2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 13 U.S. Representatives from the state of North Carolina, one from each of the state's 13 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 13 North Carolina seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results: Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Elections in North Carolina |
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Following a bill passed in 2019 by the North Carolina General Assembly, new Congressional districts were used for the 2020 elections. Under the new law, among other changes, the 2nd and 6th districts were drawn to be more urban. Those changes led the two incumbents in these districts, George Holding and Mark Walker, respectively, to retire. Both were Republicans, and Democrats won their newly redrawn districts. One other seat was open, as former Rep. Mark Meadows had resigned to become White House Chief of Staff, but a fellow Republican held that seat for the party. Incumbents won all elections in which they ran, with the 8th district (Richard Hudson) seat having the closest margin of victory.[1]
Results summary
Statewide
| Party | Candi- dates | Votes | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. | % | No. | +/– | % | |||
| Republican Party | 12 | 2,631,336 | 49.413% | 8 |  2 | 61.54% | |
| Democratic Party | 13 | 2,660,535 | 49.961% | 5 |  2 | 38.76% | |
| Libertarian Party | 2 | 19,596 | 0.368% | 0 |  | 0.00% | |
| Constitution Party | 1 | 7,555 | 0.142% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Green Party | 1 | 5,503 | 0.103% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Write-in | 1 | 720 | 0.014% | 0 | | 0.00% | |
| Total | 30 | 5,325,245 | 100.00% | 13 | | 100.00% | |
District
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in North Carolina by district:
| District | Republican | Democratic | Others | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 159,748 | 45.82% | 188,870 | 54.18% | 0 | 0.00% | 348,618 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
| District 2 | 172,544 | 34.83% | 311,887 | 62.96% | 10,914 | 2.20% | 495,345 | 100.00% | Democratic Gain |
| District 3 | 229,800 | 63.38% | 132,752 | 36.62% | 0 | 0.00% | 362,552 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 4 | 161,298 | 32.67% | 332,421 | 67.33% | 0 | 0.00% | 493,719 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
| District 5 | 257,843 | 66.93% | 119,846 | 31.11% | 7,555 | 1.96% | 385,244 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 6 | 153,598 | 37.73% | 253,531 | 62.27% | 0 | 0.00% | 407,129 | 100.00% | Democratic Gain |
| District 7 | 272,443 | 60.25% | 179,045 | 39.59% | 720 | 0.16% | 452,208 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 8 | 202,774 | 53.28% | 177,781 | 46.72% | 0 | 0.00% | 380,555 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 9 | 224,661 | 55.59% | 179,463 | 44.41% | 0 | 0.00% | 404,124 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 10 | 284,095 | 68.91% | 128,189 | 31.09% | 0 | 0.00% | 412,284 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 11 | 245,351 | 54.50% | 190,609 | 42.34% | 14,185 | 3.15% | 450,145 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| District 12 | 0 | 0.00% | 341,457 | 100.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 341,457 | 100.00% | Democratic Hold |
| District 13 | 267,181 | 68.18% | 124,684 | 31.82% | 0 | 0.00% | 391,865 | 100.00% | Republican Hold |
| Total | 2,631,336 | 49.41% | 2,660,535 | 49.96% | 33,374 | 0.63% | 5,325,245 | 100.00% | |
District 1
The 1st district encompasses the Inner Banks, taking in Greenville, Henderson, & Roanoke Rapids. Following redistricting, the district remained relatively the same but lost its share of Durham and Granville counties. In its place it gained Nash, Wayne, and Greene counties. It also increased its share of Wilson and Pitt counties. The incumbent is Democrat G. K. Butterfield, who was re-elected with 69.9% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- G. K. Butterfield, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Nominee
- Sandy Smith, business executive and farmer[4]
