2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming
The 2020 United States Senate election in Wyoming was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Wyoming, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Mike Enzi did not run for reelection.[1] The Democratic and Republican party primary elections were held on August 18, 2020.[2] As both major parties nominated a woman, no matter who won, the winner would become the first female U.S. Senator from the state of Wyoming.[3]
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 County results Lummis: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Ben-David: 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Wyoming |
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Republican primary
Nominee
- Cynthia Lummis, former U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district and former Treasurer of Wyoming[4][5]
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Short, Converse County commissioner and businessman[6]
- R. Mark Armstrong, geologist[5][7]
- Devon Cade, businessman[8]
- John Holtz, attorney and U.S. Air Force veteran[9]
- Michael Kemler[5]
- Bryan Miller, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[5][10]
- Donna Rice, estate lawyer[11]
- Star Roselli, conspiracy theorist[12]
- Joshua Wheeler, Wyoming Army National Guard veteran[13]
Declined
- Liz Cheney, incumbent U.S. Representative for Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Chair of House Republican Conference, and daughter of the 46th Vice President Dick Cheney (running for re-election)[17]
- Mike Enzi, incumbent U.S. Senator[18] (endorsed Cynthia Lummis)[19]
- Foster Friess, businessman and former governor candidate[20]
- Robert Grady, policy adviser to former President George H.W. Bush[21]
- Matt Mead, former Governor of Wyoming[22]
- Marian Orr, mayor of Cheyenne (running for re-election)[23]
- Donald Trump Jr., businessman and son of President of the United States Donald Trump[24]
Endorsements
Cynthia Lummis
- U.S. senators
- Mike Enzi, U.S. Senator (WY)[19]
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (WY)[19]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator (TX) and candidate for President in 2016[25]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (KY) and candidate for President in 2016[26]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (UT)[19]
- Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator (LA)[19]
- U. S. Representatives
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative (MN) and 2012 presidential candidate[19]
- Mark Meadows, former U.S. Representative (R-NC) and White House Chief of Staff[19]
- Jason Chaffetz, Former U.S. Representative (UT)[19]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[27]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[19]
- Concerned Women for America[19]
- Students for Trump[19]
- National Rifle Association[19]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[19]
- Gun Owners of America[19]
- Citizens United[19]
- Individuals
- Foster Friess, businessman and 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election candidate[19]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Mark Armstrong |
Jillian Ballow |
Liz Cheney |
Foster Friess |
Cynthia Lummis |
Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheney announces she will not run | ||||||||||||
| The Tarrance Group (R)[upper-alpha 1] | June 22–24, 2019 | 502 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 56% | – | 34% | – | |||
Results
Results by county:
Lummis—70–80%
Lummis—60–70%
Lummis—50–60%
Short—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 63,511 | 59.67% | |
| Republican | Robert Short | 13,473 | 12.66% | |
| Republican | Bryan Miller | 10,946 | 10.28% | |
| Republican | Donna Rice | 5,881 | 5.53% | |
| Republican | R. Mark Armstrong | 3,904 | 3.67% | |
| Republican | Joshua Wheeler | 3,763 | 3.53% | |
| Republican | John Holtz | 1,820 | 1.71% | |
| Republican | Devon Cade | 1,027 | 0.96% | |
| Republican | Michael Kemler | 985 | 0.93% | |
| Republican | Star Roselli | 627 | 0.59% | |
| Republican | Write-ins | 501 | 0.47% | |
| Total votes | 106,438 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Merav Ben-David, Chair of the Department of Zoology and Physiology at the University of Wyoming and wildlife ecologist[5][30][31]
Eliminated in primary
- Kenneth R. Casner, Democratic candidate for the 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election and Democratic nominee for District 47 of the Wyoming House of Representatives in 2016[5]
