2020 United States House of Representatives election ratings

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections were held November 3, 2020, to elect representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. The six non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and the inhabited U.S. territories will also be elected. Numerous federal, state, and local elections, including the 2020 presidential election and the 2020 Senate elections, will also be held on this date.

Race ratings

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): slight advantage
  • Lean: clear advantage
  • Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe: outcome is nearly certain
District CPVI[1] Incumbent Last result[2] Cook
November 2,
2020[3]		 IE
October 28,
2020[4]		 Sabato
November 2,
2020[5]		 Daily Kos
November 2,
2020[6]		 RCP
November 2,
2020[7]		 538[lower-alpha 1]
November 3,
2020[8]		 Winner[9]
Alaska at-large R+9 Don Young (R) 53.1% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Don Young (R)
Arizona 1 R+2 Tom O'Halleran (D) 53.8% D Lean D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tom O'Halleran (D)
Arizona 2 R+1 Ann Kirkpatrick (D) 54.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Arizona 6 R+9 David Schweikert (R) 55.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Lean R Tossup David Schweikert (R)
Arkansas 2 R+7 French Hill (R) 52.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R French Hill (R)
California 1 R+11 Doug LaMalfa (R) 54.9% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Solid R Doug LaMalfa (R)
California 4 R+10 Tom McClintock (R) 54.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Solid R Tom McClintock (R)
California 7 D+3 Ami Bera (D) 55.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Ami Bera (D)
California 8 R+9 Paul Cook (R)
(retiring)		 60.0% R[lower-alpha 2] Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Solid R Jay Obernolte (R)
California 10 EVEN Josh Harder (D) 52.3% D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D Lean D Likely D Josh Harder (D)
California 21 D+5 TJ Cox (D) 50.4% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup David Valadao (R)
California 22 R+8 Devin Nunes (R) 52.7% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Solid R Devin Nunes (R)
California 25 EVEN Mike Garcia (R) 54.9% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Mike Garcia (R)
California 39 EVEN Gil Cisneros (D) 51.6% D Likely D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Young Kim (R)
California 42 R+9 Ken Calvert (R) 56.5% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Ken Calvert (R)
California 45 R+3 Katie Porter (D) 52.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Katie Porter (D)
California 48 R+4 Harley Rouda (D) 53.6% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Michelle Steel (R)
California 50 R+11 Vacant 51.7% R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Darrell Issa (R)
Colorado 3 R+6 Scott Tipton (R)
(lost primary)		 51.5% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lauren Boebert (R)
Florida 7 EVEN Stephanie Murphy (D) 57.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Stephanie Murphy (D)
Florida 13 D+2 Charlie Crist (D) 57.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Charlie Crist (D)
Florida 15 R+6 Ross Spano (R)
(lost primary)		 53.0% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tossup Likely R Scott Franklin (R)
Florida 16 R+7 Vern Buchanan (R) 54.6% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Vern Buchanan (R)
Florida 18 R+5 Brian Mast (R) 54.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Brian Mast (R)
Florida 26 D+6 Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) 50.9% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Likely D Carlos Giménez (R)
Florida 27 D+5 Donna Shalala (D) 51.8% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Maria Elvira Salazar (R)
Georgia 6 R+8 Lucy McBath (D) 50.5% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean D Lucy McBath (D)
Georgia 7 R+9 Rob Woodall (R)
(retiring)		 50.1% R Lean D
(flip)		 Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Carolyn Bourdeaux (D)
Illinois 6 R+2 Sean Casten (D) 53.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Sean Casten (D)
Illinois 13 R+3 Rodney Davis (R) 50.4% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Rodney Davis (R)
Illinois 14 R+5 Lauren Underwood (D) 52.5% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lauren Underwood (D)
Illinois 17 D+3 Cheri Bustos (D) 62.1% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Likely D Solid D Cheri Bustos (D)
Indiana 5 R+9 Susan Brooks (R)
(retiring)		 56.8% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Victoria Spartz (R)
