2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida
	November 3, 2020
	November 3, 2020
All 27 Florida seats to the United States House of Representatives
Republican 50-59% 60-69% 90>%	Democratic 50-59% 60-69% 70-79%

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. Representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.[1][2]

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer[4]
John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018[4]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Gaetz (incumbent)	87,457	80.9
	Republican	John Mills	10,383	9.6
	Republican	Greg Merk	10,227	9.5
Total votes			108,067	100.0

Nominee

Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018[6]

Declared

Albert Oram, lawyer

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[8]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 1st congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Matt Gaetz (incumbent)	283,352	64.61%
	Democratic	Phil Ehr	149,172	34.01%
	Independent	Albert Oram	6,038	1.38%
Total votes			438,532	100.0
	Republican hold

District 2

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Declared

Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

Willie Anderson, priest[16]
Connor Oswald, teacher[17]
Kristy Thripp, activist[18]

Declared

Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018[19]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[20]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 2nd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Neal Dunn (incumbent)	305,337	97.86%
	Independent	Kim O'Connor (write-in)	6,662	2.14%
Total votes			311,999	100.0
	Republican hold

District 3

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3] On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve 4 terms.[21]

Nominee

Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho[22]

Eliminated in primary

Ryan Chamberlin, author[23]
Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner[24]
Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive[25]
Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide[26]
Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner[27]
Judson Sapp, former actor and businessman[28]
James St. George, physician[29]
David Theus, business consultant[25]
Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman[30]

Withdrawn

Ed Braddy, former mayor of Gainesville[31][32]
Kent Guinn, mayor of Ocala[33][34]

Declined

Rob Bradley, state senator[35]
Keith Perry, state senator[35]
Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative[21]

Endorsements

Kat Cammack

Federal officials

Rand Paul, U.S. Senator from Kentucky[36]

State officials

Denise Grimsley, former state senator (2012-2018) and state representative (2004-2012)[37]

Organizations

Police Benevolent Association (PBA) North Central Florida Chapter[38]
Republican Liberty Caucus[39]
Tea Party Express[40]
Tea Party Patriots Citizens Fund[41]

Todd Chase

State officials

Aaron Bean, state senator and former state representative (2000-2008)[42]
Keith Perry, state senator and former state representative (2010-2016)[42]

Gavin Rollins

State officials

Anthony Sabatini, state representative[43]

Judson Sapp

Federal officials

Vern Buchanan, U.S. Representative (FL-16)[44]
John Rutherford, U.S. Representative (FL-04)[44]
Cliff Stearns, former U.S. Representative (FL-06) (1989-2013)[45]

State officials

Chuck Brannan, state representative[46]
Jennifer Carroll, former Lieutenant Governor (2011-2013)[47]
Jason Fischer, state representative[48]
Charlie Stone, state representative[47]

Individuals

Dana Loesch, former National Rifle Association spokeswoman and Breitbart News editor[49]
Roger Stone, political consultant and felon[50]

James St. George

Federal officials

Neal Dunn, U.S. Representative (FL-02)[51]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Kat Cammack	Ryan Chamberlin	Todd Chase	James St. George	Keith Perry	Gavin Rollins	Judson Sapp	Amy Pope Wells	Other	Undecided
Meer Research	August 6–8, 2020	317 (RV)	± 5.75%	25%	3%	6%	13%	–	11%	15%	3%	4%[lower-alpha 2]	20%
WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1]	June 16–17, 2020	405 (RV)	± 4.9%	10%	1%	5%	4%	–	1%	12%	1%	5%[lower-alpha 3]	60%
Americana Analytics/Judson Sapp[upper-alpha 2]	Released April 20, 2020	400 (V)	± 5%	3%	–	–	–	–	4%	16%	–	–[lower-alpha 4]	>70%
Clearview Research	December 16–17, 2019	401 (LV)	–	–	–	–	–	35%	–	9%	2%	6%[lower-alpha 5]	48%

Hypothetical polling

with Ted Yoho

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Gavin Rollins	Judson Sapp	Amy Pope Wells	Ted Yoho	Undecided
Meer Research	November 20, 2019	533 (RV)	± 4.24%	8%	2%	3%	71%	16%

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kat Cammack	21,679	25.2
	Republican	Judson Sapp	17,180	20.0
	Republican	Gavin Rollins	13,118	15.3
	Republican	James St. George	12,125	14.1
	Republican	Todd Chase	8,165	9.5
	Republican	Ryan Chamberlin	5,067	5.9
	Republican	Amy Pope Wells	3,564	4.1
	Republican	Bill Engelbrecht	2,001	2.3
	Republican	David Theus	1,874	2.2
	Republican	Joe Millado	1,168	1.4
Total votes			85,941	100.0

Nominee

Adam Christensen, businessman[52]

Eliminated in primary

Philip Dodds, sales manager and candidate for Florida's 3rd congressional district in 2012[52]
Tom Wells, physicist[52]

Endorsements

Adam Christensen

Individuals

Marianne Williamson, author, spiritual leader, and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[53]
Andrew Yang, entrepreneur and former 2020 Democratic presidential candidate[54]

Tom Wells

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Adam Christensen	21,073	34.5
	Democratic	Tom Wells	20,290	33.2
	Democratic	Philip Dodds	19,730	32.3
Total votes			61,093	100.0

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[55]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 3rd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Kat Cammack	223,075	57.14%
	Democratic	Adam Christensen	167,326	42.86%
Total votes			390,401	100.0
	Republican hold

District 4

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representative[56]

Eliminated in primary

Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran[57]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Rutherford (incumbent)	80,101	80.2
	Republican	Erick Aguilar	19,798	19.8
Total votes			99,899	100.0

Nominee

Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News[58]

Withdrawn

Monica DePaul, author[59][60]

Endorsements

Donna Deegan

Unions

AFL-CIO North Florida[61]

Organizations

Sierra Club[62]

Declared

Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[64]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	John Rutherford (R)	Donna Deegan (D)	Other	Undecided
University of North Florida	October 1–4, 2020	863 (LV)	± 3.3%	57%	38%	5%[lower-alpha 6]	0%
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics	September 2, 2020	1,037 (LV)	–	62%	35%	–	3%

Results

Florida's 4th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	John Rutherford (incumbent)	308,497	61.10%
	Democratic	Donna Deegan	196,423	38.90%
	Independent	Gary Koniz (write-in)	20	0.00%
Total votes			504,940	100.0
	Republican hold

District 5

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Albert Chester, pharmacist[65]
LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide[66]

Endorsements

Al Lawson

Organizations

Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[67]
Planned Parenthood Action Fund[68]
Sierra Club[62]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Al Lawson (incumbent)	52,823	55.7
	Democratic	Albert Chester	24,579	25.9
	Democratic	LaShonda "LJ" Holloway	17,378	18.3
Total votes			94,780	100.0