Eliminated in primary
- Ethan Baca, businessman[5]
- Jim Glisson[4]
- Michele Nix, former vice chairwoman of the North Carolina Republican Party and candidate for North Carolina's 3rd congressional district in 2019[4]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Sandy Smith | 31,490 | 77.3 | |
| Republican | Michele Nix | 4,030 | 9.9 | |
| Republican | Jim Glisson | 3,031 | 7.4 | |
| Republican | Ethan Baca | 2,206 | 5.5 | |
| Total votes | 40,757 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Likely D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | G. K. Butterfield (incumbent) | 188,870 | 54.2 | |
| Republican | Sandy Smith | 159,748 | 45.8 | |
| Total votes | 348,618 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
The 2nd district takes in much of Wake County portion of the Research Triangle region. Following redistricting, the 2nd district is now located entirely in Wake County, taking in Raleigh, Cary, Garner, Apex, Holly Springs, Fuquay-Varina, and Morrisville. Wake Forest and Rocky Mount as well as the rural parts of the district were removed from the district. The incumbent is Republican George Holding, who was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2018.[2] On December 6, 2019, Holding announced he would not seek re-election, after his congressional district was drawn to be more favorable to the Democratic Party.[15]
Nominee
- Alan Swain, attorney[16]
Declined
- George Holding, incumbent U.S. Representative[15]
Nominee
- Deborah K. Ross, former state representative and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Monika Johnson-Hostler, Wake County school board-member[17]
- Ollie Nelson, retired U.S. Marine, educator, and pastor[18]
- Andy Terrell, former Obama administration official[19]
Withdrawn
- Scott Cooper, nonprofit director and former U.S. Marine Corps lieutenant colonel[20]
Endorsements
Monika Johnson-Hostler
- Organizations
- Equality North Carolina (also endorsed Deborah Ross and Andy Terrell)[21]
Deborah K. Ross
- Labor unions
- North Carolina State AFL-CIO[22]
- State Employees Association of North Carolina, Service Employees International Union Local 2008[23]
- Organizations
- Black Economic Alliance[24]
- Equality North Carolina (also endorsed Andy Terrell and Monika Johnson-Hostler)[21]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[25]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[26]
- Replacements, Ltd. PAC[27]
- Sierra Club[28]
- Newspapers
Andy Terrell
- Equality North Carolina (also endorsed Deborah Ross and Monika Johnson-Hostler)[21]
Scott Cooper (withdrawn)
- Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Monika Johnson-Holster |
Ollie Nelson |
Deborah Ross |
Andrew Terrell |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | January 7–12, 2020 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 6% | 2% | 40% | 1% | 50% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deborah K. Ross | 103,574 | 69.9 | |
| Democratic | Monika Johnson-Hostler | 33,369 | 22.5 | |
| Democratic | Andy Terrell | 8,666 | 5.8 | |
| Democratic | Ollie Nelson | 2,677 | 1.8 | |
| Total votes | 148,286 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Likely D (flip) | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe D (flip) | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe D (flip) | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D (flip) | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Deborah K. Ross | 311,887 | 63.0 | |
| Republican | Alan Swain | 172,544 | 34.8 | |
| Libertarian | Jeff Matemu | 10,914 | 2.2 | |
| Total votes | 495,345 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 3
The 3rd district is located on the Eastern North Carolina shore and covers the Outer Banks and counties along the Pamlico Sound. Republican Walter B. Jones Jr., who was re-elected unopposed in 2018,[2][32] died on February 10, 2019, and a special election was held to fill the vacancy.[33] The incumbent is Republican Greg Murphy, who won the special election with 61.7% of the vote.[34] The district remained relatively unchanged following redistricting.
