2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

The 2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 3,[1] 2020, to elect the Governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu was re-elected to a third two-year term in office.[2] Sununu's win marked the first time since 1986 that a Republican was elected to a third term as Governor, in which his father, John H. Sununu was reelected for his third and final term. The elder Sununu chose not to seek reelection in 1988, instead becoming George H.W. Bush's chief of staff in 1989.

2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Chris Sununu Dan Feltes
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 516,609 264,639
Percentage 65.1% 33.4%

Results by municipality

Governor before election

Chris Sununu
Republican

Elected Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican

Sununu became the first person ever to get more than 500,000 votes in a New Hampshire gubernatorial election.

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Karen Testerman, Franklin city councilor[4]
  • Nobody, activist formerly known as Rich Paul[5]

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu
Karen
Testerman
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 703 (LV) ± 3.7% 82% 15% 1%[lower-alpha 2] 2%
Robocent/Free Keene August 24, 2020 1,219 (RV) ± 2.8% 79% 5% 16%[lower-alpha 3]
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 475 (RV) ± 4.5% 82% 7% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 8%

Results

Results by county:
  Sununu—80–90%
  Sununu—≥90%
Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 130,703 89.67%
Republican Karen Testerman 13,589 9.32%
Republican Nobody 1,239 0.85%
Democratic Dan Feltes (write-in) 133 0.09%
Democratic Andru Volinsky (write-in) 93 0.07%
Total votes 145,757 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Dan Feltes
Local and statewide politicians
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Dan
Feltes
Andru
Volinsky
Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 839 (LV) ± 3.4% 36% 38% 4%[lower-alpha 5] 22%
Saint Anselm College August 15–17, 2020 498 (RV) ± 4.4% 22% 19% 13%[lower-alpha 6] 46%

Results

Results by county:
  Feltes—50–60%
  Volinsky—50–60%
Democratic primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan Feltes 72,318 50.90%
Democratic Andru Volinsky 65,455 46.06%
Republican Chris Sununu (write-in) 4,276 3.00%
Republican Karen Testerman (write-in) 39 0.03%
Republican Nobody (write-in) 6 0.01%
Total votes 142,094 100.0%

Other candidates

Darryl W. Perry, the Libertarian nominee

Nominee

  • Darryl W. Perry, author and candidate for U.S. president in 2016[20][21]

Did not qualify for the ballot

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[23] Safe R October 23, 2020
Inside Elections[24] Likely R October 16, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] Likely R October 8, 2020
Politico[26] Lean R September 9, 2020
Daily Kos[27] Safe R October 29, 2020
RCP[28] Likely R July 29, 2020
270towin[29] Likely R October 16, 2020

Endorsements

Dan Feltes (D)
Local and statewide politicians
Darryl W. Perry (L)
politicians

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu (R)
Dan
Feltes (D)
Other /
Undecided
American Research Group October 26–28, 2020 864 (LV) ± 4.6% 51% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 7]
University of New Hampshire October 24–28, 2020 1,889 (LV) ± 2.3% 60% 36% 3%[lower-alpha 8]
Saint Anselm College October 23–26, 2020 1,018 (LV) ± 3.1% 60% 35% 6%[lower-alpha 9]
YouGov/UMass Amherst October 16–26, 2020 757 (LV) ± 4.5% 59% 36% 5%[lower-alpha 10]
University of New Hampshire October 9–12, 2020 899 (LV) ± 3.2% 62% 37% 1%[lower-alpha 11]
Suffolk University October 8–12, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 31% 14%[lower-alpha 12]
Saint Anselm College October 1–4, 2020 1,147 (LV) ± 2.9% 58% 35% 7%[lower-alpha 13]
Emerson College September 30 – October 1, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.6% 55% 40% 5%[lower-alpha 14]
American Research Group September 25–28, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4% 52% 44% 4%[lower-alpha 15]
University of New Hampshire September 24–28, 2020 972 (LV) ± 3.1% 55% 37% 5%[lower-alpha 16]
YouGov/UMass Lowell September 17–25, 2020 657 (LV) ±  4.6% 60% 34% 7%[lower-alpha 17]
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 1,889 (LV) ± 2.3% 57% 33% 9%[lower-alpha 18]
University of New Hampshire July 16–28, 2020 1,893 (LV) ± 2.2% 59% 28% 13%[lower-alpha 19]
University of New Hampshire June 18–22, 2020 932 (LV) ± 2.8% 62% 23% 15%[lower-alpha 20]
We Ask America June 13–15, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 59% 20% 21%[lower-alpha 21]
University of New Hampshire May 14–18, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.2% 61% 21% 18%[lower-alpha 22]
University of New Hampshire February 19–25, 2020 576 (LV) ± 4.1% 56% 27% 18%[lower-alpha 23]
Emerson College September 6–9, 2019 1,041 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 37% 10%[lower-alpha 24]
Hypothetical polling
with Andru Volinsky
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Chris
Sununu
(R)
Andru
Volinsky
(D)
Other /
Undecided
University of New Hampshire August 28 – September 1, 2020 1,889 (LV) ± 2.3% 58% 32% 8%[lower-alpha 25]
University of New Hampshire July 16–28, 2020 1,893 (LV) ± 2.2% 58% 29% 13%[lower-alpha 26]
University of New Hampshire June 18–22, 2020 932 (LV) ± 2.8% 62% 22% 16%[lower-alpha 27]
University of New Hampshire May 14–18, 2020 788 (LV) ± 3.2% 61% 20% 19%[lower-alpha 28]
University of New Hampshire February 19–25, 2020 576 (LV) ± 4.1% 54% 29% 16%[lower-alpha 29]