Nominee

Gary Adler, community activist[69]

Eliminated in primary

Roger Wagoner, businessman[66]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gary Adler	17,433	52.1
	Republican	Roger Wagoner	16,012	47.9
Total votes			33,445	100.0

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[70]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 5th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Al Lawson (incumbent)	219,463	65.13%
	Republican	Gary Adler	117,510	34.87%
Total votes			336,973	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 6

The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative

Nominee

Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010[71]

Eliminated in primary

Richard Thripp, professor[71]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Clint Curtis	30,449	51.5
	Democratic	Richard Thripp	28,661	48.5
Total votes			59,110	100.0

Declared

Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman[63]

Declared

Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016[72]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[73]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Likely R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 6th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Michael Waltz (incumbent)	265,393	60.64%
	Democratic	Clint Curtis	172,305	39.36%
	Independent	Gerry Nolan (write-in)	112	0.01%
	Independent Democratic	Alan Grayson (write-in)	46	0.01%
Total votes			437,856	100.0
	Republican hold

District 7

The 7th district is located in Central Florida, and includes all of Seminole County and part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Orlando, Sanford, and Winter Park. Democrat Stephanie Murphy, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[74]

Nominee

Stephanie Murphy, incumbent U.S. representative[75]

Nominee

Leo Valentín, radiologist[76]

Eliminated in primary

Richard Goble, businessman[77]
Yukong Zhao, real estate investor[77]

Withdrawn

Jan Edwards, businesswoman[78]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Leo Valentín	19,841	38.6
	Republican	Richard Goble	19,187	37.4
	Republican	Yukong Zhao	12,330	24.0
Total votes			51,358	100.0

Declared

William Garlington, businessman and former actor[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[79]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Likely D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Likely D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Hypothetical polling

with Richard Goble, Joel Greenberg (R), Stephanie Murphy and Leo Valentin

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Richard Goble (R)	Joel Greenberg (R)	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Leo Valentín (R)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics	Jan 2–3, 2020	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	4%[lower-alpha 7]	20%	43%	4%	29%

with Joel Greenberg and Stephanie Murphy

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Joel Greenberg (R)	Stephanie Murphy (D)	Undecided
Gravis Marketing/Orlando Politics	Jan 2–3, 2020	813 (RV)	± 3.4%	42%[lower-alpha 8]	43%	15%

Results

Florida's 7th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Stephanie Murphy (incumbent)	224,946	55.34%
	Republican	Leo Valentín	175,750	43.24%
	Independent	William Garlington	5,753	1.42%
Total votes			406,449	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 8

The 8th district encompasses the Space Coast, and includes all of Indian River and Brevard counties, as well as part of Orange County. The district includes the cities of Melbourne, Palm Bay, and Titusville. Republican Bill Posey, who has represented the district since 2009, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Bill Posey, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Scott Caine, retired U.S. Air Force colonel[80]

Disqualified

Angela Walls-Windhauser, perennial candidate

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Posey (incumbent)	54,861	62.5
	Republican	Scott Caine	32,952	37.5
Total votes			87,813	100.0

Nominee

Jim Kennedy, electrical engineer[80]

Withdrawn

Tiffany Patti, activist[81]

Disqualified

Hicham Ammi, customer service manager[81]
Jason Williams, engineer[81]

Endorsements

Jim Kennedy

Organizations

Sierra Club[62]

Withdrawn

Russell Cyphers, former federal investigator for the departments of Treasury and Labor[81]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[82]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 8th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Posey (incumbent)	282,093	61.36%
	Democratic	Jim Kennedy	177,695	38.64%
Total votes			459,788	100.0
	Republican hold

District 9

The 9th district is located in Central Florida, and encompasses all of Osceola County, as well as parts of Orange and Polk counties. The district includes the cities of Kissimmee and St. Cloud, as well as eastern Orlando. Democrat Darren Soto, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Darren Soto, incumbent U.S. representative[83]

Withdrawn

Hendrith Vanlon Smith Jr., financial advisor[84][85]

Nominee

Bill Olson, former U.S. Army sergeant[86]

Eliminated in primary

Jose Castillo, hospitality manager[87]
Sergio E. Ortiz, mortgage banker[88]
Christopher Wright, attorney[87]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Bill Olson	20,751	48.6
	Republican	Christopher Wright	9,677	22.7
	Republican	Jose Castillo	8,595	20.1
	Republican	Sergio E. Ortiz	3,680	8.6
Total votes			42,703	100.0

Declared

Clay Hill (write-in), perennial candidate[63]

Withdrawn

John Rallison, teacher and pastor[89]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[90]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Likely D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 9th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Darren Soto (incumbent)	240,724	56.02%
	Republican	Bill Olson	188,889	43.96%
	Independent	Clay Hill (write-in)	25	0.01%
Total votes			429,638	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 10

The 10th district is located in Central Florida, and includes part of Orange County. The district includes western Orlando and its surrounding suburbs, including Apopka, Ocoee, and Winter Garden. Democrat Val Demings, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Val Demings, incumbent U.S. representative[91]

Nominee

Vennia Francois, former U.S. Senate aide and candidate for Florida's 7th congressional district in 2018[92]

Eliminated in primary

Willie Montague, pastor[92]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vennia Francois	21,485	65.1
	Republican	Willie Montague	11,498	34.9
Total votes			32,983	100.0

Candidates

Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in), artist[63]

Withdrawn

Kristofer Lawson, writer[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[93]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 10th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Val Demings (incumbent)	239,434	63.61%
	Republican	Vennia Francois	136,889	36.36%
	Independent	Sufiyah Yasmine (write-in)	74	0.01%
Total votes			376,397	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 11

The 11th district is located in North Central Florida, and includes all of Sumter, Citrus, and Hernando counties, as well as parts of Marion and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Spring Hill, Inverness, and Leesburg, as well as the large retirement community of The Villages. Republican Daniel Webster, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Daniel Webster, incumbent U.S. representative

Nominee

Dana Cottrell, teacher and nominee for Florida's 11th congressional district in 2018[94]

Withdrawn

Jeff Rabinowitz, author[95]
James Henry, former official in Greenfield, Massachusetts and Hollis, Maine[96]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[97]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 11th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Daniel Webster (incumbent)	316,979	66.72%
	Democratic	Dana Cottrell	158,094	33.27%
Total votes			475,073	100.0
	Republican hold

District 12

The 12th district encompasses the northern Tampa Bay area, including all of Pasco County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Pinellas counties. The district includes the cities of Palm Harbor, New Port Richey, and Zephyrhills. Republican Gus Bilirakis, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Gus Bilirakis, incumbent U.S. representative

