2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. Representatives from the state of Kansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Kansas
November 3, 2020
All 4 Kansas seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1
Seats won 3 1
Seat change
Popular vote 775,898 557,258
Percentage 57.08% 41%
Swing 3.13% 2.89%
Elections in Kansas
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Overview
District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1208,22971.16%84,39328.84%00.00%292,622100.0%Republican Hold
District 2185,46455.15%136,65040.63%14,2014.22%336,315100.0%Republican Hold
District 3178,77343.56%220,04953.62%11,5962.83%410,418100.0%Democratic Hold
District 4203,43263.65%116,16636.35%00.00%319,598100.0%Republican Hold
Total775,89857.08%557,25841%25,7971.92%1,359,223100.0%
Popular vote
Republican
 
 57.08%
Democratic
 
 41%
Other
 
 1.92%
House seats
Republican
 
 75%
Democratic
 
 25%

District 1
See also: Kansas's 1st congressional district

The 1st district takes in over half of Kansas, encompassing rural western and northern Kansas, including Manhattan, Salina, Dodge City, Emporia, Garden City, Hays and Hutchinson. The incumbent is Republican Roger Marshall, who was reelected with 68.1% of the vote in 2018.[1] Marshall announced on September 7, 2019, that he would not be running for re-election, opting to run for the open U.S. Senate seat in Kansas instead.[2]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Bill Clifford, Finney County commissioner[4]
  • Jerry Molstad, physician assistant and retired U.S. Army Colonel[5]
  • Michael Soetaert, reverend[6]
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements
Bill Clifford
State officials
  • Gary Harshberger, former Kansas Water Authority chairman[11]
Organizations
Tracey Mann
Federal officials
  • Bob Dole, former U.S. Senator (R-KS) and 1996 Republican presidential nominee[13]
  • Tom Osborne, former U.S. Representative (NE-03) (2001–2007)[14]
Organizations

Primary results
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann 65,373 54.2
Republican Bill Clifford 39,914 33.1
Republican Jerry Molstad 9,545 7.9
Republican Michael Soetaert 5,756 4.8
Total votes 120,588 100.0
Nominee
  • Kali Barnett, author and teacher[20]
Eliminated in primary
  • Christy Davis, concert director[21]
Withdrew

Primary results
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kali Barnett 16,671 62.6
Democratic Christy Davis 9,962 37.4
Total votes 26,633 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[27] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[29] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[30] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Tracey
Mann (R)		 Kali
Barnett (D)		 Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R) September 29–30, 2020 761 (LV) ± 3.5% 61% 25% –

Results
Kansas's 1st congressional district, 2020[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tracey Mann 208,229 71.2
Democratic Kali Barnett 84,393 28.8
Total votes 292,622 100.0
Republican hold

District 2
See also: Kansas's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district encompasses most of eastern Kansas from Nebraska to Oklahoma save the Kansas City metropolitan area, including both the cities of Topeka and Lawrence. The incumbent is Republican Steve Watkins, who was elected with 47.6% of the vote in 2018.[1] In August 2019, Watkins evaded questions about his political future coming from reporters who encountered him at a Fort Scott constituent meeting in Southeast Kansas where he had been talking about aiding veterans.[32] Kansas State Treasurer Jake LaTurner had declared his intention to run for the seat of retiring U.S. Senator Pat Roberts, but was persuaded by Republican party officials to instead run against Watkins.[33]

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements
Jake LaTurner
State officials
Organizations
Dennis Taylor
Newspapers
Steve Watkins
Executive Officials
Organizations*National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB)[46]

Primary results
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner 47,898 49.1
Republican Steve Watkins (incumbent) 33,053 33.9
Republican Dennis Taylor 16,512 17.0
Total votes 97,463 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements
Michelle De La Isla
U.S. Presidents
Organizations
Individuals

