2020 United States Senate election in Alabama
The 2020 United States Senate election in Alabama was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states, elections to the United States House of Representatives, and various state and local elections.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County results Tuberville: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jones: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg.webp)
| 2020 Alabama elections |
| Voting and registration in Alabama |
|---|
| Election Day: November 3, 2020 |
|
Polls opening: 7am–7pm Requisites for voting Voting precincts |
| Registration |
|
Deadline: October 19, 2020 Form Online form Registration control |
| Vote by mail |
|
Application deadline: October 29, 2020 Ballot mailing deadline: November 3, 2020 Form |
| Electronic voting |
| Electronic ballot for military members |
|
Election agency: Alabama Secretary of State |
| Elections in Alabama |
|---|
 |
 Government |
Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Doug Jones, first elected in a 2017 special election, ran for a full term. Jones was one of two Democratic U.S. Senators running for re-election in 2020 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2016, the other being Gary Peters in Michigan.[1] Jones was widely considered the most vulnerable senator among those seeking re-election in 2020, due to the heavy Republican partisan balance in the state, with analysts predicting a Republican pickup. As was predicted, Tuberville easily defeated Jones to flip the seat back to the GOP.[2][3][4] Jones also suffered the largest margin of defeat for an incumbent U.S. Senator since Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln in 2010.
Democratic primary
The candidate filing deadline was November 8, 2019. Jones ran unopposed.[5][6]
Nominee
- Doug Jones, incumbent U.S. senator[7]
Declined
- John Rogers, state representative[8]
- Randall Woodfin, mayor of Birmingham[9] (endorsed Doug Jones)
Endorsements
Doug Jones
- U.S. senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. senator (CA) and former 2020 presidential candidate[10]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate[11]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. senator (WV)[12]
- U.S. representative
- Terri Sewell, (AL-7)[13]
- Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[14]
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham[9]
- Individuals
- Michael O'Neill, actor[13]
- Organizations
Republican primary
Nominee
- Tommy Tuberville, former Auburn Tigers football head coach[19]
Eliminated in runoff
- Jeff Sessions, former United States attorney general and former U.S. senator from Alabama[20]
Eliminated in primary
- Stanley Adair, businessman[21]
- Bradley Byrne, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 1st congressional district[22]
- Arnold Mooney, state representative
- Roy Moore, former Chief justice of the Alabama Supreme Court, former candidate for Governor of Alabama in 2006 and 2010 and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2017[23]
- Ruth Page Nelson, community activist[24]
Withdrew
- Marty Preston Hatley[25][26]
- John Merrill, Secretary of State of Alabama[27]
- Chase Anderson Romagnano, Republican candidate for Alabama's 1st congressional district and Florida's 1st congressional district in 2020[28][29]
- John Paul Serbin[30][26]
Declined
- Robert Aderholt, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 4th congressional district[31]
- Will Ainsworth, Alabama lieutenant governor[32]
- Mo Brooks, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 5th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2017[33]
- Will Dismukes, state representative[34]
- Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative for Florida's 1st congressional district[35]
- Del Marsh, president pro tempore of the Alabama Senate[36]
- Arthur Orr, state senator[9] (endorsed Bradley Byrne)
- Martha Roby, incumbent U.S. representative for Alabama's 2nd congressional district[37]
- Heather Whitestone, former Miss America[38][39]
Endorsements
Bradley Byrne (eliminated)
- State officials
- Tom Butler, State Senator and former State Representative (1982–1994)[40]
- Arthur Orr, State Senator[41]
Arnold Mooney (eliminated)
- Federal officials
- Mo Brooks, U.S. Representative (AL-05) and Republican candidate in the 2017 United States Senate special election in Alabama[42]
- Mike Lee, U.S. Senator (UT)[43]