Nominee

Kimberly Walker, businesswoman and U.S. Air Force veteran[98]

Endorsements

Kimberly Walker

Organizations

LPAC[99]

Withdrawn

Michael Knezevich, private investigator and former U.S. Customs Service pilot[100]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[101]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 12th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Gus Bilirakis (incumbent)	284,941	62.88%
	Democratic	Kimberly Walker	168,194	37.11%
Total votes			453,135	100.0
	Republican hold

District 13

The 13th district is located in the western Tampa Bay area and encompasses the northern Florida Suncoast, and includes part of Pinellas County. The district includes the cities of St. Petersburg, Clearwater, and Largo. Democrat Charlie Crist, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[74]

Nominee

Charlie Crist, incumbent U.S. representative[102]

Endorsements

Charlie Crist

Organizations

Nominee

Anna Paulina Luna, director of Hispanic Engagement for Turning Point USA and U.S. Air Force veteran[105]

Eliminated in primary

George Buck, U.S. Army veteran and nominee for Florida's 13th congressional district in 2018[106]
Sheila Griffin, attorney and candidate for St. Petersburg city council in 2015[107]
Amanda Makki, lobbyist and former congressional aide[106]

Withdrawn

Rick Baker, former mayor of St. Petersburg[108]
Matt Becker, businessman and 2012 Republican National Convention executive[109][110]
Sharon Newby, businesswoman[111][112]

Endorsements

Anna Paulina Luna

Federal officials

Donald Trump, President of the United States[113]
Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative (FL-01)[114]
Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative (NY-21)[115]

Local officials

Bill Foster, former mayor of St. Petersburg (2010-2014)[116]
Students for Trump[117]

Amanda Makki

Federal officials

Michael Burgess, U.S. Representative (TX-26)[118]
Neal Dunn, U.S. Representative (FL-02)[118]
Joni Ernst, U.S. Senator from Iowa[119]
Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative (CA-23), House Minority Leader, and former House Majority Leader (2014-2019) and House Majority Whip (2011-2014)[118]
John Rutherford, U.S. Representative (FL-04)[118]
Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative (LA-01), House Minority Whip, and former House Majority Whip (2014-2019)[118]
Michael Waltz, U.S. Representative (FL-06)[118]

State officials

J. W. Grant, state representative[120]

Organizations

Fraternal Order of Police Lodges 10 and 43[121]
FreedomWorks[122]
Maggie's List[123]
Maverick PAC[124]
National Emergency Medicine (NEM) PAC[125]
National Republican Congressional Committee[126]
Republican Main Street Partnership PAC[127]
Value in Electing Women (VIEW) PAC[128]

Individuals

Robert J. O'Neill, former U.S. Navy SEAL[129]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	George Buck	Sheila Griffin	Anna Paulina Luna	Amanda Makki	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 15, 2020	626 (LV)	± 3.9%	26%	6%	29%	20%	1%[lower-alpha 9]	–
St. Pete Polls	July 9, 2020	558 (LV)	± 4.1%	21%	4%	13%	29%	1%[lower-alpha 10]	32%

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Anna Paulina Luna	22,941	36.1
	Republican	Amanda Makki	17,967	28.3
	Republican	George Buck	16,371	25.8
	Republican	Sheila Griffin	4,329	6.8
	Republican	Sharon Newby (withdrawn)	1,866	2.9
Total votes			63,474	100.0

Declared

Jacob Curnow (write-in), author[63][130]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[131]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	October 1, 2020
Politico[11]	Lean D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	November 2, 2020
RCP[13]	Likely D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Charlie Crist (D)	Anna Paulina Luna (R)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	October 28, 2020	1,280 (LV)	± 2.7%	55%	39%	7%
St. Pete Polls	August 29–30, 2020	2,160 (LV)	± 2.1%	55%	39%	7%

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Charlie Crist (D)	Rick Baker (R)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls/FloridaPolitics	Sep 25, 2019	1,254 (RV)	± 2.8%	42%	35%	23%

Results

Florida's 13th congressional district, 2020
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Charlie Crist (incumbent)	215,405	53.03%
	Republican	Anna Paulina Luna	190,713	46.95%
	Independent Republican	Jacob Curnow (write-in)	7	0.01%
Total votes			406,125	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 14

The 14th district is located in the northern Tampa Bay area, and includes part of Hillsborough County. The district includes the cities of Tampa, Carrollwood, and Northdale. Democrat Kathy Castor, who has represented the district since 2007, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Kathy Castor, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn

Alix Toulme Jr., Christian activist and U.S. Navy veteran[132]

Nominee

Christine Quinn, businesswoman and nominee for Florida's 14th congressional district in 2016[133]

Eliminated in primary

Paul Elliott, former Hillsborough County judge[133]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Christine Quinn	24,077	64.5
	Republican	Paul Elliott	13,257	35.5
Total votes			37,334	100.0

Withdrawn

Robert Wunderlich, attorney and former Green Beret[134]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[135]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida’s 14th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Kathy Castor (incumbent)	224,240	60.25%
	Republican	Christine Quinn	147,896	39.74%
Total votes			372,136	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 15

The 15th district is located in the northeastern Tampa Bay area and extends along the I-4 corridor into Central Florida, and includes parts of Hillsborough, Polk, and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Lakeland, Brandon, and Bartow. Republican Ross Spano, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 53% of the vote in 2018. Spano lost renomination in the Republican primary.[3]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[136]

Nominee

Scott Franklin, Lakeland city commissioner[137]

Eliminated in primary

Ross Spano, incumbent U.S. representative[138]

Declined

Neil Combee, former state representative and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[139]
Danny Kushmer, non-profit executive and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[139] (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
Sean Harper, contractor and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[139]
Ed Shoemaker, conservative activist and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[139] (Running for Polk County School Board)

Endorsements

Scott Franklin

Federal officials

Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative from FL-01[140]

Local officials

Grady Judd, Sheriff of Polk County, Florida (2005–present)[141] (Independent)

Ross Spano

U.S. senators

Marco Rubio, U.S. senator from Florida (2011–present); Chair of the Senate Small Business Committee (2019–present); candidate for President in 2016[142]