Nominee
- Greg Murphy, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Nominee
- Daryl Farrow[35]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Greg Murphy (incumbent) | 229,800 | 63.4 | |
| Democratic | Daryl Farrow | 132,752 | 36.6 | |
| Total votes | 362,552 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
The 4th district takes in the part of the Research Triangle area not located in Wake County including Chapel Hill and Durham. Redistricting resulted in it losing its share of Raleigh, instead picking up northern Wake County, taking in Wake Forest, Zebulon, Rolesville, and Knightdale, as well as Chatham County, Durham County, Franklin County and Granville County. The incumbent is Democrat David Price, who was re-elected with 72.4% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- David Price, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Eliminated in primary
- Daniel Ulysses Lockwood, web & graphic designer and developer[36]
Endorsements
Daniel Ulysses Lockwood
- Organizations
- Democratic Socialists of America - Chapelboro chapter[37]
- Democratic Socialists of America - Piedmont chapter[37]
- Our Revolution - Triangle chapter[37]
- Rose Caucus[38]
David Price
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Price (incumbent) | 153,322 | 86.7 | |
| Democratic | Daniel Ulysses Lockwood | 23,564 | 13.3 | |
| Total votes | 176.886 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Robert Thomas, attorney[18]
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Robert Thomas | 17,474 | 48.3 | |
| Republican | Debesh Sarkar | 8,320 | 23.0 | |
| Republican | Steve Von Loor | 6,283 | 17.3 | |
| Republican | Nasir Shaikh | 4,127 | 11.4 | |
| Total votes | 36,159 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Price (incumbent) | 332,421 | 67.3 | |
| Republican | Robert Thomas | 161,298 | 32.7 | |
| Total votes | 493,719 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 5
The 5th district is based in mostly rural mountainous areas of northwestern North Carolina. Redistricting moved the district to the west and south, resulting in it losing the city of Winston-Salem and picking up many rural counties in western North Carolina. It lost its share of Surry, Stokes, Yadkin, and Forsyth counties to the 10th district. It also lost Avery County to the 11th district. In its place it picked up Gaston County, Cleveland County, part of Rutherford County, as well as Burke and Caldwell counties. A small portion in northwest Catawba County is also in the district. The incumbent is Republican Virginia Foxx, who was re-elected with 57.0% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- Virginia Foxx, incumbent U.S. Representative[40]
Declined
- Tracy Philbeck, Gaston County commissioner[41]
Endorsements
Virginia Foxx
- Organizations
Nominee
- David Brown, IT consultant and nominee for North Carolina's 10th congressional district in 2018[43][44]
Eliminated in primary
- Eric Hughes[45]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | David Brown | 34,339 | 68.0 | |
| Democratic | Eric Hughes | 16,139 | 32.0 | |
| Total votes | 50,478 | 100.0 | ||
Declared
- Jeff Gregory (Constitution)[18]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Endorsements
David Brown (D)
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Virginia Foxx (incumbent) | 257,843 | 66.9 | |
| Democratic | David Brown | 119,846 | 31.1 | |
| Constitution | Jeff Gregory | 7,555 | 2.0 | |
| Total votes | 385,244 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 6
Following redistricting, the 6th district now encompasses all of Guilford County, including Greensboro as well as taking in Winston-Salem from neighboring Forsyth County. Most of the district's rural portions were moved to the 10th and the 13th districts. The incumbent is Republican Mark Walker, who was re-elected with 56.5% of the vote in 2018.[2] On December 16, 2019, Walker announced he would not seek re-election, citing his redrawn district becoming significantly more Democratic as his primary reason.[46]
Nominee
- Lee Haywood, chairman of the 6th district North Carolina Republican Party[47]
Eliminated in primary
- Laura Pichardo, accounts-payable analyst[47]
Declined
- Mark Walker, incumbent U.S. Representative[46]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lee Haywood | 28,842 | 73.3 | |
| Republican | Laura Pichardo | 10,529 | 26.7 | |
| Total votes | 39,371 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Kathy Manning, lawyer and nominee for North Carolina's 13th congressional district in 2018[48]
Eliminated in primary
- Bruce Davis, former Guilford County commissioner[49]
- Rhonda Foxx, former chief of staff to U.S. Representative Alma Adams[50]
- Ed Hanes, former state representative[51]
- Derwin Montgomery, state representative[52]
Withdrawn
- Angela Flynn, lay minister[53] (endorsed Kathy Manning)
Endorsements
Rhonda Foxx
Kathy Manning
- Labor unions
- Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Manning | 56,986 | 48.3 | |
| Democratic | Rhonda Foxx | 23,506 | 19.9 | |
| Democratic | Bruce Davis | 17,731 | 15.0 | |
| Democratic | Derwin Montgomery | 14,705 | 12.5 | |
| Democratic | Ed Hanes | 5,067 | 4.3 | |
| Total votes | 117,995 | 100.0 | ||
Declared
