2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

The 2020 Indiana gubernatorial election was won by incumbent Republican Eric Holcomb on November 3, 2020. The election was held concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Holcomb was eligible to run for re-election to a second term in office, and announced his intention to do so on July 13, 2019 alongside his lieutenant governor, Suzanne Crouch.[1] He faced Democrat Woody Myers, the former health commissioner of Indiana (and later, of New York City) and his running mate, Linda Lawson, the former minority leader of the Indiana House of Representatives, in addition to Libertarian Donald Rainwater, a U.S. Navy veteran and his running mate William Henry.[2][3] Primary elections were held on June 2; Holcomb and Myers ran unopposed. Holcomb won re-election to a second term. Myers also became the first major party candidate to receive fewer than one million votes since Republican David McIntosh in 2000.[4]

2020 Indiana gubernatorial election

November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Eric Holcomb Woody Myers Donald Rainwater
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Running mate Suzanne Crouch Linda Lawson William Henry
Popular vote 1,706,739 968,106 345,569
Percentage 56.5% 32.1% 11.4%

County results
Holcomb:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Myers:      50-60%

Governor before election

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Elected Governor

Eric Holcomb
Republican

Republican primary

Nominee

Removed from ballot

Declined

Results

Republican primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Holcomb (incumbent) 524,496 100.00%
Total votes 524,496 100.00%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Withdrew

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[11]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Woody Myers 408,230 100.00%
Total votes 408,230 100.00%

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Running mate: William Henry

Eliminated at convention

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[25] Safe R September 15, 2020
Inside Elections[26] Safe R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[27] Safe R October 8, 2020
Politico[28] Likely R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[29] Safe R July 22, 2020
RCP[30] Safe R July 29, 2020
270towin[31] Safe R October 16, 2020

Endorsements

Woody Myers (D)
U.S. Vice Presidents
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State senators
  • Tim Lanane, Minority Leader of the Indiana Senate (2008–present) and Member of the Indiana Senate from the 25th district (1997–present)[37]
  • Jean Breaux, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2006–present)[37]
  • Eddie Melton, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2016–present)[37]
  • J. D. Ford, Member of the Indiana Senate from the 34th district (2018–present)[37]
State representatives
Local officials
Donald Rainwater (L)
Organizations
State representatives
  • Jim Lucas (R), Member of the Indiana House of Representatives from the 69th district (2012–present)[40]
Individuals

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Eric
Holcomb (R)
Woody
Myers (D)
Donald
Rainwater (L)
Other /
Undecided
Cygnal October 21–23, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 47% 29% 15% 10%[lower-alpha 2]
Ragnar Research (R) October 18–21, 2020 529 (LV) ± 4% 52% 26% 14% 8%[lower-alpha 3]
SurveyUSA[upper-alpha 1] October 10–13, 2020 527 (LV) ± 5.2% 55% 25% 10% 11%[lower-alpha 4]
BK Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] October 4–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 60% 21% 8% 11%
Change Research September 3–7, 2020 1,033 (LV) ± 3.1% 36% 30% 24% 10%
BK Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 3] May 20–21, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 64% 21% 15%
Change Research April 10–13, 2020 1,021 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 25% 8% 22%[lower-alpha 5]

Results

Holcomb won reelection by over 24 percentage points, the biggest margin of victory for an Indiana gubernatorial candidate since Evan Bayh in 1992 as well as the biggest ever for a Republican. Exit polls show Holcomb won over 30% of voters who voted for Democrat Joseph R. Biden Jr. for president. This is also one of the strongest performances for a third party candidate in a statewide election in Indiana, with Libertarian nominee Donald Rainwater receiving over 11% of the total vote. Rainwater outperformed Myers in several counties; his best performance was in Putnam County, where he received nearly 26% of the vote.

Indiana gubernatorial election, 2020[42][43]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Eric Holcomb (incumbent) 1,706,739 56.51% +5.13%
Democratic Woody Myers 968,106 32.05% -13.37%
Libertarian Donald Rainwater 345,569 11.44% +8.24%
Total votes 3,020,414 100.00%
Turnout 3,068,542 64.58%
Registered electors 4,751,708
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Undecided with 10%
  3. Undecided with 8%
  4. Undecided with 11%
  5. Undecided with 22%
Partisan clients
  1. Polling's funding was crowdsourced by Election Twitter.
  2. Poll sponsored by Eric Holcomb's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Eric Holcomb's campaign

