2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the three U.S. Representatives from the state of Nebraska, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Nebraska

November 3, 2020

All 3 Nebraska seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 0
Seats won 3 0
Seat change
Popular vote 585,234 326,018
Percentage 62.17% 34.63%
Swing 0.14% 3.34%

Results:
     Republican hold

District 1

The 1st district is located in eastern Nebraska surrounding Omaha and its suburbs, taking in Lincoln, Bellevue, Fremont, and Norfolk. The incumbent is Republican Jeff Fortenberry, who was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared
Declined
  • Nicholas Oviatt, part-time consultant[3]

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 84,017 100.0
Total votes 84,017 100.0
Declared
Endorsements
Kate Bolz
Newspapers
Organizations
Barbara "Babs" Ramsey
Organizations
  • DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare[13]
  • Freethought Equality Fund PAC[14]
  • Nebraska Secular Democrats[15]
  • Progressive Rising[16]
  • Rose Caucus[17]
  • Vote Pro Choice[18]

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kate Bolz 43,400 77.6
Democratic Barbara Ramsey 12,497 22.4
Total votes 55,897 100.0
Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 1,047 100.0
Total votes 1,047 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Likely R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Nebraska's 1st congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Fortenberry (incumbent) 189,006 59.5
Democratic Kate Bolz 119,622 37.7
Libertarian Dennis B. Grace 8,938 2.8
Total votes 317,566 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district covers the Omaha metropolitan area, including all of Douglas County, home to the city of Omaha, and suburban parts of western Sarpy County, including La Vista and Papillon. The incumbent is Republican Don Bacon, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Kara Eastman is the Democratic nominee.[28] She started a nonprofit consulting company in 2019, and she was previously the executive director of the Omaha Healthy Kids Alliance.[29] That organization focuses on reducing lead poisoning, and Lee Terry described it as a nonpartisan project.[30] She is a former member of the Board of Governors of Metropolitan Community College.[31]

President Donald Trump endorsed Bacon, and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden endorsed Eastman.[32]

Declared

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 68,531 90.6
Republican Paul Anderson 7,106 9.4
Total votes 75,637 100.0
Declared
Withdrew
  • Morgann Freeman, part-time communications consultant and activist[38]
  • Dustin Sedoris, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[39] (endorsed Eastman)[40]
Declined
  • Heath Mello, chief lobbyist for the University of Nebraska system, former state senator, and nominee for mayor of Omaha in 2017[41]
  • Denise Blaya Powell, founder of Women Who Run[42]

Endorsements

Ann Ashford
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State officials
Individuals
Organizations
  • LEAP Forward Project[51]
Kara Eastman
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Parties
  • Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska[63]

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kara Eastman 45,953 62.1
Democratic Ann Ashford 23,059 31.2
Democratic Gladys Harrison 4,920 6.7
Total votes 73,932 100.0
Declared

Results

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 964 100.0
Total votes 964 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[65] Tossup July 16, 2020
Inside Elections[66] Tilt D (flip) October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Lean R November 2, 2020
Politico[23] Tossup September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Lean R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Tossup June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Tossup June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Kara
Eastman (D)
Tyler
Schaeffer (L)
Other Undecided
UNLV Lee Business School October 30 – November 2, 2020 191 (LV) ± 7% 47% 46%
Change Research October 29 – November 2, 2020 920 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 48% 2% 0%[lower-alpha 2] 2%
Emerson College October 29–30, 2020 806 (LV) ± 3.5% 50%[lower-alpha 3] 47% 2%
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] October 1–4, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 45% 47% 6%
Siena College/NYT Upshot September 25–27, 2020 420 (LV) ± 5.3% 45% 43% 3% 1%[lower-alpha 4] 8%[lower-alpha 5]
Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 14–16, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 45% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 5]
Global Strategy Group (D)[upper-alpha 2] July 27–29, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 42% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 5]
GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] June 30 – July 5, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4.37% 49% 50%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 4] May 7–10, 2020 448 (LV) ± 4.6% 47% 48%
GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 3] September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 49%
Hypothetical polling
with Ann Ashford
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Ann
Ashford (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 53% 46%
with Gladys Harrison
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Don
Bacon (R)
Gladys
Harrison (D)
Undecided
GQR Research (D) September 9–12, 2019 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 44%

Endorsements

Don Bacon (R)
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals
Kara Eastman (D)
Former US Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