- James DeBrine, progressive activist[5]
- Yana Ludwig, democratic socialist activist and community organizer[5][32]
- Nathan Wendt, think tank executive, management consultant, businessman, entrepreneur[5]
- Rex Wilde, veteran, service technician, Democratic candidate for the 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election and Democratic candidate for the 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming[5]
Endorsements
Merav Ben-David
- Local Officials
- Gary Trauner, member of the Teton County School District Number 1 Board of Trustees (2006–2008) and businessman[31]
- Individuals
- Jason Shogren, Department Chair in the Department of Economics at the University of Wyoming[34]
- Organizations
Nathan Wendt
- U.S. Senators
- Tammy Duckworth, United States senator from Illinois (2017-present), U.S. Representative from Illinois's 8th congressional district (2013-2017), Assistant Secretary of Veterans Affairs for Public and Intergovernmental Affairs (2009-2011), Director of the Illinois Department of Veterans Affairs (2006-2009)[35]
- U.S. Ambassadors
- Richard Newton Holwill, American Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary to Ecuador (1988-1989)[35]
- Local Officials
- Pete Muldoon, Mayor of Jackson, Wyoming[36]
Yana Ludwig
- Organizations
- Democratic Socialists of America - Southeast Wyoming chapter[37]
- Our Revolution - Casper chapter[37]
Results
Results by county:
Ben-David—50–60%
Ben-David—40–50%
Ben-David—30–40%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Merav Ben-David | 9,584 | 40.28% | |
| Democratic | Yana Ludwig | 4,931 | 20.73% | |
| Democratic | Nathan Wendt | 4,212 | 17.70% | |
| Democratic | Kenneth Casner | 2,139 | 8.99% | |
| Democratic | Rex Wilde | 1,888 | 7.93% | |
| Democratic | James DeBrine | 865 | 3.64% | |
| Democratic | Write-ins | 173 | 0.73% | |
| Total votes | 23,792 | 100.00% | ||
| Merav Ben-David |
Yana Ludwig |
Nathan Wendt |
Kenneth Casner |
Rex Wilde |
James DeBrine |
Total | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| County | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes |
| Albany | 1,867 | 56.07% | 809 | 24.29% | 314 | 9.43% | 187 | 5.62% | 84 | 2.52% | 69 | 2.07% | 3,330 |
| Big Horn | 84 | 38.71% | 49 | 22.58% | 42 | 19.35% | 18 | 8.29% | 17 | 7.83% | 7 | 3.23% | 217 |
| Campbell | 144 | 31.51% | 114 | 24.95% | 105 | 22.98% | 37 | 8.10% | 35 | 7.66% | 22 | 4.81% | 457 |
| Carbon | 199 | 32.36% | 110 | 17.89% | 86 | 13.98% | 138 | 22.44% | 43 | 6.99% | 39 | 6.34% | 615 |
| Converse | 78 | 32.37% | 53 | 21.99% | 38 | 15.77% | 36 | 14.94% | 19 | 7.88% | 17 | 7.05% | 241 |
| Crook | 43 | 39.45% | 22 | 20.18% | 19 | 17.43% | 11 | 10.09% | 7 | 6.42% | 7 | 6.42% | 109 |
| Fremont | 831 | 42.81% | 424 | 21.84% | 296 | 15.25% | 155 | 7.99% | 145 | 7.47% | 90 | 4.64% | 1,941 |
| Goshen | 148 | 36.63% | 109 | 26.98% | 66 | 16.34% | 37 | 9.16% | 27 | 6.68% | 17 | 4.21% | 404 |
| Hot Springs | 81 | 52.26% | 27 | 17.42% | 13 | 8.39% | 11 | 7.10% | 17 | 10.97% | 6 | 3.87% | 155 |
| Johnson | 99 | 51.03% | 32 | 16.49% | 36 | 18.56% | 15 | 7.73% | 7 | 3.61% | 5 | 2.58% | 194 |
| Laramie | 1,808 | 36.02% | 942 | 18.76% | 800 | 15.94% | 712 | 14.18% | 556 | 11.08% | 202 | 4.02% | 5,020 |
| Lincoln | 146 | 37.73% | 75 | 19.38% | 83 | 21.45% | 27 | 6.98% | 47 | 12.14% | 9 | 2.33% | 387 |
| Natrona | 933 | 38.68% | 527 | 21.85% | 436 | 18.08% | 278 | 11.53% | 142 | 5.89% | 96 | 3.98% | 2,412 |
| Niobrara | 19 | 48.72% | 9 | 23.08% | 4 | 10.26% | 2 | 5.13% | 4 | 10.26% | 1 | 2.56% | 39 |
| Park | 313 | 43.53% | 158 | 21.97% | 117 | 16.27% | 47 | 6.54% | 61 | 8.48% | 23 | 3.20% | 719 |
| Platte | 142 | 36.79% | 54 | 13.99% | 72 | 18.65% | 43 | 11.14% | 41 | 10.62% | 34 | 8.81% | 386 |
| Sheridan | 545 | 45.45% | 244 | 20.35% | 213 | 17.76% | 84 | 7.01% | 66 | 5.50% | 47 | 3.92% | 1,199 |
| Sublette | 104 | 59.09% | 25 | 14.20% | 27 | 15.34% | 8 | 4.55% | 11 | 6.25% | 1 | 0.57% | 176 |
| Sweetwater | 638 | 30.40% | 392 | 18.68% | 439 | 20.91% | 162 | 7.72% | 371 | 17.68% | 97 | 4.62% | 2,099 |
| Teton | 1,063 | 39.52% | 557 | 20.71% | 889 | 33.05% | 67 | 2.49% | 79 | 2.94% | 35 | 1.30% | 2,690 |
| Uinta | 198 | 37.57% | 129 | 24.48% | 71 | 13.47% | 39 | 7.40% | 69 | 13.09% | 21 | 3.98% | 527 |
| Washakie | 65 | 33.68% | 42 | 21.76% | 36 | 18.65% | 19 | 9.84% | 20 | 10.36% | 11 | 5.70% | 193 |
| Weston | 37 | 35.92% | 25 | 24.27% | 11 | 10.68% | 7 | 6.80% | 14 | 13.59% | 9 | 8.74% | 103 |