Primary results
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Michelle De La Isla 41,050 75.0
Democratic James K. Windholz 13,662 25.0
Total votes 54,712 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Likely R August 5, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Likely R July 2, 2020
Politico[27] Lean R September 8, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Likely R June 3, 2020
RCP[29] Lean R October 24, 2020
Niskanen[30] Likely R June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jake
LaTurner (R)		 Michelle
De La Isla (D)		 Other/
Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R) September 29–30, 2020 739 (LV) ± 3.6% 47% 36% –
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 1] July 29–30, 2020 488 (LV) ± 4.4% 45% 41% –
Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 2] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 (LV) – 42% 41% 16%[lower-alpha 2]
Hypothetical polling
with Steve Watkins and Michelle De La Isla
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Watkins (R)		 Michelle
De La Isla (D)		 Other/
Undecided
Battleground Connect (R)[upper-alpha 2] July 16–17, 2020 1,250 (LV) – 37% 50% 13%[lower-alpha 3]

Results
Kansas's 2nd congressional district, 2020[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jake LaTurner 185,464 55.2
Democratic Michelle De La Isla 136,650 40.6
Libertarian Robert Garrard 14,201 4.2
Total votes 336,315 100.0
Republican hold

District 3
See also: Kansas's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district encompasses the Kansas City metropolitan area, including Kansas City, Overland Park, Lenexa, Shawnee, Spring Hill, DeSoto and Olathe. The incumbent is Democrat Sharice Davids, who flipped the district and was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018, unseating four-term Republican incumbent Kevin Yoder.[1]

Declared
Endorsements
Sharice Davids
U.S. Presidents
Local officials
Organizations

Primary results
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent) 74,437 100.0
Total votes 74,437 100.0
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements
Amanda Adkins
Federal officials
  • Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator from Missouri and former U.S. Representative (MO-07) (1997–2011) and Missouri Secretary of State (1985–1993)[70]
  • Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator from Texas[71]
  • Sam Graves, U.S. Representative (MO-06)[70]
State officials
Organizations
Individuals
  • Susan Pompeo, wife of Mike Pompeo, U.S. Secretary of State and former CIA director (2017–2018) and U.S. Representative (R-KS-04) (2011–2017)[73]
Mike Beehler
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Adrienne Vallejo Foster, and Sara Hart Weir)[41]
Adrienne Foster
Federal officials
  • Todd Tiahrt, 2014 and 2017 Republican candidate in KS-04, former U.S. Representative (R-KS-04) (1995–2011), and Republican candidate in 2010 U.S. Senate election in Kansas[70]
State officials
  • Bill Sutton, state representative[74]
  • Jene Vickrey, state representative and former state House majority leader and speaker pro tempore[70]
Newspapers
Organizations
  • Kansans for Life (KFL) PAC (co-endorsed with Amanda Adkins, Mike Beehler, and Sara Hart Weir)[41]
Sara Hart Weir
Federal officials
Organizations

Primary results
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Amanda Adkins 29,082 30.6
Republican Sara Hart Weir 21,833 23.0
Republican Adrienne Foster 19,057 20.1
Republican Mike Beehler 18,399 19.4
Republican Tom Love 6,533 6.9
Total votes 94,904 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe D October 21, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe D October 15, 2020
Politico[27] Lean D April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Safe D October 26, 2020
RCP[29] Likely D October 24, 2020
Niskanen[30] Likely D June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Sharice
Davids (D)		 Amanda
Adkins (R)		 Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R) September 29–30, 2020 712 (LV) ± 3.6% 56% 36% –

Results
Kansas's 3rd congressional district, 2020[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Sharice Davids (incumbent) 220,049 53.6
Republican Amanda Adkins 178,773 43.6
Libertarian Steven Hohe 11,596 2.8
Total votes 410,418 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4
See also: Kansas's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is located in south-central Kansas, taking in Wichita and the surrounding suburbs, including Derby and Newton. The incumbent is Republican Ron Estes, who won the 2017 special election for the seat vacated by Mike Pompeo and was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared

Primary results
Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 87,877 100.0
Total votes 87,877 100.0
Declared
  • Laura Lombard, business consultant and candidate for Kansas's 4th congressional district in 2018[77]