- Mark Levin, former Chief of Staff to U.S. Attorney General Edwin Meese and U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Education[42]
- Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (KY)[44]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Erick Erickson, blogger[42]
Jeff Sessions (eliminated)
- Federal officials
- John Ashcroft, former U.S. Attorney General (2001-2005)[45]
- John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (WY)[46][47]
- Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (MO) and former U.S. representative (MO-07) (1997–2011)[46][47]
- John Boozman, U.S. Senator (AR) and former U.S. Representative (AR-03) (2001–2011)[46][47]
- Mike Crapo, U.S. Senator (ID) and former U.S. representative (ID-02) (1993–1999)[46][47]
- Mike Enzi, U.S. Senator (WY)[46][47]
- Deb Fischer, U.S. Senator (NE)[46][47]
- Jim Inhofe, U.S. Senator (OK) and former U.S. representative (R-OK-01) (1987–1994)[46][47]
- Johnny Isakson, former U.S. Senator (GA) (2005–2019) and U.S. Representative (R-GA-06) (1999–2005)[46][47]
- Ron Johnson, U.S. Senator (WI)[46][47]
- Pat Roberts, U.S. Senator (KS) and former U.S. Representative (KS-01) (1981–1997)[46][47]
- Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (AL) and former U.S. Representative (AL-07) (1979–1987)[48][46][47]
- Organizations
- National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund[49]
- Individuals
- Tucker Carlson, journalist and political commentator[50]
Tommy Tuberville
Federal Officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[51]
State officials
- Will Ainsworth, Lieutenant Governor[52]
- Tom Whatley, State Senator[53]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team[56]
- Sean Spicer, former White House Press Secretary (2017)[57]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Stanley Adair |
Mo Brooks |
Bradley Byrne |
Del Marsh |
John Merrill |
Arnold Mooney |
Roy Moore |
Ruth Page Nelson |
Gary Palmer |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] | February 18–19, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | <1% | 5% | – | – | 29% | 32% | <1% | 15% |
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] | February 10–12, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4% | <1% | – | 17% | – | – | 1% | 6% | <1% | – | 34% | 29% | – | 15% |
| Harper Polling[upper-alpha 2] | February 8–9, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 3.97% | – | – | 26% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 24% | – | 14% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | 31% | 29% | 2% | 16% |
| OnMessage[upper-alpha 3] | January 13–15, 2020 | 700 (LV) | ± 2.5% | – | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | 21% | – | – |
| OnMessage[upper-alpha 3] | December 3–5, 2019 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | – | – | 14% | – | – | 1% | 7% | 1% | – | 44% | 21% | – | 12% |
| Cherry Communications[upper-alpha 4] | December 1–3, 2019 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 1% | – | 12% | – | – | 1% | 8% | – | – | 35% | 31% | – | – |
| Merrill withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Filing deadline, by which Palmer had not declared his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Nelson and Sessions announce their candidacies | ||||||||||||||||
| WPA Intelligence[upper-alpha 1] | October 29–31, 2019 | 511 (V) | ± 4.4% | – | – | 11% | – | 6% | 2% | 11% | – | – | 36% | 23% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 10–12, 2019 | 536 (LV) | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | 9% | 2% | 11% | – | – | – | 32% | – | 28% |
| Tommy for Senate[upper-alpha 5] | Released on October 5, 2019 |
– (LV)[lower-alpha 2] | – | 1% | – | 13% | – | 9% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 36% | – | 26% |
| Moore Information[upper-alpha 6] | August 11–13, 2019 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | – | 17% | – | 13% | 1% | 15% | – | – | – | 33% | 3% | 17% |
| Merrill announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Cygnal | June 22–23, 2019 | 612 (LV) | 4.0% | – | – | 21% | – | 12% | 2% | 13% | – | – | – | 29% | – | 22% |
| – | – | 13% | – | 8% | – | 9% | – | – | 29% | 21% | – | – | ||||
| Moore announces his candidacy | ||||||||||||||||
| Moore Information[upper-alpha 6] | June 10–11, 2019 | 650 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 16% | – | 7% | 2% | 18% | – | – | – | 23% | 6% | 28% |
| Brooks announces he will not run | ||||||||||||||||
| Marsh announces he will not run | ||||||||||||||||