| Total | 9,585 | 40.59% | 4,928 | 20.87% | 4,213 | 17.84% | 2,140 | 9.06% | 1,882 | 7.97% | 865 | 3.66% | 23,613 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[39] | Safe R | September 23, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[40] | Safe R | September 18, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[41] | Safe R | September 21, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[42] | Safe R | August 31, 2020 |
| Politico[43] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
| RCP[44] | Safe R | September 27, 2020 |
| Niskanen[45] | Safe R | September 15, 2020 |
| DDHQ[46] | Safe R | September 25, 2020 |
| 538[47] | Safe R | September 27, 2020 |
| Economist[48] | Safe R | September 23, 2020 |
Endorsements
Cynthia Lummis (R)
- U.S. Presidents
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[49]
- U.S. Senators
- Mike Enzi, U.S. Senator (WY)[19]
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (WY)[19]
- Ted Cruz, U.S. Senator (TX) and candidate for President in 2016[25]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (KY) and candidate for President in 2016[26]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (UT)[19]
- Bill Cassidy, U.S. Senator (LA)[19]
- U.S. Representatives
- Michele Bachmann, former U.S. Representative (MN) and 2012 presidential candidate[19]
- Mark Meadows, former U.S. Representative (NC) and White House Chief of Staff[19]
- Jason Chaffetz, Former U.S. Representative (UT)[19]
- Organizations
- Club for Growth[27]
- Senate Conservatives Fund[19]
- Concerned Women for America[19]
- Students for Trump[50]
- National Rifle Association[50]
- Susan B. Anthony List[50]
- United States Chamber of Commerce[50]
- Gun Owners of America[50]
- Citizens United[50]
- Individuals
- Foster Friess, businessman and 2018 Wyoming gubernatorial election candidate[50]
Merav Ben-David (D)
- U.S. Vice Presidents
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States (2009-2017), United States Senator from Delaware (1973-2009), Democratic nominee for the 2020 United States presidential election[51]
- U.S. Senators
- Ed Markey, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present), Member of the U.S. House of Representatives from Massachusetts's 5th congressional district (2013), Massachusetts's 7th congressional district (1976-2013)[52]
- Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2013-present)[52]
- Local Officials
- Gary Trauner, member of the Teton County School District Number 1 Board of Trustees (2006–2008) and businessman[53]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[54]
- Friends of the Earth[55]
- Retake the Senate 2020[34]
- Sierra Club[56]
- We the People[34]
- Women to Win[34]
- Wyoming Democratic Party[57]
- Individuals
- Jason Shogren, Department Chair in the Department of Economics at the University of Wyoming and Nobel Laureate[34]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Cynthia Lummis (R) |
Merav Ben-David (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming | October 8–28, 2020 | 614 (LV) | ± 4% | 56% | 26% | – |
Results
Lummis outperformed fellow Republican Donald J. Trump by 2.9%, or 4,541 votes. She also won Albany County by 1%, or 182 raw votes, while Trump lost it by 2.7%, or 513 votes. She performed significantly better in the Democratic stronghold of Teton County, receiving 37.3% of the total vote, compared to Trump's 29.6%. She was likely able to outperform Trump due to 3rd party candidate Libertarian Jo Jorgensen getting over 5,768 votes, or 2.1% of the vote, and Independent candidate Brock Pierce getting 2,208 votes, or 0.8%, in the Presidential election, while there were no 3rd party candidates in the Senate race.[58]
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Cynthia Lummis | 198,100 | 72.85% | +0.66% | |
| Democratic | Merav Ben-David | 72,766 | 26.76% | +9.31% | |
| Write-in | 1,071 | 0.39% | +0.11% | ||
| Total votes | 271,937 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by "a group of Republican activists and donors"[28]
- Voter samples and additional candidates
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- https://www.enzi.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/2019/5/enzi-announces-plan-to-retire-at-the-end-of-his-term
- "Wyoming 2020 Election Calendar". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 27, 2020.
- https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_United_States_Senators_from_Wyoming
- Cepeda, Dan (July 11, 2019). "Former Congresswoman Cynthia Lummis announces run for Enzi's seat". Oil City News. Retrieved July 11, 2019.
- "Wyoming 2020 Senate Candidate List" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. May 29, 2020. Retrieved June 1, 2020.
