2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in New Hampshire was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the two U.S. Representatives from the state of New Hampshire, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.
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All 2 New Hampshire seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in New Hampshire |
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District 1
The 1st district is based in southeastern New Hampshire, and includes Greater Manchester, the Seacoast and the Lakes Region. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Pappas, who was elected with 53.6% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Nominee
- Chris Pappas, incumbent U.S. Representative
Endorsements
Chris Pappas
- U.S. Presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
- Organizations
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 70,643 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 70,643 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Matt Mowers, former executive director of the New Hampshire Republican Party and former U.S. State Department staffer[7]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
- William Fowler, state representative (endorsed Mowers)[10]
Declined
- Eddie Edwards, former police chief of South Hampton, former chief of the New Hampshire State Division of Liquor Enforcement, and nominee for New Hampshire's 1st congressional district in 2018[11]
Endorsements
Matt Mowers
- Federal officials
- Kevin McCarthy, House Minority Leader and Representative for California's 23rd congressional district[12]
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017-present)[13]
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States[14]
- Organizations
- Tea Party Express, conservative PAC[15]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Matt Mayberry | Matt Mowers | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 323 (LV) | – | 17% | 48% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 34% |
| Saint Anselm College | August 15–17, 2020 | 261 (RV) | ± 6.1% | 12% | 23% | 8%[lower-alpha 3] | 57% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Matt Mowers | 41,100 | 59.4 | |
| Republican | Matt Mayberry | 18,479 | 26.7 | |
| Republican | Kevin Rondeau | 4,203 | 6.1 | |
| Republican | Jeff Denaro | 2,723 | 3.9 | |
| Republican | Michael Callis | 2,703 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 69,208 | 100.0 | ||
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Likely D | August 14, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[19] | Likely D | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Likely D | October 8, 2020 |
| Politico[21] | Lean D | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[22] | Likely D | October 26, 2020 |
| RCP[23] | Lean D | June 9, 2020 |
| Niskanen[24] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Chris Pappas (D) |
Matt Mowers (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 50% | 2%[lower-alpha 4] | 0% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 23–26, 2020 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 49% | 44% | 2%[lower-alpha 5] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 9–12, 2020 | 477 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 53% | 43% | 1%[lower-alpha 6] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 1–4, 2020 | 595 (LV) | ± 4% | 49% | 41% | 3%[lower-alpha 7] | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 24–28, 2020 | 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 56% | 38% | 2%[lower-alpha 8] | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 925 (LV) | – | 52% | 34% | 2%[lower-alpha 9] | 12% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Chris Pappas (incumbent) | 205,606 | 51.32 | |
| Republican | Matt Mowers | 185,159 | 46.21 | |
| Libertarian | Zachary Dumont | 9,747 | 2.43 | |
| N/A | Scatter | 149 | 0.04 | |
| Total votes | 400,661 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
District 2
The 2nd district encompasses western and northern New Hampshire, and includes the cities of Nashua and Concord. The incumbent is Democrat Ann McLane Kuster, who was re-elected with 55.3% of the vote in 2018.[1]
Nominee
- Ann McLane Kuster, incumbent U.S. Representative[26]
Eliminated in primary
- Joseph Mirzoeff[27]
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 71,358 | 92.8 | |
| Democratic | Joseph Mirzoeff | 5,500 | 7.2 | |
| Total votes | 76,858 | 100.0 | ||
Nominee
- Steve Negron, former state representative and nominee for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2018
Eliminated in primary
- Matthew Bjelobrk, Haverhill town selectman[27]
- Lynne Blankenbeker, former state representative and candidate for New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district in 2018[28]
- Eli Clemmer, school media specialist[29][30]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Lynn Blankenbeker | Steve Negron | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 367 (LV) | – | 20% | 50% | 1%[lower-alpha 10] | 29% |
| Saint Anselm College | August 15–17, 2020 | 216 (RV) | ± 6.7% | 15% | 37% | 4%[lower-alpha 11] | 44% |
Primary results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Negron | 30,503 | 48.3 | |
| Republican | Lynne Blankenbeker | 24,464 | 38.7 | |
| Republican | Matthew Bjelobrk | 4,381 | 6.9 | |
| Republican | Eli Clemmer | 3,850 | 6.1 | |
| Total votes | 63,198 | 100.0 | ||
Endorsements
Ann McLane Kuster (D)
- U.S. Presidents
- Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States (2009–2017), U.S. Senator from Illinois (2005–2008)[2]
- Local officials
- Pete Buttigieg, former Mayor of South Bend, Indiana (2012–2020) and former candidate for 2020 Democratic presidential nomination[31]
- Organizations
Steve Negron (R)
Declared
- Andrew Olding[27]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[18] | Safe D | August 5, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[19] | Safe D | August 7, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] | Likely D | July 23, 2020 |
| Politico[21] | Likely D | July 6, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[22] | Safe D | July 21, 2020 |
| RCP[23] | Lean D | October 24, 2020 |