| Mason-Dixon | April 9–11, 2019 | 400 (RV) | ± 5.0% | – | 18% | 13% | 4% | – | – | 27% | – | 11% | – | – | 2%[lower-alpha 3] | 25% |
| Victory Phones[upper-alpha 7] | Released in February 2019 |
400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | – | 30% | 17% | 7% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | 6% | 27% |
Primary results
Initial primary round results by county
Tuberville
- Tuberville—50–60%
- Tuberville—40–50%
- Tuberville—30–40%
- Tuberville—<30%
Sessions
- Sessions—30–40%
- Sessions—40–50%
- Sessions—50–60%
Byrne
- Byrne—30–40%
- Byrne—40–50%
- Byrne—50–60%
- Byrne—60–70%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 239,616 | 33.39% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 227,088 | 31.64% | |
| Republican | Bradley Byrne | 178,627 | 24.89% | |
| Republican | Roy Moore | 51,377 | 7.16% | |
| Republican | Ruth Page Nelson | 7,200 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Arnold Mooney | 7,149 | 1.00% | |
| Republican | Stanley Adair | 6,608 | 0.92% | |
| Total votes | 717,665 | 100.00% | ||
Runoff
The runoff for the Republican Senate nomination was planned for March 31, 2020,[59] but it was delayed until July 14 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.[60]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jeff Sessions |
Tommy Tuberville |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn University at Montgomery | July 2–9, 2020 | 558 (RV) | ± 6% | 31% | 47% | 22%[lower-alpha 4] |
| OnMessage (R)[upper-alpha 3] | May 26–27, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 43% | 49% | 8%[lower-alpha 5] |
| FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 8] | May 14–18, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 6] | – | 32% | 54% | 14%[lower-alpha 7] |
| Cygnal | May 7–10, 2020 | 607 (LV) | ± 3.98% | 32% | 55% | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 8] | March, 2020 | – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] | – | 36% | 54% | 10%[lower-alpha 9] |
| OnMessage (R)[upper-alpha 3] | March 8–9, 2020 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Cygnal | March 6–8, 2020 | 645 (LV) | + 3.86% | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| Moore Information Group[upper-alpha 6] | March 5–7, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5% | 38% | 49% | 13% |
| WT&S Consulting | March 5, 2020 | 1,234 (LV) | + 3.29% | 42% | 49% | 8%[lower-alpha 10] |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 42% | 9% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
Runoff results by county
Tuberville
- Tuberville—70–80%
- Tuberville—60–70%
- Tuberville—50–60%
Sessions
- Sessions—50–60%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 334,675 | 60.73% | |
| Republican | Jeff Sessions | 216,452 | 39.27% | |
| Total votes | 551,127 | 100.00% | ||
Independents
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[65] | Lean R (flip) | September 23, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[66] | Lean R (flip) | September 18, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[67] | Likely R (flip) | October 1, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[68] | Likely R (flip) | October 6, 2020 |
| Politico[69] | Lean R (flip) | September 9, 2020 |
| RCP[70] | Likely R (flip) | September 27, 2020 |
| Niskanen[71] | Safe R (flip) | September 15, 2020 |
| DDHQ[72] | Likely R (flip) | October 3, 2020 |
| 538[73] | Lean R (flip) | October 1, 2020 |
| Economist[74] | Likely R (flip) | October 6, 2020 |
Endorsements
Doug Jones (D)
- U.S. Senators
- Kamala Harris, U.S. Senator (CA) and 2020 vice presidential nominee[10]
- Amy Klobuchar, U.S. Senator (MN) and former 2020 presidential candidate[11]
- Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (WV)[12]
- U.S. Representative
- Terri Sewell, (AL-07)[13]
- Local officials
- Stacey Abrams, 2018 Democratic nominee for Governor of Georgia, former Minority Leader of the Georgia House of Representatives[14]
- Randall Woodfin, Mayor of Birmingham[9]
- Individuals
- Charles C. Krulak, retired Marine Corps general and former Joint Chiefs of Staff member[75] (Republican)
- Michael O'Neill, actor[13]
- Organizations
- End Citizens United[15]
- Feminist Majority PAC[76]
- Human Rights Campaign[16]
- Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs[77]
- League of Conservation Voters[17]
- National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare[78]
- National Organization for Women[18]