Results

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Bacon (incumbent) 171,071 50.8
Democratic Kara Eastman 155,706 46.2
Libertarian Tyler Schaeffer 10,185 3.0
Total votes 336,962 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district covers most of the rural western part of the state, and includes Grand Island, Kearney, Hastings, North Platte, Alliance, and Scottsbluff. The incumbent is Republican Adrian Smith, who was re-elected with 76.7% of the vote in 2018.[1]

Declared
  • Larry Lee Scott Bolinger, contractor and self-defense instructor[2]
  • William Elfgren, grocery worker[2][106]
  • Arron Kowalski, farmer[2]
  • Justin Moran, architectural draftsman, firefighter and welder[2]
  • Adrian Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative[107]

Results

Republican primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 96,260 82.6
Republican Arron Kowalski 6,424 5.5
Republican Justin Moran 6,374 5.5
Republican William Elfgren 4,063 3.5
Republican Larry Lee Scott Bolinger 3,389 2.9
Total votes 116,510 100.0
Declared
  • Mark Elworth, Jr., acting chair of the Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska, former Legal Marijuana Now nominee for president in 2020[2][108]

Results

Democratic primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mark Elworth, Jr. 26,772 100.0
Total votes 26,776 100.0
Declared
  • Dustin C. Hobbs, reality television show participant[2][109]

Results

Libertarian primary results[4]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 561 100.0
Total votes 561 100.0

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[20] Safe R July 2, 2020
Inside Elections[21] Safe R June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[22] Safe R July 2, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[24] Safe R June 3, 2020
RCP[25] Safe R June 9, 2020
Niskanen[26] Safe R June 7, 2020

Results

Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, 2020[27]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Adrian Smith (incumbent) 225,157 78.5
Democratic Mark Elworth Jr. 50,690 17.7
Libertarian Dustin C. Hobbs 10,923 3.8
Total votes 286,770 100.0
Republican hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Did not vote and "Don't recall" with 0%
  3. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  4. Would not vote with 1%; "someone else" with 0%
  5. Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by The Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC exclusively supports Democratic candidates.
  2. Poll conducted for the House Majority PAC.
  3. Poll sponsored by Eastman's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by the DCCC.