Primary results
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Laura Lombard 35,437 100.0
Total votes 35,437 100.0

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[24] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[25] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[26] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[27] Safe R April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[28] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[29] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[30] Safe R June 7, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Ron
Estes (R)		 Laura
Lombard (D)		 Undecided
VCreek/AMG (R) September 29–30, 2020 842 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 37% –

Results
Kansas's 4th congressional district, 2020[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ron Estes (incumbent) 203,432 63.7
Democratic Laura Lombard 116,166 36.3
Total votes 319,598 100.0
Republican hold

Notes
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Undecided with 16%
  3. Undecided with 13%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for the DCCC.
  2. Poll conducted for the LaTurner campaign.

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 1, 2019.
  2. Shorman, Jonathan (September 7, 2019). "Western Kansas congressman launches Senate campaign, hoping to follow path of past senators". The Wichita Eagle. Retrieved September 7, 2019.
  3. "Former Kansas Lt. Gov. announces candidacy for Congress". KWCH. September 9, 2019. Retrieved September 10, 2019.
  4. Hawks, John (September 12, 2019). "Clifford joins 1st district race, expresses support for Trump". Salina Journal. Retrieved September 12, 2019.
  5. "Jerry Molstad announces run for Big First district". The Hutchinson News. May 12, 2020.
  6. Clarkin, Mary (October 23, 2019). "Council Grove man running for city offices, Congress". Salina Journal. Retrieved January 12, 2020.
  7. Russell, Kan (October 15, 2019). "State lawmaker running for western Kansas seat in Congress". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  8. "Waymaster's exit narrows GOP field in 1st District race for Congress". The Morning Sun. May 25, 2020.
  9. Cooper, Brad (August 12, 2019). "Huelskamp discusses political future". Sunflower State Journal. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
  10. "Kansas 2020 Primary Candidate List". Archived from the original on April 15, 2020.
  11. Motter, Sarah. "Kansas agricultural leaders named co-chairs of Clifford agricultural team". WIBW.
  12. Mannette, Alice. "Physician vies for Big First". The Hutchinson News.
  13. {{Cite web|url=http://krsl.com/local-news/12852-senator-bob-dole-endorses-tracey-mann-for-congress
  14. "Former Congressman and Legendary Coach Tom Osborne Endorses Tracey Mann for Congress". archive.constantcontact.com.
  15. "Americans for Prosperity Action Endorses Tracey Mann for Kansas's 1st Congressional District". AFP Action. July 16, 2020.
  16. Summers, Mitchel. "The Kansas Farm Bureau endorsed political candidates". WIBW.
  17. "National Rifle Association endorses Tracey Mann for Congress". Great Bend Post.
  18. Mannette, Alice. "Former Lt. Gov. Mann seeking role in Big First". The Leavenworth Times - Leavenworth, KS.
  19. "2020 Primary Election Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved September 5, 2020.
  20. Friend, Amber (August 9, 2019). "Garden City native Kali Barnett launches congressional campaign". The Garden City Telegram. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  21. Samples, Chuck. "More candidates step forward to represent Big First district". kvoe.com.
  22. Clarkin, Mary (October 24, 2019). "Hutchinson Walmart manager running for Congress". The Hutchinson News. Retrieved January 12, 2020.
  23. "Brandon Williams". Ballotpedia.
  24. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  25. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  26. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  27. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
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  29. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  30. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  31. "2020 General Election - Official Vote Totals" (PDF). Kansas Secretary of State. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
  32. Smith, Sherman; Carpenter, Tim (August 22, 2019). "U.S. Rep. Steve Watkins ducks reporters amid speculation he could resign". The Topeka Capital-Journal. Retrieved August 27, 2019.
