2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

The 2020 United States Senate election in Illinois was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections and the Illinois Fair Tax. Incumbent Democratic Senator Dick Durbin, who has been Senate Minority Whip since 2015, won reelection to a fifth term in office, defeating Republican nominee Mark Curran.

2020 United States Senate election in Illinois

November 3, 2020
Turnout71.36%
 
Nominee Dick Durbin Mark Curran
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 3,278,930 2,319,870
Percentage 54.93% 38.87%

County results
Durbin:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Curran:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80-90%

U.S. senator before election

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Elected U.S. Senator

Dick Durbin
Democratic

Election information

The primaries and general elections coincide with those for federal (president and House) and those for state offices.

Turnout

For the primaries, turnout was 28.36% with 2,279,439 votes cast.[1][2]

Democratic primary

Nominee

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dick Durbin (incumbent) 1,446,118 100.00%
Total votes 1,446,118 100.00%

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Mark Curran
U.S. Representatives
U.S. Lieutenant Governors
U.S. Attorneys General
  • Jim Ryan, former Attorney General of Illinois
Illinois legislators
Local public officials
Newspapers
Organizations
Individuals

[39]

Results

Results by county
Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Curran 205,747 41.55%
Republican Peggy Hubbard 113,189 22.86%
Republican Robert Marshall 75,561 15.26%
Republican Tom Tarter 73,009 14.74%
Republican Casey Chlebek 27,655 5.58%
Republican Richard Mayers (write-in) 7 0.00%
Total votes 495,168 100.00%

Other candidates

A legal ruling, taking note of the COVID-19 pandemic in Illinois, allowed the Libertarian and Green Parties to have their selected candidate on the ballot without the normal signature requirements, as they each ran a candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016.[40]

Removed from Ballot

Nominee

  • David F. Black, Green Party nominee for Illinois Attorney General in 2010[42]

Withdrawn

Nominee

Declared

Declared

  • Kevin Keely, substitute teacher and community activist (as a write-in candidate)[51][52]
  • Albert A. Schaal (as a write-in candidate)[53]
  • Lowell Martin Seida, perennial candidate (as a write-in candidate)[54]

Withdrawn

  • Patrick Feges[55][41]
  • Julie Rushing[55]
  • Connor Vlakancic, affiliated with the Republican Party (switched from Republican candidacy)[36][41]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[56] Safe D October 13, 2020
Inside Elections[57] Safe D October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Safe D October 20, 2020
Daily Kos[59] Safe D August 31, 2020
Politico[60] Safe D October 11, 2020
RCP[61] Safe D October 23, 2020
Niskanen[62] Safe D September 15, 2020
DDHQ[63] Safe D October 22, 2020
538[64] Safe D October 23, 2020

Endorsements

Mark Curran (R)
Newspapers
Organizations
Willie Wilson (WW)
Alderman
Organizations
  • Chicago Police Union[92]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Mark
Curran (R)
Willie
Wilson (I)
Other Undecided
Research Co. October 31 – November 1, 2020 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 52% 30% 4%[lower-alpha 2] 14%
Victory Research October 26 – November 1, 2020 1,208 (LV) ± 2.8% 51% 26% 15% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 4%
Hypothetical polling
with Dick Durbin, Generic Republican and Willie Wilson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Generic Republican (R) Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[upper-alpha 1] September 4, 2019 449 (LV) ± 4.31% 44.1% 33.6% 4.0% 18.3%
with Dick Durbin and Willie Wilson
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 4]
Margin
of error
Dick
Durbin (D)
Willie
Wilson (I)
Undecided
Ogden & Fry/Citizens for Willie Wilson[upper-alpha 2] September 4, 2019 420 (LV) ± 4.31% 44.3% 25.0% 30.7%

Results

Durbin decisively won re-election with 54.9% of the vote. Key to Durbin's landslide victory was heavily populated and very Democratic Cook County home of Chicago. Durbin also did well in the suburban, often called collar counties of Chicago, winning all of them except McHenry County. Durbin did well in Champaign County, home of the University of Illinois, and St. Clair County, where his birth home of East St. Louis is located. Curran did well in most rural areas of the state. Durbin became the first senator from Illinois to be elected five consecutive times since senators began being elected by popular vote in 1913. Durbin also kept his landslide winning streak by winning with at least a ten-point margin. Durbin was sworn in on January 3, 2021 for his fifth term, which expires on January 3, 2027.

United States Senate election in Illinois, 2020[93]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dick Durbin (incumbent) 3,278,930 54.93% +1.38%
Republican Mark Curran 2,319,870 38.87% -3.82%
Willie Wilson Party Willie Wilson 237,699 3.98% N/A
Libertarian Danny Malouf 75,673 1.27% -2.49%
Green David Black 55,711 0.95% N/A
Write-in 18 0.00% N/A
Total votes 5,967,901 100.0%
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Someone else" with 4%
  3. Malouf (L) with 3%; Black (G) with 2%
  4. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Willie Wilson's campaign
  2. Poll sponsored by Willie Wilson's campaign

References

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Official campaign websites
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