- Jennyfer Bucardo (Independent)[58]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Likely D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Likely D (flip) | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D (flip) | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe D (flip) | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe D (flip) | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D (flip) | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe D (flip) | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Kathy Manning | 253,531 | 62.3 | |
| Republican | Lee Haywood | 153,598 | 37.7 | |
| Total votes | 407,129 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic gain from Republican | ||||
District 7
The 7th district is located in southeastern North Carolina, taking in Wilmington, as well as stretching into the southern exurbs of Raleigh. After the district was redrawn, it lost its share of Wayne and Duplin counties, while gaining all of Johnston and Bladen counties and a small part of eastern Harnett County. The incumbent is Republican David Rouzer, who was re-elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- David Rouzer, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Nominee
- Chris Ward, pharmaceutical sales executive[61]
Eliminated in primary
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Ward | 35,224 | 46.3 | |
| Democratic | Mark Judson | 27,640 | 36.4 | |
| Democratic | Robert Colon | 13,183 | 17.3 | |
| Total votes | 76,047 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | David Rouzer (incumbent) | 272,443 | 60.2 | |
| Democratic | Chris Ward | 179,045 | 39.6 | |
| Write-in | 720 | 0.2 | ||
| Total votes | 452,208 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 8
The 8th district spans from the Charlotte exurbs of Concord and Kannapolis into Fayetteville, including China Grove, Albemarle, Troy, Pinehurst, Raeford, and Spring Lake. Redistricting resulted in the 8th district losing its share of Rowan County, Hoke County and southern Moore County, while gaining all of Cumberland County, western Harnett County and most of Lee County. The incumbent is Republican Richard Hudson, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- Richard Hudson, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Nominee
- Patricia Timmons-Goodson, vice chair of the United States Commission on Civil Rights and former Associate Justice of the North Carolina Supreme Court[64]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | July 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Tilt R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Lean R | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Lean R | October 19, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Richard Hudson (R) |
Patricia Timmons-Goodson (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 2] | October 5–6, 2020 | 433 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
| Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 3] | September 28, 2020 | 612 (LV) | ± 4% | 44% | 42% | – |
| Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 3] | July 23–30, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 43% | 41% | – |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Endorsements
Patricia Timmons-Goodson (D)
- Federal politicians
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States[65]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[66]
- Organizations
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Richard Hudson (incumbent) | 202,774 | 53.3 | |
| Democratic | Patricia Timmons-Goodson | 177,781 | 46.7 | |
| Total votes | 380,555 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 9
The 9th district spans from south Charlotte and its southern suburbs of Matthews and Mint Hill into suburban Fayetteville, including Union, Anson, Richmond, Scotland, and Robeson counties. The district remained vacant after the 2018 elections,[2] following the refusal of the state board of elections to certify the results and an ongoing investigation into absentee ballot fraud,[72] and on February 21, 2019, all five members of the board voted to call a new election.[73] Redistricting resulted in the district losing its share of Cumberland and Bladen counties, while gaining southern Moore County and Hoke County. The incumbent is Republican Dan Bishop, who won the special election with 50.7% of the vote.[74]
Nominee
- Dan Bishop, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Nominee
- Cynthia Wallace, financial services vice president and chair of the 9th district for the North Carolina Democratic Party[75]
Eliminated in primary
- Clayton Brooks, Baptist minister and first chair of the Wake County Democratic Party[75]
- Harry Southerland, Hoke County commissioner[75]
- Marcus Williams, lawyer[76]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Cynthia Wallace | 45,359 | 56.0 | |
| Democratic | Harry Southerland | 13,163 | 16.3 | |
| Democratic | Clayton Brooks | 11,913 | 14.7 | |
| Democratic | Marcus Williams | 10,527 | 13.0 | |
| Total votes | 80,962 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | October 21, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Likely R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Likely R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Likely R | October 30, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Likely R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Lean R | June 7, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Dan Bishop (R) |
