2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island
The 2020 United States presidential election in Rhode Island was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated.[2] Rhode Island voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Rhode Island has four electoral votes in the Electoral College.[3]
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| Elections in Rhode Island |
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Rhode Island became one of three states where Biden won every county during the election, the other two being Massachusetts and Hawaii. Biden won the reliably Democratic county of Kent that Trump flipped Republican in 2016. Of the fourteen towns that voted for Trump in 2016, Biden flipped back three: Lincoln, Richmond, and West Warwick.
Rhode Island was one of sixteen states where President Trump received less percentage of the vote than he did in the 2016 election.[lower-alpha 1]
Primary elections
The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 28, 2020. On March 23, they were moved to June 2 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.[4]
Republican primary
Donald Trump won the Republican primary, and received all of the state's 19 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.[5]
Democratic primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates[7] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | 79,728 | 76.7% | 25 |
| Bernie Sanders (suspended) | 15,525 | 14.9% | 1 |
| Elizabeth Warren (withdrawn) | 4,479 | 4.3% | |
| Andrew Yang (withdrawn) | 802 | 0.8% | |
| Tulsi Gabbard (withdrawn) | 651 | 0.6% | |
| Write-in | 936 | 0.9% | |
| Uncommitted | 1,861 | 1.8% | |
| Total | 103,982 | 100% | 26 |
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[8] | Safe D | September 10, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[9] | Safe D | September 4, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Safe D | July 14, 2020 |
| Politico[11] | Safe D | September 8, 2020 |
| RCP[12] | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
| Niskanen[13] | Likely D | July 26, 2020 |
| CNN[14] | Safe D | August 3, 2020 |
| The Economist[15] | Safe D | September 2, 2020 |
| CBS News[16] | Likely D | August 16, 2020 |
| 270towin[17] | Safe D | August 2, 2020 |
| ABC News[18] | Safe D | July 31, 2020 |
| NPR[19] | Likely D | August 3, 2020 |
| NBC News[20] | Likely D | August 6, 2020 |
| 538[21] | Safe D | September 9, 2020 |
Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other/ Undecided [lower-alpha 2] |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | until October 27, 2020 | October 28, 2020 | 64.3% | 31.4% | 4.3% | Biden +32.9 |
Polls
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Donald Trump Republican |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Jo Jorgensen Libertarian |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 20 – Nov 2, 2020 | 566 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 36%[lower-alpha 4] | 62% | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Oct 1–28, 2020 | 910 (LV) | – | 32% | 67% | - | – | – |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Sep 1–30, 2020 | 351 (LV) | – | 37% | 62% | - | – | 0% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Aug 1–31, 2020 | 208 (LV) | – | 41% | 57% | - | – | 3% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jul 1–31, 2020 | 253 (LV) | – | 39% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
| SurveyMonkey/Axios | Jun 8–30, 2020 | 176 (LV) | – | 40% | 60% | - | – | 1% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Joe Biden Kamala Harris |
307,486 | 59.38% | +4.97% | |
| Republican | Donald Trump Mike Pence |
199,922 | 38.61% | -0.29% | |
| Libertarian | Jo Jorgensen Spike Cohen |
5,053 | 0.98% | -2.20% | |
| Write-in | TBA | 2,759 | 0.53% | -1.50% | |
| Alliance | Rocky De La Fuente Darcy Richardson |
923 | 0.18% | +0.04% | |