U.S. representatives

Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from CA-23 (2013–present) and CA-22 (2007–2013); House Minority Leader (2019–present); Leader of the House Republican Conference (2019–present)[143]
Michael Waltz, U.S. representative from FL-06 (2019–present)[143]
Daniel Webster, U.S. representative from FL-11 (2017–present), FL-10 (2013–2017), and FL-08 (2011–2013); candidate for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[144]
Gus Bilirakis, U.S. representative from FL-12 (2013–present) and FL-09 (2007–2013)[144]
Vern Buchanan, U.S. representative from FL-16 (2013–present) and FL-13 (2007–2013)[144]
Greg Steube, U.S. representative from FL-17 (2019–present)[139]
Mario Díaz-Balart, U.S. representative from FL-25 (2003–2011 and 2013–present) and FL-21 (2011–2013)[143]
Tom Emmer, U.S. representative from MN-06 (2015–present); Chair of the National Republican Congressional Committee (2019–present)[143]
Steve Scalise, U.S. representative from LA-01 (2008–present); House Minority Whip (2019–present)[143]
Liz Cheney, U.S. representative from WY-00 (2017–present); Chair of the House Republican Conference (2019–present); candidate for U.S. Senate from Wyoming in 2014[143]

State legislators

Kelli Stargel, Florida state senator from District 22 (2016–present) and District 15 (2012–2016)[143]

Local officials

Carey Baker, Property Appraiser of Lake County, Florida (2012–present)[143]

Organizations

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of Error	Scott Franklin	Ross Spano	Other
St. Pete Polls	August 12, 2020	594 (LV)	± 4%	41%	42%	18%[lower-alpha 11]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Franklin	30,736	51.2
	Republican	Ross Spano (incumbent)	29,265	48.8
Total votes			60,001	100.0

Nominee

Alan Cohn, Peabody and Emmy award-winning journalist and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2014[145]

Eliminated in primary

Adam Hattersley, state representative[146]
Jesse Philippe, U.S. Marine Corps veteran[147]

Withdrawn

Kel Britvec, former Defense Intelligence Agency officer[148]
Andrew Learned, U.S. Naval Reserve officer and candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[149] (Running for Florida House of Representatives, District 59)
Loretta Miller, radio host and Republican candidate for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[150][151] (died on April 13, 2020)

Declined

Kristen Carlson, attorney and nominee for Florida's 15th congressional district in 2018[152] (endorsed Adam Hattersley)[153]

Endorsements

Alan Cohn

U.S. Presidents

Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[154]

U.S. Senators

Kent Conrad, U.S. Senator from North Dakota (1987-2013)[155]
Bob Graham, U.S. Senator from Florida (1987–2005); Governor of Florida (1979–1987); candidate for President in 2004[156]

U.S. Representatives

Kathy Castor, U.S. Representative from FL-11 (2013-present), FL-11 (2007-2013)[157]
Charlie Crist, U.S. Representative from FL-13, Governor of Florida (2007-2011), Attorney General of Florida (2003-2007) (former Republican)[157]
Ted Deutch, U.S. Representative from FL-22, U.S. Representative from FL-21 (2013-2017), U.S. Representative from FL-19 (2010-2013[157]
Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from FL-22, U.S. Representative from FL-21 (2017-present)[157]
Gwen Graham, U.S. Representative from FL-02 (2015–2017); candidate for Governor of Florida in 2018[156]
Patrick J. Kennedy, U.S. Representative from RI-1, son of Ted Kennedy[155]
Darren Soto, U.S. Representative from FL-09 (2017-present)[157]

State Executives

Nikki Fried, Florida Commissioner of Agriculture (2019-present)[157]

Municipal officials

Philip Levine, Mayor of Miami Beach, Florida (2013–2017); candidate for governor of Florida in 2018[158]

Individuals

Randy Bryce, political activist[155]
Cenk Uygur, political commentator, media host, journalist, and attorney; candidate for U.S. Representative from CA-25 in 2020[159]

Labor unions

Organizations

Adam Hattersley

U.S. Representatives

Stephanie Murphy, U.S. representative from FL-07 (2017–present)[153]
Kathy Castor, U.S. representative from FL-14 (2013–present) and FL-11 (2007–2013)[163]

Statewide officials

Betty Castor, education commissioner of Florida (1987–1994); Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate from Florida in 2004[153]

State legislators

Janet Cruz, Florida state senator from District 18 (2018–present)[153]
Carlos Guillermo Smith, Florida state representative from District 49 (2016–present)[153]
Dianne Hart, Florida state representative from District 61 (2018–present)[153]
Sean Shaw, Florida state representative from District 61 (2016–2018); Democratic nominee for Attorney General of Florida in 2018[153]
Susan Valdes, Florida state representative from District 62 (2018–present)[164]
Fentrice Driskell, Florida state representative from District 63 (2018–present)[153]
Ben Diamond, Florida state representative from District 68 (2016–present)[153]
Jennifer Webb, Florida state representative from District 69 (2018–present)[153]
Wengay Newton, Florida state representative from District 70 (2016–present)[164]
Evan Jenne, Florida state representative from District 99 (2014–present); Florida state representative from District 100 (2006–2012)[153]
Javier Fernandez, Florida state representative from District 114 (2018–present)[164]
Kionne McGhee, Florida state representative from District 117 (2012–present); Minority Leader of the Florida House of Representatives (2018–present)[153]

Municipal officials

Rick Kriseman, mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida (2014–present)[153]
Sandra Freedman, mayor of Tampa, Florida (1986–1995)[153]

Notable individuals

Kristen Carlson, attorney, Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-15 in 2018[153]
John Hutson, United States Navy officer, attorney, and Judge Advocate General of the Navy[153]
Nancy Soderberg, foreign policy strategist; Democratic nominee for U.S. representative from FL-06 in 2018[153]

Labor unions

International Association of Fire Fighters - Local 2294[153]
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers - Local 824[153]

Organizations

314 Action[153]
Blue Dog Coalition[165]
College Democrats of America - Florida chapter[166]
Florida Democratic Party - Disabilities Issues Caucus[153]
Florida Democratic Party - LGBT+ Caucus[153]

Declined to endorse

Labor unions

AFL–CIO - West Central Florida Labor Council[167]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alan Cohn	21,079	41.0
	Democratic	Adam Hattersley	16,978	33.0
	Democratic	Jesse Philippe	13,384	26.0
Total votes			51,441	100.0

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Lean R	July 16, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[168]	Likely R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Lean R	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Lean R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Lean R	July 6, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Likely R	April 30, 2020
RCP[13]	Tossup	October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Lean R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of Error	Scott Franklin (R)	Alan Cohn (D)	Undecided
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 3]	October 22–24, 2020	530 (LV)	± 4.3%	46%	44%	–
St. Pete Polls	October 15, 2020	943 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	41%	11%
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 4]	September 30 – October 4, 2020	390 (LV)	± 5%	42%	39%	19%
GQR Research (D)[upper-alpha 5]	September 4–6, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	42%	–

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of Error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat
DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)[upper-alpha 4]	September 30 – October 4, 2020	390 (LV)	± 5%	49%	44%

Results

Florida's 15th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Scott Franklin	216,374	55.38%
	Democratic	Alan Cohn	174,297	44.61%
Total votes			390,671	100.0
	Republican hold