Cynthia Wallace (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 4] | October 27–29, 2020 | 750 (V) | – | 45% | 43% | 12% |
| Wick Surveys (D)[upper-alpha 5] | September 30 – October 2, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 30% | 34% | 37% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Dan Bishop (incumbent) | 224,661 | 55.6 | |
| Democratic | Cynthia Wallace | 179,463 | 44.4 | |
| Total votes | 404,124 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 10
The 10th district encompasses western North Carolina stretching from the Charlotte suburbs to the South Carolina border. It lost its share of Asheville following redistricting and some of its share of the southwestern Piedmont in south central North Carolina. It gained Rockingham County, Stokes County, Surry County, Yadkin County, Iredell County, as well as part of Forsyth County from the old 5th district. The incumbent is Republican Patrick McHenry, who was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- Patrick McHenry, incumbent U.S. Representative[18]
Declined
- Mark Walker, incumbent U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district[46]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 62,661 | 71.7 | |
| Republican | David L. Johnson | 14,286 | 16.3 | |
| Republican | Ralf Walters | 10,484 | 12.0 | |
| Total votes | 87,431 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- David Parker, attorney and former North Carolina Democratic Party chair[77]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Patrick McHenry (incumbent) | 284,095 | 68.9 | |
| Democratic | David Parker | 128,189 | 31.1 | |
| Total votes | 412,284 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 11
The 11th district encompasses most of rural western North Carolina, taking in the Appalachian part of the state. Redistricting resulted in the district gaining all Buncombe County, taking in Asheville. The most recent incumbent was Republican Mark Meadows, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2018.[2] On December 19, 2019, Meadows announced he would not run for re-election. In March 2020, Meadows was selected to serve as the 29th White House Chief of Staff, and resigned from his seat in Congress.[78]
Nominee
- Madison Cawthorn, motivational speaker and businessman[79]
Eliminated in runoff
- Lynda Bennett, businesswoman[80]
Eliminated in primary
- Chuck Archerd, candidate for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2018[81]
- Matthew Burril, pilot and chair of the Asheville Regional Airport Authority Board[81]
- Jim Davis, state senator[82]
- Dan Driscoll, U.S. Army veteran[83]
- Steve Fekete Jr.[81]
- Dillon Gentry, sales representative and candidate for North Carolina's 5th congressional district in 2018[81]
- Wayne King, deputy chief of staff to U.S. Representative Mark Meadows[84]
- Joey Osborne[81]
- Vance Patterson, businessman and candidate for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2012[81]
- Albert Wiley Jr., perennial candidate[81]
Declined
- Mark Meadows, former U.S. Representative[78]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Lynda Bennett | 20,606 | 22.7 | |
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 18,481 | 20.4 | |
| Republican | Jim Davis | 17,465 | 19.3 | |
| Republican | Chuck Archerd | 8,272 | 9.1 | |
| Republican | Wayne King | 7,876 | 8.7 | |
| Republican | Dan Driscoll | 7,803 | 8.6 | |
| Republican | Joey Osborne | 6,470 | 7.1 | |
| Republican | Vance Patterson | 2,242 | 2.5 | |
| Republican | Matthew Burril | 523 | 0.6 | |
| Republican | Albert Wiley Jr. | 393 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | Dillon Gentry | 390 | 0.4 | |
| Republican | Steve Fekete Jr. | 175 | 0.2 | |
| Total votes | 90,696 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Lynda Bennett (R)
- Executive officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[85]
- Federal Officials
- Jim Jordan, U.S. Representative for Ohio's 4th congressional district and ranking member of the House Oversight Committee[85]
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Arizona's 5th congressional district (2017-present)[85]
- Ted Cruz, United States Senator from Texas (2013-present)[85]
- Organizations
Madison Cawthorn (R)
- Federal officials
- Mark Walker, U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district and Vice Chair of the House Republican Conference[87]
- State and local officials
Runoff results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 30,636 | 65.8 | |
| Republican | Lynda Bennett | 15,905 | 34.2 | |
| Total votes | 46,541 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Moe Davis, former U.S. Air Force colonel and former Chief Prosecutor of the Guantanamo military commission
Eliminated in primary
- Gina Collias, attorney and Republican candidate for North Carolina's 10th congressional district in 2018[90]
- Michael O'Shea, former musical artist and producer[91]
- Phillip Price, businessman and nominee for North Carolina's 11th congressional district in 2018[84]
- Steve Woodsmall, former U.S. Air Force major and Brevard College professor[92]
Declined
- Heath Shuler, former U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 11th congressional district (2007–2013)[93]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Moe Davis | 52,983 | 47.3 | |
| Democratic | Gina Collias | 25,387 | 22.7 | |
| Democratic | Phillip Price | 12,620 | 11.3 | |