- Natural Resources Defense Council Action Fund[79]
- Unions
Tommy Tuberville (R)
- Federal officials
- Donald Trump, President of the United States[83]
- Ted Cruz, U.S Senator from Texas[84]
- State officials
- Will Ainsworth, Lieutenant Governor[52]
- Tom Whatley, state senator[53]
- Organizations
- Individuals
- Bruce Pearl, head coach of the Auburn Tigers men's basketball team[56]
- Sean Spicer, former White House press secretary (2017)[57]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Doug Jones (D) |
Tommy Tuberville (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swayable | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 294 (LV) | ± 8.5% | 42% | 58% | – | – |
| Data for Progress | October 27 – November 1, 2020 | 1,045 (LV) | ± 3% | 44% | 56% | 0%[lower-alpha 11] | – |
| Morning Consult | October 22–31, 2020 | 850 (LV) | ± 3% | 39% | 51% | – | – |
| Auburn University At Montgomery | October 23–28, 2020 | 853 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | 54% | 3% | – |
| Swayable | October 23–26, 2020 | 232 (LV) | ± 8.7% | 46% | 54% | – | – |
| Cygnal | October 21–23, 2020 | 645 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | 55% | – | 4% |
| Moore Information (R)[upper-alpha 6] | October 11–14, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 40% | 55% | – | – |
| FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 8] | October 11–14, 2020 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | – | 5%[lower-alpha 12] |
| Auburn University at Montgomery | September 30 – October 3, 2020 | 1,072 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 54% | 4% | – |
| Morning Consult | September 11–20, 2020 | 658 (LV) | ± (2% – 7%) | 34% | 52% | – | – |
| Morning Consult | July 24 – August 2, 2020 | 609 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 35% | 52% | 4%[lower-alpha 13] | 9% |
| Auburn University at Montgomery | July 2–9, 2020 | 567 (RV) | ± 5.1% | 36% | 44% | 7%[lower-alpha 14] | 14% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)[upper-alpha 11] | June 29 – July 2, 2020 | 509 (LV)[lower-alpha 15] | ± 3.8% | 40% | 50% | – | – |
| ALG Research (D) | June 18–22, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | 1% | 8% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 13–16, 2020 | 530 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 36% | 50% | 2%[lower-alpha 16] | 13% |
| FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 8] | May 14–18, 2020 | 601 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 44% | 47% | – | 9% |
| Mason-Dixon | February 4–6, 2020 | 625 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 42% | 50% | – | 8% |
| JMC Analytics | December 16–18, 2019 | 525 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
Hypothetical polling | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Tommy Tuberville | 1,392,076 | 60.10% | +11.76% | |
| Democratic | Doug Jones (incumbent) | 920,478 | 39.74% | -10.23% | |
| Write-in | 3,891 | 0.17% | −1.06% | ||
| Total votes | 2,316,445 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Republican gain from Democratic | |||||
By county
| County[86] | Tommy Tuberville Republican |
Doug Jones Democratic |
Write-ins Various parties |
Margin | Total votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | |
| Autauga | 19,387 | 69.97% | 8,277 | 29.87% | 43 | 0.16% | 11,110 | 40.10% | 27,707 |
| Baldwin | 80,200 | 73.34% | 28,925 | 26.45% | 225 | 0.21% | 51,275 | 46.89% | 109,350 |
| Barbour | 5,449 | 52.00% | 5,021 | 47.91% | 9 | 0.09% | 428 | 4.09% | 10,479 |
| Bibb | 7,320 | 76.40% | 2,244 | 23.42% | 17 | 0.18% | 5,076 | 52.98% | 9,581 |
| Blount | 24,163 | 87.85% | 3,290 | 11.96% | 53 | 0.19% | 20,873 | 75.89% | 27,506 |
| Bullock | 1,108 | 24.09% | 3,490 | 75.87% | 2 | 0.04% | -2,382 | -51.78% | 4,600 |
| Butler | 5,232 | 55.45% | 4,193 | 44.44% | 11 | 0.12% | 1,039 | 11.01% | 9,436 |
| Calhoun | 33,936 | 66.78% | 16,808 | 33.07% | 77 | 0.15% | 17,128 | 33.71% | 50,821 |
| Chambers | 8,312 | 54.56% | 6,908 | 45.35% | 14 | 0.09% | 1,404 | 9.21% | 15,234 |
| Cherokee | 10,122 | 82.62% | 2,112 | 17.24% | 17 | 0.14% | 8,010 | 65.38% | 12,251 |
| Chilton | 15,708 | 81.69% | 3,499 | 18.20% | 22 | 0.11% | 12,209 | 63.49% | 19,229 |
| Choctaw | 4,188 | 56.47% | 3,225 | 43.49% | 3 | 0.04% | 963 | 12.98% | 7,416 |
| Clarke | 7,061 | 53.95% | 6,017 | 45.98% | 9 | 0.07% | 1,044 | 7.97% | 13,087 |
| Clay | 5,454 | 79.01% | 1,441 | 20.87% | 8 | 0.12% | 4,013 | 58.14% | 6,903 |