District 16

The 16th district encompasses the southern Tampa Bay area and southern Florida Suncoast, and includes all of Manatee County, as well as parts of Hillsborough and Sarasota counties. The district includes the cities of Sarasota, Bradenton, and Sun City Center. Republican Vern Buchanan, who has represented the district since 2007, was reelected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[136]

Nominee

Vern Buchanan, incumbent U.S. representative[102]

Nominee

Margaret Good, state representative[169]

Endorsements

Margaret Good

U.S. Presidents

Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[170]

Organizations

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Likely R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[175]	Likely R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Likely R	August 7, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Likely R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Likely R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Likely R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Lean R	October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Likely R	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Vern Buchanan (R)	Margaret Good (D)	Other	Undecided
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 6]	October 19–21, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	38%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 6]	October 6–8, 2020	403 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	37%	1%[lower-alpha 12]	9%
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 7]	October 5–8, 2020	527 (LV)	± 4.3%	48%	45%	–	7%
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 6]	September 29 – October 1, 2020	400 (LV)	–	53%	37%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D)	September 24–27, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	43%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 6]	August 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	35%	–	–
Global Strategy Group (D)	July 7–12, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	41%	–	–
Data Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 6]	January 14–16, 2020	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	53%	33%	–	14%

Hypothetical polling

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Generic Republican	Generic Democrat
Global Strategy Group (D)	September 24–27, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	42%
Data Targeting (R)	August 27–29, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	39%

Results

Florida's 16th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Vern Buchanan (incumbent)	269,001	55.50%
	Democratic	Margaret Good	215,683	44.49%
Total votes			484,684	100.0
	Republican hold

District 17

The 17th district encompasses part of Southwest Florida and most of the Florida Heartland, and includes all or part of 10 counties. The district includes the cities of North Port, Port Charlotte, and Sebring. Republican Greg Steube, who has represented the district since 2019, was elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Greg Steube, incumbent U.S. Representative

Nominee

Allen Ellison, nominee for Florida's 17th congressional district in 2018[176]

Declared

Theodore Murray, former high school football coach[63][177]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[178]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 17th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Greg Steube (incumbent)	266,514	64.62%
	Democratic	Allen Ellison	140,487	34.06%
	Independent	Theodore Murray	5,396	1.30%
Total votes			412,397	100.0
	Republican hold

District 18

The 18th district encompasses the Treasure Coast region, and includes all of St. Lucie and Martin counties, as well as part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of Port St. Lucie, Fort Pierce, and Jupiter. Republican Brian Mast, who has represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Republican-held seats the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is targeting in 2020.[136]

Nominee

Brian Mast, incumbent U.S. Representative[179]

Eliminated in primary

Nick Vessio, retired police sergeant[180]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Mast (incumbent)	62,121	86.0
	Republican	Nick Vessio	10,081	14.0
Total votes			72,202	100.0

Nominee

Pam Keith, attorney and candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2018 and U.S. Senate in 2016[181]

Eliminated in primary

Oz Vazquez, former Florida deputy solicitor general[182]

Endorsements

Pam Keith

Individuals

Cori Bush, Democratic nominee for Missouri's 1st congressional district[183]

Organizations

VoteVets[184]

Oz Vazquez

Patrick Murphy, former U.S. Representative (D-FL-18) (2013-2017) and Democratic nominee in the 2016 U.S. Senate election in Florida[185]

State officials

Nikki Fried, state Agriculture Commissioner[186]

Organizations

Congressional Hispanic Caucus Bold PAC[185]
Florida AFL-CIO[187]
Latino Victory Fund[185]
Planned Parenthood Action Fund[185]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Pam Keith	52,921	79.8
	Democratic	Oz Vazquez	13,385	20.2
Total votes			66,306	100.0

Declared

K. W. Miller, international energy and infrastructure executive[188]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Likely R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[189]	Likely R	October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Likely R	October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Likely R	October 20, 2020
Politico[11]	Lean R	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Likely R	October 19, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Tossup	July 26, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Brian Mast (R)	Pam Keith (D)	K. W. Miller (I)	Undecided
Clearview Research (D)[upper-alpha 8]	October 7–9, 2020	301 (LV)	–	43%	45%	4%	–
St. Pete Polls	September 18, 2020	1,149 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	42%	2%	5%

Results

Florida's 18th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Brian Mast (incumbent)	253,286	56.32%
	Democratic	Pam Keith	186,674	41.50%
	Independent	K. W. Miller	9,760	2.17%
Total votes			449,720	100.0
	Republican hold

District 19

The 19th district includes most of Southwest Florida, and includes parts of Lee and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Cape Coral, Fort Myers, and Naples. Republican Francis Rooney, who has represented the district since 2017, was reelected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3] On October 19, 2019, Rooney announced he would not seek re-election.[190]

Nominee

Byron Donalds, state representative[191]

Eliminated in primary

Darren Aquino, disabilities activist and actor[192]
Casey Askar, businessman and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[193]
Dane Eagle, majority leader of the Florida House of Representatives[194]
William Figlesthaler, urologist[195]
Randy Henderson, mayor of Fort Myers[196]
Daniel Kowal, Collier County Sheriff's deputy[197]
Christy McLaughlin, activist[198]
Dan Severson, former Minnesota state representative and nominee for Minnesota Secretary of State in 2014[199]

Withdrawn

Heather Fitzenhagen, state representative[200][201]

Declined

Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[202]
Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator[203]
Matt Caldwell, former state representative (endorsed Eagle)[204]
Chauncey Goss, son of former U.S. representative Porter Goss and candidate for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2016[205]
Brian Hamman, Lee County commissioner[204]
Matt Hudson, former state representative[205]
Steve Martin, attorney[206]
Jim Oberweis, Illinois state senator and nominee for U.S. Senate in Illinois in 2014[207] (Running for IL-14)
Kathleen Passidomo, state senator[204]
Cecil Pendergrass, Lee County commissioner[195]
Spencer Roach, state representative (endorsed Eagle)[208]
Bob Rommel, state representative[209]
Francis Rooney, incumbent U.S. representative[190]
Mike Scott, former Lee County sheriff[195]
Drew Steele, local Fox News Radio host[204]

Endorsements

Byron Donalds

Federal officials

Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017-present)

Organizations

National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[210]

Dane Eagle

Federal officials

Gus Bilirakis, U.S. Representative (FL-12)[211]

State officials

Gary Aubuchon, former state representative (2007-2013)[202]
Lizbeth Benacquisto, state senator and former state Senate majority leader (2012-2014) and Republican candidate in 2014 FL-19 special election[212]
Matt Caldwell, former state representative (2010-2018)[202]
Jeff Kottkamp, former Lieutenant Governor (2007-2011)[202]
Spencer Roach, state representative[202]
Ray Rodrigues, state representative[202]