- Hughes, Morgan (February 17, 2020). "Converse County commissioner, businessman Robert Short announces run for US Senate". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- "Geologist to seek Wyoming US Senate seat". Times Union. August 23, 2019. Retrieved August 23, 2019.
- "Devon Cade, Republican". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. July 23, 2020. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- Funk, Joel (June 7, 2020). "Laramie Republican seeks U.S. Senate seat; Democrats adjust campaigns, policies amid pandemic". Laramie Boomerang. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- "Six years later, Bryan Miller wants a shot at Mike Enzi's Senate seat". Newsbreak. March 7, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Hirst, Greg (August 10, 2020). "CASPER'S DONNA RICE RUNNING TO BRING MORE STATESMAN-SHIP, FEWER SPECIAL INTERESTS TO U.S. SENATE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- Reynolds, Nick (July 22, 2020). "Wyoming Republican US Senate candidates debate for first time". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- LaChance, Brendan (October 17, 2019). "CASPER VETERAN WANTS TO SERVE WYOMING IN THE U.S. SENATE". Oil City News. Retrieved August 15, 2020.
- "Wyoming Senate Race 2020". Open Secrets. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "WYOMING". Politics1. Retrieved May 17, 2020.
- "Rolland Holthus". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 30, 2020.
- "Rep. Liz Cheney says she won't seek open Senate seat, will seek reelection in House". Washington Post. Washington Post. Retrieved January 16, 2020.
- nick.reynolds@trib.com, Nick Reynolds 307-266-0634. "After 22 years in office, Sen. Mike Enzi says he will retire in 2020". Casper Star-Tribune Online. Retrieved May 4, 2019.
- "Endorsements". Lummis for US Senate 2020.
- Reynolds, Nick (March 2, 2020). "Foster Friess says he will not run for Enzi's U.S. Senate seat". Casper Star-Tribune.
- Reynolds, Nick (June 28, 2019). "Former White House aide exploring bid for Enzi's seat". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved May 4, 2019.
- Gruver, Mead (December 19, 2019). "Ex Wyoming governor says no to Senate run, Cheney is a maybe". Star Tribune. Retrieved December 20, 2019.
- Huguelet, Austin (January 4, 2019). "Cheyenne mayor to run for re-election, not higher office". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved January 31, 2019.
- "Ivanka's political future comes into sharper focus". Politico. January 15, 2021. Retrieved January 16, 2021.
- "Cruz endorses Lummis in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. January 24, 2020. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
- Everett, Burgess; Zanona, Melanie (September 22, 2019). "Bad blood: Rand Paul moves to thwart a Liz Cheney Senate run". Politico. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
- "Cynthia Lummis (WY-SEN)". Club for Growth. Retrieved February 29, 2020.
- Lake, Eli (June 30, 2019). "Republican Hawks Need Liz Cheney in the Senate". Bloomberg. Retrieved July 1, 2019.
- "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming Primary Electionmary.xlsx" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
- Exchange, Tom Coulter Wyoming Tribune Eagle Via Wyoming News. "UW professor announces run as Democrat for U.S. Senate seat". Laramie Boomerang. Retrieved January 20, 2020.
- TOI Staff; Agencies (August 19, 2020). "Israel-born ecology professor wins Wyoming Democratic Senate primary". The Times of Israel. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
- Reynolds, Nick (June 12, 2019). "Laramie Democrat becomes first candidate to announce run to succeed Sen. Mike Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 13, 2019.
- Reynolds, Nick (September 4, 2019). "Wyo Dems resolve to not support out-of-state candidates in in-state elections". Casper Star Tribune. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
- "Merav Ben-David for U.S. Senate". www.bendavid2020.com. Retrieved August 21, 2020.
- "Endorsements | Nathan Wendt for Wyoming Senate Race | United States". Wendt for Wyoming.
- "Muldoon, Newcomb endorse Teton County's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate". Jackson Hole News & Guide. Retrieved June 8, 2020.
- "Endorsements". Yana Ludwig for U.S. Senate. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- "Statewide Candidates Unofficial Summary" (PDF). sos.wyo.gov. Retrieved August 22, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Why the Democrats are our narrow favourites to win the Senate". The Economist. September 23, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
- "President Trump endorses Cynthia Lummis for US Senate". AP News. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- "Endorsements". Cynthia Lummis.
- https://buckrail.com/historic-lineup-stark-contrasts-wyos-congressional-races/
- "Ben-David picks up endorsements from green groups, national politicians". Wyoming Tribune Eagle.
- "Israel-born ecology professor wins Wyoming Democratic Senate primary". www.timesofisrael.com.
- "2020 Endorsements".
- "Candidate Endorsements • Friends of the Earth Action". Friends of the Earth Action.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
- "Wyoming Democratic Party". m.facebook.com.
- https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-wyoming.html
- "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 3, 2020" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Wyoming", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Wyoming: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Wyoming". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Wyoming at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
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