References

  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  2. "Statewide Candidate List" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State.
  3. Walton, Don. "25-year-old conservative may challenge Fortenberry in GOP primary". JournalStar.com. Retrieved October 2, 2019.
  4. "Primary Election Official Results" (PDF). Nebraska Secretary of State. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
  5. Walton, Don. "Bolz will challenge Fortenberry for District 1 U.S. House seat". JournalStar.com. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  6. Walton, Don. "Democratic 1st District House candidate focuses on health care, ag trade". JournalStar.com. Retrieved September 14, 2019.
  7. "Journal Star editorial board offers endorsements". Lincoln Journal Star. April 22, 2020. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
  8. "2020 Primary Election Endorsements". Nebraska State AFL-CIO. April 17, 2020. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
  9. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 5, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kate Bolz for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  10. "Lincoln Firefighters Endorse Bolz". KFOR. April 14, 2020. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
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  17. "Slate | Rose Caucus | Political Movement | Socialist". Rose Caucus.
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  28. Fili, Sarah (May 13, 2020). "Kara Eastman wins Democratic nomination for 2nd Congressional District". KETV. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  29. Morton, Joseph (January 10, 2019). "Kara Eastman set to launch a campaign and nonprofit consulting company". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved October 29, 2020.
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  31. Walton, Don (August 31, 2019). "Kara Eastman making second bid for Omaha House seat". Lincoln Journal-Star. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  32. "Biden endorses Eastman in Omaha area House race; Trump backs Bacon". Omaha World-Herald. September 13, 2020. Archived from the original on September 13, 2020.
  33. Hammel, Paul (March 3, 2020). "Field is set in race for 20 Legislature seats as final candidates file". Scottsbluff News Herald.
  34. Mauro, Erik (October 25, 2019). "Don Bacon announces 2020 plans today". Retrieved November 10, 2019.
  35. Moring, Roseann (February 2, 2019). "Democrat Ann Ashford announces congressional bid for Nebraska's 2nd District". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  36. Moring, Roseann (December 20, 2018). "Kara Eastman seeks a rematch in 2020; Rep. Don Bacon questions early announcement". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  37. "Gladys Harrison files paperwork for congressional seat". KMTV. January 30, 2020.
  38. "Morgann Freeman". Morgann Freeman.
  39. Moring, Roseann (April 9, 2019). "Marine veteran throws his hat into crowded Democratic primary for Omaha's 2nd District". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved April 17, 2019.
  40. writer, Roseann Moring World-Herald staff. "Democrat Dustin Sedoris drops out of 2nd Congressional District primary, endorses Kara Eastman". Omaha.com. Retrieved September 17, 2019.
  41. Moring, Roseann (November 17, 2018). "Ready for more politics? 2020 will be here before you know it, and here's what you can expect". Omaha World-Herald. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
  42. Cohen, Rachel M.; Grim, Ryan (June 27, 2019). "Kara Eastman Fell Just Short in 2018. The DCCC Is Recruiting a 2020 Opponent Anyway". The Intercept. Retrieved June 27, 2019.
  43. Ashford, Ann [@Ann_Ashford] (December 29, 2019). "I am humbled by your support + being endorsed by all living #Nebraska Dems elected to federal office + other local #changemakers: @SenatorKerrey, US Sen & Gov Ben Nelson, Congressmen @jjcomaha & @BradAshford18, Omaha Mayor Mike Fahey, & Congressional Candidate @teamesch. #NE02" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  44. https://www.facebook.com/AnnforCongress/photos/p.668482387250890/668482387250890/?type=1
  45. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wCdi9UjHMRA
  46. https://www.facebook.com/AnnforCongress/photos/p.661197211312741/661197211312741/?type=1&theater
  47. https://www.facebook.com/AnnforCongress/photos/p.675224033243392/675224033243392/?type=1&theater
  48. https://www.facebook.com/AnnforCongress/photos/p.665656754200120/665656754200120/?type=1&theater
  49. https://www.facebook.com/AnnforCongress/photos/p.659611174804678/659611174804678/?type=1&theater
  50. https://drive.google.com/file/d/1z_EKgQ334q_1vqGXFJ4DjyPngvqOSL9i/view?ts=5d13cde2
  51. https://www.facebook.com/LEAPForwardProject/photos/p.1185398351800285/1185398351800285/?type=1&theater
  52. "Endorsements". Warren Democrats. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  53. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (April 7, 2020). "We are PROUD to have the endorsement of SO MANY transformational Nebraska politicians and community leaders. We've also earned endorsements from prominent politicians from all over the country. Here's our current list. :) t.co/mvr2iK6Dnb" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  54. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (April 24, 2020). ". @RoKhanna has been an inspiration. He's talked about the corrosive effect of money in politics and has fought for working people his entire career. Today I'm excited to announce he has endorsed me for Congress! t.co/7ofVjvpdNk" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  55. "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  56. email sent by Jones Campaign from info@mondaireforcongress.com|date=September 16, 2020
  57. @BoldProgressive (May 11, 2020). ".@MarkRuffalo: "[@karaforcongress] is the kind of Avenger we need to clean up this mess that Donald 'self-appointed Thanos' Trump has made of our world." Donate here to power Kara through her primary TOMORROW & onward to the general: t.co/bpNLiaTVsW t.co/B9dNZk8SCC" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  58. "2020 Candidates". APIS Org. Retrieved April 16, 2020.
  59. "Kara Eastman". Brand New Congress. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  60. "AOC announces new PAC, endorses slate of progressive candidates for Congress". NBC News.
  61. "Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  62. "2020 Slate for Justice". Justice Democrats. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  63. Cannabis Rights Party of Nebraska (March 19, 2020). "Here are our 2020 Primary Endorsements". Retrieved March 26, 2020 via Facebook.