| Cleburne | 6,321 | 88.17% | 843 | 11.76% | 5 | 0.07% | 5,478 | 76.41% | 7,169 |
| Coffee | 16,400 | 73.95% | 5,753 | 25.94% | 25 | 0.11% | 10,647 | 48.01% | 22,178 |
| Colbert | 18,320 | 65.94% | 9,408 | 33.86% | 53 | 0.19% | 8,912 | 32.08% | 27,781 |
| Conecuh | 3,294 | 51.50% | 3,098 | 43.44% | 4 | 0.06% | 196 | 8.06% | 6,396 |
| Coosa | 3,559 | 65.10% | 1,899 | 34.74% | 9 | 0.16% | 1,660 | 30.36% | 5,467 |
| Covington | 14,120 | 81.37% | 3,214 | 18.52% | 19 | 0.11% | 10,906 | 62.85% | 17,353 |
| Crenshaw | 4,671 | 70.89% | 1,910 | 28.99% | 8 | 0.12% | 2,761 | 41.90% | 6,589 |
| Cullman | 35,949 | 86.14% | 5,693 | 13.64% | 93 | 0.22% | 30,256 | 72.50% | 41,735 |
| Dale | 13,653 | 69.51% | 5,955 | 30.32% | 33 | 0.17% | 7,698 | 39.19% | 19,641 |
| Dallas | 5,298 | 29.74% | 12,503 | 70.18% | 15 | 0.08% | -7,205 | -40.44% | 17,816 |
| DeKalb | 23,940 | 81.86% | 5,253 | 17.96% | 53 | 0.18% | 18,687 | 63.90% | 29,246 |
| Elmore | 29,459 | 72.00% | 11,399 | 27.86% | 60 | 0.15% | 18,060 | 44.14% | 40,918 |
| Escambia | 10,417 | 65.80% | 5,400 | 34.11% | 14 | 0.09% | 5,017 | 31.69% | 15,831 |
| Etowah | 34,351 | 72.18% | 13,145 | 27.62% | 93 | 0.20% | 21,206 | 44.56% | 47,589 |
| Fayette | 7,088 | 81.00% | 1,651 | 18.87% | 12 | 0.14% | 5,437 | 62.13% | 8,751 |
| Franklin | 9,856 | 78.97% | 2,605 | 20.87% | 20 | 0.16% | 7,251 | 58.10% | 12,481 |
| Geneva | 10,382 | 82.91% | 2,122 | 16.95% | 18 | 0.14% | 8,260 | 65.96% | 12,522 |
| Greene | 816 | 17.07% | 3,962 | 82.90% | 1 | 0.02% | -3,146 | -65.83% | 4,779 |
| Hale | 3,090 | 39.21% | 4,786 | 60.74% | 4 | 0.05% | -1,696 | -21.53% | 7,880 |
| Henry | 6,399 | 68.95% | 2,872 | 30.95% | 9 | 0.10% | 3,527 | 38.00% | 9,280 |
| Houston | 31,462 | 68.35% | 14,494 | 31.49% | 77 | 0.17% | 16,968 | 36.86% | 46,033 |
| Jackson | 18,888 | 80.36% | 4,587 | 19.52% | 29 | 0.12% | 14,301 | 60.84% | 23,504 |
| Jefferson | 134,314 | 41.26% | 190,644 | 58.57% | 552 | 0.17% | -56,330 | -17.31% | 325,510 |
| Lamar | 6,088 | 85.00% | 1,071 | 14.95% | 3 | 0.04% | 5,017 | 70.05% | 7,162 |
| Lauderdale | 30,071 | 68.29% | 13,874 | 31.51% | 88 | 0.20% | 16,197 | 36.78% | 44,033 |
| Lawrence | 11,710 | 73.40% | 4,211 | 26.39% | 33 | 0.21% | 7,499 | 47.01% | 15,954 |
| Lee | 41,154 | 57.76% | 29,986 | 42.08% | 114 | 0.16% | 11,168 | 15.68% | 71,254 |
| Limestone | 33,364 | 68.04% | 15,584 | 31.78% | 90 | 0.18% | 17,780 | 36.26% | 49,038 |
| Lowndes | 1,766 | 25.90% | 5,051 | 74.07% | 2 | 0.03% | -3,285 | -48.17% | 6,819 |
| Macon | 1,481 | 16.99% | 7,224 | 82.87% | 12 | 0.14% | -5,743 | -65.88% | 8,717 |
| Madison | 99,181 | 51.10% | 94,458 | 48.67% | 443 | 0.23% | 4,723 | 2.43% | 194,082 |
| Marengo | 5,166 | 47.56% | 5,687 | 52.36% | 9 | 0.08% | -521 | -4.80% | 10,862 |
| Marion | 11,897 | 86.46% | 1,847 | 13.42% | 16 | 0.12% | 10,050 | 73.04% | 13,760 |
| Marshall | 32,086 | 81.22% | 7,336 | 18.57% | 83 | 0.21% | 24,750 | 62.65% | 39,505 |
| Mobile | 96,320 | 52.73% | 86,034 | 47.10% | 315 | 0.17% | 10,286 | 5.63% | 182,669 |
| Monroe | 5,906 | 55.50% | 4,719 | 44.35% | 16 | 0.15% | 1,187 | 11.15% | 10,641 |
| Montgomery | 32,221 | 32.57% | 66,592 | 67.31% | 125 | 0.13% | -34,371 | -34.74% | 98,938 |
| Morgan | 38,280 | 71.55% | 15,108 | 28.24% | 111 | 0.21% | 23,172 | 43.31% | 53,499 |
| Perry | 1,274 | 24.42% | 3,943 | 75.58% | 0 | 0.00% | -2,669 | -51.16% | 5,217 |
| Pickens | 5,439 | 56.40% | 4,193 | 43.48% | 11 | 0.11% | 1,246 | 12.92% | 9,643 |
| Pike | 7,777 | 56.31% | 6,020 | 43.59% | 14 | 0.10% | 1,757 | 12.72% | 13,811 |
| Randolph | 8,400 | 77.98% | 2,362 | 21.93% | 10 | 0.09% | 6,038 | 56.05% | 10,772 |
| Russell | 9,383 | 44.14% | 11,853 | 55.77% | 19 | 0.09% | -2,470 | -11.63% | 21,255 |
| Shelby | 77,836 | 67.87% | 36,606 | 31.92% | 236 | 0.21% | 41,230 | 35.95% | 114,678 |
| St. Clair | 35,426 | 79.89% | 8,844 | 19.94% | 76 | 0.17% | 26,582 | 59.95% | 44,346 |
| Sumter | 1,550 | 24.77% | 4,705 | 75.18% | 3 | 0.05% | -3,155 | -50.41% | 6,258 |
| Talladega | 21,726 | 60.99% | 13,855 | 38.89% | 44 | 0.12% | 7,871 | 22.10% | 35,625 |
| Tallapoosa | 14,668 | 70.04% | 6,255 | 29.87% | 20 | 0.10% | 8,413 | 40.17% | 20,943 |
| Tuscaloosa | 49,347 | 54.87% | 40,404 | 44.92% | 190 | 0.21% | 8,943 | 9.95% | 89,941 |
| Walker | 25,016 | 80.54% | 5,978 | 19.25% | 65 | 0.21% | 19,038 | 61.29% | 31,059 |
| Washington | 6,162 | 69.98% | 2,635 | 29.92% | 9 | 0.10% | 3,527 | 40.06% | 8,806 |
| Wilcox | 1,779 | 30.26% | 4,095 | 69.65% | 5 | 0.09% | -2,316 | -39.39% | 5,879 |
| Winston | 9,915 | 88.29% | 1,302 | 11.59% | 13 | 0.12% | 8,613 | 76.70% | 11,230 |