References

  1. Smith, Casey (July 13, 2019). "Gov. Eric Holcomb to run for reelection: 'Let's keep making Hoosier history for four more years'". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 13 July 2019.
  2. "2020 General Election Candidate List - Abbreviated" (PDF). Indiana Secretary of State (Election Division).
  3. "Libertarian governor candidate Donald Rainwater to visit Kokomo". Kokomo Tribune. October 22, 2020. Retrieved October 24, 2020.
  4. https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?f=0&fips=18&off=5&elect=0&year=2000
  5. Erdody, Lindsey (September 10, 2019). "Carmel Republican planning election run against Holcomb". Indianapolis Business Journal. Retrieved September 10, 2019.
  6. Smith, Brandon (September 11, 2019). "Carmel Republican Files For Potential Holcomb Challenge". WFYI. Retrieved September 21, 2019.
  7. Sikich, Chris (September 11, 2019). "Westfield Republican signs up to challenge Gov. Holcomb in primary". Indianapolis Star. Retrieved 23 September 2019.
  8. Berman, Eric (February 21, 2020). "CHALLENGERS TO HOLCOMB AND BAIRD BOOTED FROM PRIMARY BALLOT". WIBC. Retrieved 22 February 2020.
  9. "Hill challenging Holcomb? A fool's errand". howeypolitics.com.
  10. "Indiana Attorney General Curtis Hill announces re-election campaign". WNDU. November 14, 2019. Retrieved December 1, 2019.
  11. "Indiana State Primary Election Results 2020". Indiana Secretary of State. June 3, 2020. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
  12. Davies, Tom (July 11, 2019). "Business executive enters 2020 Indiana governor's race". AP News. Retrieved 11 July 2019.
  13. Johnson, Dirk (1990-01-20). "Man in the News: Woodrow Augustus Myers Jr.; A Commissioner Who Knows Strife". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2020-10-02.
  14. VanTryon, Matthew (May 8, 2020). "Indiana Democratic gubernatorial candidate Woody Myers names running mate". The Indianapolis Star. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  15. "Senator Eddie Melton withdraws from Indiana's governor race". FOX 59. January 6, 2020. Retrieved January 7, 2020.
  16. Sikich, Chris (February 6, 2020). "Democrat Josh Owens withdraws from governor's race, endorses Woody Myers". Indianapolis Star.
  17. Howey, Brian A. (November 29, 2018). "INDems ponder future after Donnelly loss" (PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved November 30, 2018.
  18. Howey, Brian A. (March 21, 2019). "Democrats ponder gov race" (PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
  19. Howey, Brian A. (May 16, 2019). "Holcomb reelect on historic footing" (PDF). Howey Politics Indiana. Retrieved May 16, 2019.
  20. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (August 13, 2019). "Macer Not Running For Governor". Indy Politics. Retrieved August 13, 2019.
  21. Langhorne, Thomas B. (December 10, 2019). "Former Evansville mayor Weinzapfel will run for Attorney General". Courier & Press.
  22. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul (February 29, 2020). "LIBERTARIAN GUBERNATORIAL CANDIDATES DEBATE". Indy Politics. Retrieved 2 March 2020.
  23. WTHR.com Staff. "Indiana Libertarians nominate Rainwater for Governor". wthr.com. Retrieved 3 March 2020.
  24. "First Church of Cannabis founder Bill Levin running for Indiana governor". RTV6 Indianapolis. July 1, 2019. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
  25. "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  26. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  27. "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  28. "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  29. "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  30. "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  31. "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  32. "2020 Endorsements". Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  33. "Endorsements". Retrieved October 31, 2020.
  34. "Endorsements". Governor Eric Holcomb.
  35. "Indiana Endorsements". Retrieved September 19, 2020.
  36. Carden, Dan. "Biden calls on Hoosiers to elect Dr. Woody Myers as Indiana governor". The Times of Northwest Indiana.
  37. "ENDORSERS". Retrieved Nov 20, 2020.
  38. "Republican Jennifer McCormick is endorsing Democrats in Indiana election". IndyStar.
  39. "Indiana NORML". www.facebook.com.
  40. Hakim-Shabazz, Abdul. "Lucas endorses Rainwater for governor". IndyPolitics. Retrieved 17 September 2020.
  41. "Indiana Conservatives Bail on Holcomb's GOP".
  42. "Indiana Election Results". Indiana Election Division. Nov 23, 2020. Retrieved Nov 23, 2020.
  43. https://enr.indianavoters.in.gov/site/index.html
Official campaign websites
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