| Niskanen[24] | Safe D | July 26, 2020 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Ann Kuster (D) |
Steve Negron (R) |
Andrew Olding (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | October 24–28, 2020 | 451 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 51% | 41% | 7% | 0%[lower-alpha 12] | 1% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 23–26, 2020 | 458 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | 3% | 1%[lower-alpha 13] | 3% |
| University of New Hampshire | October 9–12, 2020 | 410 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 49% | 45% | 2% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 3% |
| Saint Anselm College | October 1–4, 2020 | 552 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 52% | 38% | 4% | 2%[lower-alpha 14] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | September 24–28, 2020 | 463 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 42% | 5% | 0%[lower-alpha 2] | 5% |
| University of New Hampshire | August 28 – September 1, 2020 | 917 (LV) | – | 52% | 40% | 2% | 3%[lower-alpha 15] | 4% |
Hypothetical polling | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Ann McLane Kuster (incumbent) | 207,863 | 53.91 | |
| Republican | Steve Negron | 168,491 | 43.70 | |
| Libertarian | Andrew Olding | 9,093 | 2.36 | |
| N/A | Scatter | 147 | 0.04 | |
| Total votes | 385,594 | 100.0 | ||
| Democratic hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Another candidate" with 0%
- "Someone else" with 8%
- Dumont (L) with 2%; "Other" with no voters
- Dumont (L) and "Someone else" with 1%
- Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
- Olding (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%
- Dumont (L) with 2%; "Another Candidate" with no voters
- Dumont (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Another candidate" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 4%
- "Other" with no voters
- "Someone else" with 1%
- "Someone else" with 2%
- "Another candidate" with 3%
- "Another candidate" with 3%; Olding (L) with 2%
References
- Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- "Second Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (June 5, 2019). "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of 2020 Environmental Majority Makers". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- Imse, Elliot (November 26, 2019). "Victory Fund Endorses 39 LGBTQ Candidates for 2019 and 2020". Retrieved March 25, 2020.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
- "2020 State Primary Democratic State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- Sexton, Adam (August 26, 2020). "Republicans Mayberry, Mowers push for chance to unseat Pappas in First Congressional District". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- Markos, Mary (August 21, 2020). "2020 Voter's Guide: How to Cast a Ballot in New England During the Pandemic". New England Cable News. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- DiStaso, John (December 5, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Republican Matt Mayberry says he'll run for 1st District US House seat". WMUR 9. Retrieved December 9, 2019.
- DiStaso, John (April 9, 2020). "NH Primary Source: Fowler ends US House campaign, endorses Mowers". WMUR. WMUR9.
- DiStaso, John (January 17, 2019). "NH Primary Source: Eddie Edwards is being urged to run again for US House". WMUR. Retrieved February 15, 2019.
- DiStaso, John (June 1, 2020). "US House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy endorses Matt Mowers in 1st Congressional District race". WMUR.
- report, Staff. "Trump endorses Mowers in Republican primary". UnionLeader.com.
- DiStaso, John (June 12, 2020). "Trump gives 'Complete and Total Endorsement' to former appointee Mowers in 1st US House District". WMUR.
- "Tea Party Express Endorses Matt Mowers for Congress in New Hampshire". Insider NJ.
- "2020 State Primary Republican State Primary". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved September 16, 2020.
- DiStaso, John (August 27, 2020). "Libertarian Party says it has enough certified petitions for its candidates to appear on Nov. ballot". WMUR 9. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 3, 2019.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
- Gardner, William M. (November 19, 2020). "2020 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State. Retrieved November 22, 2020.
- "Home - Annie Kuster for Congress". www.kusterforcongress.com.
- Rooney, Jack (August 29, 2020). "Four Republicans seek Congressional seat in NH-2". Sentinel Source. Retrieved August 29, 2020.
- Steinhauser, Paul (October 10, 2019). "On the trail: Blankenbeker launches 2020 congressional bid, Gabbard accuses Dems of election rigging". Retrieved October 28, 2019.
- "Clemmer For NH". Clemmer For NH. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
- "Berlin 1-14-20". The Berlin Sun. Retrieved February 19, 2020.
- Merica, Dan (May 13, 2020). "Buttigieg highlights importance of local officials in first post-campaign endorsements". CNN. Retrieved May 14, 2020.
- "JStreetPAC Candidates". JStreetPAC.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (August 13, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Annie Kuster for Re-Election". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- "2020 Endorsements". plannedparenthoodaction.org. Planned Parenthood Action Fund.
- Donald Trump [@realDonaldTrump] (October 31, 2020). "Steve Negron (@SteveNegronNH) will be a tireless advocate in Congress for the State of New Hampshire! An Air Force Veteran, he is Strong on the Economy, our Brave Law Enforcement and your Second Amendment. Steve has my Complete and Total Endorsement! #NH02 t.co/9Zq8LQXZkn" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 6, 2020. Retrieved January 29, 2021 – via Twitter.
- "2020 Candidates". Maggie's List. Retrieved February 27, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "New Hampshire", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "New Hampshire: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of New Hampshire". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- New Hampshire at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
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