| Total | 1,392,076 | 60.10% | 920,478 | 39.74% | 3,891 | 0.17% | 471,598 | 20.36% | 2,316,445 |
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
The following counties voted for Doug Jones over Republican Roy Moore in the 2017 special election, but flipped to supporting Republican Tommy Tuberville in the 2020 election. In the 2017 election, Jones won several traditionally Republican counties while also driving up margins and turnout in traditionally Democratic counties: he added onto massive margins in Birmingham and Montgomery with narrow wins in the state's other, previously more conservative metropolitan areas, such as Huntsville, Mobile, and Tuscaloosa, alongside several other small counties encircling the Black Belt.[87] Jones' win, though attributable to a spike in Democratic turnout and a decline in Republican turnout, was primarily reliant on allegations of child sexual abuse and pedophilia against Moore, resulting in several prominent Republicans rescinding their endorsements.[88][89][90] With Tuberville lacking such controversies, the state swung hard into the Republican column in 2020,[91] and he flipped 12 counties Jones won in 2017, listed below. Jones only won the 13 counties won by Joe Biden in the concurrent 2020 presidential election, and his victories in Jefferson County (Birmingham) and Montgomery County (Montgomery) were insufficient to overcome Tuberville's performance in the rest of the state.
- Barbour (largest city: Eufaula)
- Butler (largest city: Greenville)
- Chambers (largest city: Valley)
- Choctaw (largest town: Butler)
- Clarke (largest city: Jackson)
- Conecuh (largest city: Evergreen)
- Lee (largest city: Auburn)
- Madison (largest city: Huntsville)
- Mobile (largest city: Mobile)
- Pickens (largest city: Aliceville)
- Talladega (largest city: Talladega)
- Tuscaloosa (largest city: Tuscaloosa)
Notes
- Partisan clients and other notes
- The Club for Growth is a PAC supporting the Donald Trump 2020 presidential campaign and has also endorsed Tuberville
- Poll sponsored by the Bradley Byrne campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Jeff Sessions campaign
- Poll sponsored by FarmPAC
- Internal poll from Tuberville's campaign
- Poll sponsored by the Tommy Tuberville campaign.
- Poll produced, according to Mo Brooks, by a group attempting to persuade him to enter this race
- Poll sponsored by Jones' campaign.
- Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
- Standard VI response
- Poll sponsored by the Club for Growth, which supports exclusively Republican candidates.
- "Jones does not deserve to be re-elected" with 48% as opposed to "Jones deserves to be re-elected"
- Voter samples
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Not yet released
- Tim James with 2%
- Undecided with 22%
- Undecided with 8%
- Not yet released
- Undecided with 14%
- Not yet released
- Undecided with 10%
- Undecided with 8%
- "Other candidate or write-in" with 0%
- Includes "Refused"
- "Someone else" with 4%
- "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Parrish (I) with 2%
- "Write-in candidate" with 7%
- Parrish (I) with 3%
References
- Simone Pathé (January 31, 2019). "Trump won Michigan in 2016. Does that matter for Gary Peters in 2020?". Roll Call.
- CNN, David Wright (August 20, 2020). "Vulnerable Democratic senator gets first outside spending support in Alabama". CNN. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- Everett, Burgess; Arkin, James (May 3, 2020). "Democrats leave Doug Jones hanging as Senate map takes shape". Politico. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- Panetta, Grace (September 18, 2020). "Democratic Sen. Doug Jones faces a tough reelection fight against Tommy Tuberville in Alabama". Business Insider. Retrieved September 19, 2020.
- "United States Senate election in Alabama, 2020 (March 3 Democratic primary)". ballotpedia.org. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
- "Candidates file 2020 papers as Alabama qualifying window closes". WSFA 12 News. November 8, 2019. Retrieved January 13, 2020.
- Cohen, Zach [@Zachary_Cohen] (November 13, 2018). "#ALsen Doug Jones (D) confirms he'll seek reelection in 2020. "Already off and running."" (Tweet). Retrieved November 14, 2018 – via Twitter.
- Ross, Sean (August 21, 2019). "State Rep. John Rogers not running for U.S. Senate, says Jones showing 'conservatism' but not racist". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved August 22, 2019.