Iowa 1 D+1 Abby Finkenauer (D) 51.0% D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Ashley Hinson (R)
Iowa 2 D+1 Dave Loebsack (D)
(retiring)		 54.8% D Tossup Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R)
Iowa 3 R+1 Cindy Axne (D) 49.3% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Cindy Axne (D)
Iowa 4 R+11 Steve King (R)
(lost primary)		 50.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Lean R Solid R Randy Feenstra (R)
Kansas 2 R+10 Steve Watkins (R)
(lost primary)		 47.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Jake LaTurner (R)
Kansas 3 R+4 Sharice Davids (D) 53.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Sharice Davids (D)
Kentucky 6 R+9 Andy Barr (R) 51.0% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Andy Barr (R)
Maine 2 R+2 Jared Golden (D) 50.5% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Solid D Jared Golden (D)
Michigan 3 R+6 Justin Amash (L)
(retiring)		 54.4% R Tossup Tossup Lean R
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Peter Meijer (R)
Michigan 6 R+4 Fred Upton (R) 50.2% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Fred Upton (R)
Michigan 7 R+7 Tim Walberg (R) 53.8% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Tim Walberg (R)
Michigan 8 R+4 Elissa Slotkin (D) 50.6% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Elissa Slotkin (D)
Michigan 11 R+4 Haley Stevens (D) 51.8% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Haley Stevens (D)
Minnesota 1 R+5 Jim Hagedorn (R) 50.1% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Lean R Lean R Jim Hagedorn (R)
Minnesota 2 R+2 Angie Craig (D) 52.7% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Angie Craig (D)
Minnesota 7 R+12 Collin Peterson (D) 52.1% D Tossup Tossup Lean R
(flip)		 Lean R
(flip)		 Tossup Likely R
(flip)		 Michelle Fischbach (R)
Minnesota 8 R+4 Pete Stauber (R) 50.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Solid R Pete Stauber (R)
Missouri 2 R+8 Ann Wagner (R) 51.2% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Ann Wagner (R)
Montana at-large R+11 Greg Gianforte (R)
(retiring)		 50.9% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Likely R Matt Rosendale (R)
Nebraska 2 R+4 Don Bacon (R) 51.0% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Don Bacon (R)
Nevada 3 R+2 Susie Lee (D) 51.9% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Susie Lee (D)
Nevada 4 D+3 Steven Horsford (D) 51.9% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Steven Horsford (D)
New Hampshire 1 R+2 Chris Pappas (D) 53.6% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Chris Pappas (D)
New Hampshire 2 D+2 Ann McLane Kuster (D) 55.5% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Lean D Solid D Ann McLane Kuster (D)
New Jersey 2 R+1 Jeff Van Drew (R) 52.9% D Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Jeff Van Drew (R)
New Jersey 3 R+2 Andy Kim (D) 50.0% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Tossup Likely D Andy Kim (D)
New Jersey 5 R+3 Josh Gottheimer (D) 56.2% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Josh Gottheimer (D)
New Jersey 7 R+3 Tom Malinowski (D) 51.7% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tom Malinowski (D)
New Jersey 11 R+3 Mikie Sherrill (D) 56.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Solid D Mikie Sherrill (D)
New Mexico 2 R+6 Xochitl Torres Small (D) 50.9% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Yvette Herrell (R)
New York 1 R+5 Lee Zeldin (R) 51.5% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lee Zeldin (R)
New York 2 R+3 Peter T. King (R)
(retiring)		 53.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Andrew Garbarino (R)
New York 11 R+3 Max Rose (D) 53.0% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Nicole Malliotakis (R)
New York 18 R+1 Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 55.5% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Solid D Sean Patrick Maloney (D)
New York 19 R+2 Antonio Delgado (D) 51.4% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Antonio Delgado (D)
New York 22 R+6 Anthony Brindisi (D) 50.8% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Lean D Claudia Tenney (R)
New York 24 D+3 John Katko (R) 52.6% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R John Katko (R)
New York 27 R+11 Chris Jacobs (R) 51.8% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Solid R Chris Jacobs (R)
North Carolina 1 D+17 G. K. Butterfield (D) 69.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D G.K. Butterfield (D)
North Carolina 2 D+9 George Holding (R)
(retiring)		 51.3% R Likely D
(flip)		 Likely D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Solid D
(flip)		 Deborah Ross (D)
