sacramento Bee. January 27, 2016.
  164. "Rocky Chavez Endorses Sundheim In U.S. Senate Race". February 12, 2016.
  165. Half of the sample were offered former state Republican Party Chairman Tom Del Beccaro and the other half were offered former state Republican Party Chairman George Sundheim instead. Del Beccaro took 6% and Sundheim 5%.
  166. Poll conducted for the Los Angeles County Young Democrats
  167. Cameron Joseph (February 10, 2015). "Harris leads Villaraigosa for Calif. Senate". The Hill. Retrieved February 11, 2015.
  168. Poll for the California Latino Legislative Caucus, which supports Villaraigosa
  169. Josh Richman (February 3, 2015). "Poll makes case for Latino U.S. Senate candidate". IBA Buzz. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  170. Gene Maddaus (February 3, 2015). "Poll shows hard road for Antonio Villaraigosa in Senate race". IBA Buzz. Retrieved February 3, 2015.
  171. Internal poll for the Kamala Harris campaign
  172. Poll for "allies of one of the potential candidates"
  173. "CSV Files - Voter Nominated". California Secretary of State. July 16, 2016.
  174. "2016 Senate Race Ratings for September 9, 2016". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 9, 2016.
  175. "2016 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved September 19, 2016.
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  180. Koseff, Alexei (December 22, 2020). "Newsom names Alex Padilla to replace Kamala Harris — first Latino to represent California in Senate". San Francisco Chronicle. Retrieved January 17, 2021.
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