- Gore, Leada (December 14, 2017). "Alabama Senate race: Who could challenge Doug Jones in 2020?". AL.com. Retrieved December 16, 2017.
- "California's Kamala Harris raising money for Doug Jones based on Sessions opposition". November 7, 2019.
- "Klobuchar fundraises for Doug Jones following Roy Moore Senate run". The Hill. June 20, 2019. Retrieved July 3, 2019.
- Arkin, James (October 23, 2019). "Doug Jones is the Senate's most vulnerable incumbent. But he doesn't seem to care". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
- Vollers, Anna Claire (September 8, 2019). "Doug Jones kicks off 2020 campaign in Birmingham". AL.com.
- James Varney. "Stacey Abrams passes on 2020 run, turns focus to voter access with Fair Fight". The Washington Times.
- Muller, Tiffany (August 27, 2019). "End Citizens United Endorses Four U.S. senators for Reelection". End Citizens United.
- Acosta, Lucas (January 23, 2020). "HRC Announces Senate Endorsements in Effort to Achieve Pro-Equality Majority". Human Rights Campaign.
- Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Doug Jones for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved March 16, 2019.
- "2020 Federal Endorsements - NOW PAC". nowpac.org.
- Cason, Mike (April 6, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville running for U.S. Senate". The Birmingham News. Retrieved April 6, 2019.
- James Arkin; Alex Isenstadt; Marianne Levine (November 7, 2019). "Standing between Jeff Sessions and the Senate is a certain Donald Trump". Politico. Retrieved November 7, 2019.
- Moseley, Brandon (November 20, 2019). "Adair says that GOP should be extremely concerned about losses in gubernatorial races in Louisiana and Kentucky". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
- "South Alabama Congressman Bradley Byrne announces run for US Senate in 2020". WPMI. February 20, 2019. Retrieved February 20, 2019.
- Clark, Dartunorro; Hillyard, Vaughn (December 9, 2020). "Roy Moore, who lost Alabama Senate race after allegations of sexual misconduct, announces another run for the seat". NBC News. Retrieved December 11, 2020.
- "EDITORIAL: Sessions' entry sets up wild GOP Senate race". The Gadsen Times. November 12, 2019. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
- Moseley, Brandon (July 15, 2019). "Tuberville discusses the issues with APR". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "The Green Papers: 2019 General Election". The Green Papers. May 14, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Britt, Bill (December 1, 2019). "Merrill suspends Senate campaign". Alabama Political Reporter. Retrieved December 1, 2019.
- "FILING FEC-1336026". FEC. May 15, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- "MISCELLANEOUS TEXT (FEC FORM 99)" (PDF). FEC. September 2, 2019. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Stephens, Glenn (July 16, 2019). "Jones, Byrne Lead in Fundraising Among Candidates in 2020 US Senate Race". WBHM. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
- Howell, Ed (August 18, 2019). "GOP sets Oct. 8 as start of qualifying". Daily Mountain Eagle. Retrieved August 18, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (April 11, 2019). "Ainsworth will not run for the U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 11, 2019.
- Arkin, James (May 3, 2019). "Brooks closes door on Alabama Senate race". Politico Pro. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) shut the door on a potential Senate bid Friday morning in a local radio interview. "I will not be running for the U.S. Senate in 2020," Brooks said on WZRR-FM in Birmingham.
- "Rumors and Rumblings 2nd Ed. Vol. V". Yellowhammer News. May 3, 2019. Retrieved May 3, 2019.
- Little, Jim (April 5, 2019). "Matt Gaetz says he's not running for Alabama Senate seat against Doug Jones". Pensacola News Journal. Retrieved April 5, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (April 22, 2019). "Del Marsh not running for U.S. Senate in 2020". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved April 22, 2019.
- Bowman, Bridget (February 20, 2019). "Alabama Republicans don't see Roy Moore redux as Senate primary kicks off". Roll Call. Retrieved February 21, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (March 21, 2019). "Miss America '95 'praying about' Alabama U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News. Retrieved March 21, 2019.
- Ross, Sean (June 20, 2019). "Former Miss America Heather Whitestone McCallum rules out Alabama 2020 U.S. Senate bid". Yellowhammer News.
- Writer, Staff (January 25, 2020). "Bradley Byrne receives multiple endorsements this week for US Senate". Alabama Today.
- Poor, Jeff (June 23, 2019). "State Sen. Arthur Orr: Bradley Byrne 'would do the best job' for the state as U.S. Senator". Yellowhammer News.
- "Endorsements". Arnold Mooney for U.S. Senate.
- "Utah Sen. Mike Lee endorses Mooney in Alabama's U.S. Senate race". Yellowhammer News. May 22, 2019.
- "Rand Paul endorses Arnold Mooney for Senate - 'True freedom-loving conservative'". Yellowhammer News. October 31, 2019.
- "Former Attorney General John Ashcroft endorses Jeff Sessions". Alabama Political Reporter. July 14, 2020.