Heather Fitzenhagen (withdrew)

Organizations

Maggie's List[123]

Dan Severson

Individuals

Michael Johns, former White House speechwriter to George H. W. Bush[213]
Tim Pawlenty, 2012 Republican presidential candidate and former Governor of Minnesota (2003-2011)[214]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Casey Askar	Byron Donalds	Dane Eagle	William Figlesthaler	Randy Henderson	Other	Undecided
St. Pete Polls	August 16, 2020	439 (LV)	± 4.7%	22%	23%	16%	16%	11%	8%[lower-alpha 13]	4%
St. Pete Polls	August 3, 2020	525 (LV)	± 4.3%	16%	22%	20%	21%	8%	6%[lower-alpha 13]	14%
Data Targeting/Dane Eagle[upper-alpha 9]	July 23, 2020	282 (LV)	± 5.7%	15%	21%	23%	19%	6%	3%[lower-alpha 14]	8%
St. Pete Polls	July 6, 2020	503 (LV)	± 4.3%	30%	26%	7%	16%	5%	4%[lower-alpha 15]	12%

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Byron Donalds	23,492	22.6
	Republican	Dane Eagle	22,715	21.9
	Republican	Casey Askar	20,774	20.0
	Republican	William Figlesthaler	19,075	18.3
	Republican	Randy Henderson	7,858	7.6
	Republican	Christy McLaughlin	4,245	4.1
	Republican	Dan Severson	3,197	3.1
	Republican	Darren Aquino	1,466	1.4
	Republican	Daniel Kowal	1,135	1.1
Total votes			103,957	100.0

Nominee

Cindy Banyai, political science professor at Florida Gulf Coast University[215]

Eliminated in primary

David Holden, financial advisor and nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district in 2018[216]

Endorsements

Cindy Banyai

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Cindy Banyai	28,765	57.6
	Democratic	David Holden	21,212	42.4
Total votes			49,977	100.0

Declared

Patrick Post (write-in), president of Sustainable Planet USA[217]

Withdrawn

Antonio Dumornay, housing activist[218]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[219]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 19th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Byron Donalds	272,440	61.27%
	Democratic	Cindy Banyai	172,146	38.72%
	Independent	Patrick Post (write-in)	3	0.01%
Total votes			444,589	100.0
	Republican hold

District 20

The 20th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Fort Lauderdale, Pompano Beach, and Belle Glade. Democrat Alcee Hastings, who has represented the district since 1993, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Alcee Hastings, incumbent U.S. representative[220]

Eliminated in primary

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, attorney and candidate for Florida's 20th congressional district in 2018[221]

Withdrawn

Roshan Mody, co-founder of Plus1 Vote[222]
Emmanuel Morel, former federal investigator for the U.S. Department of Labor and candidate for Florida's 21st congressional district in 2014[223][224]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alcee Hastings (incumbent)	62,759	69.3
	Democratic	Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick	27,831	30.7
Total votes			90,590	100.0

Declared

Vic DeGrammont, realtor[225]
Greg Musselwhite, welding inspector[226]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Greg Musselwhite	5,394	52.0
	Republican	Vic DeGrammont	4,975	48.0
Total votes			10,369	100.0

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[227]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 20th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Alcee Hastings (incumbent)	253,661	78.67%
	Republican	Greg Musselwhite	68,748	21.32%
Total votes			322,409	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 21

The 21st district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Palm Beach County. The district includes the cities of West Palm Beach, Boynton Beach, and Wellington. Democrat Lois Frankel, who has represented the district since 2013, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Lois Frankel, incumbent U.S. representative[102]

Eliminated in primary

Guido Weiss, former advisor to U.S. Representative Tulsi Gabbard[228]

Withdrawn

Adam Aarons, film producer and actor[229]

Endorsements

Lois Frankel

Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lois Frankel (incumbent)	75,504	86.0
	Democratic	Guido Weiss	12,308	14.0
Total votes			87,812	100.0

Nominee

Laura Loomer, reporter for InfoWars and far-right activist[230]

Eliminated in primary

Christian Acosta, nuclear engineer and Palm Beach State College professor[231]
Elizabeth Felton, animal rights activist[232]
Aaron Scanlan, U.S. Air Force veteran[233]
Reba Sherrill, health activist[234]
Michael Vilardi, retired Internal Revenue Service agent[235]

Disqualified

Michael Bluemling Jr., U.S. Army veteran[236][237]
Victor Garcia da Rosa, businessman[238]

Endorsements

Laura Loomer

U.S. Presidents

Donald Trump, President of the United States (2017-2021)[239]

U.S. Representatives

Matt Gaetz, U.S. Representative (FL-01) (2017-present)[240]
Paul Gosar, U.S. Representative from (AZ-04) (2013-present), (AZ-01) (2011-2013)[241]

Local Officials

Jeanine Pirro, District Attorney of Westchester County (1994-2005), Chair of the New York State Commission on Domestic Violence Fatalities (1994-1997), Judge of the Westchester County Court (1991-1993)[241]

Individuals

Roseanne Barr, actress[242]
Juanita Broaddrick, political activist, Bill Clinton accuser, and former nursing home administrator[241]
Marjorie Taylor Greene, businesswoman, conspiracy theorist and Republican nominee for Georgia's 14th congressional district in the 2020 elections[239]
Alex Jones, far-right radio show host, political extremist and conspiracy theorist[239]
Michelle Malkin, conservative columnist[241]
Gavin McInnes, far-right political commentator and founder of the Proud Boys[243]
Wayne Allyn Root, conservative author, radio host, conspiracy theorist, and Libertarian nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[244]
Bo Snerdley, call screener, producer, and engineer for the The Rush Limbaugh Show[241]
Roger Stone, political consultant[245]
Milo Yiannopoulos, far-right political commentator[243]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Laura Loomer	Other
The Washington Sentinel[upper-alpha 10]	Released June 20, 2020	–[lower-alpha 16]	–	51%	>=4%[lower-alpha 17]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Laura Loomer	14,526	42.5
	Republican	Christian Acosta	8,724	25.5
	Republican	Michael Vilardi	4,194	12.3
	Republican	Aaron Scanlan	3,221	9.4
	Republican	Elizabeth Felton	2,421	7.1
	Republican	Reba Sherrill	1,070	3.1
Total votes			34,156	100.0

Declared

Sylvia Caravetta (write-in), activist[63]
Charleston Malkemus, technology executive and U.S. Marine Corps veteran[246]

Declared

Piotr Blass (write-in), former professor and perennial candidate[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[247]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Lois Frankel (D)	Laura Loomer (R)	Charleston Malkemus (I)	Undecided
St. Pete Polls/Florida Politics	October 2, 2020	1,015 (LV)	± 3.1%	61%	33%	2%	5%