Results

Results by county:
2020 New Hampshire gubernatorial election[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 516,609 65.12% +12.34%
Democratic Dan Feltes 264,639 33.36% -12.38%
Libertarian Darryl W. Perry 11,329 1.43% 0.00%
Write-in 683 0.09% +0.04%
Total votes 793,260 100.0%
Republican hold

See also

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. "Another candidate" with 1%
  3. Listed as "Nobody" - the answer respondents gave when asked towards which candidate they leaned
  4. "Someone else" with 3%
  5. "Another candidate" with 4%
  6. "Someone else" with 13%
  7. Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 2%
  8. Perry (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with <1%; Undecided with 1%
  9. Perry (L) and "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  10. "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  11. Perry (L) with <1%; Undecided with 1%
  12. Perry (L) with 4%; "Refused" with 2%; "Other" with no voters; Undecided with 8%
  13. Perry (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Undecided with 5%
  14. "Someone else" with 3%; Undecided with 2%
  15. Perry (L) with 0%; Undecided with 3%
  16. "Another Candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 4%
  17. "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 6%
  18. Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 8%
  19. "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  20. "Another candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 13%
  21. Undecided with 21%
  22. "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 18%
  23. "Another candidate" with 4%; Undecided with 14%
  24. Undecided with 10%
  25. Perry (L) with 1%; Undecided with 7%
  26. "Another candidate" with 1%; Undecided with 12%
  27. "Another candidate" with 2%; Undecided with 14%
  28. "Another candidate" with 0%; Undecided with 19%
  29. "Another candidate" with 3%; Undecided with 13%

References

  1. "New Hampshire gubernatorial election, 2020 (September 8 Republican primary)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved 2020-06-22.
  2. Sununu, Chris (May 15, 2019). "2020". Medium. Retrieved May 30, 2019.
  3. DiStaso [@jdistaso] (May 14, 2019). "BREAKING: .@GovChrisSununu announces he's seeking a third term as #nhgov - #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved May 14, 2019 via Twitter.
  4. "Conservative Activist Testerman To Primary Gov. Sununu". Concord, NH Patch. June 9, 2020.
  5. "Nobody". Ballotpedia. Retrieved 2020-08-24.
  6. Steinhauser, Paul (April 4, 2019). "Choices loom for Sununu, Ayotte ahead of 2020 election". Concord Monitor. Retrieved April 8, 2019.
  7. Pisani, Madelaine (April 8, 2019). "Republicans Await Sununu's 2020 Decision". National Journal. Retrieved April 9, 2019.
  8. "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  9. DiStaso, John; Sexton, Adam (September 3, 2019). "Promising to put working-class families first, Democrat Dan Feltes announces run for governor". WMUR 9. Retrieved September 3, 2019.
  10. Landrigan, Kevin (October 23, 2019). "Volinsky makes official his 2020 Democratic bid for governor". New Hampshire Union Leader. Retrieved October 24, 2019.
  11. Steinhauser, Paul (January 23, 2019). "Andru Volinsky considering 2020 run for governor". Concord Monitor. Retrieved January 25, 2019.
  12. Lahut, Jake (October 1, 2019). "Molly Kelly to sit out 2020 NH governor's race". The Keene Sentinel. Retrieved October 1, 2019.
  13. DiStaso, John (June 20, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Democrat Mindi Messmer says, 'I'm running' for Executive Council". WMUR. Retrieved June 20, 2019.
  14. "Senator Feltes Endorsed By Over 75 State Representatives". nhlabornews.com.
  15. John DiStaso. "NH Primary Source: Amherst's Chandley becomes sixth state senator to endorse Feltes for governor". wmur.com.
  16. "NH Primary Source: Energy, environmental leaders, activists endorse Feltes for governorauthor=John DiStaso". wmur.com.
  17. Dan Feltes. "Thank you, Sen. Kahn and Rep. Myler for all you do as Chairs of the House and Senate Education Committees". facebook.com.
  18. John DiStaso. "NH Primary Source: Two Laborers union locals endorse Feltes for governor". wmur.com.
  19. "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
  20. Lahut, Jake (December 5, 2019). "Keene Libertarian announces run for governor". The Keene Sentinel. Retrieved December 5, 2019.
  21. WMUR. September 3, 2020 https://www.wmur.com/article/nh-primary-source-its-official-libertarian-party-candidates-to-be-on-general-election-ballot/33908126. Missing or empty |title= (help)
  22. "2020 Election Information - NHSOS". sos.nh.gov.
  23. "2020 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 15, 2019.
  24. "Gubernatorial Ratings | Inside Elections". insideelections.com. Retrieved 2019-03-16.
  25. "2020 Governor". Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2019-08-22. Retrieved 2019-09-26.
  26. "We rated every gubernatorial race in 2020. Here's who we think will win". Politico. Retrieved November 19, 2019.
  27. "2020 Governor Race Ratings". Daily Kos. June 1, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
  28. "2020 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. June 13, 2020. Retrieved June 14, 2020.
  29. "2020 Gubernatorial Elections Map". 270towin.
  30. "Endorsements". February 16, 2020.
  31. "2020 General Election". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 6, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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