- Frazin, Rachel (November 8, 2019). "Eleven GOP senators sign open letter backing Sessions's comeback bid". The Hill.
- Pappas, Alex (November 8, 2019). "Jeff Sessions endorsed by slew of GOP senators, amid effort to make peace with Trump". Fox News.
- McKinless, Thomas (November 7, 2019). "Watch: Shelby endorses Sessions for return to Senate" – via www.rollcall.com.
- "NRA endorses Sessions over Tuberville in Senate runoff". AL.com. The Associated Press. March 14, 2020.
- "Jeff Sessions on His Tight Senate Runoff Race Against Tommy Tuberville". Yahoo! News. July 7, 2020.
- Wu, Nicholas (March 10, 2020). "Trump endorses Jeff Sessions' opponent, Tommy Tuberville, in Alabama Senate runoff". USA Today.
- "Ainsworth endorses Tuberville for U.S. Senate - 'The tough fighter that Alabama needs'". July 10, 2020.
- "Conservative Alabama State Senator Tom Whatley Endorses Tommy Tuberville for United States Senate". October 2, 2019.
- Arkin, James. "Club for Growth spurns Sessions, endorses Tuberville in Alabama". Politico.
- "National Association for Gun Rights endorses Tuberville". Alabama Political Reporter. July 8, 2020.
- Ross, Sean. "Pearl: 'Senator Tuberville said he's got Israel and the Second Amendment covered' (VIDEO)". Yellowhammer News.
- Burke, Holly (March 13, 2019). "Tommy Tuberville opens up about running for U.S. Senate, Sean Spicer and the need for 'patriots'". Alabama Media Group. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
- "Primary Election - March 3, 2020". Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved March 19, 2020.
- Zhou, Li (March 4, 2020). "The Alabama Republican Senate runoff is bad news for Jeff Sessions". Vox. Retrieved March 11, 2020.
- Arkin, James (March 18, 2020). "Alabama Senate runoff postponed until July". Politico. Retrieved March 18, 2020.
- "Alabama 2020 General Election". thegreenpapers.com.
- "Alabama - Senate". FEC. March 31, 2020. Retrieved May 22, 2020.
- "2020 Election Information". Alabama Secretary of State. August 29, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- "Marcus Jejaun Williams (Alabama)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved May 17, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Why the Democrats are our narrow favourites to win the Senate". The Economist. September 23, 2020. Retrieved September 24, 2020.
- "Retired U.S. Marines general endorses Doug Jones". October 20, 2020.
- "2020 – Feminist Majority PAC". feministmajoritypac.org.
- "Meet the 2020 Candidates". Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs.
- "Candidates We Endorse and Support". NCPSSM.
- "Six Environmental Champions Win NRDC Action Fund Endorsements". www.nrdcactionfund.org. May 18, 2020.
- "AL AFL-CIO 2020 Special C.O.P.E. Convention". alaflcio.com. Alabama AFL-CIO. August 7, 2020.
- "IFPTE Releases Its 2020 Congressional Endorsements". ifpte.org. International Federation of Professional and Technical Engineers. July 6, 2020.
- "Alabama – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers.
- "Trump endorses Tuberville over Jeff Sessions ahead of Alabama runoff". CNN. March 11, 2020. Retrieved August 30, 2020.
- @tedcruz (October 22, 2020). "In Alabama, the left is waging an assault against @TTuberville to prop up Doug Jones... Alabama deserves better! Join me in supporting Coach and fighting back against the attacks: secure.winred.com/tommytuberville/pg-tw-cruz" (Tweet). Retrieved October 24, 2020 – via Twitter.
- "State of Alabama - Canvass of Results -" (PDF). Alabama Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2020.
- "State of Alabama Canvass of Results General Election November 3, 2020" (PDF). Alabama Secretary of State. November 3, 2020. Archived (PDF) from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
- Bloch, Matthew; Cohn, Nate; Katz, Josh; Lee, Jasmine (December 12, 2017). "Alabama Election Results: Doug Jones Defeats Roy Moore in U.S. Senate Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- Ball, Molly (December 13, 2017). "How Doug Jones Beat Roy Moore and Shocked the World". Time. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "Roy Moore losing GOP endorsements after new accusations". WTHR. November 14, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
- "McConnell: Moore must quit. Senate GOP campaign chief: Expel him". NBC News. Associated Press. November 13, 2017. Retrieved January 19, 2021.CS1 maint: others (link)
- Foran, Clare (November 3, 2020). "Democrat Doug Jones loses Alabama Senate seat to Republican Tommy Tuberville". CNN. Retrieved January 19, 2021.
Further reading
- Amber Phillips (October 9, 2020). "The Senate seats most likely to flip parties in November". Washingtonpost.com.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association. "Alabama". Voting & Elections Toolkits.
- "Alabama: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links". Vote.org. Oakland, CA.
- "League of Women Voters of Alabama". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Alabama at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.