2020 United States Senate election in Idaho
The 2020 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Idaho, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch won reelection to a third term in office, defeating Democratic nominee Paulette Jordan, who, percentage wise, had the worst performance of a Democratic senatorial candidate for this seat since 2002. However, Risch also performed nearly three points worse than he did in 2014.
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
 County Results
Risch: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Jordan: 50–60% 60–70% | |||||||||||||||||
.jpg.webp)
.JPG.webp)
| Elections in Idaho |
|---|
 |
Republican primary
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 200,184 | 100.00% | |
| Total votes | 200,184 | 100.00% | ||
Democratic primary
Nominee
- Paulette Jordan, former state representative and nominee for Governor of Idaho in 2018[3]
Eliminated in primary
- James Vandermaas, former law enforcement officer and candidate for Idaho's 1st congressional district in 2018[4]
Withdrawn
Declined
- A.J. Balukoff, Boise school district board member, nominee for Governor of Idaho in 2014, and candidate for Governor of Idaho in 2018[9] (endorsed James Vandermaas)
- Mark Nye, state senator[9]
- Michelle Stennett, minority leader of the Idaho Senate[9]
Endorsements
Paulette Jordan
Results
County results:
Jordan—>90%
Jordan—80-90%
Jordan—70-80%
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 72,778 | 85.70% | |
| Democratic | James Vandermaas | 12,145 | 14.30% | |
| Total votes | 84,923 | 100.00% | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[14] | Safe R | August 17, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Safe R | September 18, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe R | August 5, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[17] | Safe R | August 31, 2020 |
| Politico[18] | Safe R | September 9, 2020 |
| RCP[19] | Safe R | September 17, 2020 |
| Niskanen[20] | Safe R | September 15, 2020 |
| DDHQ[21] | Safe R | September 16, 2020 |
| 538[22] | Safe R | September 18, 2020 |
Endorsements
Paulette Jordan (D)
- U.S Vice Presidents
- Individuals
- Aaron Paul, actor known for Breaking Bad[10]
- Organizations
- Center for Biological Diversity[24]
- DSCC[25]
- Emily’s List[26]
- National Education Association[27]
- National Women's Political Caucus[28]
- Publications
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Jim Risch (R) |
Paulette Jordan (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] | August 29 – September 1, 2020 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 53% | 28% | 8%[lower-alpha 2] | 11% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Jim Risch (incumbent) | 538,446 | 62.62% | -2.71% | |
| Democratic | Paulette Jordan | 285,864 | 33.25% | -1.42% | |
| Independent | Natalie Fleming | 25,329 | 2.95% | N/A | |
| Constitution | Ray Writz | 10,188 | 1.18% | N/A | |
| Total votes | 859,827 | 100.0% | |||
| Republican hold | |||||
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
- Poll conducted for the Women's Liberation Front.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Another candidate" with 8%
References
- Russell, Betsy (August 12, 2019). "Risch announces re-election bid for 3rd Senate term in 2020". Idaho Press. Retrieved August 12, 2019.
- "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department. Retrieved August 28, 2020.
- Jennifer Bendery. "Idaho Democrat Paulette Jordan Is Running For Senate", HuffPost, February 7, 2020. Retrieved February 7, 2020.
- "Third Dem announces bid for Risch's Senate seat in 2020". Idaho Press. October 7, 2019.
- "Harris withdraws from Idaho Senate race". Kootenai Valley Times. February 13, 2020.
- "Paulette Jordan on Instagram: "Nancy Harris has a strong voice and the best of intentions for Idaho. I'm very grateful for her support. Thank you, @nancyharrisforsenate…"". Instagram.
- "Travis Oler Discontinues US Senate Campaign and Runs for Idaho State Legislature". Travis Oler for Idaho. Retrieved March 14, 2020.
- "Log In or Sign Up to View". www.facebook.com. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
- Singiser, Steve. "Here's our ultimate Democratic wishlist for Senate in 2020. Who's on yours?". Daily Kos. Retrieved February 19, 2019.
- Miller, Kevin (February 14, 2020). "Aaron Paul endorses Jordan Paulette". Kido Talk Radio. Retrieved April 25, 2020.
- "Statesman endorses Democrat primary candidate for U.S. Senate". Idaho Statesman. May 10, 2020.
- "WRITZ, RAY - Candidate overview". FEC.gov.
- "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate – Partisan Free Independent Candidate for United States Congress for Idaho".
- "2020 Senate Race Ratings for April 19, 2019". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2019.
- "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved July 17, 2020.
- "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved August 28, 2019.
- "Daily Kos Elections releases initial Senate race ratings for 2020". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved February 28, 2020.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019.
- "Battle for White House". RCP. April 19, 2019.
- "2020 Negative Partisanship and the 2020 Congressional Elections". Niskanen Center. April 28, 2020.
- "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
- Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
- "Biden endorses Idaho's Paulette Jordan for U.S. Senate". KHQ.
- https://centeractionfund.org/2020-endorsements/#ID
- "DSCC Endorses Paulette Jordan in Idaho Senate Race". DSCC. July 23, 2020.
- https://www.emilyslist.org/candidates/paulette-jordan-20
- "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org.
- "Endorsed candidates". NWPC. Retrieved July 26, 2020.
- https://www.instagram.com/p/CF8BoAkHNgT/
- "2020 General Election Results – Statewide". Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved December 18, 2020.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Idaho", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Idaho: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Idaho". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Idaho at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites
This article is issued from Wikipedia. The text is licensed under Creative Commons - Attribution - Sharealike. Additional terms may apply for the media files.