Results

Florida’s 21st congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Lois Frankel (incumbent)	237,925	59.02%
	Republican	Laura Loomer	157,612	39.10%
	Independent	Charleston Malkemus	7,544	1.87%
	Independent	Sylvia Caravetta (write-in)	8	0.01%
	Independent Republican	Piotr Blass (write-in)	4	0.01%
Total votes			403,093	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 22

The 22nd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Palm Beach counties. The district includes the cities of Boca Raton, Deerfield Beach, and Coral Springs. Democrat Ted Deutch, who has represented the district since 2010, was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Ted Deutch, incumbent U.S Representative

Nominee

James Pruden, attorney[248]

Eliminated in primary

Fran Flynn, businesswoman[249]
Jessi Melton, president of Paragon Wireless Group[248]
Darlene Swaffar, insurance agent[250]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	James Pruden	11,840	35.6
	Republican	Jessica Melton	9,969	30.0
	Republican	Fran Flynn	8,667	26.1
	Republican	Darlene Swaffar	2,763	8.3
Total votes			33,239	100.0

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[251]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 22nd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Deutch (incumbent)	235,764	58.60%
	Republican	James Pruden	166,553	41.39%
Total votes			402,317	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 23

The 23rd district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Pembroke Pines, Davie, and Aventura. Democrat Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who has represented the district since 2005, was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Debbie Wasserman Schultz, incumbent U.S. representative[252]

Eliminated in primary

Jen Perelman, attorney[253]

Endorsements

Jen Perelman

Individuals

Marianne Williamson, author and 2020 Democratic Presidential candidate[254]
Andrew Yang, non-profit leader, 2020 Democratic Presidential candidate and Ambassador for Entrepreneurship under President Obama[254]

Organizations

350 Action[255]
American Progressives in STEM[256]
Brand New Congress[257]
Our Revolution - Broward chapter[258]

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Organizations

Planned Parenthood[68]
League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[259]
Sierra Club[62]

Newspapers

South Florida Sun Sentinel[260]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)	55,729	72.0
	Democratic	Jen Perelman	21,631	28.0
Total votes			77,360	100.0

Nominee

Carla Spalding, nurse, independent candidate for Florida's 18th congressional district in 2016, and candidate for Florida's 23rd congressional district in 2018[261]

Eliminated in primary

Michael Kroske, businessman[261]

Withdrew

Richard Mendelson, former teacher at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School[262]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Carla Spalding	12,751	51.3
	Republican	Michael Kroske	12,116	48.7
Total votes			24,867	100.0

Declared

D. B. Fugate (write-in), entrepreneur and U.S. Air Force veteran[63]
Jeff Olson (write-in), real estate agent[63]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[263]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020

Results

Florida's 23rd congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Debbie Wasserman Schultz (incumbent)	221,239	58.19%
	Republican	Carla Spalding	158,874	41.78%
	Independent Republican	Jeff Olson (write-in)	46	0.01%
	Independent Republican	D. B. Fugate (write-in)	37	0.01%
Total votes			381,196	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 24

The 24th district is located in South Florida, and includes parts of Broward and Miami-Dade counties. The district includes the cities of Miami, Miami Gardens, and Hollywood. Democrat Frederica Wilson, who has represented the district since 2011, was re-elected unopposed in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Frederica Wilson, incumbent U.S Representative

Eliminated in primary

Ricardo de La Fuente, perennial candidate and son of Rocky De La Fuente[264]
Sakinah Lehtola, progressive activist[265]

Endorsements

Frederica Wilson

Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Frederica Wilson (incumbent)	68,505	84.7
	Democratic	Sakinah Lehtola	6,267	7.7
	Democratic	Ricardo de La Fuente	6,134	7.6
Total votes			80,906	100.0

Nominee

Lavern Spicer, nonprofit executive[267]

Withdrawn

Courtney Omega-Turner, Coconut Grove village councilwoman[268]

Declared

Howard Knepper (write-in), businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2016, and 2018[63][269]

Declared

Hector Rivera (write-in), real estate broker[63]
Christine Alexandria Olivo, activist[270]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[271]	Safe D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe D	June 9, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 24th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Frederica Wilson (incumbent)	218,825	75.55%
	Republican	Lavern Spicer	59,084	20.39%
	Independent	Christine Olivo	11,703	4.04%
	Independent Republican	Howard Knepper (write-in)	17	0.01%
	Independent	Hector Rivera (write-in)	9	0.01%
Total votes			289,638	100.0
	Democratic hold

District 25

The 25th district is located in South Florida and stretches into parts of Southwest Florida and the Florida Heartland, and includes all of Hendry County, as well as parts of Miami-Dade and Collier counties. The district includes the cities of Hialeah, Doral, and Clewiston. Republican Mario Díaz-Balart, who has represented the district since 2003, was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2018.[3]

Nominee

Mario Díaz-Balart, incumbent U.S. representative

Disqualified

Yadira Escobar, blogger[272][273]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[274]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe R	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Safe R	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Safe R	September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Safe R	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Safe R	October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe R	June 7, 2020

Results

Florida's 25th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mario Díaz-Balart (incumbent)	—	Uncontested
Total votes			—	—
	Republican hold

District 26

The 26th district is located in South Florida and the Florida Keys, and includes all of Monroe County and part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Homestead, Kendale Lakes, and Key West. Democrat Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who has represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 50% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[74]

Nominee

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, incumbent U.S. representative[275]

Nominee

Carlos A. Giménez, Mayor of Miami-Dade County[276]

Eliminated in primary

Omar Blanco, former president of the Metro-Dade Firefighters Local 1403[277]

Withdrew

José Peixoto, engineer and candidate for Florida's 26th congressional district in 2012 and 2016[278]
Irina Vilariño, restaurateur[279][280]

Declined

Carlos Curbelo, former U.S. Representative[281]
Louis Sola, Federal Maritime Commissioner and candidate for Florida's 24th congressional district in 2018[282]

Endorsements

Carlos A. Giménez

Federal officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[283]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Omar Blanco	Carlos Giménez	Other	Undecided
Unspecified national Republican organisation	October 13–15, 2019	~ 136 (LV)[lower-alpha 18]	–	6%	51%	2%[lower-alpha 19]	39%

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Carlos A. Giménez	29,480	59.9
	Republican	Omar Blanco	19,721	40.1
Total votes			49,201	100.0

Endorsements

Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)

U.S. Presidents

Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[170]

Organizations

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Lean D	October 21, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[291]	Likely D	October 19, 2020
Inside Elections[292]	Tilt D	October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Lean D	November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Tossup	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Tossup	October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Debbie Murcasel-Powell (D)	Carlos Giménez (R)	Other/ Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R)[upper-alpha 11]	July 14–18, 2020	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	42%	47%	11%
Unspecified national Republican organisation	October 13–15, 2019	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	42%	45%	–