| Socialism and Liberation | Gloria La Riva Sunil Freeman |
847 | 0.16% | N/A | |
| American Solidarity | Brian Carroll Amar Patel |
767 | 0.15% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 517,757 | 100.00% | |||
Results by county
| County | Biden% | Biden# | Trump% | Trump# | Others% | Others# | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol | 63.52% | 18,050 | 34.30% | 9,745 | 2.18% | 620 | 28,415 |
| Kent | 52.76% | 49,113 | 45.12% | 42,001 | 2.13% | 1,979 | 93,093 |
| Newport | 63.89% | 29,486 | 34.07% | 15,722 | 2.04% | 940 | 46,148 |
| Providence | 60.52% | 165,012 | 37.61% | 102,551 | 1.87% | 5,104 | 272,667 |
| Washington | 58.57% | 44,549 | 39.20% | 29,818 | 2.23% | 1,693 | 76,060 |
| Federal Precinct | 92.87% | 1,276 | 6.19% | 85 | 0.95% | 13 | 1,374 |
Results by municipality
| Municipality | Joe Biden | Donald Trump | Jo Jorgensen | Other | Margin | Total votes cast | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Barrington | 7,713 | 71.2% | 2,889 | 26.7% | 113 | 1.0% | 117 | 1.0% | 4,824 | 44.5% | 10,832 |
| Bristol | 6,813 | 58.4% | 4,595 | 39.4% | 139 | 1.2% | 110 | 0.9% | 2,218 | 19.0% | 11,657 |
| Burrillville | 3,434 | 40.2% | 4,906 | 57.5% | 126 | 1.5% | 72 | 0.9% | -1,472 | -17.3% | 8,538 |
| Central Falls | 3,073 | 71.9% | 1,113 | 26.1% | 25 | 0.6% | 61 | 1.4% | 1,960 | 45.8% | 4,272 |
| Charlestown | 2,909 | 55.7% | 2,198 | 42.1% | 64 | 1.2% | 49 | 1.0% | 711 | 13.6% | 5,220 |
| Coventry | 9,123 | 45.6% | 10,461 | 52.3% | 232 | 1.2% | 188 | 0.9% | -1,338 | -6.7% | 20,004 |
| Cranston | 23,039 | 56.1% | 17,313 | 42.2% | 311 | 0.8% | 390 | 1.0% | 5,726 | 13.9% | 41,053 |
| Cumberland | 10,869 | 55.2% | 8,418 | 42.8% | 206 | 1.0% | 185 | 0.9% | 2,451 | 12.4% | 19,678 |
| East Greenwich | 5,218 | 60.3% | 3,227 | 37.3% | 104 | 1.2% | 98 | 1.1% | 1,991 | 23.0% | 8,647 |
| East Providence | 14,735 | 63.6% | 7,930 | 34.3% | 204 | 0.9% | 284 | 1.3% | 6,805 | 29.3% | 23,153 |
| Exeter | 1,974 | 48.4% | 2,009 | 49.2% | 55 | 1.3% | 44 | 1.1% | -35 | -0.8% | 4,082 |
| Foster | 1,224 | 42.7% | 1,582 | 55.2% | 34 | 1.2% | 25 | 0.8% | -358 | -12.5% | 2,865 |
| Glocester | 2,638 | 43.2% | 3,351 | 54.8% | 62 | 1.0% | 62 | 1.0% | -713 | -11.6% | 6,113 |
| Hopkinton | 2,298 | 47.4% | 2,423 | 50.0% | 74 | 1.5% | 51 | 1.0% | -125 | -2.6% | 4,846 |
| Jamestown | 2,795 | 68.4% | 1,212 | 29.7% | 44 | 1.1% | 33 | 0.8% | 1,583 | 38.7% | 4,084 |
| Johnston | 6,838 | 44.8% | 8,222 | 53.9% | 88 | 0.6% | 115 | 0.8% | -1,384 | -9.1% | 15,263 |
| Lincoln | 6,633 | 52.3% | 5,779 | 45.6% | 130 | 1.0% | 129 | 1.0% | 854 | 6.7% | 12,671 |
| Little Compton | 1,524 | 60.1% | 951 | 37.5% | 28 | 1.1% | 32 | 1.2% | 573 | 22.6% | 2,535 |
| Middletown | 5,529 | 64.2% | 2,885 | 33.5% | 115 | 1.3% | 79 | 0.9% | 2,644 | 30.7% | 8,608 |
| Narragansett | 5,333 | 59.1% | 3,551 | 39.3% | 56 | 0.6% | 90 | 1.1% | 1,782 | 19.8% | 9,030 |
| New Shoreham | 748 | 78.3% | 195 | 20.4% | 4 | 0.4% | 8 | 0.8% | 553 | 57.9% | 955 |
| Newport | 7,866 | 73.4% | 2,662 | 24.9% | 85 | 0.8% | 99 | 0.9% | 5,204 | 48.5% | 10,712 |
| North Kingstown | 10,534 | 59.9% | 6,633 | 37.7% | 203 | 1.2% | 207 | 1.2% | 3,901 | 22.2% | 17,577 |
| North Providence | 9,438 | 56.0% | 7,129 | 42.3% | 145 | 0.9% | 139 | 0.8% | 2,309 | 13.7% | 16,851 |
| North Smithfield | 3,507 | 48.7% | 3,550 | 49.3% | 85 | 1.2% | 64 | 0.9% | -43 | -0.6% | 7,206 |
| Pawtucket | 18,053 | 70.0% | 7,257 | 28.1% | 188 | 0.7% | 290 | 1.2% | 10,796 | 41.9% | 25,788 |
| Portsmouth | 6,649 | 60.9% | 3,995 | 36.6% | 148 | 1.4% | 125 | 1.1% | 2,654 | 24.3% | 10,917 |
| Providence | 45,941 | 80.4% | 10,186 | 17.8% | 346 | 0.6% | 694 | 1.2% | 35,755 | 62.6% | 57,167 |
| Richmond | 2,346 | 48.8% | 2,343 | 48.7% | 66 | 1.4% | 53 | 1.1% | 3 | 0.1% | 4,808 |
| Scituate | 2,735 | 40.9% | 3,806 | 57.0% | 69 | 1.0% | 73 | 1.1% | -1,071 | -16.1% | 6,683 |
| Smithfield | 5,566 | 48.3% | 5,744 | 49.8% | 118 | 1.0% | 100 | 0.9% | -178 | -1.5% | 11,528 |
