2020 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska

The 2020 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the U.S. Representative from Alaska's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Not to be confused with 2020 Alaska House of Representatives election.

2020 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska's at-large district
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Don Young Alyse Galvin[lower-alpha 1]
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote 192,126 159,856
Percentage 54.4% 45.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Don Young
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Don Young
Republican

Elections in Alaska
Federal government
Presidential elections
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2016
2020
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2008
2012
2016
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
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Ballot measures
Anchorage
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Propositions

The incumbent is Republican Don Young, who was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2018, in what was one of the closest elections of his long career.[1] Young is the longest-tenured member of the U.S. House of Representatives. He was first elected in a 1973 Special Election.[2] He currently serves on several committees including as a ranking member of a House Natural Resources subcommittee.[3] In 2019, Young introduced 37 bills, 4 of which made it out of committee.[3] Challenging Don Young is Independent candidate Alyse Galvin.[4] Galvin is a small business owner, former teacher, and founder of the non-profit Great Alaska Schools.[2] Galvin has never held public office. Galvin's platform focuses on addressing climate change, increasing funding for public schools, and lowering health care costs.[2] Galvin ran as an independent and also received the Democratic Party nomination.

Republican primary

Declared
  • Gerald L. Heikes[5]
  • John Nelson, businessman[6]
  • Don Young, incumbent U.S. Representative[7]

Withdrawn
  • Arianna Cocallas[5]

Results
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 51,972 76.13%
Republican Thomas "John" Nelson 12,344 18.08%
Republican Geral Heikes 3,954 5.79%
Total votes 68,270 100.0%

Democratic primary

Declared

Endorsements
Alyse Galvin

Organizations

Results
Democratic-Libertarian-Independence primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independent Alyse Galvin 53,258 85.83%
Democratic Ray Tugatuk 4,858 7.83%
Democratic Bill Hibler 3,931 6.34%
Total votes 62,047 100.0%

Independents

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[17] Lean R October 8, 2020
Inside Elections[18] Likely R October 1, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Lean R October 8, 2020
Politico[20] Lean R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[21] Lean R October 26, 2020
RCP[22] Likely R October 24, 2020
Niskanen[23] Lean R July 26, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[24] Lean R October 16, 2020

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Don
Young (R)		 Alyse
Galvin (I)		 Other Undecided
Gravis Marketing October 26–28, 2020 770 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 44% – 7%
Siena College/NYT Upshot October 9–14, 2020 423 (LV) ± 5.7% 49% 41% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 9%[lower-alpha 4]
Alaska Survey Research September 25 – October 4, 2020 696 (LV) – 46% 48% – 6%
Public Policy Polling July 7–8, 2020 1,081 (V) ±  3.0% 41% 43% – 16%
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 1] May 21–27, 2020 589 (LV) ±  4.0% 42% 43% – 15%

Results
Alaska's at-large congressional district, 2020[25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Don Young (incumbent) 192,126 54.40% +1.32%
Independent Alyse Galvin[lower-alpha 1] 159,856 45.26% -1.24%
Write-in 1,183 0.34% -0.08%
Total votes 353,165 100.0%
Republican hold

Notes
  1. Galvin is running as an independent with the nomination of the Democratic party.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" and would not vote with 1%
  4. Includes "Refused"
Partisan clients
  1. Data for Progress supports Democratic candidates and Galvin is seeking the Democratic nomination as an independent in AK-at-large

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  2. Panetta, Madison Hall, Grace. "Alyse Galvin takes on Don Young in Alaska's At-Large Congressional District". Business Insider. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  3. Wieber, Aubrey (October 10, 2020). "After 47 years in Congress, Don Young has lost his clout, says Alyse Galvin. Is that true?". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved October 15, 2020.
  4. Segall, Peter (July 16, 2019). "Alyse Galvin announces bid for Congress". Juneau Empire. Retrieved July 16, 2019.
  5. "Alaska Division of Elections". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 5, 2020. Retrieved June 2, 2020.
  6. "John Nelson for Alaskans".
  7. Downing, Suzanne (January 26, 2019). "Don Young is 'in' for 2020". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  8. "Alaska Secretary of State's office: Election Summary Report" (PDF).
  9. "2020 Endorsed House Candidates". DUH! Demand Universal Healthcare. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
  10. "BOLD ENDORSED CANDIDATES". BOLDPAC. Retrieved July 9, 2020.
  11. "2019 Endorsed Anchorage Municipal Candidates". The Alaska Center. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  12. Muller, Tiffany (January 21, 2020). "End Citizens United Endorses 39 Candidates 10 Years After Citizens United Decision". End Citizens United.
  13. "2020 House Endorsees". JStreetPAC. Archived from the original on July 9, 2020. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  14. "Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  15. "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
  16. "November 3, 2020 General Election Candidate List". www.elections.alaska.gov. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  17. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  18. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
  19. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  20. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  21. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  22. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  23. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  24. "2020 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. October 5, 2020.
  25. "2020 GENERAL ELECTION Election Summary Report - Official Results" (PDF). Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved December 2, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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