North Carolina 6 D+8 Mark Walker (R)
(retiring)		 56.5% R Likely D
(flip)		 Likely D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Safe D
(flip)		 Solid D
(flip)		 Kathy Manning (D)
North Carolina 8 R+5 Richard Hudson (R) 55.3% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Richard Hudson (R)
North Carolina 9 R+7 Dan Bishop (R) 50.7% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Dan Bishop (R)
North Carolina 11 R+14 Vacant 59.2% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R Madison Cawthorn (R)
Ohio 1 R+5 Steve Chabot (R) 51.3% R Tossup Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Likely R Tossup Steve Chabot (R)
Ohio 10 R+4 Mike Turner (R) 55.9% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Mike Turner (R)
Ohio 12 R+7 Troy Balderson (R) 51.4% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Troy Balderson (R)
Oklahoma 5 R+10 Kendra Horn (D) 50.7% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Stephanie Bice (R)
Oregon 4 EVEN Peter DeFazio (D) 56.0% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Likely D Tossup Likely D Peter DeFazio (D)
Pennsylvania 1 R+1 Brian Fitzpatrick (R) 51.3% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Tossup Likely R Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
Pennsylvania 7 D+1 Susan Wild (D) 53.5% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Likely D Solid D Susan Wild (D)
Pennsylvania 8 R+1 Matt Cartwright (D) 54.6% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Matt Cartwright (D)
Pennsylvania 10 R+6 Scott Perry (R) 51.3% R Tossup Tossup Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Scott Perry (R)
Pennsylvania 16 R+8 Mike Kelly (R) 51.6% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Solid R Mike Kelly (R)
Pennsylvania 17 R+3 Conor Lamb (D) 56.3% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Tossup Likely D Conor Lamb (D)
South Carolina 1 R+10 Joe Cunningham (D) 50.6% D Lean D Lean D Lean D Lean D Tossup Lean D Nancy Mace (R)
South Carolina 2 R+12 Joe Wilson (R) 56.3% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Solid R Joe Wilson (R)
Texas 2 R+11 Dan Crenshaw (R) 52.8% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Solid R Dan Crenshaw (R)
Texas 3 R+13 Van Taylor (R) 54.3% R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Van Taylor (R)
Texas 6 R+9 Ron Wright (R) 53.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Ron Wright (R)
Texas 7 R+7 Lizzie Fletcher (D) 52.5% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Lizzie Fletcher (D)
Texas 10 R+9 Michael McCaul (R) 51.1% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Likely R Michael McCaul (R)
Texas 21 R+10 Chip Roy (R) 50.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Chip Roy (R)
Texas 22 R+10 Pete Olson (R)
(retiring)		 51.4% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean R Troy Nehls (R)
Texas 23 R+1 Will Hurd (R)
(retiring)		 49.2% R Lean D
(flip)		 Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Lean D
(flip)		 Tony Gonzales (R)
Texas 24 R+9 Kenny Marchant (R)
(retiring)		 50.6% R Lean D
(flip)		 Tilt D
(flip)		 Lean D
(flip)		 Tossup Tossup Tossup Beth Van Duyne (R)
Texas 25 R+11 Roger Williams (R) 53.5% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Roger Williams (R)
Texas 31 R+10 John Carter (R) 50.6% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R John Carter (R)
Texas 32 R+5 Colin Allred (D) 52.3% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Colin Allred (D)
Utah 4 R+13 Ben McAdams (D) 50.1% D Tossup Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Burgess Owens (R)
Virginia 1 R+8 Rob Wittman (R) 55.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Rob Wittman (R)
Virginia 2 R+3 Elaine Luria (D) 51.1% D Lean D Likely D Lean D Lean D Tossup Likely D Elaine Luria (D)
Virginia 5 R+6 Denver Riggleman (R)
(lost primary)		 53.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Tossup Bob Good (R)
Virginia 7 R+6 Abigail Spanberger (D) 50.3% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Tossup Likely D Abigail Spanberger (D)
Washington 3 R+4 Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) 52.7% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)
Washington 8 EVEN Kim Schrier (D) 52.4% D Likely D Safe D Lean D Safe D Lean D Solid D Kim Schrier (D)
Wisconsin 3 EVEN Ron Kind (D) 59.7% D Lean D Safe D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Ron Kind (D)
Overall D - 229
R - 179
27 tossups		 D - 239
R - 181
15 tossups		 D - 243
R - 192
0 tossups		 D - 228
R - 181
26 tossups		 D - 209
R - 182
44 tossups		 D - 230
R - 189
16 tossups		 Democratic - 222 10 Net Loss
Republican - 213 16 Net Gain
District 2017 CPVI Incumbent Previous result Cook IE Sabato Daily Kos RCP 538 Winner

Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2020 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Democratic Republican Lead
FiveThirtyEight Nov 3, 2020 Until Nov 2, 2020 49.9% 42.6% +7.3%
RealClearPolitics Nov 3, 2020 Oct 25, 2020 - Nov 2, 2020 49.3% 42.5% +6.8%
Individual polls
Poll source Date(s) administered Sample size Margin of error Democratic Republican Other Undecided Wouldn't vote Lead
Emerson College Dec 6–9, 2018 800 ± 3.6% 46% 44% N/A N/A N/A +2%
HarrisX Jan 2–4, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 5–7, 2019 3,005 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 8–10, 2019 3,015 – 44% 36% N/A N/A N/A +8%
HarrisX Jan 11–14, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jan 15–18, 2019 3,005 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
Emerson College Jan 20–21, 2019 942 ± 3.3% 52% 48% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Jan 18–22, 2019 1,996 ± 2.0% 43% 38% N/A 17% 3% +5%
HarrisX Jan 19–22, 2019 3,003 – 42% 36% 5% 12% 5% +6%
HarrisX Jan 23–26, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
HarrisX Jan 27–30, 2019 3,001 – 43% 36% 5% 11% 5% +7%
HarrisX Jan 31–Feb 3, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Feb 4–7, 2019 3,002 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 4% +7%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10, 2019 1,000 – 46% 45% N/A 10% N/A +1%
HarrisX Feb 10–13, 2019 3,005 – 43% 37% 5% 12% 5% +6%
Emerson College Feb 16–20, 2019 1,000 ± 3.0% 53% 47% N/A N/A N/A +6%
HarrisX Feb 14–17, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
Public Opinion Strategies Feb 16–20, 2019 800 ± 3.1% 46% 44% N/A N/A N/A +2%
HarrisX Feb 18–21, 2019 3,007 – 43% 35% 5% 13% 4% +8%
D-CYFOR Feb 22–23, 2019 1,000 ± 3.1% 46% 39% 2% 11% 2% +7%
Morning Consult Feb 22–24, 2019 1,994 ± 2.0% 42% 36% N/A 19% 3% +6%
HarrisX Feb 22–25, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% 6% 12% 3% +7%
HarrisX Feb 26–Mar 1, 2019 3,006 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
HarrisX Mar 2–5, 2019 3,006 – 41% 38% 5% 13% 4% +3%
HarrisX Mar 6–9, 2019 3,000 – 42% 38% N/A N/A N/A +4%
HarrisX Mar 10–13, 2019 3,001 – 42% 36% 6% 12% 4% +6%
HarrisX Mar 14–17, 2019 3,000 – 43% 35% N/A N/A N/A +8%
HarrisX Mar 18–21, 2019 3,005 – 43% 35% 4% 13% 5% +8%
McLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24, 2019 1,000 – 43% 47% N/A 10% N/A +3%
HarrisX Mar 22–25, 2019 3,002 – 43% 36% 4% 13% 4% +7%
Public Policy Polling Mar 27–28, 2019 846 ± 3.4% 51% 40% N/A 9% N/A +11%
HarrisX Mar 26–29, 2019 3,008 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
Morning Consult Mar 29–Apr 1, 2019 1,945 ± 2.0% 42% 40% N/A 16% 2% +2%
HarrisX Mar 30–Apr 2, 2019 3,007 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 4% +7%
Georgetown Mar 31–Apr 4, 2019 1,000 ± 3.1% 42% 37% N/A 21% N/A +5%
HarrisX Apr 3–6, 2019 3,000 – 41% 36% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Apr 5–7, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 45% 36% N/A 16% 3% +9%
HarrisX Apr 7–10, 2019 3,002 – 42% 35% 6% 13% 4% +7%
HarrisX Apr 11–14, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Apr 12–14, 2019 1,998 ± 2.0% 42% 39% N/A 17% 2% +3%
HarrisX Apr 15–18, 2019 3,005 – 41% 35% 4% 14% 5% +6%
Morning Consult Apr 19–21, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 45% 34% N/A 17% 3% +11%
HarrisX Apr 19–22, 2019 3,007 – 43% 35% 5% 12% 4% +8%
HarrisX Apr 23–26, 2019 3,001 – 41% 36% 6% 13% 4% +5%
Morning Consult Apr 28–29, 2019 1,995 ± 2.0% 44% 37% N/A 16% 3% +7%
HarrisX Apr 27–30, 2019 3,005 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
HarrisX May 1–4, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
HarrisX May 5–8, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 4% +6%
McLaughlin & Associates May 7–11, 2019 1,000 – 45% 47% N/A 8% N/A +2%
HarrisX May 9–12, 2019 3,000 – 40% 36% N/A N/A N/A +4%
Morning Consult May 10–122, 2019 1,995 ± 2.0% 43% 37% N/A 18% 3% +6%
HarrisX May 13–27, 2019 3,003 – 42% 37% 4% 13% 4% +5%
HarrisX May 17–24, 2019 7,036 – 42% 36% 5% 13% 5% +6%
HarrisX May 25–28, 2019 3,005 – 42% 35% 5% 14% 3% +7%
YouGov May 26–28, 2019 1,114 ± 2.6% 48% 39% 1% 10% 2% +9%
HarrisX May 29–Jun 1, 2019 3,000 – 42% 37% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult May 31–Jun 2, 2019 1,997 ± 2.0% 45% 36% N/A 17% 3% +9%
YouGov Jun 2–4, 2019 1,189 ± 2.7% 45% 41% 1% 10% 2% +4%
HarrisX Jun 2–5, 2019 3,003 – 43% 35% 5% 13% 4% +8%
HarrisX Jul 6–9, 2019 3,000 – 41% 36% N/A N/A N/A +5%
Morning Consult Jun 7–9, 2019 1,991 ± 2.0% 47% 35% N/A 16% 2% +12%
YouGov Jun 9–11, 2019 1,102 ± 2.6% 46% 40% 2% 10% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 10–13, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 5% 12% 4% +6%
Morning Consult Jun 14–16, 2019 1,992 ± 2.0% 43% 37% N/A 16% 3% +6%
HarrisX Jun 14–17, 2019 3,004 – 41% 35% 5% 14% 5% +6%
YouGov Jun 16–18, 2019 1,196 ± 2.7% 47% 39% 1% 10% 2% +8%
HarrisX Jun 18–21, 2019 3,001 – 42% 36% 4% 13% 5% +6%
McLaughlin & Associates Jun 18–24, 2019 1,000 – 46% 47% N/A 8% N/A +1%
Morning Consult Jun 21–24, 2019 1,991 ± 2.0% 44% 38% N/A 16% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 22–25, 2019 3,004 – 42% 36% 6% 12% 3% +6%
YouGov Jun 22–25, 2019 1,104 ± 2.6% 46% 40% 1% 11% 2% +6%
HarrisX Jun 26–29, 2019 3,000 – 42% 36% N/A N/A N/A +6%
Morning Consult Jun 29–Jul 1, 2019 1,472 ± 3.0% 45% 35% N/A 17% 3% +10%
YouGov Jun 30–Jul 2, 2019 1,259 ± 2.9% 48% 39% 1% 10% 2% +9%
HarrisX Jun 30–Jul 3, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% 5% 12% 5% +7%
HarrisX Jul 4–7, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
YouGov Jul 7–9, 2019 1,130 ± 2.6% 47% 38% 1% 12% 2% +9%
HarrisX Jul 8–11, 2019 3,003 – 41% 35% 6% 13% 3% +6%
Morning Consult Jul 12–14, 2019 1,984 ± 2.0% 44% 35% N/A 18% 4% +9%
HarrisX Jul 12–15, 2019 3,003 – 42% 37% 4% 14% 3% +5%
YouGov Jul 14–16, 2019 1,143 ± 2.6% 47% 40% 1% 10% 1% +7%
HarrisX Jul 15–18, 2019 3,003 – 43% 36% 5% 13% 4% +7%
HarrisX Jul 16–19, 2019 3,000 – 43% 36% N/A N/A N/A +7%
HarrisX Jul 20–23, 2019 3,015 – 41% 37% N/A N/A N/A +4%
YouGov Jul 21–23, 2019 1,207 ± 2.9% 47% 40% 1% 9% 2% +7%

