2020 United States Senate election in Oregon

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oregon was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oregon, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Democratic senator Jeff Merkley won reelection to a third term in office. Although this Senate seat was largely expected to be one of the safest for the Democrats, the race received national attention due to the Republican nominee Jo Rae Perkins's promotion of the unfounded QAnon conspiracy theory.[1]

2020 United States Senate election in Oregon
November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Jeff Merkley Jo Rae Perkins
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,321,047 912,814
Percentage 56.9% 39.3%
County results
Merkley:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
Perkins:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%
U.S. senator before election

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Senator

Jeff Merkley
Democratic

Elections in Oregon
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City of Portland
Portland elections

Democratic primary

Nominee

Withdrawn
  • Michael David, activist and ethnographer[4]

Endorsements
Jeff Merkley
Organizations

Results
Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jeff Merkley (incumbent) 564,878 98.71%
Democratic Write-in 7,386 1.29%
Total votes 572,264 100.0%

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements
Jo Rae Perkins
State Representatives
Individuals
Organizations

Results
Results by county:
  Rae Perkins—50–60%
  Rae Perkins—40–50%
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jo Rae Perkins 178,004 49.23%
Republican Paul J. Romero, Jr. 109,783 30.36%
Republican Robert Schwartz 40,196 11.12%
Republican John Verbeek 29,382 8.13%
Republican Write-in 4,250 1.17%
Total votes 361,615 100.0%

Other candidates

Nominee

Endorsements
Ibra Taher
Individuals
Organizations

Nominee
  • Gary Dye, former refinery operator and engineer[28][29][3]

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[30] Safe D August 17, 2020
Inside Elections[31] Safe D September 18, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[32] Safe D August 5, 2020
Daily Kos[33] Safe D August 31, 2020
Politico[34] Safe D September 9, 2020
RCP[35] Safe D September 17, 2020
Niskanen[36] Safe D September 15, 2020
DDHQ[37] Safe D September 16, 2020
538[38] Safe D September 18, 2020

Endorsements
Jeff Merkley (D)
Organizations
Unions
Jo Rae Perkins (R)
State Representatives
Organizations
Ibrahim Taher (G)
Individuals
Organizations

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Jeff
Merkley (D)		 Jo Rae
Perkins (R)		 Other Undecided
Civiqs/Daily Kos September 26–29, 2020 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 35% 5%[lower-alpha 2] 5%

Results
2020 United States Senate election in Oregon[58]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Jeff Merkley (incumbent) 1,321,047 56.91% +1.18%
Republican Jo Rae Perkins 912,814 39.32% +2.45%
Libertarian Gary Dye 42,747 1.84% -1.23%
Pacific Green Ibrahim Taher 42,239 1.82% -0.40%
Write-in 2,402 0.11% -0.34%
Total votes 2,321,249 100.0%
Democratic hold

Notes
General
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Dye (L) and Taher (G) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%

References
  1. Baker, Mike (May 20, 2020). "G.O.P. Voters Back QAnon Conspiracy Promoter for U.S. Senate". The New York Times. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  2. Sullivan, Sean (March 5, 2019). "Sen. Jeff Merkley opts out of Democratic presidential contest and will run for reelection to Oregon seat". The Washington Post. Retrieved March 5, 2019.
  3. "Oregon 2020 Senate Candidate List". secure.sos.state.or.us. Oregon Secretary of State. July 17, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
  4. "Candidate Information: Michael David". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. February 28, 2020. Retrieved March 10, 2020.
  5. "2020 State of Oregon Primary Candidate Recommendations". Stateweb. February 28, 2020.
  6. "Senate Candidates - Council for a Livable World". Council for a Livable World.
  7. "Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved May 1, 2020.
  8. Acosta, Lucas (March 2, 2020). "HRC Endorses Sen. Jeff Merkley for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign.
  9. Society, Humane. "2020 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  10. Burke, Holly (June 27, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters.
  11. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR) for Re-election". NARAL Pro-Choice America. April 24, 2019.
  12. "OEA-PAC".
  13. "2020 Primary Endorsements". OLCV.
  14. "2020 Election – SEIU Oregon State Council".
  15. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
  16. "May 19, 2020, Primary Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. May 19, 2020. Retrieved August 26, 2020.
  17. "Candidate Information: Jo Rae Perkins". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. January 17, 2020. Retrieved January 20, 2020.
  18. "Believer in QAnon conspiracy theory wins Republican Senate nomination in Oregon". The Washington Post. May 20, 2020. Retrieved May 20, 2020. “Where we go one, we go all,” Perkins said in the video, reciting a QAnon slogan. “I stand with President Trump. I stand with Q and the team. Thank you Anons, and thank you patriots. And together, we can save our republic.”
  19. Cegavske, Carisa (September 20, 2019). "Roseburg Republican seeks senate seat held by Democrat Jeff Merkley". The News-Review. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  20. "Oregon Secretary Of State". secure.sos.state.or.us. Retrieved October 29, 2019.
  21. "Candidate Information: John Verbeek". Oregon Secretary of State: Elections Division. March 6, 2020. Retrieved March 9, 2020.
  22. "FILING FEC-1380922". FEC. February 7, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  23. "44 changes to the candidate list". The Green Papers. March 12, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  24. Warner, Gary (December 29, 2018). "After losing race for governor, Buehler plans his future". The Bulletin. Retrieved August 15, 2019.
  25. "Endorsements". Perkins for Senate. Retrieved April 14, 2020.
  26. "Our Coordinating Committee". Pacific Green Party Standard. Retrieved June 28, 2020.
  27. "Endorsements". Ibrahim Taher. June 24, 2020.
  28. "Gary Dye". Ballotpedia. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
  29. "Official website of the Libertarian Party of Oregon". Libertarian Party of Oregon. August 14, 2020. Retrieved August 25, 2020.
  30. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
  31. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
  32. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
  33. "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
  34. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
  35. "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
  36. "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
  37. "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  38. Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  39. "350 Action Endorses Kara Eastman (NE-02) and Jeff Merkley for Congress in 2020". 350action.org. December 17, 2019.
  40. Klein, Howie (May 12, 2019). "Blue America's Mothers' Day Senate Endorsement: Jeff Merkley". Blue America.
  41. "2020 Endorsements".
  42. "DUH/PEP website". duh4all.org.
  43. Muller, Tiffany (April 25, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley for Re-election". End Citizens United.
  44. "Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund Endorses Senator Jeff Merkley For U.S. Senate". Everytown. June 30, 2020.
  45. "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
  46. "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
  47. "Our Candidates". MoveOn.org.
  48. "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
  49. "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
  50. "Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
  51. "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action.
  52. "Endorsements". ppaoregon.org.
  53. "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org.
  54. "2020 Endorsements". Population Connection.
  55. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
  56. "2020 OREGON AFL-CIO ENDORSEMENTS". Oregon AFL-CIO. March 6, 2020.
  57. "Oregon – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
  58. "November 3, 2020, General Election Abstract of Votes" (PDF). Oregon Secretary of State. Retrieved December 3, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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