| South Kingstown | 11,254 | 67.4% | 5,003 | 30.0% | 212 | 1.3% | 219 | 1.3% | 6,251 | 37.4% | 16,688 |
| Tiverton | 5,123 | 55.1% | 4,017 | 43.2% | 84 | 0.9% | 68 | 0.7% | 1,106 | 11.9% | 9,292 |
| Warren | 3,524 | 59.5% | 2,261 | 38.2% | 74 | 1.2% | 67 | 1.1% | 1,263 | 21.3% | 5,926 |
| Warwick | 25,845 | 55.7% | 19,578 | 42.2% | 545 | 1.2% | 473 | 1.0% | 6,267 | 13.5% | 46,441 |
| West Greenwich | 1,693 | 42.3% | 2,242 | 56.0% | 41 | 1.0% | 24 | 0.6% | -549 | -13.7% | 4,000 |
| West Warwick | 7,234 | 51.7% | 6,493 | 46.4% | 143 | 1.0% | 131 | 0.9% | 741 | 5.3% | 14,001 |
| Westerly | 7,153 | 55.6% | 5,463 | 42.5% | 127 | 1.0% | 111 | 0.8% | 1,690 | 13.1% | 12,854 |
| Woonsocket | 7,289 | 52.7% | 6,265 | 45.3% | 154 | 1.1% | 130 | 0.9% | 1,024 | 7.4% | 13,838 |
| Federal Precinct | 1,276 | 92.9% | 85 | 6.2% | 6 | 0.4% | 7 | 0.5% | 1,191 | 86.7% | 1,374 |
| Totals | 307,486 | 59.4% | 199,922 | 38.6% | 5,053 | 1.0% | 5,296 | 1.0% | 107,564 | 20.8% | 517,757 |
Municipalities that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Lincoln (Providence County)
- Richmond (Washington County)
- West Warwick (Kent County)
By congressional district
Biden won both congressional districts.
| District | Trump | Biden | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 35% | 64% | David Cicilline |
| 2nd | 43% | 56% | James Langevin |
Notes
- The other fifteen states were Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Kentucky, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Tennessee, Texas and Virginia.
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - Overlapping sample with the previous SurveyMonkey/Axios poll, but more information available regarding sample size
See also
References
- "2020 General Election Statewide summary". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. Retrieved November 30, 2020.
- Kelly, Ben (August 13, 2018). "US elections key dates: When are the 2018 midterms and the 2020 presidential campaign?". The Independent. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Distribution of Electoral Votes". National Archives and Records Administration. Retrieved January 3, 2019.
- "Rhode Island is the latest state to postpone its 2020 primary as coronavirus outbreak spreads". CNBC. March 23, 2020.
- "Rhode Island Republican Delegation 2020". The Green Papers. Retrieved June 3, 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Preference Primary". State of Rhode Island Board of Elections. July 3, 2020. Retrieved October 14, 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: Rhode Island Democrat". The Green Papers. Retrieved July 8, 2020.
- "2020 POTUS Race ratings" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "POTUS Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2020 President". crystalball.centerforpolitics.org. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.
- David Chalian; Terence Burlij. "Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020". CNN. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
- "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. Retrieved July 7, 2020.
- "2020 Election Battleground Tracker". CBS News. July 12, 2020. Retrieved July 13, 2020.
- "2020 Presidential Election Interactive Map". 270 to Win.
- "ABC News Race Ratings". CBS News. July 24, 2020. Retrieved July 24, 2020.
- "2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes". NPR.org. Retrieved August 3, 2020.
- "Biden dominates the electoral map, but here's how the race could tighten". NBC News. Retrieved August 6, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved August 14, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Rhode Island", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Rhode Island: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Rhode Island". (state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Rhode Island at Ballotpedia
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