| Democratic | Michael O'Shea | 12,523 | 11.2 | |
| Democratic | Steve Woodsmall | 8,439 | 7.5 | |
| Total votes | 111,952 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Lean R | October 8, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Lean R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[94] | Likely R | August 31, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Endorsements:
Moe Davis (D)
Madison Cawthorn (R)
- Federal officials
- Mark Walker, U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district and Vice Chair of the House Republican Conference[97]
- State and local officials
- Organizations
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Madison Cawthorn (R) |
Moe Davis (D) |
Other/ Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMC Research (D)[upper-alpha 6] | October 15–18, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | – |
| EMC Research (D)[upper-alpha 6] | September 22–24, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 46% | – |
| DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 2] | August 5–6, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 46% | 41% | 13%[lower-alpha 2] |
| EMC Research (D)[upper-alpha 6] | July 9–12, 2020 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.89% | 42% | 40% | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Madison Cawthorn | 245,351 | 54.5 | |
| Democratic | Moe Davis | 190,609 | 42.4 | |
| Libertarian | Tracey DeBruhl | 8,682 | 1.9 | |
| Green | Tamara Zwinak | 5,503 | 1.2 | |
| Total votes | 450,145 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 12
The 12th district is centered around Charlotte and the surrounding immediate suburbs, including Huntersville, Cornelius, Davidson, and Pineville. Redistricting left the 12th district relatively unchanged, but it gained some southern Charlotte suburbs, including Mint Hill and parts of Matthews. The incumbent is Democrat Alma Adams, who was re-elected with 73.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Nominee
- Alma Adams, incumbent U.S. Representative[98]
Eliminated in primary
- Keith Cradle, youth program director[18]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 109,009 | 88.1 | |
| Democratic | Keith Cradle | 14,713 | 11.9 | |
| Total votes | 123,722 | 100.0 | ||
Disqualified
- Bill Brewster, businessman[99]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe D | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe D | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe D | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe D | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe D | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Alma Adams (incumbent) | 341,457 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 341,457 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 13
Following redistricting, the 13th district lost some of its share of the Piedmont Triad region, losing Greensboro to the 6th district & Iredell County to the 10th district. It retained Davidson County and Davie County and expanded its share of Rowan County. The district also gained most of the rural counties previously in the 6th district, including Randolph County, Alamance County, Caswell County, Person County, and a small section of Chatham County. The incumbent is Republican Ted Budd, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declined
- Mark Walker, incumbent U.S. Representative for North Carolina's 6th congressional district[46]
Nominee
- Scott Huffman, businessman and candidate for North Carolina's 8th congressional district in 2018[100]
Endorsements
Ted Budd (R)
- Organizations
Scott Huffman (D)
- Organizations
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[7] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[8] | Safe R | June 2, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] | Safe R | July 2, 2020 |
| Politico[10] | Safe R | April 19, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[11] | Safe R | June 3, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe R | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Safe R | June 7, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Ted Budd (incumbent) | 267,181 | 68.2 | |
| Democratic | Scott Huffman | 124,684 | 31.8 | |
| Total votes | 391,865 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Other candidates" with 6%; Undecided with 7%
- Partisan clients
- Internal poll sponsored by Deborah K. Ross
- Poll conducted by the DCCC.
- Poll conducted for the Timmons-Goodson campaign.
- Poll sponsored by 314 Action, which endorsed Wallace prior to the sampling period.
- Poll sponsored by Left of Center PAC.
- Poll conducted for the Davis campaign.
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but our recommendation is the candidate with the strongest credentials and an impressive record of legislative accomplishment — Deborah Ross
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External links
- "League of Women Voters of North Carolina". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "North Carolina 2019 & 2020 Elections", Followthemoney.org
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "North Carolina", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "North Carolina: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- North Carolina at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates
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