Party listings

The campaign committees for the two parties -- the DCCC and NRCC -- publish their own lists of targeted seats.

Democratic

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in January 2020.[10]

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in August 2019.[11]

These races were added to the DCCC's "battlefield" list in January 2019.[12]

These races were added to the DCCC's "frontline" list of defensive targets in February 2019.[13]

Republican

These races were announced as the NRCC's offensive targets in February 2019.[14]

Notes
  1. Represents the Deluxe model
  2. The 2018 race was between two Republicans, due to the top-two system in California

References
  1. Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (April 7, 2017). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on December 23, 2017.
  2. "House election results 2018". Cnn.com. Retrieved January 9, 2019.
  3. "2020 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  4. "House Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved October 30, 2020.
  5. "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 2, 2020.
  6. "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  7. "Battle for the House 2020". RealClearPolitics. June 9, 2020. Retrieved October 28, 2020.
  8. "2020 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. November 3, 2020. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  9. "House Election Results". The New York Times. November 20, 2020. Retrieved November 20, 2020.
  10. "MEMO: Democrats Set to Protect & Expand House Majority, as 2020 Kicks off". January 16, 2020. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  11. "MEMO: DCCC Expands Offensive Battlefield to 39 Districts". August 15, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  12. "Democrats Go on Offense – DCCC Chairwoman Cheri Bustos Announces Initial 2020 Offensive Battlefield". January 28, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  13. "2019-2020 DCCC Frontline Members". February 7, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
  14. "NRCC Announces 55 Offensive Targets for the 2020 Cycle". February 9, 2019. Retrieved January 21, 2020.
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