  64. Staff Report (May 13, 2020). "Election results: Eastman defeats Ashford, Omaha says yes to $200 million bond issue". KETV 7 Omaha. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  65. "2020 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report.
  66. Gonzalez, Nathan. "House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
  67. "President Trump endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  68. "Republican Don Bacon wins endorsement of former rival, Democrat Brad Ashford". Don Bacon for Congress.
  69. "U.S. Senator Deb Fischer endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  70. https://www.omaha.com/news/state_and_regional/rep-don-bacon-endorsed-by-former-sen-joe-lieberman/article_44788ac4-82bd-5aa7-b35f-19059c6b294d.html
  71. "Former Rep Jim Moran, founder of New Democrats Coalition, endorses Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  72. "Former Democratic governor hopeful endorses GOP Rep. Bacon". AP NEWS. Associated Press. May 15, 2020.
  73. "Governor Pete Ricketts endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  74. "Democrat Mayor Carroll Smith of Valley endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  75. "Omaha Mayor Jean Stothert endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  76. "National Right to Life endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  77. "Barry Rubin, former Nebraska Democratic Party Executive Director, endorses Don Bacon". Don Bacon for Congress. Retrieved January 29, 2021.
  78. "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". August 3, 2020.
  79. "Biden endorses Eastman in Omaha area House race; Trump backs Bacon". Omaha World-Herald.
  80. "Kara Eastman - Endorsements".
  81. "House candidate Kara Eastman picks up endorsement from Sen. Gillibrand's diversity PAC". Omaha World-Herald.
  82. "Kamala Harris Endorsements".
  83. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 14, 2020). "Nebraska Democrats, I have just been endorsed by former Nebraska Governor and U.S. Senator Bob Kerrey!!! Democrats are coming together! We are a FORCE. Vote blue. ✊ @NebraskaDems @dccc @TheDemocrats t.co/pnzR3u0X7U" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  84. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (June 4, 2020). "SO proud to be endorsed by the fierce @RepKatiePorter! t.co/1Wkbwg2Wkh" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  85. Bernie Sanders [@BernieSanders] (September 16, 2020). "@karaforcongress is facing the same incumbent Republican she came within just 1.9% of defeating two years ago while running on a strong progressive platform that prioritizes the needs of working people in Omaha and beyond. Let's make sure Kara is elected to Congress this year" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  86. "House candidate Kara Eastman picks up endorsement from Sen. Gillibrand's diversity PAC". Omaha World-Herald.
  87. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 16, 2020). "Thank you to Nebraska State Senator @katejbolz for this endorsement and CONGRATULATIONS Kate on your primary win the other night! Like myself, Senator Bolz is running for Congress against a LOYAL Trump supporter. If I were @JeffFortenberry, I'd be scared. :) #DemocraticUnity t.co/KmpXmIhGZE" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  88. "Kara Eastman receives endorsement from Sen. McCollister, Republican who called out Trump".
  89. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 19, 2020). "I've been endorsed by the President! Omaha City Council President @ChrisJerram that is! t.co/pWDPi3aRV4" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
  90. Jamaal Bowman [@JamaalBowmanNY] (September 25, 2020). ".@karaforcongress is a social worker, small business owner, and the founder of Nebraska's premiere children's environmental health agency. In 2018 Kara came within 1.9% of beating her Republican opponent and is now polling in a dead heat with him. Lets help her flip NE-02!" (Tweet). Retrieved September 25, 2020 via Twitter.
  91. Tencer, Emily (May 13, 2020). "Gladys Harrison gives 'full support' to Kara Eastman". KETV.
  92. email sent by Jones Campaign from info@mondaireforcongress.com|date=September 16, 2020
  93. Eastman, Kara [@_karaeastman] (May 13, 2020). "Proud to be endorsed by Jim Simon! t.co/XiqR5dcSMZ" (Tweet). Retrieved January 6, 2021 via Twitter.
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  95. "CPC PAC Endorsements".
  96. Bustos, Cheri (May 28, 2020). "DCCC Chair Bustos Adds Six Candidates To DCCC 'Red To Blue' Program". DCCC. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
  97. Schriock, Stephanie (May 19, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Kara Eastman in Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District". EMILY's List.
  98. Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2020). "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Kara Eastman in NE-02". End Citizens United.
  99. Kelly, Charlie; Speed, Jayden (May 28, 2020). "Everytown For Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Kara Eastman for U.S. House". Everytown for Gun Safety. Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund.
  100. Sittenfeld, Tiernan (September 2, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Kara Eastman for Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
  101. Muller, Tiffany (May 21, 2020). "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Kara Eastman in NE-02". Let America Vote. Let America Vote.
  102. "FEDERAL CANDIDATES ENDORSED BY NOW PAC | Nebraska". NOW PAC.
  103. Kleeb, Jane (May 22, 2020). "Two Democratic Nebraska Women Work to Make History in Congressional Races". Nebraska Democratic Party. The Nebraska Democratic Party stands with state Sen. Kate Bolz and Kara Eastman as they work to make history in the November election.
  104. McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
  105. "Sierra Club 2020 Endorsements".
  106. "William Elfgren". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
  107. "Adrian Smith Files for Re-Election to Third District Congressional Seat". KTIC Radio. Retrieved January 25, 2020.
  108. Winger, Richard (March 12, 2020). "Nebraska Legal Marijuana Now Party Leader Wins Democratic Congressional Nomination". Ballot Access News. Retrieved April 17, 2020.
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Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
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