  33. Wise, Lindsay (September 4, 2019). "In Kansas GOP Fight, Jake LaTurner Leaves Senate Race to Challenge Incumbent Rep. Steve Watkins". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved September 4, 2019.
  34. Lowry, Bryan; Shorman, Jonathan (June 1, 2020). "Former Brownback official, ex-lawmaker join Kansas GOP races for Congress at last minute". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved June 1, 2020.
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  40. "BREAKING: Family Policy Alliance Endorses Jake LaTurner for Congress". Family Policy Alliance. May 18, 2020.
  41. Leach, Melissa (June 10, 2020). "KFL PAC Endorses in Kansas Congressional Races".
  42. "Kansas Farm Bureau endorses Mann, LaTurner, Estes for U.S. House". kfb.org. May 1, 2020.
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  46. "Kansas Small Businesses Endorse Steve Watkins for Re-election". NFIB. June 24, 2020.
  47. Riley, Jonathan. "Watkins promotes NRA endorsement in primary fight to prove conservative credentials". Cherokee County News Advocate.
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  49. Shorman, Jonathan (January 6, 2020). "Topeka Mayor De La Isla launches bid for Congress, filling Democratic void in race". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved January 6, 2020.
  50. Newton, Ken (June 7, 2020). "Candidate wants to turn attention back to national debt". News Press Now.
  51. "University of Kansas". Political Science Department. August 23, 2019.
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  53. "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
  54. Swanson, Ian (March 6, 2020). "Hispanic Caucus campaign arm endorses Topeka mayor for Congress". The Hill.
  55. "EMILY's List Endorses Michelle De La Isla in Kansas' 2nd Congressional District". Emily's List. April 28, 2020.
  56. "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Michelle De La Isla in KS-02". Let America Vote. May 18, 2020.
  57. Kloosterman, Tomas; Macías, Mayra (January 22, 2020). "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Michelle De La Isla for Congress". Latino Victory Fund.
  58. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (April 23, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Michelle De La Isla for Congress". League of Conservation Voters.
  59. "2020 Endorsed Candidates". PODER PAC.
  60. "VOTE FOR SIERRA CLUB'S CLIMATE CHAMPIONS 2020 ENDORSEMENTS". Sierra Club Independent Action. Retrieved April 13, 2020.
  61. Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
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  64. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters.
  65. Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". Retrieved March 25, 2020.
  66. Senter, Jay (September 9, 2019). "Amanda Adkins of Overland Park enters race for Rep. Davids' seat, setting up Republican primary". Shawnee Mission Post. Retrieved September 13, 2019.
  67. Senter, Jay (October 8, 2019). "Former Roeland Park Mayor Adrienne Foster kicks off run for Congress at Shawnee Indian Mission". Shawnee Mission Post. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
  68. Lowry, Bryan (July 29, 2019). "Disability rights advocate launches campaign to unseat Rep. Sharice Davids in Kansas". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
  69. Lowry, Bryan (May 1, 2019). "Is Kevin Yoder a candidate for Congress? No, but here's what he told the FEC". The Kansas City Star. Retrieved November 27, 2019.
  70. "Meet The Five Republicans Looking To Unseat U.S. Rep. Sharice Davids In November". KCUR 89.3 - NPR in Kansas City. Local news, entertainment and podcasts. April 20, 2020.
  71. "Sen. Ted Cruz Endorses Kansas GOP Hopeful Amanda Adkins For Congress". News Break.
  72. "UPDATED: Jeb Bush endorses Adkins in 3rd District race | Sunflower State Journal". sunflowerstatejournal.com.
  73. https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/kansas/articles/2020-02-11/us-secretary-of-states-wife-endorses-adkins-in-kansas-3rd
  74. "Endorsement from State Rep. Bill Sutton" – via www.facebook.com.
  75. https://www.kansascity.com/opinion/editorials/article244592677.html
  76. "Republican Main Street Partnership PAC Announces Endorsement of Sara Hart Weir (KS-03) for Congress". Republican Mainstreet Partnership PAC. November 25, 2019.
  77. Shorman, Jonathan (March 7, 2020). "Democrat Laura Lombard, launching bid for Congress, slams Ron Estes as GOP 'yes man'". The Wichita Eagle.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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