Results

Florida's 26th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Carlos A. Giménez	177,223	51.72%
	Democratic	Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (incumbent)	165,407	48.27%
Total votes			342,630	100.0
	Republican gain from Democratic

District 27

The 27th district is located in South Florida, and includes part of Miami-Dade County. The district includes the cities of Coral Gables, Kendall, and Miami Beach, as well as the neighborhood of Little Havana in Miami. Democrat Donna Shalala, who has represented the district since 2019, flipped the district and was elected with 51% of the vote in 2018.[3]

This district is included on the list of Democratic-held seats the National Republican Congressional Committee is targeting in 2020.[74]

Nominee

Donna Shalala, incumbent U.S. representative[293]

Withdrawn

Michael Hepburn, University of Miami academic adviser[294]

Endorsements

Donna Shalala

U.S. Presidents

Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009-2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[170]

Organizations

Nominee

Maria Elvira Salazar, journalist and nominee for Florida's 27th congressional district in 2018[298]

Eliminated in primary

Juan Fiol, real estate agent[299]
Raymond Molina, banker and Brigade 2506 veteran[63][300]

Endorsements

Maria Elvira Salazar

Federal officials

Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[301]

U.S. Representatives

Ileana Ros-Lehtinen, former U.S. Representative from Florida[302]

Organizations

Susan B. Anthony List[303]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Maria Elvira Salazar	39,687	79.1
	Republican	Raymond Molina	5,497	10.9
	Republican	Juan Fiol	5,018	10.0
Total votes			50,202	100.0

Declared

Frank Polo (write-in), businessman

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report[7]	Likely D	July 2, 2020
FiveThirtyEight[304]	Likely D	October 15, 2020
Inside Elections[9]	Safe D	June 2, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10]	Likely D	July 2, 2020
Politico[11]	Likely D	April 19, 2020
Daily Kos[12]	Lean D	June 3, 2020
RCP[13]	Likely D	October 15, 2020
Niskanen[14]	Safe D	June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[lower-alpha 1]	Margin of error	Donna Shalala (D)	Maria Salazar (R)	Other/ Undecided
Bendixen & Amandi Research (D)[upper-alpha 12]	October 9–13, 2020	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	43%	7%
1892 Polling (R)[upper-alpha 13]	September 2–6, 2020	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	46%	–

Results

Politico reported that Salazar's strength in her campaign came from the potency of the socialism attacks among the Cuban population in Miami.[305]

Florida's 27th congressional district, 2020[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Maria Elvira Salazar	176,141	51.35%
	Democratic	Donna Shalala (incumbent)	166,758	48.62%
	Independent Republican	Frank Polo (write-in)	76	0.01%
Total votes			342,975	100.0
	Republican gain from Democratic

Notes

Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%
"someone else" with 5%
No other candidate exceeds 1%
Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters
"Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%
Standard VI response
Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg
Sharon Newby with 1%
Newby with 1%
"Undecided/won't say" with 18%
"Refused" with 1%
Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%
Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%
Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%
Not yet released
"Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%
34% of a sample of 400 likely voters
Irina Vilariño with 2%

Partisan clients

Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign
Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign
Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.
Poll conducted by the DCCC.
Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.
Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.
Poll conducted for Good's campaign.
Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign
Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign
Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign
Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.
Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign
Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

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Derby, Kevin. "Republican Judson Sapp Launches Bid for Congress in North Florida |".
Wilson, Drew (January 10, 2020). "James St. George joins crowded Republican primary for CD 3". Florida Politics. Retrieved January 14, 2020.
Derby, Kevin (April 22, 2019). "Amy Pope Wells Launches Congressional Bid in North Florida". Florida Daily. Retrieved April 23, 2019.
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Medina, Carlos E. "Ocala's Kent Guinn withdraws from congressional race". Gainesville Sun. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
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Derby, Kevin (July 26, 2019). "Even as Carlos Curbelo Passes on Rematch, NRCC Takes Aim at Debbie Mucarsel-Powell". Florida Daily. Retrieved July 26, 2019.
Nicol, Ryan (April 3, 2019). "Republican restaurateur Irina Vilariño to challenge Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in CD 26". Florida Politics. Retrieved April 3, 2019.
Montellaro, Zach; Arkin, James. "Kansas Republicans try to cull the field". POLITICO. Retrieved August 1, 2020.
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"Debbie Mucarsel-Powell". emilyslist.org.
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External links

National Institute on Money in Politics; Campaign Finance Institute, "Florida 2019 & 2020 Elections", Followthemoney.org

Candidate links

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Neal Dunn (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 9th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 10th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 11th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 12th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 13th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 14th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 15th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 16th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 17th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 18th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 19th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 20th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 21st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 22nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 23rd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 24th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 25th district candidates

Mario Díaz-Balart (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 26th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 27th district candidates

This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.

[key-52] Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear

[53] Bill Engelbrecht with 2%, David Theus with 1%, and Joseph Millado with 1%

[55] "someone else" with 5%

[57] No other candidate exceeds 1%

[58] Kent Guinn with 4%; Joseph Milado with 2%; Matthew Raines with no voters

[72] "Someone else" with 3%; would not vote with 2%

[88] Standard VI response

[89] Response after pollster provided respondents with talking points about Greenberg

[140] Sharon Newby with 1%

[141] Newby with 1%

[157] "Undecided/won't say" with 18%

[193] "Refused" with 1%

[A3S2KM1-235] Aquino with 3%; Severson with 2%; Kowal and McLaughlin with 1%

[237] Aquino, McLaughlin and Severson with 1%; Kowal with 0%

[238] Aquino and McLaughlin with 2%; Kowal and Severson with 0%

[271] Not yet released

[272] "Nearest competitor to Laura Loomer" with 4%

[311] 34% of a sample of 400 likely voters

[312] Irina Vilariño with 2%

[54] Poll sponsored by Cammack's cmampaign

[56] Poll sponsored by Sapp's campaign

[182] Poll sponsored by the Florida Democratic Party, which endorsed Cohn prior to the sampling period.

[DCCC-183] Poll conducted by the DCCC.

[Cohn-184] Poll sponsored by Cohn's campaign.

[Buchanan-192] Poll conducted for Buchanan's campaign.

[194] Poll conducted for Good's campaign.

[209] Poll sponsored by Keith's campaign

[236] Poll conducted by Eagle's campaign

[270] Poll conducted by Loomer's campaign

[CLF-322] Poll conducted for the Congressional Leadership Fund.

[335] Poll sponsored by Shalala's campaign

[336] Poll sponsored by Salazar's campaign

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